Optimization of a fuzzy model used for the prevention of floods in homes surrounding zones of risk in the river Magdalena

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 4533-4546
Author(s):  
Jenny Moreno ◽  
Juan Sánchez ◽  
Helbert Espitia
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy System ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Optimization Methods ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Missing Persons ◽  
Main River ◽  
Gradient Based ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Magdalena River ◽  
Adjustment Of Parameters

Floods are a climatic phenomena that affect different regions worldwide and that produces both human and material losses; for example in 2017, six of the worst floods were the cause of 3.273 deaths worldwide. In Colombia, the strong winter wave presented between 2010 and 2011, caused 1,374 deaths and 1,016 missing persons. The main river in Colombia is the Magdalena, which provides great benefits to the country but is also susceptible to flooding. This article presents a proposal to optimize a fuzzy system to prevent flooding in homes adjacent to areas of risk to the Magdalena River. The method used is based on evolutionary algorithms to perform a global search, including a gradient-based algorithm to improve the solution obtained. The best result achieved was the Mean Square Error (MSE) of 7, 83E - 05. As a conclusion, it is needed to employ optimization methods for the adjustment of parameters of the fuzzy system when considering that the sets and the rules are systematically obtained.

The Bordeaux Automatic Meridian Circle

1978 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 227-228
Author(s):  
Y. Requième
Keyword(s):  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Meridian Circle ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Full Automation

In spite of important delays in the initial planning, the full automation of the Bordeaux meridian circle is progressing well and will be ready for regular observations by the middle of the next year. It is expected that the mean square error for one observation will be about ±0.”10 in the two coordinates for declinations up to 87°.

The mean-square generalized delayed decision feedback sequence detector

2003 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 265-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maurizio Magarini ◽  
Arnaldo Spalvieri ◽  
Guido Tartara
Keyword(s):  
Decision Feedback ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The Mean

Limit tolerances for sums of measurement errors

2018 ◽  
Vol 934 (4) ◽  
pp. 59-62
Author(s):  
V.I. Salnikov
Keyword(s):  
Normal Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Gaussian Distribution ◽  
Measurement Errors ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Limiting Values ◽  
Limiting Value

The question of calculating the limiting values of residuals in geodesic constructions is considered in the case when the limiting value for measurement errors is assumed equal to 3m, ie ∆рred = 3m, where m is the mean square error of the measurement. Larger errors are rejected. At present, the limiting value for the residual is calculated by the formula 3m√n, where n is the number of measurements. The article draws attention to two contradictions between theory and practice arising from the use of this formula. First, the formula is derived from the classical law of the normal Gaussian distribution, and it is applied to the truncated law of the normal distribution. And, secondly, as shown in [1], when ∆рred = 2m, the sums of errors naturally take the value equal to ?pred, after which the number of errors in the sum starts anew. This article establishes its validity for ∆рred = 3m. A table of comparative values of the tolerances valid and recommended for more stringent ones is given. The article gives a graph of applied and recommended tolerances for ∆рred = 3m.

scholarly journals Electrical stimulator with mechanomyography-based real-time monitoring, muscle fatigue detection, and safety shut-off: a pilot study

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
pp. 461-468
Author(s):  
Jannatul Naeem ◽  
Nur Azah Hamzaid ◽  
Amelia Wong Azman ◽  
Manfred Bijak
Keyword(s):  
Muscle Fatigue ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Isometric Force ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Clear Indication ◽  
Initial Value ◽  
Cord Injury ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Electrical Stimulator ◽  
Fatigue Detection

AbstractFunctional electrical stimulation (FES) has been used to produce force-related activities on the paralyzed muscle among spinal cord injury (SCI) individuals. Early muscle fatigue is an issue in all FES applications. If not properly monitored, overstimulation can occur, which can lead to muscle damage. A real-time mechanomyography (MMG)-based FES system was implemented on the quadriceps muscles of three individuals with SCI to generate an isometric force on both legs. Three threshold drop levels of MMG-root mean square (MMG-RMS) feature (thr50, thr60, and thr70; representing 50%, 60%, and 70% drop from initial MMG-RMS values, respectively) were used to terminate the stimulation session. The mean stimulation time increased when the MMG-RMS drop threshold increased (thr50: 22.7 s, thr60: 25.7 s, and thr70: 27.3 s), indicating longer sessions when lower performance drop was allowed. Moreover, at thr70, the torque dropped below 50% from the initial value in 14 trials, more than at thr50 and thr60. This is a clear indication of muscle fatigue detection using the MMG-RMS value. The stimulation time at thr70 was significantly longer (p = 0.013) than that at thr50. The results demonstrated that a real-time MMG-based FES monitoring system has the potential to prevent the onset of critical muscle fatigue in individuals with SCI in prolonged FES sessions.

Die Molekülstruktur des N-Chlorsdiwefeloxiddifluoridimids ClNSOF2 / The Molecular Structure of ClNSOF2

1974 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 901-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Oberhammer ◽  
O. Glemser ◽  
H. Klüver
Keyword(s):  
Molecular Structure ◽  
Electron Diffraction ◽  
Geometric Parameters ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The Mean

The molecular structure of ClNSOF2 was determined by electron diffraction of gases. The following geometric parameters were obtained:Cl-N=1.715(5), S=N=1.484(7), S=O=1.394(3), S-F=1.548(3) Å, ∢ ClNS=114.7 (8), ∢ FSF=92.6(.8), ∢ NSF=111.8(.9) ∢ NSO=117.4 (3.1) and ∢ OSF=108.6 (.8)°. The results for the mean square amplitudes of vibration are given in the paper and an attempt is made to explain differences in corresponding parameters of some related molecules.

scholarly journals Prediction of shallow bit position based on vibration signal monitoring of bit broken rock

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 155014772199170
Author(s):  
Jinping Yu ◽  
Deyong Zou
Keyword(s):  
Acoustic Emission ◽  
Time Domain ◽  
Vibration Signal ◽  
Rock Breaking ◽  
Drill String ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Drilling Force ◽  
Emission Signal ◽  
Force Signal ◽  
The Mean

The speed of drilling has a great relationship with the rock breaking efficiency of the bit. Based on the above background, the purpose of this article is to predict the position of shallow bit based on the vibration signal monitoring of bit broken rock. In this article, first, the mechanical research of drill string is carried out; the basic changes of the main mechanical parameters such as the axial force, torque, and bending moment of drill string are clarified; and the dynamic equilibrium equation theory of drill string system is analyzed. According to the similarity criterion, the corresponding relationship between drilling process parameters and laboratory test conditions is determined. Then, the position monitoring test system of the vibration bit is established. The acoustic emission signal and the drilling force signal of the different positions of the bit in the process of vibration rock breaking are collected synchronously by the acoustic emission sensor and the piezoelectric force sensor. Then, the denoised acoustic emission signal and drilling force signal are analyzed and processed. The mean value, variance, and mean square value of the signal are calculated in the time domain. The power spectrum of the signal is analyzed in the frequency domain. The signal is decomposed by wavelet in the time and frequency domains, and the wavelet energy coefficients of each frequency band are extracted. Through the wavelet energy coefficient calculated by the model, combined with the mean, variance, and mean square error of time-domain signal, the position of shallow buried bit can be analyzed and predicted. Finally, by fitting the results of indoor experiment and simulation experiment, it can be seen that the stress–strain curve of rock failure is basically the same, and the error is about 3.5%, which verifies the accuracy of the model.

scholarly journals Reconstruction of Diffusion Coefficients and Power Exponents from Single Lagrangian Trajectories

Fluids ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 111
Author(s):  
Leonid M. Ivanov ◽  
Collins A. Collins ◽  
Tetyana Margolina
Keyword(s):  
Black Sea ◽  
Diffusion Coefficients ◽  
Current System ◽  
Mean Square Displacement ◽  
California Current ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
California Current System ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Non Gaussian

Using discrete wavelets, a novel technique is developed to estimate turbulent diffusion coefficients and power exponents from single Lagrangian particle trajectories. The technique differs from the classical approach (Davis (1991)’s technique) because averaging over a statistical ensemble of the mean square displacement (<X2>) is replaced by averaging along a single Lagrangian trajectory X(t) = {X(t), Y(t)}. Metzler et al. (2014) have demonstrated that for an ergodic (for example, normal diffusion) flow, the mean square displacement is <X2> = limT→∞τX2(T,s), where τX2 (T, s) = 1/(T − s) ∫0T−s(X(t+Δt) − X(t))2 dt, T and s are observational and lag times but for weak non-ergodic (such as super-diffusion and sub-diffusion) flows <X2> = limT→∞≪τX2(T,s)≫, where ≪…≫ is some additional averaging. Numerical calculations for surface drifters in the Black Sea and isobaric RAFOS floats deployed at mid depths in the California Current system demonstrated that the reconstructed diffusion coefficients were smaller than those calculated by Davis (1991)’s technique. This difference is caused by the choice of the Lagrangian mean. The technique proposed here is applied to the analysis of Lagrangian motions in the Black Sea (horizontal diffusion coefficients varied from 105 to 106 cm2/s) and for the sub-diffusion of two RAFOS floats in the California Current system where power exponents varied from 0.65 to 0.72. RAFOS float motions were found to be strongly non-ergodic and non-Gaussian.

Explanation Plus Prediction—The Logical Focus of Project Management Research

2021 ◽  
pp. 875697282199994
Author(s):  
Joseph F. Hair ◽  
Marko Sarstedt
Keyword(s):  
Project Management ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Management Research ◽  
The Mean

Most project management research focuses almost exclusively on explanatory analyses. Evaluation of the explanatory power of statistical models is generally based on F-type statistics and the R 2 metric, followed by an assessment of the model parameters (e.g., beta coefficients) in terms of their significance, size, and direction. However, these measures are not indicative of a model’s predictive power, which is central for deriving managerial recommendations. We recommend that project management researchers routinely use additional metrics, such as the mean absolute error or the root mean square error, to accurately quantify their statistical models’ predictive power.

scholarly journals IndoorPlant: A Model for Intelligent Services in Indoor Agriculture Based on Context Histories

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 1631
Author(s):  
Bruno Guilherme Martini ◽  
Gilson Augusto Helfer ◽  
Jorge Luis Victória Barbosa ◽  
Regina Célia Espinosa Modolo ◽  
Marcio Rosa da Silva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Technology Acceptance ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Ease Of Use ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Square Root ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Use Context ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Acceptance Model ◽  
The Internet Of Things

The application of ubiquitous computing has increased in recent years, especially due to the development of technologies such as mobile computing, more accurate sensors, and specific protocols for the Internet of Things (IoT). One of the trends in this area of research is the use of context awareness. In agriculture, the context involves the environment, for example, the conditions found inside a greenhouse. Recently, a series of studies have proposed the use of sensors to monitor production and/or the use of cameras to obtain information about cultivation, providing data, reminders, and alerts to farmers. This article proposes a computational model for indoor agriculture called IndoorPlant. The model uses the analysis of context histories to provide intelligent generic services, such as predicting productivity, indicating problems that cultivation may suffer, and giving suggestions for improvements in greenhouse parameters. IndoorPlant was tested in three scenarios of the daily life of farmers with hydroponic production data that were obtained during seven months of cultivation of radicchio, lettuce, and arugula. Finally, the article presents the results obtained through intelligent services that use context histories. The scenarios used services to recommend improvements in cultivation, profiles and, finally, prediction of the cultivation time of radicchio, lettuce, and arugula using the partial least squares (PLS) regression technique. The prediction results were relevant since the following values were obtained: 0.96 (R2, coefficient of determination), 1.06 (RMSEC, square root of the mean square error of calibration), and 1.94 (RMSECV, square root of the mean square error of cross validation) for radicchio; 0.95 (R2), 1.37 (RMSEC), and 3.31 (RMSECV) for lettuce; 0.93 (R2), 1.10 (RMSEC), and 1.89 (RMSECV) for arugula. Eight farmers with different functions on the farm filled out a survey based on the technology acceptance model (TAM). The results showed 92% acceptance regarding utility and 98% acceptance for ease of use.

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