scholarly journals Research on Multi-Attribute Decision-Making in Condition-Based Maintenance for Power Transformers Based on Cloud and Kernel Vector Space Models

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 5948
Author(s):  
Renxi Gong ◽  
Siqiang Li ◽  
Weiyu Peng

Decision-making for the condition-based maintenance (CBM) of power transformers is critical to their sustainable operation. Existing research exhibits significant shortcomings; neither group decision-making nor maintenance intention is considered, which does not satisfy the needs of smart grids. Thus, a multivariate assessment system, which includes the consideration of technology, cost-effectiveness, and security, should be created, taking into account current research findings. In order to address the uncertainty of maintenance strategy selection, this paper proposes a maintenance decision-making model composed of cloud and vector space models. The optimal maintenance strategy is selected in a multivariate assessment system. Cloud models allow for the expression of natural language evaluation information and are used to transform qualitative concepts into quantitative expressions. The subjective and objective weights of the evaluation index are derived from the analytic hierarchy process and the grey relational analysis method, respectively. The kernel vector space model is then used to select the best maintenance strategy through the close degree calculation. Finally, an optimal maintenance strategy is determined. A comparison and analysis of three different representative maintenance strategies resulted in the following findings: The proposed model is effective; it provides a new decision-making method for power transformer maintenance decision-making; it is simple, practical, and easy to combine with the traditional state assessment method, and thus should play a role in transformer fault diagnosis.

Author(s):  
Xinlong Li ◽  
Yan Ran ◽  
Genbao Zhang

Preventive maintenance is an important means to extend equipment life and improve equipment reliability. Traditional preventive maintenance decision-making is often based on components or the entire system, the granularity is too large and the decision-making is not accurate enough. The meta-action unit is more refined than the component or system, so the maintenance decision-making based on the meta-action unit is more accurate. Therefore, this paper takes the meta-action unit as the research carrier, considers the imperfect preventive maintenance, based on the hybrid hazard rate model, established the imperfect preventive maintenance optimization model of the meta-action unit, and the optimization solution algorithm was given for the maintenance strategy. Finally, through numerical analysis, the validity of the model is verified, and the influence of different maintenance costs on the optimal maintenance strategy and optimal maintenance cost rate is analyzed.


Author(s):  
Guang Zou ◽  
Kian Banisoleiman ◽  
Arturo González

A challenge in marine and offshore engineering is structural integrity management (SIM) of assets such as ships, offshore structures, mooring systems, etc. Due to harsh marine environments, fatigue cracking and corrosion present persistent threats to structural integrity. SIM for such assets is complicated because of a very large number of rewelded plates and joints, for which condition inspections and maintenance are difficult and expensive tasks. Marine SIM needs to take into account uncertainty in material properties, loading characteristics, fatigue models, detection capacities of inspection methods, etc. Optimising inspection and maintenance strategies under uncertainty is therefore vital for effective SIM and cost reductions. This paper proposes a value of information (VoI) computation and Bayesian decision optimisation (BDO) approach to optimal maintenance planning of typical fatigue-prone structural systems under uncertainty. It is shown that the approach can yield optimal maintenance strategies reliably in various maintenance decision making problems or contexts, which are characterized by different cost ratios. It is also shown that there are decision making contexts where inspection information doesn’t add value, and condition based maintenance (CBM) is not cost-effective. The CBM strategy is optimal only in the decision making contexts where VoI > 0. The proposed approach overcomes the limitation of CBM strategy and highlights the importance of VoI computation (to confirm VoI > 0) before adopting inspections and CBM.


IEEE Access ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 28778-28790 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manling Dong ◽  
Hanbo Zheng ◽  
Yiyi Zhang ◽  
Kuikui Shi ◽  
Shuai Yao ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Hong-xia Ji ◽  
Ji-quan Zhang ◽  
Zhen-yong Liu ◽  
Gui-shu Liang ◽  
Hong-shan Zhao

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 749
Author(s):  
Aiping Jiang ◽  
Yuanyuan Wang ◽  
Yide Cheng

Purpose: In order to improve the energy utilization and achieve sustainable development, this paper integrates energy efficiency into condition-based maintenance(CBM) decision-making for two-component parallel systems. The objective is to obtain the optimal maintenance policy by minimizing total cost.Design/methodology/approach: Based on energy efficiency, the paper considers the economic dependence between the two components to take opportunistic maintenance. Specifically, the objective function consists of traditional maintenance cost and energy cost incurred by energy consumption of components. In order to assess the performance of the proposed new maintenance policy, the paper uses Monte-Carlo method to evaluate the total cost and find the optimal maintenance policy.Findings: Simulation results indicate that the new maintenance policy is superior to the classical condition-based opportunistic maintenance policy in terms of total economic costs.Originality/value: For two-component parallel systems, previous researches usually simply establish a condition-based opportunistic maintenance model based on real deterioration data, but ignore energy consumption, energy efficiency (EE) and their contributions of sustainable development. This paper creatively takes energy efficiency into condition-based maintenance(CBM) decision-making process, and proposes a new condition-based opportunistic maintenance policy by using energy efficiency indicator(EEI).


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Zhang ◽  
Guojin Qin ◽  
Yihuan Wang

In the transportation process of urban gas pipelines, there are various uncontrollable risks and uncertainties possibly leading to the failure of gas pipelines and thereby serious consequences, such as city gas shutdown, nearby casualties, and environmental pollution. To avoid these hazards, numerous studies have been performed in identifying and evaluating the occurrence of risks and uncertainties to pipelines. However, discussions on risk reduction and other maintenance work are scarce; therefore, a scientific method to guide decision making is non-existent, thereby resulting in excessive investment in maintenance and reduced maintenance cost of other infrastructures. Therefore, the as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) principle combined with optimization theory is used to discuss pipeline maintenance decision-making methods in unacceptable regions and ALARP regions. This paper focuses on the analysis of pipeline risk reduction in the ALARP region and proposes three optimization decision models. The case study shows that maintenance decision making should consider the comprehensive impact of maintenance cost to reduce risk and loss cost caused by pipeline failure, and that the further cost–benefit analysis of measures should be performed. The proposed pipeline maintenance decision-making method is an economical method for pipeline operators to make risk decisions under the premise of pipeline safety, which can improve the effectiveness of the use of maintenance resources.


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