scholarly journals ANALISIS MODEL PELUANG BERTAHAN HIDUP (SURVIVAL) DAN APLIKASINYA

2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
S. FAJARIYAH ◽  
H. SUMARNO ◽  
N. K. K. ARDANA
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Life Table ◽  
Survival Data ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Survival Function ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Real Distribution ◽  
Life Table Data ◽  
Table Data

Up till now, models of demography mathematics usually use discrete approximation. This research will use continue approximation agree with demography characteristic that always change every times.  The Maximum Likelihood method is chosen by using five distributions. There are two data that use i.e. hypothetic data and life table data of Banten. The result of hypothetic data shows that if we choose real distribution, it will produce the good value of 2 R , whereas with survival data of Banten. The result shows that Weibull distribution is the best from another distributions. Keywords: survival function, maximum likelihood method.

scholarly journals Best estimation for the Reliability of 2-parameter Weibull Distribution

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 705-710
Author(s):  
Baghdad Science Journal
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Statistical Criterion ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Simulation Process ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Two Parameter

This Research Tries To Investigate The Problem Of Estimating The Reliability Of Two Parameter Weibull Distribution,By Using Maximum Likelihood Method, And White Method. The Comparison Is done Through Simulation Process Depending On Three Choices Of Models (?=0.8 , ß=0.9) , (?=1.2 , ß=1.5) and (?=2.5 , ß=2). And Sample Size n=10 , 70, 150 We Use the Statistical Criterion Based On the Mean Square Error (MSE) For Comparison Amongst The Methods.

The Poisson Nadarajah–Haghighi Distribution: Properties and Applications to Lifetime Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (01) ◽  
pp. 2050005
Author(s):  
Muhammad Mansoor ◽  
M. H. Tahir ◽  
Aymaan Alzaatreh ◽  
Gauss M. Cordeiro
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Censored Data ◽  
Survival Data ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Lifetime Data ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Mathematical Properties

A new three-parameter compounded extended-exponential distribution “Poisson Nadarajah–Haghighi” is introduced and studied, which is quite flexible and can be used effectively in modeling survival data. It can have increasing, decreasing, upside-down bathtub and bathtub-shaped failure rate. A comprehensive account of the mathematical properties of the model is presented. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation for complete and censored data. The suitability of the maximum likelihood method to estimate its parameters is assessed by a Monte Carlo simulation study. Four empirical illustrations of the new model are presented to real data and the results are quite satisfactory.

Reliability Analysis of a Small Pneumatic Cylinder Life

2011 ◽  
Vol 110-116 ◽  
pp. 4240-4245
Author(s):  
Jun Zhao Zhang ◽  
Cong Ling Wang ◽  
Xue Fa Fang
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Pneumatic Cylinder ◽  
Life Test ◽  
Life Distribution ◽  
Median Rank ◽  
Distribution Parameters

The reliability of the pneumatic cylinder was investigated by routine life test. The results show that the failures of the pneumatic cylinder can be described as a Weibull distribution and fatigue fracture of the aluminum end cap and the head of install bolt is the major failure for the pneumatic cylinder. The pneumatic cylinder life distribution parameters were estimated by the median rank method in combination with maximum likelihood method. The distribution model for the reliability of the pneumatic cylinder was also proposed here.

Application of differential evolution for wind speed distribution parameters estimation

2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2199996
Author(s):  
Rajesh Kumar ◽  
Arun Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Speed Distribution ◽  
De Algorithm ◽  
Wind Speed Distribution ◽  
Distribution Parameters

Weibull distribution is an extensively used statistical distribution for analyzing wind speed and determining energy potential studies. Estimation of the wind speed distribution parameter is essential as it significantly affects the success of Weibull distribution application to wind energy. Various estimation methods viz. graphical method, moment method (MM), maximum likelihood method (ML), modified maximum likelihood method, and energy pattern factor method or power density method have been presented in various reported research studies for accurate estimation of distribution parameters. ML is the most preferred approach to study the parameter estimation. ML works on the principle of forming a likelihood function and maximizing the function for parameter estimation. ML generally uses the numerical based iterative method, such as Newton–Raphson. However, the iterative methods proposed in the literature are generally computationally intensive. In this paper, an efficient technique utilizing differential evolution (DE) algorithm to enhance the estimation accuracy of maximum likelihood estimation has been presented. The [Formula: see text] of GA-Weibull, SA-Weibull, and DE-Weibull is 0.958, 0.953, and 0.973 respectively, and value of RMSE of DE-Weibull 0.0083, GA-Weibull (0.0104), and SA-Weibull (0.0110), for the yearly wind speed data are obtained. The lowest root mean square error and larger regression value for both monthly and yearly wind speed data indicate that the DE-Weibull distribution has the best goodness of fit and advocate the DE algorithm for the parameter estimation.

scholarly journals A New Approach to Assess Wind Potential

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
New Method ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Wind Distribution

<p>Weibull Cumulative Distribution Function (C.D.F.) has been employed to assess and compare wind potentials of two wind stations Europlatform and Stavenisse of The Netherland. Weibull distribution has been used for accurate estimation of wind energy potential for a long time. The Weibull distribution with two parameters is suitable for modeling wind data if wind distribution is unimodal. Whereas wind distribution is generally unimodal, random weather changes can make the distribution bimodal. It is always desirable to find a method that accurately represents actual statistical data. Some well-known statistical methods are Method of Moment (MoM), Linear Least Square Method (LLSM), Maximum Likelihood Method (M.L.M.), Modified Maximum Likelihood Method (MMLM), Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM), and Empirical Method (E.M.), etc. All these methods employ Probability Density Function (PDF) of Weibull distribution, except LLSM, which uses Cumulative Distribution Function (C.D.F.). In this communication, we are presenting a newly proposed method of evaluating Weibull parameters. Unlike most methods, this new method employs a cumulative distribution function. A MATLAB® GUI-based simulation is developed to estimate Weibull parameters using the C.D.F. approach. It is found that the Mean Square Error (M.S.E.) is the lowest when using the new method. The new method, therefore, estimates wind power density with reasonable accuracy. Wind Power (W.P.) is estimated by considering four different Wind Turbine (W.T.) models for two sites, and maximum W.P. is found using Evance R9000.</p>

scholarly journals Extended Poisson Inverse Weibull Distribution: Theoretical and Computational Aspects

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 146
Author(s):  
Saeed Al-mualim
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Mathematical Properties ◽  
Inverse Weibull Distribution ◽  
Computational Aspects

A new extension of the Poisson Inverse Weibull distribution is derived and studied in details. Number of structural mathematical properties are derived. We used the well-known maximum likelihood method for estimating the model parameters. The new model is applied for modeling some real data sets to prove its importance and flexibility empirically.

scholarly journals ANALISIS SURVIVAL UNTUK PARAMETER SKALA DARI DISTRIBUSI WEIBULL MENGGUNAKAN MLE DAN METODE BAYESIAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 147-156
Author(s):  
Ferra Yanuar ◽  
Sisca Wulandari ◽  
Izzati Rahmi HG
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Survival Data ◽  
Survival Function ◽  
Life Time ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Absolute Bias ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Best Estimator

Modeling of survival data is necessary and important to do. Survival data is generally assumed to have a Weibull distribution. Bayesian approach has been implemented to estimate the parameter in such this survival analysis. This study purposes to compare the performance of the Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian using Invers Gamma as prior conjugate for estimating the survival function of scale parameter of Weibull distribution. The comparisons are made through simulation study. The best performance of both estimators is chosen based on the lowest value of absolute bias and the mean square error. Two different size samples are generated to illustrate the life time data which are used in this study. This study results that maximum likelihood is the best estimator compared to Bayes with Invers Gamma distribution as conjugate prior.

Modeling and Analysis of Machining Center Reliability Based on MATLAB

2014 ◽  
Vol 945-949 ◽  
pp. 3102-3106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Li ◽  
Chuan Gui Yang ◽  
Xiao Cui Zhu ◽  
Xin Fang Yuan
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Theoretical Basis ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Modeling And Analysis ◽  
Failure Data ◽  
Time Between Failures ◽  
Machining Center

A method is introduced to process the failure data of 12 sets of machining centers for modelling and analyzing their reliability. In this method, Matlab is applied to fit the failure data for getting a hypothesis that their time between failures obey weibull distribution. Then, MLE (maximum likelihood method) is used to estimate parameters of distribution model of the time between failure, and the K-S test is employed to test the above hypothesis for proving that time between failures of machining center obey weibull distribution. Finally, the analysis of their common failures and corresponding improvements are done, which provide the theoretical basis for improvement of reliability of machining center and are greatly valuable in engineering.

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