Prediksi Tingkat Kelulusan Tepat Waktu Mahasiswa Menggunakan Algoritma Naïve Bayes pada Universitas XYZ

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 104-107
Author(s):  
Nurhayati . ◽  
Nuraeny Septianti ◽  
Nani Retnowati ◽  
Arief Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Information Technology ◽  
Data Processing ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
Processing Data ◽  
Student Graduation ◽  
Phase Data ◽  
Bayes Algorithm

Data processing is imperative for the development of information technology. Almost any field of work has information about data. The data is made use of the analysis of the job. Nowadays, information data is imperatively processed to help workers in making decisions. This study discusses student prediction graduation rates by using the naïve Bayes method. That aims at providing information to college if they can use it properly to utilize the data of students who graduated by processing data mining. Based on the data mining process, steps founded that used producing information, namely predicting student graduation on time. The method of this study is Naïve Bayes with classification techniques. At this study, researchers used a six-phase data mining process of industry crossing standards in data mining known as CRISP-DM. The results of research concluded that the application of the Naive Bayes algorithm uses 4 (four) parameters namely ips, ipk, the number of credits, and graduation by getting an accuracy value of 80.95%.

scholarly journals Optimasi Model Prediksi Kelulusan Mahasiswa Menggunakan Algoritma Naive Bayes

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Hartatik Hartatik
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Program Planning ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
Student Graduation ◽  
Bayes Algorithm ◽  
Naive Bayes Method

<p>Abstrak :</p><p>Prediksi tentang status kelulusan mahasiswa menjadi persoalan tersendiri di perguruan tinggi. Perguruan tinggi utamanya di era Big Data sangatlah penting untuk melakukan prediksi perilaku akademik mahasiswa aktif sehingga dapat di ketahui kemungkinan mahasiswa bisa studi secara tepat waktu serta dapat diketahui langkah preventive dalam membuat prpgram perencanaan. Salah satu cara yang digunakan adalah teknik data mining yaitu menggunakan Algoritma <em>naive bayes</em>. Algoritma <em>Naive bayes</em> merupakan salah satu metode yang digunakan untuk memprediksi kelulusan mahasiswa.  Peneliti  dalam hal ini menerapkan  metode  <em>Naive bayes</em> menggunakan parameter Indeks prestasi kumulatif( IPK) dan membandingkan dengan menggunakan prediksi <em>naive bayes methods</em> berdasarkan parameter IPK dan sosial parameter yaitu jenis kelamin dan status tinggal. Dalam penelitian ini menggunakan parameter akademis  dan dilakukan optimasi menggunakan parameter sosial yang melekat pada mahasiswa. Berdasarkan hasil evaluasi untuk mendapatkan akurasi, hasil dari penelitian ini mendapatkan nilai akurasi untuk metode <em>Naive bayes</em>  sebesar 75% dan akurasi untuk model prediksi dengan parameter sosial  sebesar 85% dengan selisih akurasi 10%.</p><p>__________________________</p><p>Abstract : </p><p><em>Predictions about a student's graduation status are a problem in college. Major tertiary institutions in the era of Big Data are very important to predict the behavior of active students so that they can find out the possibility of students in a timely manner and can determine preventive steps in making program planning. One method used is data mining techniques using the Naive bayes Algorithm. The Naive bayes algorithm is one of the methods used to predict student graduation. Researchers in this case applied the Naive bayes method using the cumulative achievement index (GPA) parameter and compared using the prediction of the Naive bayes method based on the GPA parameters and social parameters, namely gender and status. This study uses academic parameters and is carried out optimally using social parameters inherent in students. Based on the results of the evaluation to get an accuracy value, the results of this study get an accurate value for the Naive bayes method of 75% and accurate for prediction models with social parameters of 85% with a difference of 10%.</em></p>

scholarly journals OPTIMASI DATA MINING MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA NAÏVE BAYES DAN C4.5 UNTUK KLASIFIKASI KELULUSAN MAHASISWA

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ni Luh Ratniasih
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Method Comparison ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
C4.5 Algorithm ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Student Graduation ◽  
Small Capacity ◽  
Information Values

ABSTRACT<br />Presentation of data to produce information values is often displayed in the form of tabulations. If the data displayed has a small capacity, it may not be difficult to process the information. But if the data presented has a very large capacity, it is feared there are obstacles to absorbing information accurately and quickly. This is because that it takes a long time to read the data displayed in detail until the end of the data. The data to be discussed in this study are data of STMIK STIKOM Bali students. Historical data displayed will be converted into a decision tree. Thus the absorption of information will become easier. This research implements data mining disciplines using the naïve bayes method comparison with C4.5 algorithm which is a method for performing classification techniques and applied with Rapid Miner tools.<br />Keywords : C4.5, KNN, Student Graduation<br />ABSTRAK<br />Penyajian data untuk menghasilkan nilai informasi sering kali ditampilkan dalam bentuk tabulasi. Apabila data yang ditampilkan memiliki kapasitas kecil, mungkin tidak terlalu sulit untuk mencerna kandungan informasi tersebut. Tetapi apabila data yang disajikan memiliki kapasitas yang sangat besar, dikawatirkan adanya kendala untuk menyerap informasi secara tepat dan cepat. Hal ini dikarenakan bahwa dibutuhkan waktu yang cukup lama untuk membaca data yang ditampilkan secara rinci hingga akhir data. Data yang akan dibahas dalam penelitian ini adalah data mahasiswa STMIK STIKOM Bali. Data historis yang ditampilkan akan dikonversi menjadi bentuk pohon keputusan. Dengan demikian penyerapan informasi akan menjadi lebih mudah. Penelitian ini mengimplemen-tasikan disiplin ilmu data mining menggunakan komparasi metode naïve bayes dengan algoritma C4.5 yang merupakan sebuah metode untuk melakukan teknik klasifikasi serta diaplikasikan dengan tools Rapid Miner.<br />Kata kunci : C4.5, KNN, Kelulusan Mahasiswa

scholarly journals APPLICATION OF PREDICTION TIME OF GRADUATION USING THE NAÏVE BAYES ALGORITHM WITH THE PYTHON PROGRAM

2021 ◽  
pp. 38-43
Author(s):  
Priskila Christine Rahayu ◽  
Eric Jobiliong ◽  
Antonny Antonny
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Quality Standard ◽  
Study Data ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Application Development ◽  
Study Program ◽  
Prediction Time ◽  
Student Graduation ◽  
Bayes Algorithm

Accreditation is a process to ensure the quality of a university and study program. There are several factors that determine the quality standard of accreditation. One of them is the time of graduation. However, there is no means that can be used to predict early student graduation time. Therefore, this study aims to create a means that can predict early graduation time. In this study, data mining methods were used, namely the Naïve Bayes algorithm. After that, data processing and application development will be carried out using the Python program. The data used in the data mining process is three years of historical data and the data used for the trial are active student data for the second and third years. There are 5 types of patterns with an accuracy value of 81%, 87%, 92%, 92%, and 95%.

scholarly journals Analisis Metode K-Nearest Neighbors (K-NN) Dan Naive Bayes Dalam Memprediksi Kelulusan Mahasiswa

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 107-113
Author(s):  
Kartarina Kartarina ◽  
Ni Ketut Sriwinarti ◽  
Ni luh Putu Juniarti
Keyword(s):  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Entry And Exit ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
K Nearest Neighbors ◽  
Bayes Methods ◽  
Accuracy Test ◽  
Student Graduation ◽  
Selection Of

In this research the author aims to apply the K-NN and Naive Bayes algorithms for predicting student graduation rates at Sekolah Tinggi Pariwisata (STP) Mataram, The comparison of these two methods was carried out because based on several previous studies it was found that K-NN and Naive Bayes are well-known classification methods with a good level of accuracy. But which one has a better accuracy rate than the two algorithms, that's what researchers are trying to do. The output of this application is in the form of information on the prediction of student graduation, whether to graduate on time or not on time. The selection of STP as the research location was carried out because of the imbalance between the entry and exit of students who had completed their studies. Students who enter have a large number, but students who graduate on time according to the provisions are far very small, resulting in accumulation of the high number of students in each period of graduation, so it takes the initial predictions to quickly overcome these problems. Based on the results of designing, implementing, testing, and testing the Student Graduation Prediction Application program using the K-NN and Naive Bayes Methods with the Cross Validation method, the result is an accuracy for the K-NN method of 96.18% and for the Naive Bayes method an accuracy of 91.94% with using the RapideMiner accuracy test. So based on the results of the two tests between the K-NN and Naive Bayes methods which produce the highest accuracy, namely the K-NN method with an accuracy of 96.18%. So it can be concluded that the K-NN method is more feasible to use to predict student graduation

scholarly journals Decision Support Systems to Selection of Diet Type Using Fuzzy Sugeno and Naïve Bayes Method

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (02) ◽  
pp. 115
Author(s):  
Youllia Indrawaty Nurhasanah ◽  
Asep Nana Hermana ◽  
Mahesa Arga Hutama
Keyword(s):  
Decision Support ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Linear Equations ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Ve Bayes ◽  
Caloric Requirement ◽  
Bayes Algorithm

Sugeno Fuzzy algorithm is one of the algorithms contained on Fuzzy Inference System, that used to describe the condition between the two pieces of the decisions represented in the form of rules IF - THEN, where the output is constant or linear equations. While the Naive Bayes algorithm is an algorithm that uses data classification to a particular class based on the probability of each data class. Both of these algorithms can be implemented on a Decision Support System (DSS) for diet selection, using Fuzzy Sugeno as an additional determinant of energy and Naive Bayes method as decision maker. This is because the need for food intake and diet has become a problem for humans. To prevent excess intake of food it needs dietary adjustments or so-called diet. But in daily life, people sometimes hard to determine the type of diet that is suitable for them. So we need a system that can determine the type of diet that is suitable for a person. The data that used as a reference for decision support are age, daily caloric requirement, Body Mass Index (BMI), blood pressure, cholesterol, uric acid and blood sugar levels. Results of system testing showed from a sample of 30 data there are 26 appropriate data and 4 inappropriate data to determine the type of diet by the system with the success rate of 86.7%.

scholarly journals Application Of Naïve Bayes to Predict the Potential of Rain in Ternate City

2021 ◽  
Vol 328 ◽  
pp. 04011
Author(s):  
Alwin Ali ◽  
Amal Khairan ◽  
Firman Tempola ◽  
Achmad Fuad
Keyword(s):  
Test Data ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
Calculation Results ◽  
Bayes Algorithm ◽  
Correct Data ◽  
Rain Data ◽  
Naive Bayes Method

The amount of rainfall that occurs cannot be determined with certainty, but it can be predicted or estimated. In predicting the potential for rain, data mining techniques can be used by classifying data using the naive Bayes method. Naïve Bayes algorithm is a classification method using probability and statistical methods. The purpose of this study is how to implement the naive Bayes method to predict the potential for rain in Ternate City, and be able to calculate the accuracy of the Naive Bayes method from system created. The highest calculation results with new data with a total of 400 training data and 30 test data, obtained 30 correct data with 100% precision, 100% recall and 100% accuracy and the lowest calculation results with new data with a total of 500 training data and 50 test data, obtained 38 correct data and 12 incorrect data with a percentage of precision 61.29%, recall 100% and accuracy 76%.

scholarly journals Application of Data Mining to Predict Procurement of Office Writing in Al-Ikhwan Middle School using Naïve Bayes Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Aida Sopia ◽  
Muhammad Syahrizal
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Middle School ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Educational Institutions ◽  
Bayes Method ◽  
Expiry Date ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Naive Bayes Method ◽  
Analyze Data

Office stationery (ATK) is now a necessity for almost everyone, especially for corporate instances or educational institutions. The need for office stationery is often an unexpected need to buy, this is what makes some educational institutions overwhelmed in doing their work, when they find out their office stationery is out of stock, so it is not uncommon to make work in company or institutional instances education is not completed on time, one of the ways to be more efficient is by implementing data mining to predict the purchase of office stationery (ATK) at the company or educational institution's intents, especially at the AL IKHWAN Middle School in Tanjung Morawa. The Naive Bayes method is used to analyze data in pattern recognition and predict purchase of office stationery (ATK) at AL IKHWAN Middle School in Tanjung Morawa. The data needed is the data for the purchase of office stationery (ATK) last month as test data, calculated from the date of the first purchase until the expiry date of office stationery (ATK) at AL IKHWAN Middle School in Tanjung Morawa. The results of this study are to be able to predict whether the office stationery (ATK) at AL IKHWAN Middle School in Tanjung Morawa can be bought back, or it can still be used for a long time, and if more than four types of stationery at the AL IKHWAN Middle School in Tanjung Morawa the lack of writing instruments from the two then the purchase of new stationery is feasible to do, from the amount of data occurring out of stationery

scholarly journals Implementasi Data Mining Untuk Memprediksi Penyakit Jantung Mengunakan Metode Naive Bayes

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (01) ◽  
pp. 25-34
Author(s):  
Ade Riani ◽  
Yessy Susianto ◽  
Nur Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Heart Rate ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Chest Pain ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Mining Method ◽  
The World ◽  
Bayes Algorithm ◽  
Exercise Induced

Heart disease is a disease with a high mortality rate in the world of health. The disease is usually rarely realized the cause. However, there are several parameters that can be used to predict whether a person has a risk of heart disease or not. As for this study, researchers will use several indicators including Age, Sex, Chest pain type, Trestbps, Cholesterol, Fasting blood sugar, Resting ECG, Max heart rate, Exercise-induced angina, Oldpeak, Slope, Number of vessels coloured, and Thal This research will perform calculations using the Data Mining method with the Naive Bayes Algorithm. The results of this study get an accuracy of 86% for the 303 datasets tested. 

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