scholarly journals Konstruksi Model Matematika Pola Curah Hujan Menggunakan Artificial Neural Network (ANN) dengan Metode Backpropagation

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Habibi Ratu Perwira Negara ◽  
Irzani Irzani ◽  
Ripai Ripai

Abstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan model pola curah hujan menggunakan Artificial Neural Network (ANN) dengan metode Backpropagatiaon. Sampel dalam penelitian ini adalah 5 pos pencataan hujan di daerah Lombok Tengah bagian Selatan dan 2 pos pencatatan hujan di  daerah Lombok Timur bagian Selatan. Data penelitian berupa data setengah bulanan yang dicatat dari tahun 1973 sampai tahun 2010 untuk daerah Lombok Tengah bagian Selatan dan data dari tahun 1974 sampai tahun 2010 untuk daerah Lombok Timur bagian Selatan. Metode penilitian dilakukan dengan melakukan pembelajaran data curah hujan menggunakan 5 arsitektur yang berbeda. Pembelajaran dilakukan untuk menemukan arsitektur terbaik. Arsitektur untuk daerah Lombok Tengah bagian Selatan adalah 120 layer inputan, 240 layer hidden 1, 12 layer hidden 2, dan 1 layer output. Sedangkan arsitektur untuk daerah Lombok Timur bagian Selatan adalah 363 layer inputan, 54 layer hidden 1, 24 layer hidden 2, dan 1 layer output. Model matematika pola curah hujan yang diperoleh adalah .Abstract:  This study aims to determine the model of rainfall pattern using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with Backpropagatiaon method. The sample in this research is 5 rainfall checkpoint in South Central Lombok and 2 post recording of rain in South East of Lombok. The research data are semi-monthly data recorded from 1973 to 2010 for the southern part of Central Lombok and data from 1974 to 2010 for the southern part of Lombok Timur. Methods of research conducted by conducting rainfall data learning using 5 different architectures. Learning is done to find the best architecture. The architecture for the Southern Central Lombok area is 120 layers of input, 240 hidden layers 1, 12 hidden layers 2, and 1 output layer. While the architecture for the southern part of East Lombok is 363 layers inputan, 54 hidden layer 1, 24 hidden layer 2, and 1 output layer. The mathematical model of the obtained rainfall pattern is .

Author(s):  
Aseel Shakir I. Hilaiwah ◽  
Hanan Abed Alwally Abed Allah ◽  
Basim Akhudir Abbas ◽  
Tole Sutikno

<span>An extensive review of the artificial neural network (ANN) is presented in this paper. Previous studies review the artificial neural network (ANN) based on the approaches (algorithms) used or based on the types of the artificial neural network (ANN). The presented paper reviews the ANN based on the goal of the ANN (methods, and layers), which become the main objective of this paper. As a famous artificial intelligent model, ANN mimics the human nervous system in handling the information transmited by different nodes (also known as neurons) in this model. These nodes are stacked in layers and work collectively to bring about solution to complex problems. Numerous structures exist for ANN and each of these structures is designed to addressa a specific task. Basically, the ANN architecture is comprised of 3 different layers wherein the first layer rpresents the input layer that consist of several input nodes that represent the input parameterfor the model. The hidden layer is te second layer and consists of a hidden layer of neurons. The neurons in this layer are directly connected to the neurons in the output layer. The third layer is the output layer which is the models’ response layer. The output layer neurons have the activation functions for the calculation of the ANN final output. The connection between the nodes in the ANN model is mediated by synaptic weights. This paper is a comprehensive study of ANN models and their layers.</span>


Author(s):  
Syukri Syukri ◽  
Samsuddin Samsuddin

<span lang="EN-US">Angin memiliki peran yang penting dalam kehidupan manusia, antara lain pada pembangkit listrik, pelayaran dan penerbangan. Ketiga sektor tersebut erat kaitannya dengan  kondisi angin. Angin dapat muncul setiap saat dan setiap waktu serta perubahan geografis pada suatu wilayah. Hal ini mengakibatkan sulitnya menentukan kecepatan angin, maka untuk mengatasi masalah tersebut diperlukan prediksi kecepatan angin. Saat ini berbagai metode prediksi telah banyak dikembangkan, salah satu metode yang dapat digunakan untuk melakukan prediksi dengan akurasi yang tinggi yaitu algoritma <em>Artificial Neural Network</em> (ANN) <em>Backpropagation</em>. Arsitektur ANN yang digunakan adalah  4 parameter <em>input layer</em>, <em>hidden layer</em> (5, 10, 15, 20, 25 dan 30) dan <em>output layer</em> (1 parameter). Data pembelajaran dan pengujian didapatkan dari stasiun BMKG Blang Bintang Aceh Besar, berupa data kecepatan angin jam per harian periode Januari 2011 sampai dengan Desember 2015 yang terdiri dari arah angin, suhu, tekanan, kelembaban dan suhu. Hasil pengujian menunjukkan bahwa metode ANN <em>Backpropagation </em>cukup baik diterapkan untuk proses prediksi, kemampuan ANN dalam melakukan prediksi memiliki tingkat akurasi rata – rata yang lebih baik yaitu 96 %. Sedangkan nilai rata – rata kerapatan daya angin jam per harian yaitu </span><span lang="EN-US">45.030 W/m<sup>2</sup></span>


2018 ◽  
Vol 204 ◽  
pp. 02018
Author(s):  
Aisyah Larasati ◽  
Anik Dwiastutik ◽  
Darin Ramadhanti ◽  
Aal Mahardika

This study aims to explore the effect of kurtosis level of the data in the output layer on the accuracy of artificial neural network predictive models. The artificial neural network predictive models are comprised of one node in the output layer and six nodes in the input layer. The number of hidden layer is automatically built by the program. Data are generated using simulation approach. The results show that the kurtosis level of the node in the output layer is significantly affect the accuracy of the artificial neural network predictive model. Platycurtic and leptocurtic data has significantly higher misclassification rates than mesocurtic data. However, the misclassification rates between platycurtic and leptocurtic is not significantly different. Thus, data distribution with kurtosis nearly to zero results in a better ANN predictive model.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
DEVIN NIELSEN ◽  
TYLER LOTT ◽  
SOM DUTTA ◽  
JUHYEONG LEE

In this study, three artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed with back propagation (BP) optimization algorithms to predict various lightning damage modes in carbon/epoxy laminates. The proposed ANN models use three input variables associated with lightning waveform parameters (i.e., the peak current amplitude, rising time, and decaying time) to predict fiber damage, matrix damage, and through-thickness damage in the composites. The data used for training and testing the networks was actual lightning damage data collected from peer-reviewed published literature. Various BP training algorithms and network architecture configurations (i.e., data splitting, the number of neurons in a hidden layer, and the number of hidden layers) have been tested to improve the performance of the neural networks. Among the various BP algorithms considered, the Bayesian regularization back propagation (BRBP) showed the overall best performance in lightning damage prediction. When using the BRBP algorithm, as expected, the greater the fraction of the collected data that is allocated to the training dataset, the better the network is trained. In addition, the optimal ANN architecture was found to have a single hidden layer with 20 neurons. The ANN models proposed in this work may prove useful in preliminary assessments of lightning damage and reduce the number of expensive experimental lightning tests.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 35-43
Author(s):  
Pratibha Verma ◽  
Vineet Kumar Awasthi ◽  
Sanat Kumar Sahu

Coronary artery disease (CAD) has been the leading cause of death worldwide over the past 10 years. Researchers have been using several data mining techniques to help healthcare professionals diagnose heart disease. The neural network (NN) can provide an excellent solution to identify and classify different diseases. The artificial neural network (ANN) methods play an essential role in recognizes diseases in the CAD. The authors proposed multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) among one hidden layer neuron (MLP) and four hidden layers neurons (P-MLP)-based highly accurate artificial neural network (ANN) method for the classification of the CAD dataset. Therefore, the ten-fold cross-validation (T-FCV) method, P-MLP algorithms, and base classifiers of MLP were employed. The P-MLP algorithm yielded very high accuracy (86.47% in CAD-56 and 98.35% in CAD-59 datasets) and F1-Score (90.36% in CAD-56 and 98.83% in CAD-59 datasets) rates, which have not been reported simultaneously in the MLP.


Author(s):  
Tamer Emara

The IEEE 802.16 system offers power-saving class type II as a power-saving algorithm for real-time services such as voice over internet protocol (VoIP) service. However, it doesn't take into account the silent periods of VoIP conversation. This chapter proposes a power conservation algorithm based on artificial neural network (ANN-VPSM) that can be applied to VoIP service over WiMAX systems. Artificial intelligent model using feed forward neural network with a single hidden layer has been developed to predict the mutual silent period that used to determine the sleep period for power saving class mode in IEEE 802.16. From the implication of the findings, ANN-VPSM reduces the power consumption during VoIP calls with respect to the quality of services (QoS). Experimental results depict the significant advantages of ANN-VPSM in terms of power saving and quality-of-service (QoS). It shows the power consumed in the mobile station can be reduced up to 3.7% with respect to VoIP quality.


2004 ◽  
Vol 67 (8) ◽  
pp. 1604-1609 ◽  
Author(s):  
UBONRATANA SIRIPATRAWAN ◽  
JOHN E. LINZ ◽  
BRUCE R. HARTE

An electronic sensor array with 12 nonspecific metal oxide sensors was evaluated for its ability to monitor volatile compounds in super broth alone and in super broth inoculated with Escherichia coli (ATCC 25922) at 37°C for 2 to 12 h. Using discriminant function analysis, it was possible to differentiate super broth alone from that containing E. coli when cell numbers were 105 CFU or more. There was a good agreement between the volatile profiles from the electronic sensor array and a gas chromatography–mass spectrometer method. The potential to predict the number of E. coli and the concentration of specific metabolic compounds was investigated using an artificial neural network (ANN). The artificial neural network was composed of an input layer, one hidden layer, and an output layer, with a hyperbolic tangent sigmoidal transfer function in the hidden layer and a linear transfer function in the output layer. Good prediction was found as measured by a regression coefficient (R2 = 0.999) between actual and predicted data.


2013 ◽  
Vol 69 (4) ◽  
pp. 768-774 ◽  
Author(s):  
André L. N. Mota ◽  
Osvaldo Chiavone-Filho ◽  
Syllos S. da Silva ◽  
Edson L. Foletto ◽  
José E. F. Moraes ◽  
...  

An artificial neural network (ANN) was implemented for modeling phenol mineralization in aqueous solution using the photo-Fenton process. The experiments were conducted in a photochemical multi-lamp reactor equipped with twelve fluorescent black light lamps (40 W each) irradiating UV light. A three-layer neural network was optimized in order to model the behavior of the process. The concentrations of ferrous ions and hydrogen peroxide, and the reaction time were introduced as inputs of the network and the efficiency of phenol mineralization was expressed in terms of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) as an output. Both concentrations of Fe2+ and H2O2 were shown to be significant parameters on the phenol mineralization process. The ANN model provided the best result through the application of six neurons in the hidden layer, resulting in a high determination coefficient. The ANN model was shown to be efficient in the simulation of phenol mineralization through the photo-Fenton process using a multi-lamp reactor.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Aulia Yudha Prathama

Decision-making in construction design has an important role. The need for estimation tools of planning and project management aspects needs to develop. This paper discussed the benefits of artificial neural network methodology to overcome the problem of estimated the needs of the volume of wall paired, ceiling worked pairing, and ceramic floor pairing for architectural work at the designed stage of the building. The average architecture cost of state building is 29%-51% of total construction value. Data from 15 projects was used for being trained and tested by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods with 5 design input variables. The ANN helped to estimate the value of volume requirement on the architectural working of Pratama Hospital building project in remote areas of Indonesia. Those input variables include building area, average column span distance, the height of the building, the shape of the building, and a number of inpatient rooms. From ANN simulation, the best empirical equation of P2V5 modeling was used to predict the need of hospital architecture work volume at conceptual stage with best ANN structure 5-9-3 (5 input variables, 1 hidden layer with 9 neurons and 3 output) with result of estimation accuracy a maximum of 96.40% was reached.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Hemmat Esfe ◽  
S. Ali Eftekhari ◽  
Maboud Hekmatifar ◽  
Davood Toghraie

AbstractIn this study, the influence of different volume fractions ($$\phi$$ ϕ ) of nanoparticles and temperatures on the dynamic viscosity ($$\mu_{nf}$$ μ nf ) of MWCNT–Al2O3 (30–70%)/oil SAE40 hybrid nanofluid was examined by ANN. For this reason, the $$\mu_{nf}$$ μ nf was derived for 203 various experiments through a series of experimental tests, including a combination of 7 different $$\phi$$ ϕ , 6 various temperatures, and 5 shear rates. These data were then used to train an artificial neural network (ANN) to generalize results in the predefined ranges for two input parameters. For this reason, a feed-forward perceptron ANN with two inputs (T and $$\phi$$ ϕ ) and one output ($$\mu_{nf}$$ μ nf ) was used. The best topology of the ANN was determined by trial and error, and a two-layer with 10 neurons in the hidden layer with the tansig function had the best performance. A well-trained ANN is created using the trainbr algorithm and showed an MSE value of 4.3e−3 along 0.999 as a correlation coefficient for predicting $$\mu_{nf}$$ μ nf . The results show that an increase $$\phi$$ ϕ has a significant effect on $$\mu_{nf}$$ μ nf value. As $$\phi$$ ϕ increases, the viscosity of this nanofluid increases at all temperatures. On the other hand, with increasing temperature, the viscosity of this nanofluid decreases. Based on all of the diagrams presented for the trained ANNs, we can conclude that a well-trained ANN can be used as an approximating function for predicting the $$\mu_{nf}$$ μ nf .


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