scholarly journals FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI VOLUME EKSPOR UDANG PUTIH (PENAEUS INDICUS) INDONESIA KE HONGKONG SERTA IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKANNYA

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Betrix Silitonga ◽  
Manuntun Parulian Hutagaol
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
White Shrimp ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Selling Price ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Penaeus Indicus

This study aimed to analyze the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian exports of white shrimp (Penaeus indicus) to Hongkong and to formulate policies that can increase the volume of exports. Ordinary Least Square method (OLS) is used to analyze the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian white shrimp exports to Hongkong by time series data (time series) period of the last 24 years (1990 until 2013). All independent variables that have significant influence on the volume of Indonesian exports of white shrimp, which are: Hongkong population, Hongkong GDP per capita constant 2005, the nominal selling price of white shrimp Indonesia to Hongkong, the nominal selling price of white shrimp competitor to Hongkong, the nominal exchange rate of the Indonesian to Hongkong and Indonesian economic crisis in 1998 (dummy). Key words: Hongkong, Ordinary Least Square (OLS), the export volume, the white shrimp (Penaeus indicus)

scholarly journals FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI VOLUME EKSPOR UDANG PUTIH (PENAEUS INDICUS) INDONESIA KE HONGKONG SERTA IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKANNYA

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Betrix Silitonga ◽  
Manuntun Parulian Hutagaol
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
White Shrimp ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Selling Price ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Penaeus Indicus

This study aimed to analyze the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian exports of white shrimp (Penaeus indicus) to Hongkong and to formulate policies that can increase the volume of exports. Ordinary Least Square method (OLS) is used to analyze the factors that affect the volume of Indonesian white shrimp exports to Hongkong by time series data (time series) period of the last 24 years (1990 until 2013). All independent variables that have significant influence on the volume of Indonesian exports of white shrimp, which are: Hongkong population, Hongkong GDP per capita constant 2005, the nominal selling price of white shrimp Indonesia to Hongkong, the nominal selling price of white shrimp competitor to Hongkong, the nominal exchange rate of the Indonesian to Hongkong and Indonesian economic crisis in 1998 (dummy). Key words: Hongkong, Ordinary Least Square (OLS), the export volume, the white shrimp (Penaeus indicus)

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SWASTA , PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, DAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yandiles Weya ◽  
Vecky A.J. Masinambow ◽  
Rosalina A.M. Koleangan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
North Sulawesi ◽  
The City

ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI SWASTA , PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, DAN PENDUDUK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI KOTA BITUNG Yandiles Weya, Vecky A.J. Masinambow, Rosalina A.M. Koleangan. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Magister Ilmu EkonomiUniversitas Sam Ratulangi, Manado ABSTRAKPada suatu periode perekonomian mengalami pertumbuhan negatif berarti kegiatan ekonomi pada periode tersebut mengalami penurunan. Kota Bitung periode tahun 2004-2014 mengalami pertumbuhan ekonomi yang fluktuasi. Adanya fluktuasi ini dapat dipengaruhi oleh investasi swasta, belanja langsung, dan penduduk Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan salah satu tolok ukur keberhasilan pembangunan ekonomi di suatu daerah. Pertumbuhan ekonomi mencerminkan kegiatan ekonomi. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dapat bernilai positif dan dapat pula bernilai negatif. Jika pada suatu periode perekonomian mengalami pertumbuhan positif berarti kegiatan ekonomi pada periode tersebut mengalami peningkatan. Sedangkan jikaTahun 2004-2014 yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Sulut dan Kota Bitung. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah model ekonometrik regresi berganda double-log (log-log) dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah perkembangan investasi swasta, belanja langsung, dan penduduk berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung. Data yang dipakai menggunakan data time series periodeHasil regresi model pertumbuhan ekonomi dengan persamaan regresinya yaitu  LPDRB  =  - 4,445    +  0.036 LINV  +  0.049 LBL  +  2,229 LPOP.  Dari hasil tersebutmenunjukkan perkembangan investasi swasta, belanja langsung dan penduduk berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kota Bitung.Kata Kunci :pertumbuhan ekonomi, belanja langsung, penduduk, regresi bergandaABSTRACT    The economy experienced a period of negative growth means economic activity in this period has decreased. Bitung-year period 2004-2014 economic growth fluctuations. These fluctuations can be influenced by private investment, direct spending, and population Economic growth is one measure of the success of economic development in an area. Economic growth reflects economic activity. Economic growth can be positive and can also be negative. If the economy experienced a period of positive growth means economic activity during the period has increased. Whereas if  years 2004-2014 are sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of North Sulawesi Province and Bitung. The analytical method used is an econometric model double-log regression (log-log) with Ordinary Least Square (OLS). This study aims to determine whether the development of private investment, direct spending, and population affect the economic growth of the city of Bitung. The data used using time series data period.    The results of the regression model of economic growth with the regression equation is LPDRB = - LINV 4.445 + 0.036 + 0.049 + 2.229 LPOP LBL. From these results show the development of private investment, direct expenditure and population positive and significant impact on economic growth of Bitung.Keywords: Economic growth, direct spending, population, regression.

Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Sumatera Selatan

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Novegya Ratih Primandari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Linear Regression Model ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

This research aims to analyze effect of economic growth, inflation and Unemployment on the Rate of Poverty in the Province of South Sumatera. This research used secondary data in the form of time series data from 2001-2017. The method used quantitative approach by applying a linear regression model with OLS estimation Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study indicate that partially and simultaneously Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment have a significant effect on the Poverty Rate in the Province of South Sumatera.

scholarly journals Analisis impor beras Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-98
Author(s):  
Yulia Sani ◽  
Siti Hodijah ◽  
Rosmeli Rosmeli
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Quantitative Analysis ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Analysis Tools ◽  
Rice Price

This study aims to analyze the development of each variable and its effect on rice imports in Indonesia for the period 1998-2017. This research uses descriptive and quantitative analysis tools. The data used is time-series data or time series. To analyze this research, the "Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method was used. The results showed that the independent variables simultaneously had a significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia. Partially, the domestic rice price variable has a positive and significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia, the exchange rate variable has a negative and significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia and the GDP variable has a negative and significant effect on rice imports in Indonesia. Keywords: Rice imports, Exchange rate, The price of rice

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG (FDI) DAN INVESTASI DALAM NEGERI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-68
Author(s):  
Firdaus Jufrida ◽  
Mohd. Nur Syechalad ◽  
Muhammad Nasir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

This study aims to analyze the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic investment on Indonesian economic growth. The data used was time series data on Indonesian economy from year. Furthermore, the analysis was conducted with quantitative method using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method with multiple regression model. The result shows that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has a positive but not significantly affected Indonesia economic growth, while Domestic Investment has a positive significant effect on Indonesian economic growth. Based on the research results, it is recommended that the Indonesia government has to maintain the stability of economic variables that can stimulate foreign and domestic investment in order to achieve sustainable economic growth.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh investasi asing langsung (FDI) dan investasi domestik pada pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series pada perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun. Selanjutnya, analisis dilakukan dengan metode kuantitatif dengan menggunakan metode regresi Ordinary Least Square (OLS) dengan model regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) memiliki positif tetapi tidak pertumbuhan ekonomi secara signifikan mempengaruhi Indonesia, sedangkan PMDN memiliki efek positif yang signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, disarankan agar pemerintah Indonesia harus menjaga stabilitas variabel ekonomi yang dapat merangsang investasi asing dan domestik dalam rangka mencapai pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERMINTAAN MINYAK PELUMAS PERTAMINA DI KOTA BANDA ACEH

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-100
Author(s):  
Saiful Badli
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Linear Equations ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Free Variable ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Center Board ◽  
Banda Aceh

This study is aimed to know the influence of price, substitution price, consumer income, and the number of vehicles toward the order of Pertamina lubricant in Banda Aceh. For the analysis purpose, multiple regression analysis is used.This research used time series data which was started from 1991 until 2015. The data was a secondary data taken from the Statistic Center Board of Pertamina, and from related institution as well as from various types of sources related to this research. The model used was Marshallian Linear Request function which was analyzed by multiple linear equations through Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach.This research produced a satisfying result. This was seen from simultaneous and partial examination whereas all free variables in this research impacted significantly toward the order of the lubricant under Mesran trademark. Based on the estimation, price variable was resulting negative, meanwhile substitution price, consumer income and the number of vehicles were resulting positive toward the order of the lubricant of Mesran trademark. This result matched the existing theory. The 94,89 percent determinant coefficient (R2) means that free variable which consisted of variable of Mesran lubricant, substitution price, consumer income, and the number of vehicles were able explain the changes of the order of Mesran lubricant for approximately 94,89 percent, while the remaining 5,51 percent was explained by other variables, such as desire, model, and consumer income distribution, etc., which were excluded of this research model.Pertamina should keep enough supply of lubricant to maintain its normal price in Banda Aceh.Artikel ini bertujuan adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh harga, harga pengganti, pendapatan dan jumlah kendaraan terhadap permintaan pelumas pertamina di Kota Banda Aceh. Dalam Analisisnya digunakan analisis regresi linear berganda (Multiple Regressions).Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series dimulai dari tahun 1991 sampai dengan 2015. Jenis data adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik, Pertamina, , dan intansi terkait lainnya serta dari berbagai sumber dan literatur lain yang ada kaitannya dengan penelitian ini. Model yang digunakan adalah fungsi Permintaan Linear Marshallian, dianalisis dengan dengan persamaan linear berganda melalui pendekatan OLS (Ordinary Least Square).Hasil estimasi menunjukkan hasil yang memuaskan ini terlihat baik dari pengujian secara simultan maupun secara partial, dimana semua variabel bebas dalam penelitian ini berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan pelumas merek mesran. Berdasarkan hasil estimasi variabel harga berpengaruh negatif dan harga pengganti, pendapatan dan jumlah kendaraan berpengaruh positif terhadap permintaan pelumas merek mesran, hal ini sesuai dengan teori. Koefisien determinan adjusted (R2 ) sebesar 94,89 persen yang artinya variabel bebas yang terdiri dari variabel harga pelumas merek Mesran, harga pengganti, pendapatan dan jumlah kendaraan mampu menjelaskan variasi perubahan permintaan minyak pelumas merek Mesran sebesar 94,49 persen dan sisanya sebesar 5,51 persen dijelaskan oleh variabel lainnya diluar model penelitian ini seperti selera, corak dan distribusi pendapatan dalam masyarakat dan lain- lain.Pertamina harus mengupayakan suplai pelumas di Kota Banda Aceh selalu tersedia cukup, hal ini dilakukan untuk menjaga kestabilan harga pelumas itu sendiri.

scholarly journals Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Sarolangun

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-100
Author(s):  
Rosminah Rosminah ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah ◽  
Etik Umiyati
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

Investment (PMDN) and government expenditures have on economic growth in Sarolangun Regency. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data for 2000-2017, in the form of data on economic growth, the number of workers, PMDN, and government spending. The analytical method used in this study is multiple linear regression or Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the analysis results indicate that the workforce has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. PMDN has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Likewise, government spending has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Keywords: Economic growth, Labor, Domestic investment (PMDN), Goverment expenditure.

scholarly journals Produk Domestik Bruto dan Kurs Sebagai Determinan Impor Pupuk Indonesia

SOROT ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 35
Author(s):  
Mardiana Mardiana ◽  
Siti Nelva Anisa ◽  
Darma Yuda
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Financial Economic ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Impor pupuk dilakukan untuk memenuhi kebutuhan kebutuhan pupuk. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh PDB dan nilai tukar sebagai determinan impor pupuk di Indonesia. Lokasinya berada di Indonesia, dengan periode penelitian 2004 hingga 2018. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series yang terdiri dari data nilai tukar, PDB, dan impor pupuk. Sumber data dalam penelitian ini adalah data yang dipublikasikan pada Statistik Ekonomi Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI). Laporan Statistik Kementerian Perdagangan dan laporan statistik perdagangan luar negeri untuk impor Indonesia dari publikasi Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Penelitian ini menggunakan metode ordinary least square (OLS) dengan analisis regresi linier berganda sebagai persamaannya. Kondisi impor pupuk di Indonesia cenderung menunjukkan fluktuatif. Namun, dalam beberapa tahun terakhir telah menunjukkan peningkatan. Secara bersamaan, PDB Indonesia dan nilai tukar mempengaruhi impor pupuk Indonesia. Namun secara parsial, impor pupuk Indonesia dipengaruhi secara positif dan signifikan oleh PDB. Sedangkan nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap impor pupuk Indonesia. Fertilizer imports are carried out to meet fertilizer needs. This study analyzes the effect of GDP and the exchange rate as determinants of fertilizer imports in Indonesia. The location is in Indonesia, with a research period from 2004 to 2018. The data used is time series data consisting of data on exchange rates, GDP, and fertilizer imports. The data source in this study is the data published in the Indonesian Financial Economic Statistics (SEKI). The Ministry of Trade's Statistical Report and foreign trade statistical reports for Indonesian imports from the publication of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). This study uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method with multiple linear regression analysis as the equation. Fertilizer import conditions in Indonesia tend to fluctuate. However, in recent years it has shown improvement. Simultaneously, Indonesia's GDP and the exchange rate affect Indonesia's fertilizer imports. However, partially, Indonesia's fertilizer imports are positively and significantly affected by GDP. Meanwhile, the exchange rate does not have a significant effect on Indonesia's fertilizer imports.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Investasi Asing dan Investasi Dalam Negeri Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 137-145
Author(s):  
Herman Kambono ◽  
Elyzabet Indrawati Marpaung
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Multiple Regression ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Independent Variable

Abstract This study aims to analyze the effect of Foreign Investment and Domestic Investment on the Indonesian Economy. The data used is Indonesian macroeconomic time series data. In the next stage, the analysis was carried out using quantitative methods including: Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression Method with Multiple Regression models, and the Coefficient ofDetermination (R2).As for the results of this study later, it can be seen how much influence the independent variable has on the dependent variable. And how big is the percentage of the variation of the independent variable to the dependent variable or the dependent variable   Keywords: Domestic Investment, Foreign Investment and the Economy Indonesia.   Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh Investasi Asing dan Investasi Dalam Negeri terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series makro ekonomi Indonesia. Pada tahap selanjudnya, analisis dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode kuantitatif antara lain: Metode Regresi Ordinary Least Square (OLS) dengan model Regresi Berganda (Multiple Regression), dan Koefisien Determinasi (R2).Adapun hasil dari penelitian ini nantinya, dapat dilihat seberapa besar pengaruh variable bebas terhadap variable tidak bebasnya. Dan seberapa besar prosentasi variasi variable bebas terhadap variable terikat atau variable tidak bebasnya. Kata Kunci: Investasi Dalam Negeri, Investasi Luar Negeri dan Perekonomian Indonesia

scholarly journals Pengaruh Capital Adequacy Ratio , Biaya Operasional Pendapatan Operasional dan Net Operational Margin terhadap Financing to Deposit Ratio pada Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia Tahun 2016-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-33
Author(s):  
Moch Fajar Suryo Atmojo ◽  
Nurfahmiyati ◽  
Meidy Haviz
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

Abstract. Sharia Banking as an economic sub-system certainly will directly or indirectly have an impact on the development and economic growth of a country. Sharia Commercial Bank (BUS) is a bank that conducts business activities based on sharia principles and in its activities provides services in payment traffic as referred to in Act Number 21 of 2008 concerning Sharia Banking. The health of a bank is very important for all parties involved both the owner, manager (management) of the bank, the banking service user community, monetary authorities, and other parties.This study was conducted to examine the effect of CAR, BOPO, and NOM on Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) of Sharia Commercial Banks in Indonesia in 2016-2018. This type of research uses quantitative research with a verification approach. The data used are secondary data taken from the FSA using time series data. Data processing uses Eviews version 7.0 with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method.The results showed that the CAR variable partially had a negative effect and the BOPO and NOM variables had a positive and significant effect on FDR at Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia. From the estimation results obtained R-square of 0.733707, which means 73.37 percent variation of changes in Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) of Sharia Commercial Banks is explained by variations in changes in CAR, BOPO, and NOM. While the remaining 26.63 percent explained by other variables not included in the equation model.   Abstrak. Perbankan Syariah sebagai suatu sub sistem ekonomi tentunya baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung akan memberikan dampak terhadap perkembangan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi suatu negara. Bank Umum Syariah (BUS) adalah bank yang menjalankan kegiatan usahanya berdasarkan prinsip syariah dan dalam kegiatannya memberikan jasa dalam lalu lintas pembayaran sebagaimana dimaksud dalam Undang-Undang Nomor 21 Tahun 2008 tentang Perbankan Syariah. Kesehatan suatu bank merupakan hal yang sangat penting bagi seluruh pihak yang terkait baik pemilik, pengelola (manajemen) bank, masyarakat pengguna jasa bank, otoritas moneter, serta pihak lainnya. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menguji pengaruh CAR, BOPO, dan NOM terhadap Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia Tahun 2016-2018. Jenis penelitian menggunakan penelitian kuantitatif dengan pendekatan verifikatif. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang diambil dari OJK menggunakan data runtut waktu (time series). Pengolahan data menggunakan program Eviews versi 7.0 dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan variabel CAR secara parsial berpengaruh negatif dan variabel BOPO dan NOM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap FDR pada Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia. Dari hasil estimasi diperoleh R-square sebesar 0.733707, yang berarti 73.37 persen variasi perubahan pada Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) Bank Umum Syariah dijelaskan oleh variasi perubahan pada CAR, BOPO, dan NOM. Sementara sisanya 26.63 persen diterangkan oleh variabel lain yang tidak masuk ke dalam model persamaan.

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