scholarly journals Company fundamentals and stock price movements: The role of crude oil prices – Evidence from Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE)

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Tijjani Bashir Musa

This study analyzed company fundamentals on how it relates and predict stock price movements and the extent of the role of oil prices in moderating the influence of these company fundamentals in stock price movements. The study covered the period of 2014 to 2018. The study is a panel study. A total of 132 companies were sampled from 196 companies listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) as of December 2018. Data were collected from a secondary source. Multiple linear regression models were used to analyze the data. The study found that a relationship exists between selected companies' fundamentals and stock prices, and oil prices moderate the relationship. But EPS and Working Capital have high predictive power on stock price movements but moderating with oil prices the influence reduces significantly. The study recommends among others that Managers of companies in Nigeria should formulate policies and exert effort geared towards improving company fundamentals in the event of oil prices increases.

GIS Business ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-126
Author(s):  
Nitin Tanted ◽  
Prashant Mistry

One of the highly controversial issues in the area of finance is “Efficient Market Hypothesis”. Efficient Market Hypothesis states that, “In an efficient market, all available price information is reflected in the stock prices and it is not possible to generate abnormal returns compared to other investors.” A lot of studies conducted previouslyto test the Efficient Market Hypothesis, confirmed the theory until recent years, when some academicians found it to be non-applicable in financial markets. According to them, it is possible to forecast the stock price movements using Technical Analysis. The results of various studies have been inconclusive and indefinite about the issue. This study attempted to test the efficiency of FMCG Sector stocks in India in its weak form. For the study, closing prices of top 10 stocks from Nifty FMCG index has been taken for the 5-year period ranging from 1st October 2014 to 30th September 2019. Wald-Wolfowitz Run test has been used to test the haphazard movements in the stock price movements. The results indicated that FMCG sector stocks does support the Efficient Market Hypothesis and exhibit efficiency in its weak form. Hence, it is not possible to accurately predict the price movements of these stocks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Agung Novianto Margarena ◽  
Arian Agung Prasetiyawan

This study was conducted due to differences in the study results inseveral countries related to the effect of the match results on stockmovements. Dimic et. al (2019) stated the match results effect themovement of stock prices, while Mishra & Smyth (2010) stated thevice versa. Then, Floros (2014) put forward different results throughthe study of four clubs in four European countries. Thus, this studyreexamines the effect of the match results on the stock pricemovement of Bali United. Moreover, Bali United is the first SoutheastAsian football club to be listed on the stock market. This study uses aquantitative method with a sample of 31 Bali United’s matches afterlisted on the stock market. The data were analyzed using simple linearregression with SPSS 21 with either won, drawn or lost match resultsrepresented by goal margins. The stock price movements arerepresented by stock prices after the results of the match. It was foundthat the results of the match had a positive effect on the stockmovement of Bali United


Author(s):  
Muhammad Reza Alfianto Siregar ◽  
Pardomuan Sihombing

The growth of the construction sector in Indonesia has indirectly contributed to the growth in the performance of construction companies. This construction performance growth has an impact on stock price movements, apart from the influence of demand and supply of shares. The condition of fluctuating stock price movements requires investors to analyze financial statements before making investment decisions. To find out how the stock price performance can be done by measuring stock returns. In connection with these conditions, the purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of ROE, DER, CR, PBV and TATO on stock returns in construction companies listed on the IDX in 2015 - 2019. This research is included in the category of comparative causal research. The number of samples used in this study were 13 sample companies, with the sampling technique using purposive sampling. The type of data in this study is secondary data taken by the documentation method at Yahoo Finance. The data analysis method uses panel data regression analysis assisted by the Eviews 9.0 software. The results of the study partially show that ROE; DER, CR, PBV, and TATO have a positive and significant effect on stock returns. In addition, ROE, DER, CR, PBV, and TATO simultaneously have a significant effect on stock returns.


2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 31-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramesh Chander ◽  
Kiran Mehta

Investors and analysts are unable to predict stock price movements consistently so as to beat the market in informationally efficient markets. Still, concerted efforts are being made to earn abnormal returns discerning some anomalous pattern in the stock price movements. Also, the study of some structural changes in the market leading to, or removing some anomalous pattern in the stock prices, are of interest to investors and analysts. The present study was conceptualised to scrutinise whether anomalous patterns yield abnormal return consistently for any specific day of the week even after introduction of the compulsory rolling settlement on Indian bourses. Three market series viz., BSE Sensex, S and P CNX Nifty and S and P CNX 500 were observed on daily basis for ten years viz., i) Pre-rolling settlement period, April 1997 - December, 2001 and ii) Post-rolling settlement period, January 2002 - March 2007 to discern evidences in this regard. Contrary to developed capital markets, the results reported in this study documented lowest (significant) Friday returns in the pre-rolling settlement period as credible evidence for the weekend effect. The findings recorded for post-rolling settlement period were in harmony with those obtained elsewhere in the sense that Friday returns were highest and those on Monday were the lowest. It implied that arbitrage opportunities existed (for different trade settlement cycle on two exchanges, BSE and NSE) have disappeared consequent to the rolling settlement. On the whole, the study noted stock markets moved more rationally and anomalous return pattern noticed earlier could not sustain, in the post rolling settlement period.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 90-94
Author(s):  
Musli Yanto ◽  
Liga Mayola ◽  
M. Hafizh

Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) is an organization engaged in the economy with the aim to pay attention to stock movements every day. With the JII, people who do not understand about shares and their movements, will be easy to know and understand the movement of shares that occur at certain times. The problem in this research is that many investors are unable to predict the rise and fall of stock prices. The prediction process can be done with a backpropagation algorithm. The algorithm is a concept of computer science which is widely used in the case of analysis, prediction and pattern determination. The process starts from the analysis of the variables used namely interest rates, exchange rates, inflation rates and stock prices that occurred in the previous period. The variables used are continued in the formation of network patterns and continued in the process of training and testing in order to produce the best network patterns so that they are used as a process of identifying JII stock price movements. The results obtained in the form of the value of stock price movements with an error rate based on the MSE value of 11.85% so that this study provides information in the form of knowledge for making a decision. The purpose of the research is used as input for investors in identifying share prices. In the end, the benefits felt from the results of this study, investors can make an initial estimate before investing in JII.


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Akhmadi Akhmadi ◽  
Nurohman Nurohman ◽  
Robiyanto Robiyanto

This study aimed to obtain an empirical explanation of the role of debt policy and dividend policy as variables mediating the influence of profitability on stock prices. This study used six mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the period of 2012–2016 as samples, hence there were 30 observational data. The sampling technique in this study was purposive sampling. This study found that profitability had a positive effect on stock prices, but the increasing profitability would not necessarily reduce the debt policy. The increasing profitability did not significantly increase the dividend policy, however, increasing dividend policy would increase the stock prices. The results also proved that debt and dividend policy did not mediate the influence of return on equity on the stock prices.


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