scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM PROPERTI DAN KEUANGAN DI INDONESIA

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Bagas Satrio Wibisono ◽  
Dian Octaviani R

<p><em><em><em>This research discusses the influence of macroeconomic variables on Property Stock Price Index (IHSProp) and Finance Stock Price Index (IHSKeu)</em>. <em>Quantitative research analising an impact of independent variables such as BI rate, Inflation, Money Supply (M2), Exchange Rate (Rp/USD) on dependent variables which are IHSProp and IHSKeu. The data used is monthly data start from 2008: 1 until 2015: 12. The method used in this thesis is Error Correction Model (ECM).</em> <em>The results showed that four macroeconomic variables globally have significant impact on IHSProp and IHSKeu in either short~ and long term. In the short term BI rate significantly influences IHSKeu while exchange rate significantly influences IHSProp and IHSKeu. In the long term, Commodity inflation significantly influences IHSProp. Money Supply significantly influences on IHSProp and IHSKeu. Exchange rate significantly influences on IHSProp and IHSKeu.</em></em> </em><em></em></p><p><em><br /></em><em></em></p>

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-100
Author(s):  
Kieu Minh Nguyen ◽  
Diep Van Nguyen

The main target of this study is to measure the relationship of macroeconomic factors to the volatility of the stock market in Vietnam (through stock price VN-index). There are four factors including the consumer price index (measure of inflation), the exchange rate of USD/VND and money supply M2. Research shows that the stock price VN-Index has a positive relationship with the money supply M2 and the domestic gold price in long term. On the contrary, it has a negative relationship with the inflation while it does not have any connection to the exchange rate and stock price index. In short term, the current stock price index has proportional to the stock price index last month and inversely proportional to the exchange rate. The estimated speed of adjustment indicates that the Vietnam stock market converges to the equilibrium about 8 months (adjusted approximately 13.04% per month) to reach equilibrium in the long term.


Owner ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 358-367
Author(s):  
Jhon Lismart Benget. P.

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of inflation, BI-7 day reverses repo rate, exchange rate, the money supply, and composite stock price index on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The population of this study is the stock mutual fund which was listed on the financial services authority in 2017-2020. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously inflation, BI-7 day reverse repo rate, exchange rate, the money supply, and composite stock price index affect the net asset value of the stock mutual fund. Partially, this study show BI-7 day reverse repo rate has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund. The exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The composite stock price index has a positive and significant effect on the net asset value of stock mutual funds. The money supply has a negative and significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund while inflation has no significant effect on the net asset value of a stock mutual fund.


Economies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Mirzosaid Sultonov

Russia’s international comportment and geostrategic moves, particularly the invasion of Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea in 2014, caused a substantial change in its international economic and political relations. In response to Russia’s invasion, the United States of America, the European Union, and their allies imposed a series of sanctions. In this study, by applying an exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model to daily logarithmic returns of the ruble exchange rate and the closing price index of the Russian Trading System, we analyze how the returns and volatility of the exchange rate and the stock price index responded to the sanctions and oil price changes. The estimation results show that the sanctions have a significant positive short-term impact on exchange rate returns. Economic sanctions have a significant negative long-term impact on the returns and variance of the exchange rate and a significant positive long-term impact on the returns of the stock price index. Financial sanctions have a positive/negative long-term impact on the returns of the exchange rate/stock price index and a positive long-term impact on the variance of the exchange rate and the stock price index. Corporate sanctions have a positive long-term impact on exchange rate returns.


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Margarita Ekadjaja ◽  
Daisy Dianasari

This research is done with the aim to know whether some macroeconomic variables, which are inflation rate, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) rate, and exchange rate of IDR/USD have an impact on the movement of the composite stock price index (IHSG) at the Indonesia stock exchange (BEI) partially and simultaneously in the period of 2006–2014. The research population is inflation rate, SBI rate, and exchange rate of IDR/USD. Data analysis in this research is multiple regression by using time series monthly data of 2006–2014. Research results show that partially inflation rate gives positive significant impact on IHSG, SBI rate has negative significant impact on IHSG, and exchange rate of IDR/USD has positive significant impact on IHSG.  Simultaneously it shows that inflation, SBI rate, and exchange rate of IDR/USD have an impact on IHSG at BEI to the period of year 2006 – 2014.  Those variables affect IHSG by 58,74%, while other variables affect IHSG by 41,26%.  That information can be used by investors to make decision on their investment.Keywords: inflation, SBI, exchange rate, IHSG, BEI.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-64
Author(s):  
Fadhel Kesarditama ◽  
Haryadi Haryadi ◽  
Yohanes Vyn Amzar

This study aims to analyze the trend of macroeconomic variables and gold prices in Indonesia and to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables on gold prices in Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative approach. The data used is secondary data from January 2014-December 2019. The analytical tools and techniques used are trend analysis with a linear trend approach and multiple linear regression models using the Ordinary Least Square method. The five research variables that were processed showed that there were differences in the direction of the data trend. Where the variables of Gold Price, Exchange Rate, and Composite Stock Price Index show a positive trend, while the variables of Inflation and World Crude Oil Prices show a negative trend. Furthermore, the variables of Exchange Rate, world Crude Oil Price, and Composite Stock Price Index show a positive and significant influence on the Gold Price in Indonesia. While the inflation variable shows a negative and significant effect on the Gold Price in Indonesia. Keywords: Inflation, foreign exchange,crude oil prices, idx composite and gold prices


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siska Wahyuni Sukamto

This studi was conducted to determine the effect macro economic variable of inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate againts the stock price indeks on indonesia stock exchange, and look for variables that effect most dominant among the three variables in the stock price index. Type of research is quantitative research, using multiple regression analysis, F test, t test and standardized coefficient as a tool of analysis in this study. Results of the study found that the variables inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate either simultaneously is significant effect on stock price index. Either partially the inflation variable has a significant effect on stock price index, while the variable interest rate have a significant negative effect on the stock price index, and the exchange rate has a significant effect on the stock price index, inflation variable are the most dominany effect on stock price index on Indonesia Stock Exchange


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. Layouting
Author(s):  
Afla Afifa Aminarta ◽  
Mahrus Lutfi Adi Kurniawan

The Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is one indicator to determine economic growth. The Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is formed by counting the stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Macroeconomic conditions can influence the movement of the CSPI in a country. Macroeconomic indicators that affect the CSPI include inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates represented by the BI rate. This study aimed to determine how much influence the selected macroeconomic indicators had on the CSPI and determine the CSPI movement forecast. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) as an estimation method. The research shows that the inflation, exchange rate, and BI rate variables do not affect the CSPI in the short term, and only the exchange rate variable affects the long term. Forecasting performed on variables shows an over-optimistic forecast for the exchange rate and BI rate variables.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
DESY TRISHARDIYANTI ADININGTYAS

Abstract. The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Sharia Stock Price Index (Case Study in Indonesia and Malaysia). The purpose of this research is to know the effect of macroeconomic variables (inflation, exchange rate, world crude oil price and world gold price) on sharia stock price index in Indonesia and Malaysia. By using Error Correction Model as the method, this research utilizes time series monthly data from March 2015 until February 2018. The finding shows that in long-term, inflation in Indonesia, exchange rate of rupiah, world crude oil price and world gold price had significant effect on Jakarta Islamic Index. In short-term, inflation in Indonesia, world crude oil price, world gold price had not significant effect on Jakarta Islamic Index and exchange rate of rupiah had significant effect on Jakarta Islamic Index. Meanwhile, inflation in Malaysia, world crude oil price, world gold price had not significant effect on FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index in long-term and short-term. And exchange rate of ringgit had significant effect on FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index in long-term and short-term.   Abstrak. Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Syariah (Studi Kasus di Indonesia dan Malaysia). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel makroekonomi (inflasi, kurs, harga minyak mentah dunia dan harga emas dunia) terhadap indeks harga saham syariah di Indonesia dan Malaysia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Error Correction Model, dengan data time series bulanan dari Maret 2015 sampai dengan Februari 2018. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa pada jangka panjang, inflasi Indonesia, kurs rupiah, harga minyak mentah dunia dan harga emas dunia berpengaruh terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index. Pada jangka pendek, inflasi Indonesia, harga minyak mentah dunia, harga emas dunia tidak berpengaruh terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index dan kurs rupiah berpengaruh terhadap Jakarta Islamic Index. Sementara itu, inflasi Malaysia, harga minyak mentah dunia, harga emas dunia tidak berpengaruh terhadap FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index pada jangka panjang dan jangka pendek. Dan kurs ringgit berpengaruh terhadap FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Syariah Index pada jangka panjang dan jangka pendek.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-76
Author(s):  
Ade Nugraha Paer ◽  
Syamsurijal Tan ◽  
Emilia Emilia

The purpose of this study is (a) to see the development of the composite stock price index, exchange rate, inflation, interest rates, and the money supply in Indonesia. (b) analyze the effect of the exchange rate, inflation, interest rate, and money supply on the composite stock price index in Indonesia. The method used in this study is a quantitative descriptive method with multiple linear regression analysis tools using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The data used is in the form of a time series. The results of this study average the development of the composite stock price index by 0.22 percent, the exchange rate by 2.57 percent, inflation by -0.90 percent, interest rates by -2.73 percent, and the Money Supply by 0.06 percent. Based on the results of the analysis conducted, exchange rates and interest rates have a negative and significant effect on the composite stock price index, inflation and the money supply have a positive and significant effect on the composite stock price index. Keywords: Composite stock price index, Exchange rate, Inflation, Interest rates, Money supply.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Nency Megawati ◽  
M. Noor Salim

<em>This study aims to analyze the macroeconomic variables that affect the Composite Stock Price Index </em>(<em>CSPI)</em>. <em>Data analysis using multiple linear regression analysis with 32 stock samples during the period of Quarter I 2009 to Quarter IV 2016. <em>The results showed that the Exchange Rate and Dow Jones Index had a positive and significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI), Inflation and the BI Rate had no significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI).</em></em><em></em>


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