scholarly journals Characterization of Pathogen Airborne Inoculum Density by Information Theoretic Analysis of Spore Trap Time Series Data

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (12) ◽  
pp. 1343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin A. Choudhury ◽  
Neil McRoberts

In a previous study, air sampling using vortex air samplers combined with species-specific amplification of pathogen DNA was carried out over two years in four or five locations in the Salinas Valley of California. The resulting time series data for the abundance of pathogen DNA trapped per day displayed complex dynamics with features of both deterministic (chaotic) and stochastic uncertainty. Methods of nonlinear time series analysis developed for the reconstruction of low dimensional attractors provided new insights into the complexity of pathogen abundance data. In particular, the analyses suggested that the length of time series data that it is practical or cost-effective to collect may limit the ability to definitively classify the uncertainty in the data. Over the two years of the study, five location/year combinations were classified as having stochastic linear dynamics and four were not. Calculation of entropy values for either the number of pathogen DNA copies or for a binary string indicating whether the pathogen abundance data were increasing revealed (1) some robust differences in the dynamics between seasons that were not obvious in the time series data themselves and (2) that the series were almost all at their theoretical maximum entropy value when considered from the simple perspective of whether instantaneous change along the sequence was positive.

Author(s):  
Robin A Choudhury ◽  
Neil McRoberts

Air sampling using vortex air samplers combined with species specific amplification of pathogen DNA, was carried out over two years in four or five locations in the Salinas Valley of California. The resulting time series data for the abundance of pathogen DNA trapped per day displayed complex dynamics with features of both deterministic (chaotic) and stochastic dynamics. Methods of nonlinear time series analysis developed for the reconstruction of low dimensional attractors provided new insights into the complexity of the pathogen abundance data, but also indicated that practicality may limit the capacity for definitively classifying the dynamics of air borne plant pathogen inoculum. Over the two years of the study five location/year combinations were classified as having stochastic linear dynamics and four were not. Calculation of entropy values for either the number of pathogen DNA copies or for a binary string indicating the pathogen abundance data were increasing or not, revealed (1) some robust differences in the dynamics between seasons that were not obvious in the time series data themselves, and also (2) that the series were almost all at their theoretical maximum entropy value when considered from the simple perspective of whether instantaneous change along the sequence is positive or not.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 4112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Se-Min Lim ◽  
Hyeong-Cheol Oh ◽  
Jaein Kim ◽  
Juwon Lee ◽  
Jooyoung Park

Recently, wearable devices have become a prominent health care application domain by incorporating a growing number of sensors and adopting smart machine learning technologies. One closely related topic is the strategy of combining the wearable device technology with skill assessment, which can be used in wearable device apps for coaching and/or personal training. Particularly pertinent to skill assessment based on high-dimensional time series data from wearable sensors is classifying whether a player is an expert or a beginner, which skills the player is exercising, and extracting some low-dimensional representations useful for coaching. In this paper, we present a deep learning-based coaching assistant method, which can provide useful information in supporting table tennis practice. Our method uses a combination of LSTM (Long short-term memory) with a deep state space model and probabilistic inference. More precisely, we use the expressive power of LSTM when handling high-dimensional time series data, and state space model and probabilistic inference to extract low-dimensional latent representations useful for coaching. Experimental results show that our method can yield promising results for characterizing high-dimensional time series patterns and for providing useful information when working with wearable IMU (Inertial measurement unit) sensors for table tennis coaching.


2022 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Omid Hajihassani ◽  
Omid Ardakanian ◽  
Hamzeh Khazaei

The abundance of data collected by sensors in Internet of Things devices and the success of deep neural networks in uncovering hidden patterns in time series data have led to mounting privacy concerns. This is because private and sensitive information can be potentially learned from sensor data by applications that have access to this data. In this article, we aim to examine the tradeoff between utility and privacy loss by learning low-dimensional representations that are useful for data obfuscation. We propose deterministic and probabilistic transformations in the latent space of a variational autoencoder to synthesize time series data such that intrusive inferences are prevented while desired inferences can still be made with sufficient accuracy. In the deterministic case, we use a linear transformation to move the representation of input data in the latent space such that the reconstructed data is likely to have the same public attribute but a different private attribute than the original input data. In the probabilistic case, we apply the linear transformation to the latent representation of input data with some probability. We compare our technique with autoencoder-based anonymization techniques and additionally show that it can anonymize data in real time on resource-constrained edge devices.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samantha J Gleich ◽  
Jacob A Cram ◽  
Jake L Weissman ◽  
David A Caron

Ecological network analyses are used to identify potential biotic interactions between microorganisms from species abundance data. These analyses are often carried out using time-series data; however, time-series networks have unique statistical challenges. Time-dependent species abundance data can lead to species co-occurrence patterns that are not a result of direct, biotic associations and may therefore result in inaccurate network predictions. Here, we describe a generalize additive model (GAM)-based data transformation that removes time-series signals from species abundance data prior to running network analyses. Validation of the transformation was carried out by generating mock, time-series datasets, with an underlying covariance structure, running network analyses on these datasets with and without our GAM transformation, and comparing the network outputs to the known covariance structure of the simulated data. The results revealed that seasonal abundance patterns substantially decreased the accuracy of the inferred networks. Additionally, the GAM transformation increased the F1 score of inferred ecological networks on average and improved the ability of network inference methods to capture important features of network structure. This study underscores the importance of considering temporal features when carrying out network analyses and describes a simple, effective tool that can be used to improve results.


Author(s):  
Navendu S. Patil ◽  
Joseph P. Cusumano

Detecting bifurcations in noisy and/or high-dimensional physical systems is an important problem in nonlinear dynamics. Near bifurcations, the dynamics of even a high dimensional system is typically dominated by its behavior on a low dimensional manifold. Since the system is sensitive to perturbations near bifurcations, they can be detected by looking at the apparent deterministic structure generated by the interaction between the noise and low-dimensional dynamics. We use minimal hidden Markov models built from the noisy time series to quantify this deterministic structure at the period-doubling bifurcations in the two-well forced Duffing oscillator perturbed by noise. The apparent randomness in the system is characterized using the entropy rate of the discrete stochastic process generated by partitioning time series data. We show that as the bifurcation parameter is varied, sharp changes in the statistical complexity and the entropy rate can be used to locate incipient bifurcations.


Author(s):  
B. Sushrith Et.al

In this paper, focus is made on predicting the patients who are going to be re-admitted back in the hospital before discharge using latest deep-learning algorithms is applied on the electronic health records of patients which is a time-series data. To begin with the study of the data and its analysis this project deployed the conventional supervised ML algorithms like the Logistic Regression, Naïve Bayes, Random Forest and SVM and compared their performances on different portion sizes of dataset. The final model built uses deep-learning architectures such as RNN and LSTM to improve the prediction results taking advantage of the time series data. Another feature added has been of low dimensional descriptions of medical concepts as the input to the model. Ultimately, this work tests, validates, and explains the developed system using the MIMIC-III dataset, which contains around 38000 patient’s information and about 61,155 patient’s data who admitted in ICU, duration of 10 years. The support from this exhaustive dataset is used to train the models that provide healthcare workers with proper information regarding their discharge and readmission in hospitals. These ML and deep learning models are used to know about the patient who is getting to be readmitted in the ICU before his discharge will help the hospital to allocate resources properly and also reduce the financial risk of patients. In order to reduce ICU readmission that can be avoided, hospitals have to be able to recognize patients who have a higher risk of ICU readmission. Those patients can then continue to stay in the ICU so that they will not have the risk of getting admit back to the hospital. Also, the resources of hospitals that were required for avoidable readmission can be re-allocated to more critical areas in the hospital that need them. A more effective model of predicting readmission system can play an important role in helping hospitals and ICU doctors to find the patients who are going to be readmitted before discharge. To build this system here we use different ML and deep-learning algorithms. Predictive models based on huge amounts of data are made to predict the patients who are going to be admitted back in the hospital after discharge.


2022 ◽  
Vol 258 (1) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Vlad Landa ◽  
Yuval Reuveni

Abstract Space weather phenomena such as solar flares have a massive destructive power when they reach a certain magnitude. Here, we explore the deep-learning approach in order to build a solar flare-forecasting model, while examining its limitations and feature-extraction ability based on the available Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) X-ray time-series data. We present a multilayer 1D convolutional neural network to forecast the solar flare event probability occurrence of M- and X-class flares at 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 72, and 96 hr time frames. The forecasting models were trained and evaluated in two different scenarios: (1) random selection and (2) chronological selection, which were compared afterward in terms of common score metrics. Additionally, we also compared our results to state-of-the-art flare-forecasting models. The results indicates that (1) when X-ray time-series data are used alone, the suggested model achieves higher score results for X-class flares and similar scores for M-class as in previous studies. (2) The two different scenarios obtain opposite results for the X- and M-class flares. (3) The suggested model combined with solely X-ray time-series fails to distinguish between M- and X-class magnitude solar flare events. Furthermore, based on the suggested method, the achieved scores, obtained solely from X-ray time-series measurements, indicate that substantial information regarding the solar activity and physical processes are encapsulated in the data, and augmenting additional data sets, both spatial and temporal, may lead to better predictions, while gaining a comprehensive physical interpretation regarding solar activity. All source codes are available at https://github.com/vladlanda.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Furqan Afzal ◽  
Christian David Márton ◽  
Erin L. Rich ◽  
Kanaka Rajan

Neuroscience has seen a dramatic increase in the types of recording modalities and complexity of neural time-series data collected from them. The brain is a highly recurrent system producing rich, complex dynamics that result in different behaviors. Correctly distinguishing such nonlinear neural time series in real-time, especially those with non-obvious links to behavior, could be useful for a wide variety of applications. These include detecting anomalous clinical events such as seizures in epilepsy, and identifying optimal control spaces for brain machine interfaces. It remains challenging to correctly distinguish nonlinear time-series patterns because of the high intrinsic dimensionality of such data, making accurate inference of state changes (for intervention or control) difficult. Simple distance metrics, which can be computed quickly do not yield accurate classifications. On the other end of the spectrum of classification methods, ensembles of classifiers or deep supervised tools offer higher accuracy but are slow, data-intensive, and computationally expensive. We introduce a reservoir-based tool, state tracker (TRAKR), which offers the high accuracy of ensembles or deep supervised methods while preserving the computational benefits of simple distance metrics. After one-shot training, TRAKR can accurately, and in real time, detect deviations in test patterns. By forcing the weighted dynamics of the reservoir to fit a desired pattern directly, we avoid many rounds of expensive optimization. Then, keeping the output weights frozen, we use the error signal generated by the reservoir in response to a particular test pattern as a classification boundary. We show that, using this approach, TRAKR accurately detects changes in synthetic time series. We then compare our tool to several others, showing that it achieves highest classification performance on a benchmark dataset, sequential MNIST, even when corrupted by noise. Additionally, we apply TRAKR to electrocorticography (ECoG) data from the macaque orbitofrontal cortex (OFC), a higher-order brain region involved in encoding the value of expected outcomes. We show that TRAKR can classify different behaviorally relevant epochs in the neural time series more accurately and efficiently than conventional approaches. Therefore, TRAKR can be used as a fast and accurate tool to distinguish patterns in complex nonlinear time-series data, such as neural recordings.


1998 ◽  
Vol 08 (03) ◽  
pp. 619-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunao Murashige ◽  
Kazuyuki Aihara

This letter describes the coexistence of periodic and chaotic roll motion of a flooded ship in waves. We found experimentally, both with a flooded ferry model and with a simplified box-shaped model, that the two types of roll motion can coexist under the same wave condition. A trajectory reconstructed in a delay-coordinate state space from the time series data of the measured roll angle looks like a low-dimensional strange attractor. Moreover, a mathematical model for the simplified box-shaped ship shows the coexistence of a periodic solution and a chaotic one with a positive maximum Liapunov exponent.


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