Risk Factors for Liver Decompensation and HCC in HCV-Cirrhotic Patients after DAAs: A Multicenter Prospective Study

Background: Prospective studies on predictors of liver-related events in cirrhotic subjects achieving SVR after DAAs are lacking. Methods: We prospectively enrolled HCV cirrhotic patients in four Italian centers between November 2015 and October 2017. SVR and no-SVR cases were compared according to the presence or absence of liver-related events during a 24-month follow-up. Independent predictors of liver-related events were evaluated by Cox regression analysis. Results: A total of 706 subjects started DAAs therapy. SVR was confirmed in 687 (97.3%). A total of 61 subjects (8.9%) in the SVR group and 5 (26.3%) in the no-SVR group had liver-related events (p < 0.03). The incidence rate x 100 p/y was 1.6 for HCC, 1.7 for any liver decompensation, and 0.5 for hepatic death. Baseline liver stiffness (LSM) ≥ 20 kPa (HR 4.0; 95% CI 1.1–14.1) and genotype different from 1 (HR 7.5; 95% CI 2.1–27.3) were both independent predictors of liver decompensation. Baseline LSM > 20 KPa (HR 7.2; 95% CI 1.9–26.7) was the sole independent predictor of HCC. A decrease in liver stiffness (Delta LSM) by at least 20% at the end of follow-up was not associated with a decreased risk of liver-related events. Conclusion: Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa identifies HCV cirrhotic subjects at higher risk of liver-related events after SVR.

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Role of Disease Modifying Treatment in the Risk of Alloimmunization in Transfused Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndromes: A Population-Based Study

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2019-123357 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 4253-4253

Author(s):

Hanne Rozema ◽

Robby Kibbelaar ◽

Nic Veeger ◽

Mels Hoogendoorn ◽

Eric van Roon

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Population Based ◽

Incidence Rates ◽

Blood Products ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

In The Beginning ◽

Observation Period

The majority of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) require regular red blood cell (RBC) transfusions. Alloimmunization (AI) against blood products is an adverse event, causing time-consuming RBC compatibility testing. The reported incidence of AI in MDS patients varies greatly. Even though different studies on AI in MDS patients have been performed, there are still knowledge gaps. Current literature has not yet fully identified the risk factors and dynamics of AI in individual patients, nor has the influence of disease modifying treatment (DMT) been explored. Therefore, we performed this study to evaluate the effect of DMT on AI. An observational, population-based study, using the HemoBase registry, was performed including all newly diagnosed MDS patients between 2005 and 2017 in Friesland, a province of the Netherlands. All available information about treatment and transfusions, including transfusion dates, types, and treatment regimens, was collected from the electronic health records and laboratory systems. Follow-up occurred through March 2019. For our patient cohort, blood products were matched for AB0 and RhD, and transfused per the 'type and screen' policy (i.e. electronic matching of blood group phenotype between patient and donor). After a positive antibody screening, antibody identification and Rh/K phenotyping was performed and subsequent blood products were (cross)matched accordingly. The observation period was counted from first transfusion until last transfusion or first AI event. Univariate analyses and cumulative frequency distributions were performed to study possible risk factors and dynamics of AI. DMT was defined as hypomethylating agents, lenalidomide, chemotherapy and monoclonal antibodies. The effect of DMT as a temporary risk period on the risk of AI was estimated with incidence rates, relative risks (RR) and hazard ratios (HR) using a cox regression analysis. Follow-up was limited to 24 months for the cox regression analysis to avoid possible bias by survival differences. Statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 24 and SAS 9.4. Out of 292 MDS patients, 236 patients received transfusions and were included in this study, covering 463 years of follow-up. AI occurred in 24 patients (10%). AI occurred mostly in the beginning of the observation period: Eighteen patients (75%) were alloimmunized after receiving 20 units of RBCs, whereas 22 patients (92%) showed AI after 45 units of RBCs (Figure 1). We found no significant risk factors for AI in MDS patients at baseline. DMT was given to 67 patients (28%) during the observation period. Patients on DMT received more RBC transfusions than patients that did not receive DMT (median of 33 (range: 3-154) and 11 (range: 0-322) RBC units respectively, p<0,001). Four AI events (6%) occurred in patients on DMT and 20 AI events (12%) occurred in patients not on DMT. Cox regression analysis of the first 24 months of follow-up showed an HR of 0.30 (95% CI: 0.07-1.31; p=0.11). The incidence rates per 100 person-years were 3.19 and 5.92 respectively. The corresponding RR was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.16-1.48; p=0.26). Based on our results, we conclude that the incidence of AI in an unselected, real world MDS population receiving RBC transfusions is 10% and predominantly occurred in the beginning of follow-up. Risk factors for AI at baseline could not be identified. Our data showed that patients on DMT received significantly more RBC transfusions but were less susceptible to AI. Therefore, extensive matching of blood products may not be necessary for patients on DMT. Larger studies are needed to confirm the protective effect of DMT on AI. Disclosures Rozema: Celgene: Other: Financial support for visiting MDS Foundation conference.

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Predictive value of ankle–brachial index for long-term events of ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients

Vascular ◽

10.1177/1708538120925954 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 170853812092595

Author(s):

Kai-Ni Lee ◽

Li-Ping Chou ◽

Chi-Chu Liu ◽

Tsang-Shan Chen ◽

Eric Kim-Tai Lui ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Ankle Brachial Index ◽

Hemodialysis Patients ◽

Serum Phosphate ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Objectives The ankle–brachial index is a noninvasive modality to evaluate atherosclerosis and is a predictive role for future cardiovascular events and mortality. However, few studies have evaluated its relation to long-term future ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients. Therefore, we examined the relationship between ankle–brachial index and ischemic stroke events among hemodialysis patients in a seven-year follow-up. Methods A total of 84 patients were enrolled. Ankle–brachial index was assessed in January 2009. Primary outcomes included ischemic stroke. An ankle–brachial index < 0.9 was considered abnormal and 1.4 ≥ ankle–brachial index ≥ 0.9 to be normal ankle–brachial index. Results Mean values for ankle–brachial index were 0.98 ± 0.21at study entrance. In addition, 28 patients encountered ischemic stroke in the seven-year follow-up. In univariate Cox regression analysis, old age (hazard ratio (HR): 1.065, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.030–1.102, p < 0.001), low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.473, 95% CI: 0.306–0.730, p = 0.001), and abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.035, 95% CI: 0.009–0.145, p < 0.001) were risk factors for ischemic stroke. In multivariate Cox regression analysis for significant variables in univariate analysis, abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.058, 95% CI: 0.012–0.279, p < 0.001) and low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.625, 95% CI: 0.404–0.968, p = 0.035) remained the risk factors for ischemic stroke. The risk of ischemic stroke was 3.783-fold in patients with abnormal ankle–brachial index compared with patients with normal ankle–brachial index (HR: 3.783, 95% CI: 1.731–8.269, p = 0.001). Conclusions These findings suggest that ankle–brachial index is an impressive predictor of future ischemic stroke among hemodialysis patients.

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POS0772 PREVALENCE AND RISK FACTORS FOR HERPES ZOSTER REACTIVATION IN 1542 PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATIC DISEASES

Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases ◽

10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-eular.3398 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽

pp. 640.1-640

Author(s):

C. C. Mok ◽

L. Y. Ho ◽

S. M. Tse ◽

K. L. Chan ◽

C. H. To

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Herpes Zoster ◽

Rheumatic Diseases ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio ◽

Lymphocyte Ratio

Objectives:To study the prevalence and risk factors of herpes zoster (HZ) infection in patients with rheumatic diseases.Methods:Medical records of patients with rheumatic diseases who attended our out-patient rheumatology clinics between 2019 March and 2019 August were retrospectively reviewed. Patients who were using biological or targeted DMARDs were excluded. Episodes of HZ infection since disease diagnosis were identified and the prevalence over time was calculated. Laboratory parameters (total white cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, serum albumin, globulin & creatinine), history of diabetes mellitus and the highest doses of immunosuppressive medications within 6 months of the first episode of HZ infection were compared with those within 6 months of last follow-up in patients who did not have HZ infection. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with the first HZ infection in all patients.Results:1542 patients were studied (88% women, age 46.4±15.0 years). The underlying diseases were systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) (38%), rheumatoid arthritis (26%) and other rheumatic diseases (36%). After a total follow-up of 11,515 patient-years since diagnosis (7.5±7.0 years), 122 (7.9%) patients developed 146 episodes of HZ infection, giving an overall prevalence of 1.27/100-patient years. The prevalence rates of HZ in SLE, RA and non-SLE/RA patients were 1.70, 0.64 and 0.76 per 100 patient-years, respectively. Patients who experienced HZ reactivation were younger (41.6±14.7 vs 46.8±15.0 years; p<0.001), more likely to have SLE (74% vs 35%; p<0.001) and diabetes mellitus (17% vs 7.3%; p=0.01), and had a significantly lower albumin (38.6±5.6 vs 41.3±3.5; p<0.001) and higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (4.9±6.2 vs 2.8±2.6; p<0.001). More patients with HZ reactivation were treated with prednisolone (54% vs 22%; p<0.001), azathioprine (20% vs 8%; p<0.001), mycophenolate mofetil [MMF] (21% vs 12%; p=0.006), cyclophosphamide [CYC] (4.9% vs 0.1%; p<0.001) and hydroxychloroquine (48% vs 34%; p=0.002) in the preceding 6 months compared with those who did not have HZ infection. Among those using immunosuppressive drugs, the doses of MMF (1.42±0.64 vs 1.02±0.31g; p=0.005) and prednisolone (15.6±15.9 vs 5.5±4.5mg; p<0.001) were significantly higher in those with HZ infection. The cumulative risk of having HZ reactivation in SLE patients at 24 and 48 months since diagnosis was 5.9% and 8.6%, respectively, which was significantly higher than that in non-SLE patients (1.9% and 2.5%, respectively; p<0.001 by log rank test). Cox regression analysis revealed that having a diagnosis of SLE (HR 1.97 [1.17-3.31]), albumin level (HR 0.93 [0.90-0.97] per g/L; p=0.001), serum creatinine (HR 0.995 [0.990-1.00] per umol/L), higher neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (HR 1.08 [1.05-1.11]) and the use of CYC (HR 6.69 [2.56-17.5]) and prednisolone (HR 1.61 [1.02-2.45]) in the preceding 6 months were independently associated with the development of HZ infection.Conclusion:Reactivation of HZ is fairly common in patients with rheumatic diseases. Underlying SLE, prednisolone/cyclophosphamide therapy and the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, but not age, sex or other laboratory parameters, are the major risk factors for HZ reactivation.Disclosure of Interests:None declared

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Aneurysm wall enhancement on magnetic resonance imaging as a risk factor for progression of unruptured vertebrobasilar dissecting aneurysms after reconstructive endovascular treatment

Journal of Neurosurgery ◽

10.3171/2016.11.jns162433 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 128 (3) ◽

pp. 747-755 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Yisen Zhang ◽

Binbin Sui ◽

Jian Liu ◽

Yang Wang ◽

Zhongbin Tian ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Endovascular Treatment ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Maximum Diameter ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Aneurysm Wall ◽

Average Maximum ◽

Dissecting Aneurysms

OBJECTIVEThe recurrence rate of vertebrobasilar dissecting aneurysms (VBDAs) after reconstructive endovascular treatment (EVT) is relatively high. The aneurysm wall enhancement on high-resolution MRI (HRMRI) reportedly predicts an unsteady state of an intracranial aneurysm. The authors used HRMRI to investigate the relationship between wall enhancement on HRMRI and progression of VBDAs after reconstructive EVT.METHODSFrom January 2012 to December 2015, patients with an unruptured VBDA who underwent reconstructive EVT were enrolled in this study. Preoperative enhanced HRMRI was performed to evaluate radiological characteristics. The relationships between aneurysm wall enhancement and various potential risk factors were statistically analyzed. Follow-up angiographic examination was performed with digital subtraction angiography and conventional HRMRI. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of VBDA progression after reconstructive EVT.RESULTSEighty-two patients (12 women and 70 men, mean age 53.48 ± 9.23 years) with 83 VBDAs were evaluated in the current study. The average maximum diameter of the VBDAs was 11.30 ± 7.90 mm. Wall enhancement occurred in 43 VBDAs (51.81%). Among all 83 VBDAs, 62 (74.70%) were treated by stent-assisted coil embolization and 21 (25.30%) by stenting alone. The mean duration of imaging follow-up among all 82 patients was 10.55 months (range 6–45 months), and 15 aneurysms (18.07%) exhibited progression. The statistical analysis indicated no significant differences in age, sex, risk factors (high blood pressure, smoking, diabetes mellitus, and a high cholesterol level), VBDA stage, or VBDA size between enhanced and unenhanced VBDAs. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that both the maximum diameter of the VBDAs and wall enhancement were associated with recurrence (p < 0.05). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that the maximum diameter of the VBDAs and wall enhancement on HRMRI were independent risk factors for aneurysm progression (p < 0.05).CONCLUSIONSAneurysm size and wall enhancement on HRMRI can predict the progression of VBDAs after reconstructive EVT.

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Aneurysm Size is the Strongest Risk Factor for Intracranial Aneurysm Growth in the Eastern Finnish Population

Neurosurgery ◽

10.1093/neuros/nyy161 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 84 (5) ◽

pp. 1098-1103 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Joel Björkman ◽

Juhana Frösen ◽

Olli Tähtinen ◽

Terhi Huttunen ◽

Jukka Huttunen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Intracranial Aneurysm ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Finnish Population ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Aneurysm Size ◽

Aneurysm Growth

Abstract BACKGROUND Saccular intracranial aneurysm (sIA) growth during follow-up is associated with high risk for subsequent rupture. Finnish patients have been suggested to have higher risk for subarachnoid hemorrhage, but follow-up studies of sIA growth in the Finnish population are scarce. OBJECTIVE To identify the strongest risk factors for sIA growth in Eastern Finnish population by studying 205 patients with 350 unruptured sIAs with angiographic follow-up imaging. METHODS In this population-based cohort study, we included unruptured sIA patients from the Kuopio University Hospital Intracranial Aneurysm Patient and Family database with at least 6 mo of angiographic follow-up after the diagnosis of sIAs. Angiograms were re-evaluated to detect aneurysms with growth of at least 1.0 mm. Cox regression analysis with patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors was used to calculate hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for growth. In addition, we tested the diagnostic value of previously introduced PHASES score for the prediction of sIA growth in Eastern Finnish population. RESULTS Of the 350 unruptured aneurysms, 36 (10.3%) showed growth during median follow-up of 1.7 yr and total follow-up of 790 yr. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, sIA size and location in the middle cerebral artery were significant risk factors for sIA growth. In receiver operator characteristic curves, both PHASES score and sIA size had relatively low areas under the curve. CONCLUSION Our study indicates that aneurysm size is the strongest risk factor for aneurysm growth in Eastern Finnish population. Further studies are required to identify new risk factors for aneurysm growth.

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Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Remains High in Patients with HBV-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis and Long-Term Antiviral Therapy

Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology ◽

10.1155/2020/8871024 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 2020 ◽

pp. 1-6

Author(s):

Dong-Mei Zhu ◽

Jing Xie ◽

Chun-Yan Ye ◽

Mei-Yun Qian ◽

Yuan Xue

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Antiviral Therapy ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Decompensated Cirrhosis ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Independent Risk Factors ◽

The Difference

Background. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors of HCC development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related DC and who underwent long-term antiviral therapy. Methods. Data from 308 patients with HBV-related DC and long-term antiviral therapy were collected and retrospectively reviewed. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze independent risk factors of HCC development. Results. Data from 129 patients with definite records were analyzed. The median follow-up time was 5 years (range, 1 to 8 years). At the end of the follow-up, 41 (31.8%) patients developed HCC, and the time from DC diagnosis to HCC incidence who received antiviral therapy was 4.4 years (range, 1–7 years). The incidence of HCC was higher in males (30/78, 38.5%) than in females (11/51, 21.6%) ( P = 0.04). Patients who developed HCC were significantly older than those who did not develop HCC ( P < 0.01). The incidence of HCC in patients receiving nucleoside analogues, nucleotide analogues, and combination therapy was 34.7%, 38.1%, and 33.3%, respectively, and the difference showed no significant differences ( P = 0.95). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that male gender and age ≥50 years are independent risk factors of HCC development (OR = 2.987 and 2.408; 95% CI (1.301–6.858) and (1.126–5.149); P = 0.01 and 0.02, respectively). Conclusion. The risk of HCC remains to be high in patients with HBV-related DC, especially in males aged ≥50 years.

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Red Blood Cell Indices in Relation to Post-stroke Psychiatric Disorders: A Longitudinal Study in a Follow-up Stroke Clinic

Current Neurovascular Research ◽

10.2174/1567202617666200423090958 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 17 (3) ◽

pp. 218-223

Author(s):

Haichao Wang ◽

Li Gong ◽

Xiaomei Xia ◽

Qiong Dong ◽

Aiping Jin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Ischemic Stroke ◽

Blood Cell ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Depression And Anxiety ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Post Stroke ◽

Rbc Indices ◽

Post Stroke Depression

Background: Depression and anxiety after stroke are common conditions that are likely to be neglected. Abnormal red blood cell (RBC) indices may be associated with neuropsychiatric disorders. However, the association of RBC indices with post-stroke depression (PSD) and poststroke anxiety (PSA) has not been sufficiently investigated. Methods: We aimed to investigate the trajectory of post-stroke depression and anxiety in our follow- up stroke clinic at 1, 3, and 6 months, and the association of RBC indices with these. One hundred and sixty-two patients with a new diagnosis of ischemic stroke were followed up at 1, 3, and 6 months, and underwent Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and the general anxiety disorder 7-item (GAD-7) questionnaire for evaluation of depression and anxiety, respectively. First, we used Kaplan-Meier analysis to investigate the accumulated incidences of post-stroke depression and post-stroke anxiety. Next, to explore the association of RBC indices with psychiatric disorders after an ischemic stroke attack, we adjusted for demographic and vascular risk factors using multivariate Cox regression analysis. Results: Of the 162 patients with new-onset of ischemic stroke, we found the accumulated incidence rates of PSD (1.2%, 17.9%, and 35.8%) and PSA (1.2%, 13.6%, and 15.4%) at 1, 3, and 6 months, respectively. The incident PSD and PSA increased 3 months after a stroke attack. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated independent positive associations between PSD risk and higher mean corpuscular volume (MCV) (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.16-1.76), older age (OR=2.63, 95% CI=1.16-5.93), and a negative relationship between male sex (OR=0.95, 95% CI=0.91-0.99) and PSA. Conclusion: The risks of PSD and PSA increased substantially 3 months beyond stroke onset. Of the RBC indices, higher MCV, showed an independent positive association with PSD.

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The Role of Hydraulic Silicate Cements on Long-Term Properties and Biocompatibility of Partial Pulpotomy in Permanent Teeth

Materials ◽

10.3390/ma14020305 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 (2) ◽

pp. 305

Author(s):

Chung-Min Kang ◽

Saemi Seong ◽

Je Seon Song ◽

Yooseok Shin

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Antimicrobial Properties ◽

Permanent Teeth ◽

Success Rates ◽

Pulp Tissue ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Clinical Variables

The use of hydraulic silicate cements (HSCs) for vital pulp therapy has been found to release calcium and hydroxyl ions promoting pulp tissue healing and mineralized tissue formation. The present study investigated whether HSCs such as mineral trioxide aggregate (MTA) affect their biological and antimicrobial properties when used as long-term pulp protection materials. The effect of variables on treatment outcomes of three HSCs (ProRoot MTA, OrthoMTA, and RetroMTA) was evaluated clinically and radiographically over a 48–78 month follow-up period. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan–Meier survival curves. Fisher’s exact test and Cox regression analysis were used to determine hazard ratios of clinical variables. The overall success rate of MTA partial pulpotomy was 89.3%; Cumulative success rates of the three HSCs were not statistically different when analyzed by Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. None of the investigated clinical variables affected success rates significantly. These HSCs showed favorable biocompatibility and antimicrobial properties in partial pulpotomy of permanent teeth in long-term follow-up, with no statistical differences between clinical factors.

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A Prognostic Model for Patients With Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma

Technology in Cancer Research & Treatment ◽

10.1177/15330338211027912 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 20 ◽

pp. 153303382110279

Author(s):

Qinping Guo ◽

Yinquan Wang ◽

Jie An ◽

Siben Wang ◽

Xiushan Dong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma ◽

Signet Ring Cell ◽

Training Set ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Signet Ring ◽

Ring Cell ◽

Independent Risk Factors

Background: The aim of our study was to develop a nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC). Methods: GSRC patients from 2004 to 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly assigned to the training and validation sets. Multivariate Cox regression analyses screened for OS and CSS independent risk factors and nomograms were constructed. Results: A total of 7,149 eligible GSRC patients were identified, including 4,766 in the training set and 2,383 in the validation set. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that gender, marital status, race, AJCC stage, TNM stage, surgery and chemotherapy were independent risk factors for both OS and CSS. Based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis, prognostic nomograms were constructed for OS and CSS. In the training set, the C-index was 0.754 (95% CI = 0.746-0.762) for the OS nomogram and 0.762 (95% CI: 0.753-0.771) for the CSS nomogram. In the internal validation, the C-index for the OS nomogram was 0.758 (95% CI: 0.746-0.770), while the C-index for the CSS nomogram was 0.762 (95% CI: 0.749-0.775). Compared with TNM stage and SEER stage, the nomogram had better predictive ability. In addition, the calibration curves also showed good consistency between the predicted and actual 3-year and 5-year OS and CSS. Conclusion: The nomogram can effectively predict OS and CSS in patients with GSRC, which may help clinicians to personalize prognostic assessments and clinical decisions.

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A multicenter, prospective, observational study to determine association of mesangial C1q deposition with renal outcomes in IgA nephropathy

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-84715-7 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Li Tan ◽

Yi Tang ◽

Gaiqin Pei ◽

Zhengxia Zhong ◽

Jiaxing Tan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Iga Nephropathy ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Renal Outcome ◽

Matched Cohort ◽

Negative Group ◽

Renal Survival ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Renal Outcomes

AbstractIt was reported that histopathologic lesions are risk factors for the progression of IgA Nephropathy (IgAN). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between mesangial deposition of C1q and renal outcomes in IgAN. 1071 patients with primary IgAN diagnosed by renal biopsy were enrolled in multiple study centers form January 2013 to January 2017. Patients were divided into two groups: C1q-positive and C1q-negative. Using a 1: 4 propensity score matching (PSM) method identifying age, gender, and treatment modality to minimize confounding factors, 580 matched (out of 926) C1q-negative patients were compared with 145 C1q-positive patients to evaluate severity of baseline clinicopathological features and renal outcome. Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to determine whether mesangial C1q deposition is associated with renal outcomes in IgAN. During the follow-up period (41.89 ± 22.85 months), 54 (9.31%) patients in the C1q negative group and 23 (15.86%) patients in C1q positive group reached the endpoint (50% decline of eGFR and/or ESRD or death) respectively (p = 0.01) in the matched cohort. Significantly more patients in C1q negative group achieved complete or partial remission during the follow up period (P = 0.003) both before and after PSM. Three, 5 and 7-year renal survival rates in C1q-positive patients were significantly lower than C1q-negative patients in either unmatched cohort or matched cohort (all p < 0.05). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that independent risk factors influencing renal survival included Scr, urinary protein, T1-T2 lesion and C1q deposition. Mesangial C1q deposition is a predictor of poor renal survival in IgA nephropathy.Trial registration TCTR, TCTR20140515001. Registered May 15, 2014, http://www.clinicaltrials.in.th/index.php?tp=regtrials&menu=trialsearch&smenu=fulltext&task=search&task2=view1&id=1074.

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