scholarly journals Research on Gas Concentration Prediction Models Based on LSTM Multidimensional Time Series

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianjun Zhang ◽  
Shuang Song ◽  
Shugang Li ◽  
Li Ma ◽  
Shaobo Pan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Gas Concentration ◽  
Concentration Time ◽  
Concentration Time Series ◽  
Concentration Prediction

Effective prediction of gas concentrations and reasonable development of corresponding safety measures have important guiding significance for improving coal mine safety management. In order to improve the accuracy of gas concentration prediction and enhance the applicability of the model, this paper proposes a long short-term memory (LSTM) cyclic neural network prediction method based on actual coal mine production monitoring data to select gas concentration time series with larger samples and longer time spans, including model structural design, model training, model prediction, and model optimization to implement the prediction algorithm. By using the minimum objective function as the optimization goal, the Adam optimization algorithm is used to continuously update the weight of the neural network, and the network layer and batch size are tuned to select the optimal one. The number of layers and batch size are used as parameters of the coal mine gas concentration prediction model. Finally, the optimized LSTM prediction model is called to predict the gas concentration in the next time period. The experiment proves the following: The LSTM gas concentration prediction model uses large data volume sample prediction, more accurate than the bidirectional recurrent neural network (BidirectionRNN) model and the gated recurrent unit (GRU) model. The average mean square error of the prediction model can be reduced to 0.003 and the predicted mean square error can be reduced to 0.015, which has higher reliability in gas concentration time series prediction. The prediction error range is 0.0005–0.04, which has better robustness in gas concentration time series prediction. When predicting the trend of gas concentration time series, the gas concentration at the time inflection point can be better predicted and the mean square error at the inflection point can be reduced to 0.014, which has higher applicability in gas concentration time series prediction.

scholarly journals Research on time series characteristics of the gas drainage evaluation index based on lasso regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuang Song ◽  
Shugang Li ◽  
Tianjun Zhang ◽  
Li Ma ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Experimental Comparison ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Gas Drainage ◽  
Gas Concentration ◽  
Concentration Time ◽  
Concentration Time Series ◽  
Concentration Prediction

AbstractThe evaluation of the coal mine gas drainage effect is affected by many factors, such as flow rate, wind speed, drainage negative pressure, concentration, and temperature. This paper starts from actual coal mine production monitoring data and based on the lasso regression algorithm, features selection of multiple parameters of the preprocessed gas concentration time series to construct gas concentration feature selection based on the algorithm. The three-time smoothing index method is used to fill in the missing values. Aiming at the problem of different dimensions in the gas concentration time series, the MinMaxScaler method is used to normalize the data. The lasso regression algorithm is used to perform feature selection on the multivariable gas concentration time series, and the gas concentration time series selected by the lasso feature and the gas concentration time series without feature selection are input. The performance of the ANN algorithm for gas concentration prediction is compared and analyzed. The optimal α value and L1 norm are selected based on the grid search method to determine the strong explanatory gas concentration time series feature set of the working face, and an experimental comparison of the gas concentration prediction results before and after the lasso feature selection is performed. We verify the effectiveness of the algorithm.

Tomato Prices Time Series Prediction Model Based on Wavelet Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 644-650 ◽  
pp. 2636-2640 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Hua Zhang ◽  
Fan Tao Kong ◽  
Jian Zhai Wu ◽  
Meng Shuai Zhu ◽  
Ke Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Wavelet Neural Network ◽  
Agricultural Products ◽  
Price Model ◽  
Agricultural Prices

Accurate prediction of agricultural prices is beneficial to correctly guide the circulation of agricultural products and agricultural production and realize the equilibrium of supply and demand of agricultural area. On the basis of wavelet neural network, this paper, choosing tomato prices as study object, tomato retail price data from ten collection sites in Hebei province from January, 1st, 2013 to December, 30th, 2013 as samples, builds the tomato price time series prediction model to test price model. As the results show, model prediction error rate is less than 0.01, and the correlation (R2) of predicted value and actual value is 0.908, showing that the model could accurately predict tomatoes price movements. The establishment of the model will provide technical support for tomato market monitoring and early warning and references for related policies.

Research on Predictive Model of Gas Concentration for Driving Ventilation in Coal Mine Based on RBF and BP

2013 ◽  
Vol 706-708 ◽  
pp. 1805-1809
Author(s):  
Xiao Yan Gong ◽  
Jun Guo ◽  
He Xue ◽  
Dong Hui Yan ◽  
Zhe Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Rbf Neural Network ◽  
Coal Mines ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Prediction Errors ◽  
Application Research ◽  
Gas Concentration ◽  
Mine Sites

In order to predict accurately gas concentration and design ventilation scheme in driving ventilation process under different gas emission in coal mine, based on the analysis of various ventilation factors, the prediction model structure of gas concentration for driving ventilation was designed based on RBF and BP neural network in this paper. Then MATLAB software and the observation data obtained from the coal mine sites were used to compare and analyze the prediction errors of two models, and a RBF neural network model with higher prediction precision was obtained. After that, the prediction model was used for practical application research on the gas concentration of the heading face in concrete coal mines. The research shows that the settled prediction model can not only predict the gas concentration precisely of driving ventilation, but also provide a certain theory basis for different driving ventilation equipment layout and parameters configuration in the driving ventilation process of coal mines.

scholarly journals Gas Concentration Prediction Based on the Measured Data of a Coal Mine Rescue Robot

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiliang Ma ◽  
Hua Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Gas Concentration ◽  
Quantum Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Rescue Robot ◽  
Concentration Prediction ◽  
Mine Rescue

The coal mine environment is complex and dangerous after gas accident; then a timely and effective rescue and relief work is necessary. Hence prediction of gas concentration in front of coal mine rescue robot is an important significance to ensure that the coal mine rescue robot carries out the exploration and search and rescue mission. In this paper, a gray neural network is proposed to predict the gas concentration 10 meters in front of the coal mine rescue robot based on the gas concentration, temperature, and wind speed of the current position and 1 meter in front. Subsequently the quantum genetic algorithm optimization gray neural network parameters of the gas concentration prediction method are proposed to get more accurate prediction of the gas concentration in the roadway. Experimental results show that a gray neural network optimized by the quantum genetic algorithm is more accurate for predicting the gas concentration. The overall prediction error is 9.12%, and the largest forecasting error is 11.36%; compared with gray neural network, the gas concentration prediction error increases by 55.23%. This means that the proposed method can better allow the coal mine rescue robot to accurately predict the gas concentration in the coal mine roadway.

scholarly journals A Graph Neural Network gas concentration prediction model based on Spatio-Temporal data

2021 ◽  
Vol 2137 (1) ◽  
pp. 012069
Author(s):  
Zhaozhao Zhang ◽  
Yuhao Ye ◽  
Lihong Dong
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Convolutional Network ◽  
Spatial Characteristics ◽  
Gas Concentration ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Temporal And Spatial ◽  
Concentration Prediction

Abstract For the problem of low prediction accuracy caused by traditional neural network gas concentration prediction models which did not consider temporal and spatial characteristics of gas data, this paper proposed a Spatial-Temporal graph neural network gas prediction model based on Spatial-Temporal data. Its essence was the integration of graph convolutional network and WaveNet network. In spatial dimension, graph convolutional network was used to aggregate the information of neighbor nodes, and adaptively adjusts the spatial association strength of each node according to the attention mechanism to captured the spatial characteristics of gas data. In temporal dimension, WaveNet network model was introduced, Dilated Causal Convolution was used to extract the temporal characteristics of gas data on temporal dimensions. According to the distance between gas sensors in the mine, the gas data spatial structure was constructed by Thresholded Gaussian kernel function. Experiment with the measured gas temporal and spatial data, using Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as an indicator of predictive accuracy. The experimental results show that the prediction model mentioned in this paper is significantly improved compared with the prediction accuracy of other predictive models.

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