scholarly journals Long Short-Term Memory Network-Based Metaheuristic for Effective Electric Energy Consumption Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 11263
Author(s):  
Simran Kaur Hora ◽  
Rachana Poongodan ◽  
Rocío Pérez de Prado ◽  
Marcin Wozniak ◽  
Parameshachari Bidare Divakarachari

The Electric Energy Consumption Prediction (EECP) is a complex and important process in an intelligent energy management system and its importance has been increasing rapidly due to technological developments and human population growth. A reliable and accurate model for EECP is considered a key factor for an appropriate energy management policy. In recent periods, many artificial intelligence-based models have been developed to perform different simulation functions, engineering techniques, and optimal energy forecasting in order to predict future energy demands on the basis of historical data. In this article, a new metaheuristic based on a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network model is proposed for an effective EECP. After collecting data sequences from the Individual Household Electric Power Consumption (IHEPC) dataset and Appliances Load Prediction (AEP) dataset, data refinement is accomplished using min-max and standard transformation methods. Then, the LSTM network with Butterfly Optimization Algorithm (BOA) is developed for EECP. In this article, the BOA is used to select optimal hyperparametric values which precisely describe the EEC patterns and discover the time series dynamics in the energy domain. This extensive experiment conducted on the IHEPC and AEP datasets shows that the proposed model obtains a minimum error rate relative to the existing models.

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (20) ◽  
pp. 4237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuong Le ◽  
Minh Thanh Vo ◽  
Bay Vo ◽  
Eenjun Hwang ◽  
Seungmin Rho ◽  
...  

The electric energy consumption prediction (EECP) is an essential and complex task in intelligent power management system. EECP plays a significant role in drawing up a national energy development policy. Therefore, this study proposes an Electric Energy Consumption Prediction model utilizing the combination of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) that is named EECP-CBL model to predict electric energy consumption. In this framework, two CNNs in the first module extract the important information from several variables in the individual household electric power consumption (IHEPC) dataset. Then, Bi-LSTM module with two Bi-LSTM layers uses the above information as well as the trends of time series in two directions including the forward and backward states to make predictions. The obtained values in the Bi-LSTM module will be passed to the last module that consists of two fully connected layers for finally predicting the electric energy consumption in the future. The experiments were conducted to compare the prediction performances of the proposed model and the state-of-the-art models for the IHEPC dataset with several variants. The experimental results indicate that EECP-CBL framework outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches in terms of several performance metrics for electric energy consumption prediction on several variations of IHEPC dataset in real-time, short-term, medium-term and long-term timespans.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 605
Author(s):  
Ijaz Ul Haq ◽  
Amin Ullah ◽  
Samee Ullah Khan ◽  
Noman Khan ◽  
Mi Young Lee ◽  
...  

The use of electrical energy is directly proportional to the increase in global population, both concerning growing industrialization and rising residential demand. The need to achieve a balance between electrical energy production and consumption inspires researchers to develop forecasting models for optimal and economical energy use. Mostly, the residential and industrial sectors use metering sensors that only measure the consumed energy but are unable to manage electricity. In this paper, we present a comparative analysis of a variety of deep features with several sequential learning models to select the optimized hybrid architecture for energy consumption prediction. The best results are achieved using convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) integrated with bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM). The ConvLSTM initially extracts features from the input data to produce encoded sequences that are decoded by BiLSTM and then proceeds with a final dense layer for energy consumption prediction. The overall framework consists of preprocessing raw data, extracting features, training the sequential model, and then evaluating it. The proposed energy consumption prediction model outperforms existing models over publicly available datasets, including Household and Korean commercial building datasets.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. 2668 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuong Le ◽  
Minh Thanh Vo ◽  
Tung Kieu ◽  
Eenjun Hwang ◽  
Seungmin Rho ◽  
...  

Electric energy consumption forecasting is an interesting, challenging, and important issue in energy management and equipment efficiency improvement. Existing approaches are predictive models that have the ability to predict for a specific profile, i.e., a time series of a whole building or an individual household in a smart building. In practice, there are many profiles in each smart building, which leads to time-consuming and expensive system resources. Therefore, this study develops a robust framework for the Multiple Electric Energy Consumption forecasting (MEC) of a smart building using Transfer Learning and Long Short-Term Memory (TLL), the so-called MEC-TLL framework. In this framework, we first employ a k-means clustering algorithm to cluster the daily load demand of many profiles in the training set. In this phase, we also perform Silhouette analysis to specify the optimal number of clusters for the experimental datasets. Next, this study develops the MEC training algorithm, which utilizes a cluster-based strategy for transfer learning the Long Short-Term Memory models to reduce the computational time. Finally, extensive experiments are conducted to compare the computational time and different performance metrics for multiple electric energy consumption forecasting on two smart buildings in South Korea. The experimental results indicate that our proposed approach is capable of economical overheads while achieving superior performances. Therefore, the proposed approach can be applied effectively for intelligent energy management in smart buildings.


Author(s):  
Zhang Chao ◽  
Wang Wei-zhi ◽  
Zhang Chen ◽  
Fan Bin ◽  
Wang Jian-guo ◽  
...  

Accurate and reliable fault diagnosis is one of the key and difficult issues in mechanical condition monitoring. In recent years, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been widely used in mechanical condition monitoring, which is also a great breakthrough in the field of bearing fault diagnosis. However, CNN can only extract local features of signals. The model accuracy and generalization of the original vibration signals are very low in the process of vibration signal processing only by CNN. Based on the above problems, this paper improves the traditional convolution layer of CNN, and builds the learning module (local feature learning block, LFLB) of the local characteristics. At the same time, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is introduced into the network, which is used to extract the global features. This paper proposes the new neural network—improved CNN-LSTM network. The extracted deep feature is used for fault classification. The improved CNN-LSTM network is applied to the processing of the vibration signal of the faulty bearing collected by the bearing failure laboratory of Inner Mongolia University of science and technology. The results show that the accuracy of the improved CNN-LSTM network on the same batch test set is 98.75%, which is about 24% higher than that of the traditional CNN. The proposed network is applied to the bearing data collection of Western Reserve University under the condition that the network parameters remain unchanged. The experiment shows that the improved CNN-LSTM network has better generalization than the traditional CNN.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (18) ◽  
pp. 5762
Author(s):  
Syed Basit Ali Bukhari ◽  
Khawaja Khalid Mehmood ◽  
Abdul Wadood ◽  
Herie Park

This paper presents a new intelligent islanding detection scheme (IIDS) based on empirical wavelet transform (EWT) and long short-term memory (LSTM) network to identify islanding events in microgrids. The concept of EWT is extended to extract features from three-phase signals. First, the three-phase voltage signals sampled at the terminal of targeted distributed energy resource (DER) or point of common coupling (PCC) are decomposed into empirical modes/frequency subbands using EWT. Then, instantaneous amplitudes and instantaneous frequencies of the three-phases at different frequency subbands are combined, and various statistical features are calculated. Finally, the EWT-based features along with the three-phase voltage signals are input to the LSTM network to differentiate between non-islanding and islanding events. To assess the efficacy of the proposed IIDS, extensive simulations are performed on an IEC microgrid and an IEEE 34-node system. The simulation results verify the effectiveness of the proposed IIDS in terms of non-detection zone (NDZ), computational time, detection accuracy, and robustness against noisy measurement. Furthermore, comparisons with existing intelligent methods and different LSTM architectures demonstrate that the proposed IIDS offers higher reliability by significantly reducing the NDZ and stands robust against measurements uncertainty.


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