Bidirectional Associations Between Inflammatory Biomarkers and Depressive Symptoms in Adolescents: Potential Causal Relationships
There are inconsistent findings in the literature about the directionality and magnitude of the association between inflammation and depressive symptoms. This study separates predictors into between-person and within-person components in an attempt to gain greater clarity about this relationship. Blood samples were collected and depressive symptoms assessed in 140 adolescents (54% female, 59% Black, Mage = 16.1 years) with at least three blood draws and a total of 394 follow-up evaluations. Multi-level modeling indicated that the within-person effect of TNF-α predicted future total depressive symptoms, suggesting a potential causal relationship. Additionally, there were bidirectional, between-person effects of IL-6 on total depressive symptoms and vice-versa. Exploratory analyses examined the associations between five biomarkers and five subsets of depressive symptoms. These findings inform modeling decisions that may explain inconsistences in the extant literature as well as suggest potential causal relationships between certain biomarkers with significant within-person effects on depressive symptoms, and vice-versa.