Weekend Mortality in an Italian Hospital: Immediate versus Delayed Bedside Critical Care Treatment

Background: a number of studies highlighted increased mortality associated with hospital admissions during weekends and holidays, the so–call “weekend effect”. In this retrospective study of mortality in an acute care public hospital in Italy between 2009 and 2015, we compared inpatient mortality before and after a major organizational change in 2012. The new model (Model 2) implied that the intensivist was available on call from outside the hospital during nighttime, weekends, and holidays. The previous model (Model 1) ensured the presence of the intensivist coordinating a Medical Emergency Team (MET) inside the hospital 24 h a day, 7 days a week. Methods: life status at discharge after 9298 and 8223 hospital admissions that occurred during two consecutive periods of 1185 days each (organizational Model 1 and 2), respectively, were classified into “discharged alive”, “deceased during nighttime–weekends–holidays” and “deceased during daytime-weekdays”. We estimated Relative Risk Ratios (RRR) for the associations between the organizational model and life status at discharge using multinomial logistic regression models adjusted for demographic and case-mix indicators, and timing of admission (nighttime–weekends–holidays vs. daytime-weekdays). Results: there were 802 and 840 deaths under Models 1 and 2, respectively. Total mortality was higher for hospital admissions under Model 2 compared to Model 1. Model 2 was associated with a significantly higher risk of death during nighttime–weekends–holidays (IRR: 1.38, 95% CI 1.20–1.59) compared to daytime–weekdays (RRR: 1.12, 95% CI 0.97–1.31) (p = 0.04). Respiratory diagnoses, in particular, acute and chronic respiratory failure (ICD 9 codes 510–519) were the leading causes of the mortality excess under Model 2. Conclusions: our data suggest that the immediate availability of an intensivist coordinating a MET 24 h, 7 days a week can result in a better prognosis of in-hospital emergencies compared to delayed consultation.

Computing the daily reproduction number of COVID-19 by inverting the renewal equation using a variational technique

The COVID-19 pandemic has undergone frequent and rapid changes in its local and global infection rates, driven by governmental measures or the emergence of new viral variants. The reproduction number Rt indicates the average number of cases generated by an infected person at time t and is a key indicator of the spread of an epidemic. A timely estimation of Rt is a crucial tool to enable governmental organizations to adapt quickly to these changes and assess the consequences of their policies. The EpiEstim method is the most widely accepted method for estimating Rt. But it estimates Rt with a significant temporal delay. Here, we propose a method, EpiInvert, that shows good agreement with EpiEstim, but that provides estimates of Rt several days in advance. We show that Rt can be estimated by inverting the renewal equation linking Rt with the observed incidence curve of new cases, it. Our signal-processing approach to this problem yields both Rt and a restored it corrected for the “weekend effect” by applying a deconvolution and denoising procedure. The implementations of the EpiInvert and EpiEstim methods are fully open source and can be run in real time on every country in the world and every US state.

P-EGS30 Audit of the management of patients presenting with gallstone pancreatitis during the COVID-19 pandemic

Background In the UK around 50% of cases of pancreatitis are caused by gallstones. BSG guidelines recommend ERCP is undertaken within 72h of onset of pain and patients should undergo definitive treatment with cholecystectomy if fit enough during the index admission or within two weeks of discharge to avoid the risk of potentially fatal recurrent pancreatitis. A national audit in 2015 showed that 34.2% of patients receive definitive treatment. During the first COVID-19 wave our surgical service was forced to modify practice including more conservative/non operative management potentially increasing the possibility of recurrent pancreatitis and thus complications. Methods We performed a retrospective audit of patients presenting to our unit with gallstone pancreatitis during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic from March to August 2020 (COVID) and compared this to the same period in 2019 (pre-COVID). Patients were filtered from a larger dataset of all admissions with an ICD-10 coding of any biliary disease. Patient demographics, admission details, investigations, surgical management and post-operative complications were recorded. This was then audited against the standards in the BSG guidelines for the management of pancreatitis. Results Conclusions There were significant differences in the management of the groups. Most significantly in the number of hot procedures and number of patients receiving definitive treatment, a consequence of the conservative approach during COVID. Our pre-COVID results are similar to our previous audit in 2016; 76% received definitive treatment. Those that didn’t have definitive treatment were generally due to frailty/co-morbidities. Majority of ERCP delays were due to weekend effect. Of the 40 patients who didn’t receive definitive treatment 16 have represented with biliary flares/pancreatitis in the year following the study period highlighting the importance of definitive treatment.

Influence of Admission Time on Health Care Quality and Utilization in Patients with Stroke: Analysis for a Possible July Effect and Weekend Effect

(1) Purpose: Undesirable health care outcomes could conceivably increase as a result of the entry of new, less experienced health care personnel into patient care during the month of July (the July effect) or as a result of the less balanced allocation of health care resources on weekends (the weekend effect). Whether these two effects were present in Taiwan’s National Health Insurance (NHI) system was investigated. (2) Methods: The current study data were acquired from the NHI Research Database. The research sample comprised ≥18-year-old patients diagnosed as having a stroke for the first time from 1 January 2006 to 30 September 2012. The mortality rate within 30 days after hospitalization and readmission rate within 14 days after hospital discharge were used as health care quality indicators, whereas health care utilization indicators were the total length and cost of initial hospitalization. (3) Results: The results revealed no sample-wide July effect with regard to the four indicators among patients with stroke. However, an unexpected July effect was present among in-patients in regional and public hospitals, in which the total lengths and costs of initial hospitalization for non-July admissions were higher than those for July admissions. Furthermore, the total hospitalization length for weekend admissions was 1.06–1.07 times higher than that for non-weekend admissions; the total hospitalization length for weekend admissions was also higher than that for weekday admissions during non-July months. Thus, weekend admission did not affect the health care quality of patients with stroke but extended their total hospitalization length. (4) Conclusions: Consistent with the NHI’s general effectiveness in ensuring fair, universally accessible, and high-quality health care services in Taiwan, the health care quality of patients examined in this study did not vary significantly overall between July and non-July months. However, a longer hospitalization length was observed for weekend admissions, possibly due to limitations in personnel and resource allocations during weekends. These results highlight the health care efficiency of hospitals during weekends as an area for further improvement.

Effect of holiday admission for acute aortic dissection on in-hospital mortality in Japan: A nationwide study

Background Patients admitted on weekends have higher mortality than those admitted on weekdays. However, whether the “weekend effect” results in a higher mortality after admission for acute aortic dissection (AAD),—classified according to Stanford types—remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the association between admission day and in-hospital mortality in AAD Type A and B. Methods We used data from the Japanese registry of all Cardiac and Vascular Diseases Diagnostic Procedure Combination, a nationwide claim-based database with data from 953 certified hospitals, and enrolled in-patients with AAD admitted between April 1, 2012, and March 31, 2016. Based on the admission day, we stratified patients into groups (Weekdays, Saturdays, and Sundays/holidays). The influence of the admission day on in-hospital mortality was assessed via multi-level logistic regression analysis. We also performed a Stanford type-based stratified analysis. Results Among the included 25,641 patients, in-hospital mortality was 16.0%. The prevalence of patients admitted with AAD was relatively higher on weekdays. After adjustment for covariates, patients admitted on a Sunday/holiday showed an increased risk of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07–1.33, p<0.001) than patients admitted on weekdays. Among patients admitted on a Sunday/holiday, only the subgroup of Stanford Type A showed a significantly increased risk of in-hospital mortality. (Stanford Type A, non-surgery vs. surgery groups: 95% CI 1.06–1.48 vs. 1.17–1.68, p<0.001 for both groups, OR 1.25 vs. 1.41, respectively, Stanford Type B, non-surgery vs. surgery groups: 95% CI 0.64–1.09 vs. 0.40–2.10; p = 0.182 vs. 0.846; OR 0.84 vs. 0.92). Conclusions In conclusion, patients with AAD Type A admitted on a Sunday/holiday may have an increased in-hospital mortality risk.

Is There a “Weekend Effect” in Intertrochanteric Fracture Surgery?

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Numerous studies reported poorer outcomes for patients who were admitted at weekends or off-hour, which relates to the underlying concept called the “weekend effect.” We aimed to assess the effect of adverse outcomes in older patients with intertrochanteric fracture surgery. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> A retrospective cohort study of patients aged ≥65 years with intertrochanteric fracture surgery. Data were collected from computerized medical records and all patients had a long-term follow-up. The association between weekend effect with adverse outcomes and factors for all-cause mortality was studied by 3-group comparison, Spearman and partial correlation analysis, univariate analysis, and multivariate Cox proportional-hazard model. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Our results showed no evidence supporting the existence of a weekend effect on adverse outcomes, including mortality rates (<i>p</i> = 0.950, log-rank), length of hospital stay, total hospital costs, rate and volume of transfusion, visual analog scale score, Harris Hip Score, and specific complications (all <i>p</i> &#x3e; 0.05), except for an average of 0.5 days longer surgical delay found in patients admitted on Fridays relative to other days (<i>p</i> = 0.013). Instead, only age group (with a 10-year interval, HR 1.43, 1.28–1.59 95% CI, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) and surgical delay (HR 1.05, 1.02–1.07 95% CI, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) were identified as significantly associated with all-cause mortality. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Older patients with intertrochanteric fracture surgery have similar mortality and adverse outcomes rates when admitted on weekends or holidays compared with weekdays. Our findings suggest that collaborative multidisciplinary team care seems both effective and efficient in the management of older patients with intertrochanteric fractures on any day of the week.

Do hospitals have a higher mortality rate on weekend admissions? An observational study to analyse weekend effect on urgent admissions to hospitals in Catalonia

Background‘Weekend effect’ is a term used to describe the increased mortality associated with weekend emergency admissions to hospital, in contrast with admission on weekdays. The objective of the present study is to determine whether the weekend effect is present in hospitals in Catalonia.MethodsWe analysed all urgent admissions in Catalonia in 2018, for a group of pathologies. Two groups were defined (those admitted on a weekday and those admitted on a weekend). We obtained mortality at 3, 7, 15 and 30 days, and applied a proportions test to both groups. Additionally, we used Cox’s regression for mortality at 30 days, using the admission on a weekend as the exposition, adjusting by socioeconomic and clinical variables. We used the hospital discharge database and the Central Registry of the Insured Population.Results72 427 admissions for the selected pathologies during 2018 were found. No statistically significant differences in mortality at 30 days (p=0.524) or at 15 days (p=0.119) according to the day of admission were observed. However, significant differences were found in mortality at 7 days (p=0.025) and at 3 days (p=0.002). The hazard rate associated with the weekend was 1.13 (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.23). By contrast, the adjusted HR of the weekend interaction with time was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.99 to 1.00).ConclusionsThere is a weekend effect, but it is not constant in time. This could suggest the existence of dysfunctions in the quality of care during the weekend.

Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown in a European Regional Monitoring Network (Spain): Are We Free from Pollution Episodes?

The impact of the lockdown, during the period from March to June in 2020, upon the air quality of the Basque Country in northern Spain is analyzed. The evaluation accounts for the meteorology of the period. Daily and sub-daily analysis of aerosol and ozone records show that the territory was repeatedly affected by episodes of pollutants from outer regions. Three episodes of PM10 and ten of PM2.5 were caused by transported anthropogenic European sulfates, African dust, and wildland fires. The region, with a varied orographic climatology, shows high and diverse industrial activity. Urban and interurban road traffic of the region decreased by 49% and 53%, respectively, whereas industrial activity showed a lower reduction of 20%. Consequently, the average concentrations of NO2 in the cities during the period fell to 12.4 µg·m−3 (−45%). Ozone showed up to five exceedances of the WHOAQG for the daily maximum 8-h average in both rural and urban sites, associated with transport through France and the Bay of Biscay, under periods of European blocking anticyclones. However, averages showed a moderate decrease (−11%) in rural environments, in line with the precursor reductions, and disparate changes in the cities, which reproduced the weekend effect of their historical records. The PM10 decreased less than expected (−10% and −21%, in the urban and rural environments, respectively), probably caused by the modest decrease of industrial activity around urban sites and favorable meteorology for secondary aerosol formation, which could also influence the lower changes observed in the PM2.5 (−1% and +3% at the urban and rural sites, respectively). Consequently, in a future low NOx traffic emission scenario, the inter-regional PM and ozone control will require actions across various sectors, including the industry and common pollution control strategies.