scholarly journals A Novel Uncertainty Management Approach for Air Combat Situation Assessment Based on Improved Belief Entropy

Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 495 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Zhou ◽  
Yongchuan Tang ◽  
Xiaozhe Zhao

Uncertain information exists in each procedure of an air combat situation assessment. To address this issue, this paper proposes an improved method to address the uncertain information fusion of air combat situation assessment in the Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (DST) framework. A better fusion result regarding the prediction of military intention can be helpful for decision-making in an air combat situation. To obtain a more accurate fusion result of situation assessment, an improved belief entropy (IBE) is applied to preprocess the uncertainty of situation assessment information. Data fusion of assessment information after preprocessing will be based on the classical Dempster’s rule of combination. The illustrative example result validates the rationality and the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 993 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Yang ◽  
Dingyi Gan ◽  
Yongchuan Tang ◽  
Yan Lei

Quantifying uncertainty is a hot topic for uncertain information processing in the framework of evidence theory, but there is limited research on belief entropy in the open world assumption. In this paper, an uncertainty measurement method that is based on Deng entropy, named Open Deng entropy (ODE), is proposed. In the open world assumption, the frame of discernment (FOD) may be incomplete, and ODE can reasonably and effectively quantify uncertain incomplete information. On the basis of Deng entropy, the ODE adopts the mass value of the empty set, the cardinality of FOD, and the natural constant e to construct a new uncertainty factor for modeling the uncertainty in the FOD. Numerical example shows that, in the closed world assumption, ODE can be degenerated to Deng entropy. An ODE-based information fusion method for sensor data fusion is proposed in uncertain environments. By applying it to the sensor data fusion experiment, the rationality and effectiveness of ODE and its application in uncertain information fusion are verified.


Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 487 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miao Qin ◽  
Yongchuan Tang ◽  
Junhao Wen

Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (DS theory) has some superiorities in uncertain information processing for a large variety of applications. However, the problem of how to quantify the uncertainty of basic probability assignment (BPA) in DS theory framework remain unresolved. The goal of this paper is to define a new belief entropy for measuring uncertainty of BPA with desirable properties. The new entropy can be helpful for uncertainty management in practical applications such as decision making. The proposed uncertainty measure has two components. The first component is an improved version of Dubois–Prade entropy, which aims to capture the non-specificity portion of uncertainty with a consideration of the element number in frame of discernment (FOD). The second component is adopted from Nguyen entropy, which captures conflict in BPA. We prove that the proposed entropy satisfies some desired properties proposed in the literature. In addition, the proposed entropy can be reduced to Shannon entropy if the BPA is a probability distribution. Numerical examples are presented to show the efficiency and superiority of the proposed measure as well as an application in decision making.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2137
Author(s):  
Dingyi Gan ◽  
Bin Yang ◽  
Yongchuan Tang

The Dempster–Shafer evidence theory has been widely applied in the field of information fusion. However, when the collected evidence data are highly conflicting, the Dempster combination rule (DCR) fails to produce intuitive results most of the time. In order to solve this problem, the base belief function is proposed to modify the basic probability assignment (BPA) in the exhaustive frame of discernment (FOD). However, in the non-exhaustive FOD, the mass function value of the empty set is nonzero, which makes the base belief function no longer applicable. In this paper, considering the influence of the size of the FOD and the mass function value of the empty set, a new belief function named the extended base belief function (EBBF) is proposed. This method can modify the BPA in the non-exhaustive FOD and obtain intuitive fusion results by taking into account the characteristics of the non-exhaustive FOD. In addition, the EBBF can degenerate into the base belief function in the exhaustive FOD. At the same time, by calculating the belief entropy of the modified BPA, we find that the value of belief entropy is higher than before. Belief entropy is used to measure the uncertainty of information, which can show the conflict more intuitively. The increase of the value of entropy belief is the consequence of conflict. This paper also designs an improved conflict data management method based on the EBBF to verify the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed method.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naiquang Su ◽  
Xiao Li ◽  
Qinghua Zhang ◽  
Zhiqiang Huo ◽  
Xavier Chiementin

Due to the complexity of the structure and process of large-scale petrochemical equipment, different fault characteristics are mixed and present multiple couplings and ambiguities, leading to the difficulty in identifying composite faults in rotating machinery. This paper proposes a composite faults diagnosis method for rotating machinery of the large unit based on evidence theory and multi-information fusion. The evidence theory and multi-information fusion method mainly deal with multisource information and conflict information, synthesize multiple uncertain information, and obtain synthetic information from multiple data sources. To detect faults in rotating machinery, the dimensionless index ranges of composite faults are first used to form a feature set as the reference. Then, a two-sample distribution test is applied to compare the known fault samples with the tested fault samples, and the maximum statistical distance is used. Finally, the multiple maximum statistical distances are fused by evidence theory and identifying fault types based on the fusion result. The proposed method was applied to the large petrochemical unit simulation experiment system, the results of which showed that our proposed method could accurately identify composite faults and provide maintenance guidance for composite fault diagnosis.


Author(s):  
Lifan Sun ◽  
Yuting Chang ◽  
Jiexin Pu ◽  
Haofang Yu ◽  
Zhe Yang

The Dempster-Shafer (D-S) theory is widely applied in various fields involved with multi-sensor information fusion for radar target tracking, which offers a useful tool for decision-making. However, the application of D-S evidence theory has some limitations when evidences are conflicting. This paper proposed a new method combining the Pignistic probability distance and the Deng entropy to address the problem. First, the Pignistic probability distance is applied to measure the conflict degree of evidences. Then, the uncertain information is measured by introducing the Deng entropy. Finally, the evidence correction factor is calculated for modifying the bodies of evidence, and the Dempster’s combination rule is adopted for evidence fusion. Simulation experiments illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method dealing with conflicting evidences.


2013 ◽  
Vol 318 ◽  
pp. 134-139
Author(s):  
Jian Xing Cheng ◽  
Yi Kai Shi

Dempster’s rule of combination is commonly used in the field of information fusion, Aiming at the problem of related fault of aircraft power system , D-S theory is used to fuse multiple fault alarm information to get the only fault type accurately. Mathematical model of aircraft power system fault diagnosis, and method of fusion was established by analyzing the fault phenomena and fault causes ,for 270 V high-voltage DC power system. The accuracy of the D-S Theory data fusion is better than single sensor judged fault by simulating and testing. A example is given to show that this fusion method is feasible and rational.


2012 ◽  
Vol 204-208 ◽  
pp. 4958-4961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan Wei Du ◽  
Chen Han

D-S evidence theory is a theory of dealing with uncertain information which was empowered by Dempster and expanded by Shafer. However, as a theory founded in 1970s, D-S theory is invalid when there has conflicts between evidences. This papal reviewed classical models and applications of D-S evidence theory. These models revised the shortcomings of D-S theory and put forward some new methods. The applications of D-S theory involved decision-making, information fusion and many other fields.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 155014771771849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongchuan Tang ◽  
Deyun Zhou ◽  
Zichang He ◽  
Shuai Xu

In real applications, sensors may work in complicated environments; thus, how to measure the uncertain degree of sensor reports before applying sensor data fusion is a big challenge. To address this issue, an improved belief entropy–based uncertainty management approach for sensor data fusion is proposed in this article. First, the sensor report is modeled as the body of evidence in Dempster–Shafer framework. Then, the uncertainty measure of each body of evidence is based on the subjective uncertainty represented as the evidence sufficiency and evidence importance, and the objective uncertainty measure is expressed as the improved belief entropy. Evidence modification of conflict sensor data is based on the proposed uncertainty management approach before evidence fusion with Dempster’s rule of combination. Finally, the fusion result can be applied in real applications. A case study on sensor data fusion for fault diagnosis is presented to show the rationality of the proposed method.


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