scholarly journals Momentum Effect in Developed and Emerging Stock Markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Zulfiqar Ali Imran ◽  
Woei-Chyuan Wong ◽  
Rusmawati Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
Contradictory Finding ◽  
Momentum Investing ◽  
Abnormal Profits

The study aims to reaffirms the existence of short-term momentum effect in 13 developed and emerging stock markets where previous literature has lack of consensus. Although many studies emphasis on the existence of momentum effect, but still, there are substantial number of researchers that deny the its presence. The contradictory finding of many researchers over the existence of momentum effect, raises a serious question, to what extend our stock markets are informationally efficient and whether investor can make abnormal profits by using momentum investment strategies. This study applies momentum investment strategy, J6K6, to calculate momentum returns. Our study finds negative significant momentum effect in all 13 stock markets. Although momentum effect is present in 13 countries but Investors are not able to attain abnormal profit through momentum investing. These findings have an utmost importance for practitioners that they should not adopt momentum investment strategies in these countries as these strategies are generating lose. Moreover, stock market regulators should formulate these markets on the notion of efficient market hypothesis.

scholarly journals Short term momentum profits and their source: a business indicators’ approach

2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (No. 12) ◽  
pp. 563-577
Author(s):  
A. Ejaz ◽  
P. Polak
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Primary Objective ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
The Future ◽  
Secondary Objective ◽  
Number Of Authors ◽  
Starting A Business

The main objective of the paper is to seek the source that can explain the momentum profits because the source of momentum profits has been disputed. The secondary objective of the paper is to affirm the findings of the author about the presence of the short term momentum effect and to reaffirm the notion that CAPM cannot explain the momentum profits supported by a large number of authors. For the primary objective, a set of variables has been chosen, that fall under the category of “Business Indicators”, to explain the momentum profits. It is found that a variable “Starting a Business” could explain the source of the momentum profits whereas other variables may have a negligible or no influence over the momentum profits. It is also reaffirmed that a short term momentum effect has been found in 14 stock markets and the CAPM could not explain the momentum profits. This study is not conclusive due to the limitation of data but it does give a source of the momentum profits and it sheds light on the future research about the sources that can explain momentum profits in a great detail.

scholarly journals AN ANALYSIS OF STOCK MARKET INTEGRATION IN THE ASIAN DEVELOPED AND EMERGING MARKETS

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 1175-1190
Author(s):  
Sadiq Rehman ◽  
Asif Ali Abro ◽  
Ahmed Raza Ul Mustafa ◽  
Najeeb Ullah ◽  
Sanam Wagma Khattak
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run

Purpose of the study: This study investigates Short-run, Long-run, and Casual relationships in the Asian Developed and Emerging stock market indices for the period of 19 years weekly data of stock market indices of Asian Developed and Emerging Markets which are Japan (Nikkei 225), South Korea (KOSPI), Pakistan (KSE 100), China (SSE Composite), Sri Lanka (ASPI), India (BSE 200) and Malaysia (KLSE composite) from January 2001 to December 2019. Methodology: To analyze long-run and short-run relationships among the Asian developed and emerging stock markets, this study practices Descriptive Statistics, Correlation Matrix, Unit Root Test, Johansen Co-Integration Test, Vector Error Correction Model, Granger Causality test, Variance Decomposition and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Main findings: By employing the ADF and P.P. tests, the results specify that the entire variables' data are non-stationary and stationary in exact order, which is 1st difference. The Johnson Co-integration test found one cointegration relationship, where the results are consistent with Granger causality, Variance Decomposition, and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Application of the study: As the current research has focused on finding out the comovements in the Asian developed and emerging markets. So, the applications are that the survey found short-run and long-run relationships in these countries' stock markets. The study's originality: The current study has selected seven Asian developed and emerging stock markets and weekly updated time series data to investigate short-term and long-term linkages. So, this study found long-run comovements in these stock indices, which contributes to the literature. In addition, these stock markets have limited diversification benefits for international investors, while short-term diversification benefits may exist.

scholarly journals Predictability of stock market indexes following large drawdowns and drawups

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Vinicius Ratton Brandi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Fixed Time ◽  
Uncertain Information ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Information Hypothesis ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Lower Magnitude

The efficient market hypothesis is one of the most popular subjects in the empirical finance literature. Previous studies of the stock markets, which are mostly based on fixed-time price variations, have inconclusive findings: evidence of short-term predictability varies according to different samples and methodologies. We propose a novel approach and use drawdowns and drawups as triggers, to investigate the existence of short-term abnormal returns in the stock markets. As these measures are not computed within a fixed time horizon, they are flexible enough to capture subordinate, time-dependent processes that could drive market under- or overreaction. Most estimates in our results support the efficient market hypothesis. The underreaction hypothesis receives stronger support than does overreaction, with higher prevalence of return continuations than reversals. Evidence for the uncertain information hypothesis is present in some markets, mainly after lower-magnitude events.

An analytical approach for behavioral portfolio model with time discounting preference

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 691-712
Author(s):  
Guang Yang ◽  
Xinwang Liu ◽  
Jindong Qin ◽  
Ahmed Khan
Keyword(s):  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Cumulative Prospect Theory ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Time Discounting ◽  
Present Bias ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Portfolio Selection Model

This paper presents a behavioral portfolio selection model with time discounting preference. Firstly, we discuss the portfolio selection problem and then modify this model based on cumulative prospect theory (CPT) as well as considering investors’ time discounting preference in psychology. Furthermore, an analytical solution with satisfying behavior is given for our proposed model, the results show that when investors’ goals are very ambitious, they put a high proportion of their wealth in long-term goals and adopt aggressive investment strategies with high leverage to reach short-term goals and the overall investment strategy also displays high leverage. Finally, numerical analysis is given and it is shown that investor who tends to future bias performs adequate confidence and patience whereas investor with present bias is apt to the immediate interests.

scholarly journals Momentum Effect all over the World

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zulfiqar Ali Imran ◽  
Woei-Chyuan Wong ◽  
Rusmawati Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Momentum Strategies ◽  
The World ◽  
Pertinent Question

This study is intended to reaffirm the existence and profitability of momentum investment strategies in 40 countries around the world during the period 1996–2018. The contradictory findings of previous research on the existence and profitability of momentum strategies have raised a pertinent question on the validity of efficient market hypothesis. We documented the momentum effect in 90% of our sample countries of which 52.5% exhibited positive momentum effect while 37.5% exhibited negative momentum effect. The findings were robust to two distinct sub-period analyses. The clear rejection of efficient market hypotheses is valuable to momentum traders and stock market regulators.  

scholarly journals Low-risk effect: evidence, explanations and approaches to enhancing the performance of low-risk investment strategies

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 128-145
Author(s):  
Mayank Joshipura ◽  
Nehal Joshipura
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
The Body ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Risk Return ◽  
Risk Effect ◽  
Risk Investment

The authors offer evidence for low-risk effect from the Indian stock market using the top-500 liquid stocks listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India for the period from January 2004 to December 2018. Finance theory predicts a positive risk-return relationship. However, empirical studies show that low-risk stocks outperform high-risk stocks on a risk-adjusted basis, and it is called low-risk anomaly or low-risk effect. Persistence of such an anomaly is one of the biggest mysteries in modern finance. The authors find strong evidence in favor of a low-risk effect with a flat (negative) risk-return relationship based on the simple average (compounded) returns. It is documented that low-risk effect is independent of size, value, and momentum effects, and it is robust after controlling for variables like liquidity and ticket-size of stocks. It is further documented that low-risk effect is a combination of stock and sector level effects, and it cannot be captured fully by concentrated sector exposure. By integrating the momentum effect with the low-volatility effect, the performance of a low-risk investment strategy can be improved both in absolute and risk-adjusted terms. The paper contributed to the body of knowledge by offering evidence for: a) robustness of low-risk effect for liquidity and ticket-size of stocks and sector exposure, b) how one can benefit from combining momentum and low-volatility effects to create a long-only investment strategy that offers higher risk-adjusted and absolute returns than plain vanilla, long-only, low-risk investment strategy.

scholarly journals Short-Term Momentum Effect: a Case of Middle East Stock Markets

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 104-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah Ejaz ◽  
Petr Polak
Keyword(s):  
Middle East ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Middle Eastern ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Portfolio Returns ◽  
Momentum Profits ◽  
Capm Model

The objective of this paper is to find short-term momentum effect in stock markets of the Middle East and to examine whether short-term momentum profits can be explained by risk-based CAPM model. Seven major stock markets from the Middle East were selected. Short-term momentum effect was found in all seven stock markets and CAPM does not adequately explain the short-term momentum profits but momentum portfolio returns are statistically significant. This paper is first attempt to bring major stock markets of the Middle East together and examine them for the short term momentum effect phenomenon. Future research should include more stock markets in order to have a better understanding of Middle Eastern stock markets.

The selection of popular trading strategies

2015 ◽  
Vol 41 (6) ◽  
pp. 563-581
Author(s):  
Yi-Tsai Chung ◽  
Tung Liang Liao ◽  
Yi-Chein Chiang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Relative Performance ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Portfolio Managers ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Selection Of

Purpose – The relative performance of five popular nonzero-investment strategies, including Size, book-to-market ratios, earnings-to-price (E/P) ratios, cash flow-to-price (CF/P) ratios and dividend-to-price ratios, and their corresponding zero-investment strategies (also known as premiums) are first examined altogether for equally weighted (EW) and value-weighted (VW) methods to check whether a certain strategy (or some strategies) could be recommended to portfolio managers as the best (better) strategy (strategies). The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – This paper uses the stochastic dominance (SD) approach, a non-parametric test, to investigate the relative performance among various strategies and help investors search for the best or better strategy (strategies). Findings – The main results show that both the highest E/P and CF/P strategies (and their corresponding premiums) generally produce higher returns than the other three strategies (and their corresponding premiums) through allocating investors’ capital between the risky and risk-free assets for the EW and VW methods, respectively. Research limitations/implications – This study only examines US stock markets by SD approach, whether the results are consistent with non-US markets still needs further investigation. The findings imply that investors can benefit by investing in the highest E/P or CF/P stocks (or their corresponding premiums) to make more profit or less loss for US stock markets. Practical implications – First, the SD findings suggest that investors or portfolio managers can allocate their funds between risky and risk-free assets to maximize their profits. Next, the simulation results again prove that the profits of each nonzero-investment or zero-investment strategy for EW portfolios are higher than those of each corresponding strategy for VW portfolios. Finally, the findings imply that portfolio managers or investors can invest in the highest E/P or CF/P stocks (or their corresponding premiums) to make more profit or less loss. Originality/value – This study first uses an extensive data set (1952-2009) to examine the relative performance of nonzero-investment strategies and their corresponding zero-investment strategies for the five popular indicators altogether for the EW and VW methods with the SD approach for US stock markets. Moreover, the results reveal that the investors or portfolio managers can invest in the highest E/P and/or CF/P portfolios (or their corresponding premiums) to make more profit or less loss.

scholarly journals Impact of MiFID II on the Market Volatility—Analysis on Some Developed and Emerging European Stock Markets

Laws ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Marius Cristian Miloș
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
Volatility Analysis ◽  
Stock Indexes ◽  
European Stock Markets ◽  
The Impact

The paper investigates whether the implementation of MiFID II, a packet of financial legislation applying broadly to European Union financial markets, has led to a change in the volatility of some European developed and emerging stock markets. We show that for the developed capital markets considered in the analysis, MiFID II did not lead to a decrease in the volatility of capital markets. On the contrary, for all analysis intervals considered (3 months, 6 months, 12 months, 18 months and 24 months), the impact on volatility is positive, with volatility increasing in the case of the FTSE 100, CAC40 and DAX stock indexes. There is a similar significant relationship for the Czech stock market, but only over the three-month interval. For the Polish and Romanian stock markets, which enforced MiFID II later, a negative impact of MiFID II on volatility could also be observed. In the Romanian market, MiFID II had a negative impact on volatility on the short-term horizon, while for the Polish market, the impact of MiFID II on volatility is noticeable on a longer term of 24 months.

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