On Dissemination

2019 ◽  
pp. 219-235
Author(s):  
Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke
Keyword(s):  
Decision Maker ◽  
Intellectual Courage ◽  
Cognitive Capability ◽  
The Future

This chapter argues that threats in general, and terrorist threats as such, are complex in their structures and dynamics. They are hard to comprehend and foresee, and therefore highly challenging to communicate and disseminate. Intellectual courage is therefore called for, since intelligence is useless unless the intelligence producer at some point delivers a product that reduces uncertainty to the decision-maker. Intelligence institutions should therefore replace the need-to-share principle with a courage-to-share strategy. The courage-to-share strategy facilitates and stimulates the intelligence operators’ willingness and ability to believe in their own assessments, and therefore also their cognitive capability to approach complex threats. Intelligence is, in its essence, the bearer of uncertainty and complexity. Threats and the future are by their nature dubious and intelligence institutions should not try to present them as some- thing else.

Reperceiving the Future

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 208-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Hodgson
Keyword(s):  
Decision Maker ◽  
Present Moment ◽  
Clock Time ◽  
First Order ◽  
Time Consciousness ◽  
Decision Methods ◽  
The Future ◽  
Anticipatory System ◽  
Anticipatory Systems ◽  
High Uncertainty

The future is an aspect of time and like clock time tends to be taken for granted unquestioned as an experience. There is a tendency for both futurists and management scientists inadvertently to adopt a first-order paradigm. In this article, I introduce a second-order approach in which the presence of the decision maker is acknowledged. In this approach, the phenomenology of time consciousness provides a basis for expanding time into a present moment with richer dimensionality, enlarging linear causality to a set of multiple influences on the present moment, some of which originate in aspects of what we call the future. We need to extend the scope of futures methods by considering the interaction between agency and uncertainty. High agency combined with high uncertainty is not yet well supplied with appropriate methods. In this region, the act of reperception is fundamental; algorithmic decision methods are out of their depth. In this different paradigm of time, anticipatory systems are crucial. Practice needs the capacity to navigate in a constantly shifting landscape that distinguishes three qualities of the future symbolized as three horizons. One is the future as seen from the dominant present situation. The second is a future desirable emergent states. The third is a future that holds the powerful and turbulent dilemmas between the other two and requires the navigation skill of the decision maker as an anticipatory system. At the core of this anticipatory system is a multidimensional future consciousness with the capacity to see into the future through different lenses of awareness in the present moment.

Who decides? On those involved in the choice of school for educational careers of children at the end of primary school

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christiane Hössl ◽  
Harald Lothaller
Keyword(s):  
Secondary School ◽  
Primary School ◽  
Decision Maker ◽  
Educational Aspirations ◽  
Educational Choice ◽  
Professional Career ◽  
Empirical Survey ◽  
School Based ◽  
The Future ◽  
Educational Careers

The choice of school for the secondary school sets the course for the future academic and professional career. This study clarifies who is the main decision maker in the choice of school based on an empirical survey using a questionnaire in which 828 parents from southern Lower Austria participated. In accordance with the literature, 618 parents state that they made the educational choice together with their children, with interesting significant subgroups regarding the gender of the child and the parents, the education of the parents, the siblings’ success and the parents’ educational aspirations.

Introduction - ‘Shaping the Future of Research in Marketing in Emerging Economies: Looking Ahead’, January 2012, India

2012 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 431-431
Keyword(s):  
Decision Maker ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Plenary Session ◽  
Marketing Research ◽  
Future Prospects ◽  
The Future

Peter Mouncey introduces conference notes on a plenary session at the Shaping the Future of Research in Marketing Economies conference on “Contemporary challenges and future prospects of marketing research for earning a seat in decision maker and practitioner's perspective”.

scholarly journals DETERMINING THE FUTURE: THE GOVERNMENT AS DECISION-MAKER

Agrekon ◽  
1987 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 47-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. S. BLIGNAUT
Keyword(s):  
Decision Maker ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Government

Key Army Decision Maker Concerns about Training Performance Measurement and Assessment

1987 ◽  
Vol 31 (11) ◽  
pp. 1251-1255
Author(s):  
Dee H. Andrews
Keyword(s):  
Performance Measurement ◽  
Decision Maker ◽  
Delphi Technique ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Policy Capturing ◽  
Training Performance ◽  
Army Training ◽  
The Future

This study explored an area of Army training performance measurement and assessment (PMA) which has apparently not been examined. It provides an understanding about Army training PMA requirements and uses, and reveals a number of PMA issues which should be more closely examined in the future. The methodology adapted for the study combined elements of Policy Capturing Analysis with elements of Policy Implications Analysis and the Delphi Technique.

scholarly journals Rethinking the Ramifications of Reasonableness Review: Stare Decisis and Reasonableness Review on Questions of Law

2018 ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Michelle Biddulph
Keyword(s):  
Decision Maker ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Judicial Review ◽  
Administrative Law ◽  
Judicial Decision ◽  
Stare Decisis ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Canadian Law ◽  
The Supreme Court ◽  
The Future

The recent fashion in the Canadian law of judicial review is to apply the reasonableness standard of review to virtually any decision rendered by an administrative decision-maker. Reasonableness review is a deferential standard of review that requires a court to ensure that the administrative decision falls within a range of reasonable outcomes that are defensible in light of the facts and law. When reasonableness review is applied to questions of law, the Supreme Court has occasionally ruled that the question admits of only one reasonable interpretation and has affirmed or quashed an administrative decision on that basis.This article addresses the difficult question of whether a judicial decision affirming that a provision admits of only one reasonable interpretation is strictly binding on an administrative decision-maker interpreting that provision in the future. If reasonableness review is premised on deference, then deference ought to apply to an administrative decision-maker’s interpretation of that question in the future, even if it differs from the court’s interpretation. After situating this issue within the principled foundation of the Canadian law of judicial review, this article explores possible solutions to this problem, attempting to balance the need to protect the rule of law against the rationale for deference to administrative interpretations of law in the first place. It ultimately concludes by suggesting that, should Canadian courts continue to apply reasonableness review to virtually all questions of law, a uniquely administrative law approach to stare decisis will need to be developed in order to maintain a coherent and principled system of judicial review.

scholarly journals A New Attitude-Behaviour (AB) Theory for Organizational Leadership

2019 ◽  
pp. 83-97
Author(s):  
P. S. Aithal ◽  
Shubhrajyotsna Aithal
Keyword(s):  
Decision Maker ◽  
Negative Attitude ◽  
Correct Judgment ◽  
For Profit ◽  
Not For Profit ◽  
The Future ◽  
Effective Decision ◽  
The Right ◽  
Good Environment ◽  
Alternative Solutions

The organizational fate depends on a committed effective decision maker who can predict the future business situations based on various affecting parameters on the organizational business. The right decisions taken at right time can elevate an organization as a winning organization and the decision maker can transform himself as an acceptable leader. Such decisions can also decide the fate of the organization along with the livelihood of its employees. A winning leader is an asset of an organization and the employees are directly and indirectly get the benefits of such a leader. If the leader fails in predicting the future of a profit oriented organization or not for profit organizations, the employees are directly going to be the victims of such wrong decisions. Leaders should able to make a correct judgment while taking decisions based on effective predictions by using predictive analysis framework. The attitude of the leader plays an important role while making decisions on solving organizational/individual problems. In Simon’s model of decision making, the attitude of the leader decides his ability to identify a problem, finding alternative solutions, analysing these alternatives to find optimum alternative, and finally to implement the best alternative to practically solve the problem. Attitude is the mental status of a human being which represents the emotions based on his/her feelings at a given time and controls his/her instantaneous behaviour. In this paper, we have developed a theory of winning leaders actions based on their behaviour in organizations. It is argued that the behaviour of a leader depends on his/her attitude which may be positive or negative depends on the four factors identified as feelings, emotions, belief, and environment. Thus a supportive, effective, good environment creates a positive attitude and hence winning leaders. The bad environment supports a negative attitude due to wrong belief, negative emotions, and frustrative feelings which are again depend on the present and past environment of the decision maker. The various components which are affecting leaders’ environmental factor and their important characteristic elements are identified.

International determination of the total motion of the pole

1961 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 29-41
Author(s):  
Wm. Markowitz
Keyword(s):  
Secular Motion ◽  
The Future

A symposium on the future of the International Latitude Service (I. L. S.) is to be held in Helsinki in July 1960. My report for the symposium consists of two parts. Part I, denoded (Mk I) was published [1] earlier in 1960 under the title “Latitude and Longitude, and the Secular Motion of the Pole”. Part II is the present paper, denoded (Mk II).

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