Economic benefit of shale gas exploitation based on back propagation neural network

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 8823-8830
Author(s):  
Jiafeng Li ◽  
Hui Hu ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Qian Jin ◽  
Tianhao Huang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Shale Gas ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Linear Prediction ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Gas Well ◽  
Well Production

Under the influence of COVID-19, the economic benefits of shale gas development are greatly affected. With the large-scale development and utilization of shale gas in China, it is increasingly important to assess the economic impact of shale gas development. Therefore, this paper proposes a method for predicting the production of shale gas reservoirs, and uses back propagation (BP) neural network to nonlinearly fit reservoir reconstruction data to obtain shale gas well production forecasting models. Experiments show that compared with the traditional BP neural network, the proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy and stability of the prediction. There is a nonlinear correlation between reservoir reconstruction data and gas well production, which does not apply to traditional linear prediction methods

Weight Loss Prediction Model for Pig Carcass Based on a Genetic Algorithm Back- Propagation Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 63 (4) ◽  
pp. 1071-1077
Author(s):  
Chenyang Sun ◽  
Lusheng Chen ◽  
Yinian Li ◽  
Hao Yao ◽  
Nan Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Weight Loss ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Spraying Parameters ◽  
Pig Carcasses

HighlightsWe propose five spraying parameters according to the characteristics of pig carcasses in the spray-chilling process.A prediction model for pig carcass weight loss, based on a genetic algorithm back-propagation neural network, is proposed to reveal the relationship between weight loss and spraying parameters.To study the effects of various spraying parameters on weight loss, an automatic spray-chilling device was designed, which can modify up to five spraying parameters.Abstract. Because the weight loss of a pig carcass in the spray-chilling process is easily affected by the spraying frequency and duration, a prediction model for weight loss based on a genetic algorithm (GA) back-propagation (BP) neural network is proposed in this article. With three-way crossbred pig carcasses selected as the test materials, the duration and time interval of high-frequency spraying, the duration and time interval of low-frequency spraying, and the duration of a single spray were selected as inputs to the network model. The weight and threshold of the network were then optimized by the GA. The prediction model for pig carcass weight loss established by the GA BP neural network yielded a correlation coefficient of R = 0.99747 between the network output value of the test samples and the target value. Weight loss prediction by the model is feasible and allows better expression of the nonlinear relationship between weight loss and the main controlling factors. The results can be a reference for chilled meat production. Keywords: BP neural network, Genetic algorithm, Pig carcass, Predictive model, Weight loss

scholarly journals Research on Virtual Machine Response Time Prediction Method Based on GA-BP Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Guo ◽  
Shu Liu ◽  
Bin Zhang ◽  
Yongming Yan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Response Time ◽  
Virtual Machine ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Virtual Machines ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Critical Issue ◽  
Machine Component

Cloud application provides access to large pool of virtual machines for building high-quality applications to satisfy customers’ requirements. A difficult issue is how to predict virtual machine response time because it determines when we could adjust dynamic scalable virtual machines. To address the critical issue, this paper proposes a prediction virtual machine response time method which is based on genetic algorithm-back propagation (GA-BP) neural network. First of all, we predict component response time by the past virtual machine component usage experience data: the number of concurrent requests and response time. Then, we could predict virtual machines service response time. The results of large-scale experiments show the effectiveness and feasibility of our method.

Selection and Prediction of Earthquake Casualties Related Factors Based on BP Neural Network Analysis

2014 ◽  
Vol 543-547 ◽  
pp. 2084-2088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Run Biao Bao ◽  
Man Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Related Factors ◽  
Value Model ◽  
Correlation Factors ◽  
Relevant Factors ◽  
Earthquake Casualties

To reduce the prediction error rate of earthquake casualties, the paper proposed a prediction model with two steps: (1) screening of the earthquake casualties correlation factors; (2) improving the predictive veracity of general BP(Back Propagation) neural network model.By the analysis of 9 kinds of correlation factors, the paper established the MIV(Mean Impact Value) model based on BP neural network to screen the final correlation factors, and the paper got 6 main correlation factors according to the size of output weights of the factors. Finally, the paper verified the accuracy and practicability of the model through the validation of the model and the solving of prediction error of relevant factors hasn't been selected.

Research and Realization of Hardware Back-Propagation Neural Network Based on FPGA

2013 ◽  
Vol 333-335 ◽  
pp. 2469-2474
Author(s):  
Fei Guo ◽  
Xiao Luo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Variable Structure ◽  
Maximum Error ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Modeling ◽  
Network Algorithm ◽  
Neural Network Algorithm ◽  
Timing Simulation

In order to meet the requirements of real-time and embedded of industrial field, a reconfigurable Back-Propagation neural network based on FPGA has been implemented on Xilinx's Spartan-3E (XC3S250E) chip which has 250000 gate. First the optimal network structure and weights were gotten by a variable structure of BP neural network algorithm. Then an improved hardware approaching method of excitation function was put forward, and the maximum error was 1.58% by simulation and comparative analysis on the error. Finally hardware co-imitation and timing simulation was token based on a reasonable choice of data accuracy, and then the hardware BP neural network algorithm was been downloaded and implemented on FPGA. This method has better accuracy and speed, it is an effective method of BP neural network modeling based on hardware, and lays the foundation for the hardware realization of other neural network and embedded image processing.

Prediction of Shear Strength for Subgrade Soil under Freezing-Thawing Based on Back Propagation Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 926-930 ◽  
pp. 610-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Long Chen ◽  
Pei Feng Cheng ◽  
Chuan Jun Yin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Shear Strength ◽  
Transfer Function ◽  
Sandy Soil ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Friction Angle ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Linear Transfer Function ◽  
Propagation Network

Soil samples are taken from two experimental roads in Heilongjiang province for the test. Then a prediction of shear strength is carried out, basing on a three-layer BP (back propagation) network in Matlab, the hidden layer, output layer and training function of which adopt non-linear transfer function tansig, linear transfer function purelin, and trainbfg function respectively. It is found workable to predict factors influencing shearing strength using BP neural network with given soil properties. Prediction results of cohesion strength for clay show a better performance than those for sandy soil, while results of friction angle for sandy soil are better than those for clay. It is indicated that BP neural network does a better work in predicting the friction angle than that of cohesion.

scholarly journals Hybrid improved empirical mode decomposition and BP neural network model for the prediction of sea surface temperature

Ocean Science ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 349-360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiyuan Wu ◽  
Changbo Jiang ◽  
Mack Conde ◽  
Bin Deng ◽  
Jie Chen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
The North ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Bpnn Model

Abstract. Sea surface temperature (SST) is the major factor that affects the ocean–atmosphere interaction, and in turn the accurate prediction of SST is the key to ocean dynamic prediction. In this paper, an SST-predicting method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) algorithms and back-propagation neural network (BPNN) is proposed. Two different EMD algorithms have been applied extensively for analyzing time-series SST data and some nonlinear stochastic signals. The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) algorithm and complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) algorithm are two improved algorithms of EMD, which can effectively handle the mode-mixing problem and decompose the original data into more stationary signals with different frequencies. Each intrinsic mode function (IMF) has been taken as input data to the back-propagation neural network model. The final predicted SST data are obtained by aggregating the predicted data of individual series of IMFs (IMFi). A case study of the monthly mean SST anomaly (SSTA) in the northeastern region of the North Pacific shows that the proposed hybrid CEEMD-BPNN model is much more accurate than the hybrid EEMD-BPNN model, and the prediction accuracy based on a BP neural network is improved by the CEEMD method. Statistical analysis of the case study demonstrates that applying the proposed hybrid CEEMD-BPNN model is effective for the SST prediction. Highlights include the following: Highlights. An SST-predicting method based on the hybrid EMD algorithms and BP neural network method is proposed in this paper. SST prediction results based on the hybrid EEMD-BPNN and CEEMD-BPNN models are compared and discussed. A case study of SST in the North Pacific shows that the proposed hybrid CEEMD-BPNN model can effectively predict the time-series SST.

Hailstone Classifier Based on Back Propagation Neural Network

2013 ◽  
Vol 433-435 ◽  
pp. 685-690
Author(s):  
Xiang Yang Liu ◽  
Hui Song Wan ◽  
Yuan Yuan Zhang ◽  
Shu Ming Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Image Processing ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Image Feature ◽  
Radar Image ◽  
Data Support ◽  
Color Texture

The Back Propagation (BP) neural network was used for the construction of the hailstone classifier. Firstly, the database of the radar image feature was constructed. Through the image processing, the color, texture, shape and other dimensional features should be extracted and saved as the characteristic database to provide data support for the follow-up work. Secondly, Through the BP neural network, a machine for hail classifications can be built to achieve the hail samples auto-classification.

Prediction Model of Aerosol Fire Extinguishing Agent Performance Based on Combination of Genetic Algorithm and Back-Propagation Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 989-994 ◽  
pp. 2629-2633
Author(s):  
Zhi Jie Chen ◽  
Chen Guang Zhu ◽  
Zi Hao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Fire Extinguishing ◽  
Series Of Experiments ◽  
Pyrotechnic Composition ◽  
Network Weight ◽  
Quality Indexes

The aerosol fire extinguishing agent is a complex pyrotechnic composition, and the extinguishing efficiency need a series of experiments to identify. A method is put forward out based on combining back-propagation neural network and genetic algorithm (BP-GA) in this paper, and then the performance of aerosol fire extinguishing agent can be predicted in advance by the formulation. In the method, back-propagation (BP) algorithm was proposed to map the complex relationship between additive components and quality indexes of formulation. The genetic algorithm was employed to optimize the BP neural network weight and threshold. The results showed that the prediction display a satisfied consistence with the test and the error is less than 5%, and also indicated that the combining BP-GA method was an effective tool to predict the performance of aerosol fire extinguishing agent by the formulation designed.

scholarly journals Modeling FOG Drift Using Back-Propagation Neural Network Optimized by Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Song ◽  
Xiyuan Chen ◽  
Chong Shen ◽  
Hong Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Fiber Optic Gyroscope ◽  
Temperature Drift ◽  
Error Sources ◽  
Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Fish Swarm ◽  
Swarm Algorithm

Based on the temperature drift characteristic of fiber optic gyroscope (FOG), a novel modeling and compensation method which integrated the artificial fish swarm algorithm (AFSA) and back-propagation (BP) neural network is proposed to improve the output accuracy of FOG and the precision of inertial navigation system. In this paper, AFSA is used to optimize the weights and threshold of BP neural network which determine precision of the model directly. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, the predicted results of BP optimized by genetic algorithm (GA) and AFSA are compared and a quantitative evaluation of compensation results is analyzed by Allan variance. The comparison result illustrated the main error sources and the sinusoidal noises in the FOG output signal are reduced by about 50%. Therefore, the proposed modeling method can be used to improve the FOG precision.

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