scholarly journals PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DAN KURS TERHADAP TINGKAT INFLASI DI INDONESIA SEBELUM DAN SETELAH KRISIS GLOBAL 2009

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Hario Aji Hartomo
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Correlation Study ◽  
Test Methods ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Global Crisis ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Before And After

<p>The objective of this research are to analyzed the effect of Money Supply and Exchange Rate to Inflation Rate in Indonesia before and after Global Crisis at 2008. Type of this research is a correlation study, a research to explain correlation between variables. Dependent Variable used is Inflation Rate (percentages), Independent Variables are Money Supply and Exchange Rate (Indonesian Rupiah to US Dollar). The models will be calculated with OLS (Ordinary Least Square) and Classical Assumption which is excelent in technical, easy to calculate and interpretation. In this case a correlation between dependent variables and independent variables. To determine the inflation rate effect before and after Global Crisis, the other test methods also needed, in example: Normality Test, Autocorrelation Test, Multicolinearity Test, Heteroscedastisity Test and Chow Test. The result from this research determine that Inflation Rate as a dependent variable will significantly influence to Money Supply and Exchange Rate inIndonesia.<br />Keywords : global crisis, inflation rate, money supply</p>

scholarly journals Impact of Exchange Rate Management on the Nigerian Economic Growth: Empirical Validation

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 28-35
Author(s):  
Friday Osaru Ovenseri Ogbomo ◽  
Precious Imuwahen Ajoonu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Exchange Rate Management ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper examined the impact of Exchange Rate Management on economic growth in Nigeria between 1980 and 2015. The study was set to gauge how the management of exchange rate in Nigeria has impacted the economy. The study employed the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method in its analysis. Co-integration and Error Correction Techniques were used to establish the Short-run and Long-run relationships between economic growth and other relevant economic indicators. The result revealed that exchange rate management proxy by various exchange rates regimes in Nigeria was not germane to economic growth. Rather, government expenditure, inflation rate, money supply and foreign direct investment significantly impact on economic growth in Nigeria. It is against this backdrop that the Nigerian economy must diversify her export base to create room for more inflow of foreign exchange.  

scholarly journals INTERNET DAN INFLASI: CROSS-COUNTRY PANEL ANALYSIS ATAS 5 NEGARA DI ASIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anhar Fauzan Priyono
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Internet User ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Panel Analysis ◽  
Internet Users ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
Web Surfing

The objective of this research is to understand the effect of internet utilization,proxied by numbers of internet user to inflation rate. Several other factors are alsobeing considered, which are growth of money supply, exchange rate, and world oilprice. There are China, India, Japan, Indonesia, and South Korea, consecutivelyrepresent top five countries with the biggest internet users in Asia to be observed.Pooled Least Square with Panel Corrected Standard Error has been employed interms of analysing inflation's behavior of those countries. The main finding of this research is that inflation and numbers of internet user are negatively correlated, while the causal effect is statistically not significant. This is most probable, since utilization of internet is still dominated by web surfing, social media, and online games. On the other hand, money supply, exchange rate, and world oil price has a positive relationship with inflation. Those findings are true for all the countries being observed.

scholarly journals Analisis impor beras Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-98
Author(s):  
Yulia Sani ◽  
Siti Hodijah ◽  
Rosmeli Rosmeli
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Quantitative Analysis ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Analysis Tools ◽  
Rice Price

This study aims to analyze the development of each variable and its effect on rice imports in Indonesia for the period 1998-2017. This research uses descriptive and quantitative analysis tools. The data used is time-series data or time series. To analyze this research, the "Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method was used. The results showed that the independent variables simultaneously had a significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia. Partially, the domestic rice price variable has a positive and significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia, the exchange rate variable has a negative and significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia and the GDP variable has a negative and significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia. Keywords: Rice imports, Exchange rate, The price of rice

scholarly journals PENGARUH PERDAGANGAN INTERNASIONAL TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Friska Danarwaty Sitorus
Keyword(s):  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables

Fluctuations of exchange rate against in the Rupiah can be influenced by international trade which makes the Rupiah exchange rate depreciate or appreciate. The purpose of this study is to recognize the differences in the effect of international trade variables on the Rupiah exchange rate. The model considered for maintaining variables can connect the effects of international trade with the Rupiah exchange rate that occurred before using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. OLS estimation shows that the independent variables, namely exports, imports, and interest rates have a significant influence on the expectations of the Rupiah exchange rate, while variable interest rates cannot significantly influence the Rupiah exchange rate. In conclusion, the export, import and interest rates policies are considered to affect the rupiah exchange rate if Indonesia does not change interest rates simultaneously and other macro policy variables.

ANALISIS PENGARUH INFLASI DAN KURS TERHADAP EKSPOR DI NEGARA ASEAN 5 PERIODE TAHUN 2012-2016

INFO ARTHA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-128
Author(s):  
Muhammad Fuad Anshari ◽  
Adib El Khilla ◽  
Intan Rissa Permata
Keyword(s):  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Exchange Rate Depreciation

Every open market system based country is doing international trade activity everyday like export-import. Many research found that export is effected by foreign exchange and inflation rate. But from the latest data, in UK, the weakening of poundterling has failed to increase their export value. This research try to find an evidence  if there is relation between foreign exchange and inflation rate on export in ASEAN-5 countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. And how these variables affecting the export. Using 5 years observation data from 2012 to 2016 and ordinary least square method we conclude that simultaneously foreign exchange and inflation rate has significant effect on export. Partially, exchange rate depreciation has negative significant effect on Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore Export. Also has positive significant effect on Philippines export. While, inflation rate only has positive significant effect on Philippines export. Setiap negara yang menganut sistem perekonomian terbuka tidak akan lepas dari aktifitas perdagangan internasional seperti ekspor-impor. beberapa penelitian menyebutkan bahwa aktifitas ekspor seringkali dipengaruhi oleh nilai tukar dan tingkat inflasi suatu negara. Namun berdasarkan data terbaru diketahui bahwa di Inggris melemahnya nilai tukar poundsterling tidak mampu meningkatkan ekspor negaranya. Penelitian ini berusaha untuk membuktikan apakah terdapat pengaruh antara nilai tukar dan inflasi terhadap ekspor di negara ASEAN-5 seperti Indonesia, Malaysia, Filipina, Singapura, dan Thailand serta bagaimana variabel-variabel tersebut mempengaruhi ekspor apakah secara positif atau negatif. Dengan mengunakan periode pengamatan di tahun 2012 – 2016 dan metode analisis  ordinary least square  diketahui bahwa secara simultan inflasi dan kurs berpengaruhi terhadap nilai ekspor di negara ASEAN-5.  Secara parsial, depresiasi kurs berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap ekspor negara Indonesia, Malaysia, dan Singapura serta berpengaruh positif signifikan di Filipina. Sedangkan Inflasi hanya berpengaruh secara positif signifikan  di Filipina.

scholarly journals Pengaruh inflasi dan jumlah uang beredar terhadap nilai tukar rupiah dengan pendekatan model struktural VAR

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-60
Author(s):  
Tuty Alawiyah ◽  
Haryadi Haryadi ◽  
Yohannes Vyn Amzar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Trend Data ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Policy Interest

The purpose of this study are, firstly to analyze exchange rate trends of rupiah, centtral bank policy rates, inflation and money supply in Indonesia from January 2019 to December 2019. Secondly, to analyzes the  effect of central bank policy rate, inflation and the money supply to the rupiah exchange rate in January 2013 – Desember 2018. The method used in this research are descriptive and quantitative analysis with trend analysis tools and multiple linier regression VAR models with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The  results of the study found that, the first trend data from the rupiah exchange rate variable of January 2019 period – December 2019 of IDR 15.145 US$, the central bank’s policy interest rate was 4.5 percent, inflation was 2.15 percent and the money supply was an average of Rp.5.966.9112,17 billion. Secondly, from the processed data it was found that central bank policy rates and the money supply has a positive effect on the rupiah exchange rate of January 2013 period – December 2018. While the inflation variable has a negative impact on the rupiah exchange rate of January 2013 period – December 2018. Keywords : Rupiah exchange rate, Central bank policy interest rate, Money supply

scholarly journals Dampak Ekonomi dan Kesehatan pada Konsumen Rokok Elektronik di Kota Bandung

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Estro Dariatno Sihaloho ◽  
Irlan Adiyatma Rum
Keyword(s):  
Electronic Cigarettes ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Electronic Cigarette ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Cigarette Consumption ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Different Characteristics

Consumers of conventional cigarettes have begun to switch to using electronic cigarettes. Having different characteristics of these two kinds of cigarettes make the different health and economic effects to consumers. This study uses Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method to analyze the influence of electronic cigarette usage on conventional cigarette usage in Bandung in 2017. This study used 200 respondents of electronic cigarette users. This study uses the amount of conventional cigarette consumption after using electronic cigarette per day (Y) as the dependent variable. For independent variables, this study uses conventional cigarette consumption before using electronic cigarette per day (X1), total liquid of electronic cigarette consumption per month (X2), monthly electronic cigarette expenditure (X3), and respondent's perception whether using electronic cigarette more healthy (X4). Regression results showed that X1 and X4 have significant effect on Y. The increase of 1 stem of conventional ciga-rettes consumption before using electronic cigarette per day (X1) will increase the consumption of conventional cigarettes after using electronic cigarette per day (Y) of 0.1618005 stem. While with the respondent's perception that using electronic cigarette is healthier (X4) will reduce the consumption of conventional cigarettes (Y) as much as 5.169504 stems

scholarly journals Pengaruh umur, pendidikan, upah, keterampilan, dan jenis kelamin terhadap lama mencari kerja bagi pekerja terdidik di Kota Jambi (studi kasus Kecamatan Kota Baru dan Telanaipura)

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Cici Swarsih ◽  
Junaidi Junaidi ◽  
Rosmeli Rosmeli
Keyword(s):  
Sampling Method ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Total Sample ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Wage Level ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
And Gender ◽  
Multistage Sampling

This study aims to analyze the characteristics of educated workforce and to determine the effect of variables of age, education, wage level, skills and gender on duration of looking for work by educated worker in Jambi City. The data used in this study are primary data obtained from questionnaires and direct interviews with a total sample of 110 respondents. Sampling in this study uses a multistage sampling method that is sampling in stages. Data analysis methods used are descriptive and quantitative analysis. The analytical tool used is the OLS (Ordinary Least Square) method. The results of this study indicate that the independent variables simultaneously have a significant effect on duration of looking for work. Partially the variables of age, education, wage level have a significant effect on duration of looking for work, while the skills and gender variables have no significant effect on the duration of looking for work.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Penyesuaian Harga Jual Bahan Bakar Minyak (BBM) Tehadap Konsumsi BBM dan Inflasi

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-182
Author(s):  
Aep soleh Soleh
Keyword(s):  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Mineral Resources ◽  
Substitution Effect ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Fuel Price ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of fuel price adjusment on changes in fuel consumption and inflation in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data obtained from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Trade, Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and PT Pertamina (Persero) from 2006 to 2016 and analyzed by using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. Research showed, if the government increases Premium Gasoline's price by 10%, in average its consumption would decrease around 2,99 %. However, if the Pertamax Gasoline's price increases, the consumption of Premium Gasoline would also increase due to substitution effect. Every 10% increase in Subsidized Diesel's price, in average its consumption would decrease around 4,80 % and vice versa. However, if the Pertamina dex's price increases, the consumption of Subsidized Diesel would also increase due to substitution effect. Moreover, IDR1.000/L increase in Premium Gasoline's Price would contribute 1,10 % to the inflation rate. On the other hand, increase in Subsidized Diesel's price does not contribute to the inflation rate.

scholarly journals VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE APPROACH AFTER FIRST DIFFERENCING: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF INFLATION AND ITS DETERMINANTS IN TANZANIA

2021 ◽  
pp. 43-56
Author(s):  
Rachel R. Cheti ◽  
Bahati Ilembo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregressive

The objective of the study was to examine the trend of inflation and its key determinants in Tanzania. We used secondary time series data observed annually from January 1970 to 2020 which are inflation rate, GDP, Exchange rate and money supply. The vector autoregressive (VAR) model was employed for modeling. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF) found that inflation rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate and Money supply (M3) were initially non-stationary but they became stationary after first differencing so as to proceed with the analysis. Preliminary tests before obtaining vector auto regressive model were carried out before determining the relationship between the variables. Diagnostic test such as serial correlation, heteroscedasticity, stability and normality were also important to evaluate the model assumptions and investigate whether or not there are observations with a large, undue influence on the analysis. We used Granger causality test (GCT) to determine causal- effect relationship between the variables. The results show that, there is a long run relationship between the variables, also the results showed that exchange rate and money supply (M3) both have a positive impact on inflation rate while gross domestic product (GDP) revealed a negative impact on inflation rate. Finally, the forecast of inflation rate for 15 years ahead was performed. The study recommends that the government should pursue both contractionary monetary policy and fiscal policy in order to control inflation in the country.

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