scholarly journals Forecasting Currency in East Java: Classical Time Series vs. Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 284-303
Author(s):  
J A Putri ◽  
Suhartono Suhartono ◽  
H Prabowo ◽  
N A Salehah ◽  
D D Prastyo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Linear Pattern ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Testing Dataset ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Nonlinear Pattern

Most research about the inflow and outflow currency in Indonesia showed that these data contained both linear and nonlinear patterns with calendar variation effect. The goal of this research is to propose a hybrid model by combining ARIMAX and Deep Neural Network (DNN), known as hybrid ARIMAX-DNN, for improving the forecast accuracy in the currency prediction in East Java, Indonesia. ARIMAX is class of classical time series models that could accurately handle linear pattern and calendar variation effect. Whereas, DNN is known as a machine learning method that powerful to tackle a nonlinear pattern. Data about 32 denominations of inflow and outflow currency in East Java are used as case studies. The best model was selected based on the smallest value of RMSE and sMAPE at the testing dataset. The results showed that the hybrid ARIMAX-DNN model improved the forecast accuracy and outperformed the individual models, both ARIMAX and DNN, at 26 denominations of inflow and outflow currency. Hence, it can be concluded that hybrid classical time series and machine learning methods tend to yield more accurate forecasts than individual models, both classical time series and machine learning methods.

scholarly journals Identifying Spatiotemporal Patterns in Land Use and Cover Samples from Satellite Image Time Series

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 974
Author(s):  
Lorena Alves Santos ◽  
Karine Ferreira ◽  
Michelle Picoli ◽  
Gilberto Camara ◽  
Raul Zurita-Milla ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Spatiotemporal Patterns ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Self Organizing Maps ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Land Use And Cover

The use of satellite image time series analysis and machine learning methods brings new opportunities and challenges for land use and cover changes (LUCC) mapping over large areas. One of these challenges is the need for samples that properly represent the high variability of land used and cover classes over large areas to train supervised machine learning methods and to produce accurate LUCC maps. This paper addresses this challenge and presents a method to identify spatiotemporal patterns in land use and cover samples to infer subclasses through the phenological and spectral information provided by satellite image time series. The proposed method uses self-organizing maps (SOMs) to reduce the data dimensionality creating primary clusters. From these primary clusters, it uses hierarchical clustering to create subclusters that recognize intra-class variability intrinsic to different regions and periods, mainly in large areas and multiple years. To show how the method works, we use MODIS image time series associated to samples of cropland and pasture classes over the Cerrado biome in Brazil. The results prove that the proposed method is suitable for identifying spatiotemporal patterns in land use and cover samples that can be used to infer subclasses, mainly for crop-types.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Methods for Improved Understanding of a Pumping Test in Heterogeneous Aquifers

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Fan ◽  
Litang Hu ◽  
Hongliang Wang ◽  
Xin Liu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Analytical Solutions ◽  
Pumping Test ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Pumping Tests ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Pumping Wells

Pumping tests are very important means for investigating aquifer properties; however, interpreting the data using common analytical solutions become invalid in complex aquifer systems. The paper aims to explore the potential of machine learning methods in retrieving the pumping tests information in a field site in the Democratic Republic of Congo. A newly planned mining site with a pumping test of three pumping wells and 28 observation wells over one month was chosen to analyze the significance of machine learning methods in the pumping test analysis. Widely used machine learning methods, including correlation, cluster, time-series analysis, artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVR), random forest (RF) method, and linear regression, are all used in this study. Correlation and cluster analyses among wells provide visual pictures of possible hydraulic connections. The pathway with the best permeability ranges from the depth of 250 m to 350 m. Time-series analysis perfectly captured changes of drawdowns within the three pumping wells. The RF method is found to have the higher accuracy and the lower sensitivity to model parameters than ANN and SVR methods. The coupling of the linear regressive model and analytical solutions is applied to estimate hydraulic conductivities. The results found that ML methods can significantly and effectively improve our understanding of pumping tests by revealing inherent information hidden in those tests.

scholarly journals Eagle View: An Abstract Evaluation of Machine Learning Algorithms based on Data Properties

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dhairya Vyas
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Numerical Data ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Almost All

In terms of Machine Learning, the majority of the data can be grouped into four categories: numerical data, category data, time-series data, and text. We use different classifiers for different data properties, such as the Supervised; Unsupervised; and Reinforcement. Each Categorises has classifier we have tested almost all machine learning methods and make analysis among them.

scholarly journals Multi-Level Driver Workload Prediction using Machine Learning and Off-the-Shelf Sensors

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (37) ◽  
pp. 141-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul van Gent ◽  
Timo Melman ◽  
Haneen Farah ◽  
Nicole van Nes ◽  
Bart van Arem
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Workload Prediction ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Driver Workload ◽  
Multi Level ◽  
Driving Conditions ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Lane Keeping

The present study aims to add to the literature on driver workload prediction using machine learning methods. The main aim is to develop workload prediction on a multi-level basis, rather than a binary high/low distinction as often found in literature. The presented approach relies on measures that can be obtained unobtrusively in the driving environment with off-the-shelf sensors, and on machine learning methods that can be implemented in low-power embedded systems. Two simulator studies were performed, one inducing workload using realistic driving conditions, and one inducing workload with a relatively demanding lane-keeping task. Individual and group-based machine learning models were trained on both datasets and evaluated. For the group-based models the generalizing capability, that is the performance when predicting data from previously unseen individuals, was also assessed. Results show that multi-level workload prediction on the individual and group level works well, achieving high correct rates and accuracy scores. Generalizing between individuals proved difficult using realistic driving conditions but worked well in the highly demanding lane-keeping task. Reasons for this discrepancy are discussed as well as future research directions.

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