scholarly journals Comparison between Artificial Neural Network and Rigorous Mathematical Model in Simulation of Industrial Heavy Naphtha Reforming Process

Catalysts ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1034
Author(s):  
Ali Al-Shathr ◽  
Zaidoon M. Shakor ◽  
Hasan Sh. Majdi ◽  
Adnan A. AbdulRazak ◽  
Talib M. Albayati

In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed and compared with a rigorous mathematical model (RMM) to estimate the performance of an industrial heavy naphtha reforming process. The ANN model, represented by a multilayer feed forward neural network (MFFNN), had (36-10-10-10-34) topology, while the RMM involved solving 34 ordinary differential equations (ODEs) (32 mass balance, 1 heat balance and 1 momentum balance) to predict compositions, temperature, and pressure distributions within the reforming process. All computations and predictions were performed using MATLAB® software version 2015a. The ANN topology had minimum MSE when the number of hidden layers, number of neurons in the hidden layer, and the number of training epochs were 3, 10, and 100,000, respectively. Extensive error analysis between the experimental data and the predicted values were conducted using the following error functions: coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), mean relative error (MRE), and mean square error (MSE). The results revealed that the ANN (R2 = 0.9403, MAE = 0.0062) simulated the industrial heavy naphtha reforming process slightly better than the rigorous mathematical model (R2 = 0.9318, MAE = 0.007). Moreover, the computational time was obviously reduced from 120 s for the RMM to 18.3 s for the ANN. However, one disadvantage of the ANN model is that it cannot be used to predict the process performance in the internal points of reactors, while the RMM predicted the internal temperatures, pressures and weight fractions very well.

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hung Vo Thanh ◽  
Yuichi Sugai ◽  
Kyuro Sasaki

Abstract Residual Oil Zones (ROZs) become potential formations for Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS). Although the growing attention in ROZs, there is a lack of studies to propose the fast tool for evaluating the performance of a CO2 injection process. In this paper, we introduce the application of artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting the oil recovery and CO2 storage capacity in ROZs. The uncertainties parameters, including the geological factors and well operations, were used for generating the training database. Then, a total of 351 numerical samples were simulated and created the Cumulative oil production, Cumulative CO2 storage, and Cumulative CO2 retained. The results indicated that the developed ANN model had an excellent prediction performance with a high correlation coefficient (R2) was over 0.98 on comparing with objective values, and the total root mean square error of less than 2%. Also, the accuracy and stability of ANN models were validated for five real ROZs in the Permian Basin. The predictive results were an excellent agreement between ANN predictions and field report data. These results indicated that the ANN model could predict the CO2 storage and oil recovery with high accuracy, and it can be applied as a robust tool to determine the feasibility in the early stage of CCUS in ROZs. Finally, the prospective application of the developed ANN model was assessed by optimization CO2-EOR and storage projects. The developed ANN models reduced the computational time for the optimization process in ROZs.


2021 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-21
Author(s):  
Mladenka Pestorić ◽  
Jasna Mastilović ◽  
Žarko Kevrešan ◽  
Lato Pezo ◽  
Miona Belović ◽  
...  

Sensory analysis is the best mean to precisely describe the eating quality of fresh foods. However, it is expensive and time-consuming method which cannot be used for measuring quality properties in real time. The aim of this paper was to contribute to the study of the relationship between sensory and instrumental data, and to define a proper model for predicting sensory properties of fresh tomato through the determination of the physicochemical properties. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to the experimental data to characterize and differentiate among the observed genotypes, explaining 73.52% of the total variance, using the first three principal components. Artificial neural network (ANN) model was used for the prediction of sensory properties based on the results obtained by basic chemical and instrumental determinations. The developed ANN model predicts the sensory properties with high adequacy, with the overall coefficient of determination of 0.859.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Şükrü Özşahin ◽  
Hilal Singer

In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict the gloss of thermally densified wood veneers. A custom application created with MATLAB codes was employed for the development of the multilayer feed-forward ANN model. The wood species, temperature, pressure, measurement direction, and angle of incidence were considered as the model inputs, while the gloss was the output of the ANN model. Model performance was evaluated by using the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R²). It was observed that the ANN model yielded very satisfactory results with acceptable deviations. The MAPE, RMSE, and R2 values of the testing period of the ANN model were found as 8.556%, 1.245, and 0.9814, respectively. Consequently, this study could be useful for the wood industry to predict the gloss with less number of tiring experimental activities.


2012 ◽  
Vol 170-173 ◽  
pp. 1013-1016
Author(s):  
Fu Qiang Gao ◽  
Xiao Qiang Wang

Prediction of peak particle velocity (PPV) is very complicated due to the number of influencing parameters affecting seism wave propagation. In this paper, artificial neural network (ANN) is implemented to develop a model to predict PPV in a blasting operation. Based on the measured parameters of maximum explosive charge used per delay and distance between blast face to monitoring point, a three-layer ANN was found to be optimum with architecture 2-5-1. Through the analysis of coefficient of determination (CoD) and mean absolute error (MAE) between monitored and predicted values of PPV, it indicates that the forecast data by the ANN model is close to the actua1 values.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6996
Author(s):  
Youngsoo Song ◽  
Jihoon Wang

This study aims at the development of an artificial neural network (ANN) model to optimize relief well design in Pohang Basin, South Korea. Relief well design in carbon capture and geological storage (CCS) requires complex processes and excessive iterative procedures to obtain optimal operating parameters, such as CO2 injection rate, water production rate, distance between the wells, and pressure at the wells. To generate training and testing datasets for ANN model development, optimization processes for a relief well with various injection scenarios were performed. Training and testing were conducted, where the best iteration and regression were considered based on the calculated coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) values. According to validation with a 20-year injection scenario, which was not included in the training datasets, the model showed great performance with R2 values of 0.96 or higher for all the output parameters. In addition, the RMSE values for the BHP and the trapping mechanisms were lower than 0.04. Moreover, the location of the relief well was reliably predicted with a distance difference of only 20.1 m. The ANN model can be robust tool to optimize relief well design without a time-consuming reservoir simulations.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1051-1062
Author(s):  
Zaher JabbarAttwan AL Zirej ◽  
Hassan Abdul Hadi

The main objective of this study is to develop a rate of penetration (ROP) model for Khasib formation in Ahdab oil field and determine the drilling parameters controlling the prediction of ROP values by using artificial neural network (ANN).      An Interactive Petrophysical software was used to convert the raw dataset of transit time (LAS Readings) from parts of meter-to-meter reading with depth. The IBM SPSS statistics software version 22 was used to create an interconnection between the drilling variables and the rate of penetration, detection of outliers of input parameters, and regression modeling. While a JMP Version 11 software from SAS Institute Inc. was used for artificial neural modeling.      The proposed artificial neural network method depends on obtaining the input data from drilling mud logging data and wireline logging data. The data then analyzes it to create an interconnection between the drilling variables and the rate of penetration.      The proposed ANN model consists of an input layer, hidden layer and outputs layer, while it applies the tangent function (TanH) as a learning and training algorithm in the hidden layer. Finally, the predicted values of ROP are compared with the measured values. The proposed ANN model is more efficient than the multiple regression analysis in predicting ROP. The obtained coefficient of determination (R2) values using the ANN technique are 0.93 and 0.91 for training and validation sets, respectively. This study presents a new model for predicting ROP values in comparison with other conventional drilling measurements.


Author(s):  
К. Т. Чин ◽  
Т. Арумугам ◽  
С. Каруппанан ◽  
М. Овинис

Описываются разработка и применение искусственной нейронной сети (ИНС) для прогнозирования предельного давления трубопровода с точечным коррозионным дефектом, подверженного воздействию только внутреннего давления. Модель ИНС разработана на основе данных, полученных по результатам множественных полномасштабных испытаний на разрыв труб API 5L (класс от X42 до X100). Качество работы модели ИНС проверено в сравнении с данными для обучения, получен коэффициент детерминации R = 0,99. Модель дополнительно протестирована с учетом данных о предельном давлении корродированных труб API 5L X52 и X80. Установлено, что разработанная модель ИНС позволяет прогнозировать предельное давление с приемлемой погрешностью. С использованием данной модели проведена оценка влияния длины и глубины коррозионных дефектов на предельное давление. Выявлено, что глубина коррозии является более значимым фактором разрушения корродированного трубопровода. This paper describes the development and application of artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the failure pressure of single corrosion affected pipes subjected to internal pressure only. The development of the ANN model is based on the results of sets of full-scale burst test data of pipe grades ranging from API 5L X42 to X100. The ANN model was developed using MATLAB’s Neural Network Toolbox with 1 hidden layer and 30 neurons. Before further deployment, the developed ANN model was compared against the training data and it produced a coefficient of determination ( R ) of 0.99. The developed ANN model was further tested against a set of failure pressure data of API 5L X52 and X80 grade corroded pipes. Results revealed that the developed ANN model is able to predict the failure pressure with good margins of error. Furthermore, the developed ANN model was used to determine the failure trends when corrosion defect length and depth were varied. Results from this failure trend analysis revealed that corrosion defect depth is the most significant parameter when it comes to corroded pipeline failure.


1997 ◽  
Vol 77 (3) ◽  
pp. 421-429 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Chieh Yang ◽  
Shiv O. Prasher ◽  
Guy R. Mehuys

This study was undertaken to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) model for transient simulation of soil temperature at different depths in the profile. The capability of ANN models to simulate the variation of temperature in soils was investigated by considering readily available meteorologic parameters. The ANN model was constructed by using five years of meteorologic data, measured at a weather station at the Central Experimental Farm in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. The model inputs consisted of daily rainfall, potential evapotranspiration, and the day of the year. The model outputs were daily soil temperatures at the depths of 100, 500 and 1500 mm. The estimated values were found to be close to the measured values, as shown by a root-mean-square error ranging from 0.59 to 1.82 °C, a standard deviation of errors from 0.61 to 1.81 °C, and a coefficient of determination from 0.937 to 0.987. Therefore, it is concluded that ANN models can be used to estimate soil temperature by considering routinely measured meteorologic parameters. In addition, the ANN model executes faster than a comparable conceptual simulation model by several orders of magnitude. Key words: Artificial neural networks, soil temperature, precipitation, potential evapotranspiration


2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramli Nazir ◽  
Ehsan Momeni ◽  
Kadir Marsono ◽  
Harnedi Maizir

This study highlights the application of Back-Propagation (BP) feed forward Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as a tool for predicting bearing capacity of spread foundations in cohesionless soils. For network construction, a database of 75 recorded cases of full-scale axial compression load test on spread foundations in cohesionless soils was compiled from literatures. The database presents information about footing length (L), footing width (B), embedded depth of the footing (Df), average vertical effective stress of the soil at B/2 below footing (s΄), friction angle of the soil (f) and the ultimate axial bearing capacity (Qu). The last parameter was set as the desired output in the ANN model, while the rest were used as input of the ANN predictive model of bearing capacity. The prediction performance of ANN model was compared to that of Multi-Linear Regression analysis. Findings show that the proposed ANN model is a suitable tool for predicting bearing capacity of spread foundations. Coefficient of determination R2 equals to 0.98, strongly indicates that the ANN model exhibits a high degree of accuracy in predicting the axial bearing capacity of spread foundation. Using sensitivity analysis, it is concluded that the geometrical properties of the spread foundations (B and L) are the most influential parameters in the proposed predictive model of Qu.


Author(s):  
Hossam Abohamer ◽  
Mostafa A. Elseifi ◽  
Zia U. A. Zihan ◽  
Zhong Wu ◽  
Nathan Kebede ◽  
...  

Since the 1980s, the falling weight deflectometer (FWD) has been the primary deflection-measuring device in the United States to evaluate the structural conditions of in-service pavements. However, the stop and go nature of the FWD limits its application at the network level. In the early 2000s, the traffic speed deflectometer (TSD) was introduced as an alternate deflection-measuring device for network-level applications. TSD collects deflection measurements while traveling at traffic speed, which provides improved spatial coverage and no traffic disturbance. The verification of TSD measurements is of great interest as many agencies move toward widespread implementation. This study aims at developing a reliable and straightforward procedure for the verification of TSD measurements using limited FWD measured deflection measurements. The verification procedure employs a trained artificial neural network (ANN) model to shift TSD deflections to their corresponding FWD deflections. The ANN model was trained and verified based on FWD and TSD measurements from two deflection-testing programs. The developed model accurately predicted FWD measurements with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.994. The suitability of the proposed verification procedure was evaluated using statistical and engineering-based measures and showed acceptable accuracy. Results also validated that the proposed method could be used to verify TSD measurements before its use for conducting deflection measurements at the network level.


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