scholarly journals IMPLEMENTASI METODE SVM UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI HASIL PANEN TANAMAN PADI

JOUTICA ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 434
Author(s):  
Agus Setia Budi ◽  
Purnomo Hadi Susilo
Keyword(s):  

Sektor pertanian yang terdapat di Indonesia sangatlah tergantung pada sumber air dari irigasi waduk dan hujan. Beberapa keadaan tanah pertanian di Indonesia sebagian besar merupakan sawah dan tambak tadah hujan. Tanaman yang ada di Indonesia dapat berkembang dengan baik yaity dengan mengandalkan air dari hujan dan irigasi. Hal inilah yang menjadikan kondisi cuaca sangat berpengaruh terhadap banyak sedikitnya jumlah panen tanaman padi para petani. Kondisi keadaan cuaca yang sering berubah-ubah secara tidak menentu sering membuat para petani mengalami kegagalan panen tanaman padi. Panen tanaman padi di Indonesia megalami penurunan sebesar 7,76% pada tahun 2019 dibandingkan dengan hasil panen tanaman padi pada tahun 2018 (Badan Pusat Statistik). Cara yang dapat dilakukan agar dapat mengurangi penurunan hasil panen tanaman padi yaitu salah satunya dengan menerapkan metode SVM untuk memprediksi hasil panen padi. Data penelitian yang dilakukan diambil dari situs resmi pertanian melalui web (https://www.pertanian.go.id/home/?show=page&act=view&id=61). Variabel yang digunakan meliputi 1) propinsi; 2) tahun; 3) luas lahan; dan 4) produksi. Data yang digunakan sebanyak 170, dengan jumlah 130 sebagai data training dan 40 sebagai data testing. Data-data tersebut kemudian diolah dan dilakukan normalisasi, selanjutnya dilakukan training dan diprediksi menggunakan metode SVM. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan data MAPE sebesar 6635,53% dan RMSE 1094810,74 menggunakan data asli tanpa normalisasi, dan MAPE sebesar 9427,71% dan RMSE 0,017 saat data telah dinormalisasi.

Author(s):  
Heather Churchill ◽  
Jeremy M. Ridenour

Abstract. Assessing change during long-term psychotherapy can be a challenging and uncertain task. Psychological assessments can be a valuable tool and can offer a perspective from outside the therapy dyad, independent of the powerful and distorting influences of transference and countertransference. Subtle structural changes that may not yet have manifested behaviorally can also be assessed. However, it can be difficult to find a balance between a rigorous, systematic approach to data, while also allowing for the richness of the patient’s internal world to emerge. In this article, the authors discuss a primarily qualitative approach to the data and demonstrate the ways in which this kind of approach can deepen the understanding of the more subtle or complex changes a particular patient is undergoing while in treatment, as well as provide more detail about the nature of an individual’s internal world. The authors also outline several developmental frameworks that focus on the ways a patient constructs their reality and can guide the interpretation of qualitative data. The authors then analyze testing data from a patient in long-term psychoanalytically oriented psychotherapy in order to demonstrate an approach to data analysis and to show an example of how change can unfold over long-term treatments.


Author(s):  
Kyungkoo Jun

Background & Objective: This paper proposes a Fourier transform inspired method to classify human activities from time series sensor data. Methods: Our method begins by decomposing 1D input signal into 2D patterns, which is motivated by the Fourier conversion. The decomposition is helped by Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) which captures the temporal dependency from the signal and then produces encoded sequences. The sequences, once arranged into the 2D array, can represent the fingerprints of the signals. The benefit of such transformation is that we can exploit the recent advances of the deep learning models for the image classification such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). Results: The proposed model, as a result, is the combination of LSTM and CNN. We evaluate the model over two data sets. For the first data set, which is more standardized than the other, our model outperforms previous works or at least equal. In the case of the second data set, we devise the schemes to generate training and testing data by changing the parameters of the window size, the sliding size, and the labeling scheme. Conclusion: The evaluation results show that the accuracy is over 95% for some cases. We also analyze the effect of the parameters on the performance.


Author(s):  
Jianfeng Jiang

Objective: In order to diagnose the analog circuit fault correctly, an analog circuit fault diagnosis approach on basis of wavelet-based fractal analysis and multiple kernel support vector machine (MKSVM) is presented in the paper. Methods: Time responses of the circuit under different faults are measured, and then wavelet-based fractal analysis is used to process the collected time responses for the purpose of generating features for the signals. Kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) is applied to reduce the features’ dimensionality. Afterwards, features are divided into training data and testing data. MKSVM with its multiple parameters optimized by chaos particle swarm optimization (CPSO) algorithm is utilized to construct an analog circuit fault diagnosis model based on the testing data. Results: The proposed analog diagnosis approach is revealed by a four opamp biquad high-pass filter fault diagnosis simulation. Conclusion: The approach outperforms other commonly used methods in the comparisons.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shu-Chun Kuo ◽  
CHIEN WEI ◽  
Willy Chou

UNSTRUCTURED The recent article published on December 23 27 in 2020 is well-written and of interest, but remains several questions that are required for clarifications, including (1) 30 feature variables with normalized format(mean=0 and SD=1) required to compare model accuracy with those with the raw-data format; (2)inconsistency in variable numbers between entry and preview panels in Figure 4 and reference typos; and (3) data-entry format with raw blood laboratory results in Figure 4 inconsistent with the model designed using normalized data to estimate parameters. We conducted a study using the training and testing data provided by the previous study. An artificial neural network(ANN) model was performed to estimate parameters and compare the model accuracy with those eight models provided by the previous study. We found that (1) normalized data yield higher accuracy than that with the raw data; (2) typos definitely exist at the bottom review (=32>30 variables in the entry) panels in Figure 4 and typos in Table 6; and (3)the ANN earns a probability of survival(=0.91) higher than that(=0.71) in the previous study using the similar entry data when the raw data are assumed in the app. We also demonstrated an author-made app using the visualization to display the prediction result, which is novel and innovative to make the result improved with a dashboard in comparison with the previous study.


Polymers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1393
Author(s):  
Xiaochang Duan ◽  
Hongwei Yuan ◽  
Wei Tang ◽  
Jingjing He ◽  
Xuefei Guan

This study develops a general temperature-dependent stress–strain constitutive model for polymer-bonded composite materials, allowing for the prediction of deformation behaviors under tension and compression in the testing temperature range. Laboratory testing of the material specimens in uniaxial tension and compression at multiple temperatures ranging from −40 ∘C to 75 ∘C is performed. The testing data reveal that the stress–strain response can be divided into two general regimes, namely, a short elastic part followed by the plastic part; therefore, the Ramberg–Osgood relationship is proposed to build the stress–strain constitutive model at a single temperature. By correlating the model parameters with the corresponding temperature using a response surface, a general temperature-dependent stress–strain constitutive model is established. The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed model are validated using several independent sets of testing data and third-party data. The performance of the proposed model is compared with an existing reference model. The validation and comparison results show that the proposed model has a lower number of parameters and yields smaller relative errors. The proposed constitutive model is further implemented as a user material routine in a finite element package. A simple structural example using the developed user material is presented and its accuracy is verified.


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