scholarly journals A Frequency Decomposition-Based Hybrid Forecasting Algorithm for Short-Term Reactive Power

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (20) ◽  
pp. 6606
Author(s):  
Jiabao Du ◽  
Changxi Yue ◽  
Ying Shi ◽  
Jicheng Yu ◽  
Fan Sun ◽  
...  

This paper proposes a new frequency decomposition-based hybrid reactive power forecasting algorithm, EEMD-LSTM-RFR (ELR), which adopts a strategy of frequency decomposition prediction after ensemble empirical mode decomposition and then data reconstruction to improve the prediction ability of reactive power. This decomposition process can compress the high frequency of reactive power and benefits the following separate forecasting. Long short-term memory is proposed for the high-frequency feature of reactive power to deal with the forecasting difficulty caused by strong signal disturbance and randomness. In contrast, random forest regression is applied to the low-frequency part in order to speed up the forecasting. Four classical algorithms and four hybrid algorithms based on different signal decompositions are compared with the proposed algorithm, and the results show that the proposed algorithm outperforms those algorithms. The predicting index RMSE decreases to 0.687, while the fitting degree R2 gradually approaches 1 with a step-by-step superposition of high-frequency signals, indicating that the proposed decomposition-predicting reconstruction strategy is effective.

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 651
Author(s):  
Yan Yan ◽  
Hongyan Xing

In order for the detection ability of floating small targets in sea clutter to be improved, on the basis of the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) algorithm, the high-frequency parts and low-frequency parts are determined by the energy proportion of the intrinsic mode function (IMF); the high-frequency part is denoised by wavelet packet transform (WPT), whereas the denoised high-frequency IMFs and low-frequency IMFs reconstruct the pure sea clutter signal together. According to the chaotic characteristics of sea clutter, we proposed an adaptive training timesteps strategy. The training timesteps of network were determined by the width of embedded window, and the chaotic long short-term memory network detection was designed. The sea clutter signals after denoising were predicted by chaotic long short-term memory (LSTM) network, and small target signals were detected from the prediction errors. The experimental results showed that the CEEMD-WPT algorithm was consistent with the target distribution characteristics of sea clutter, and the denoising performance was improved by 33.6% on average. The proposed chaotic long- and short-term memory network, which determines the training step length according to the width of embedded window, is a new detection method that can accurately detect small targets submerged in the background of sea clutter.


Author(s):  
Nick Perham ◽  
Toni Howell ◽  
Andy Watt

AbstractFunding to support students with dyslexia in post-compulsory education is under pressure and more efficient assessments may offset some of this shortfall. We tested potential tasks for screening dyslexia: recall of adjective-noun, compared to noun-adjective, pairings (syntax) and recall of high versus low frequency letter pairings (bigrams). Students who reported themselves as dyslexic failed to show a normal syntax effect (greater recall of adjective-noun compared to noun-adjective pairings) and no significant difference in recall between the two types of bigrams whereas students who were not dyslexic showed the syntax effect and a bias towards recalling high frequency bigrams. Findings are consistent with recent explanations of dyslexia suggesting that those affected find it difficult to learn and utilise sequential long-term order information (Szmalec et al. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition, 37(5) ,1270-1279, 2011). Further, ROC curve analyses revealed both tasks showed acceptable diagnostic properties as they were able to discriminate between the two groups of participants.


2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 3887-3890 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Chen ◽  
Shang Xu Wang ◽  
Xiao Yu Chuai ◽  
Zhen Zhang

This paper presents a random noise reduction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and wavelet threshold filtering. Firstly, we have conducted spectrum analysis and analyzed the frequency band range of effective signals and noise. Secondly, we make use of EEMD method on seismic signals to obtain intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) of each trace. Then, wavelet threshold noise reduction method is used on the high frequency IMFs of each trace to obtain new high frequency IMFs. Finally, reconstruct the desired signal by adding the new high frequency IMFs on the low frequency IMFs and the trend item together. When applying our method on synthetic seismic record and field data we can get good results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruifang Yuan ◽  
Siyu Cai ◽  
Weihong Liao ◽  
Xiaohui Lei ◽  
Yunhui Zhang ◽  
...  

Hydrological series data are non-stationary and nonlinear. However, certain data-driven forecasting methods assume that streamflow series are stable, which contradicts reality and causes the simulated value to deviate from the observed one. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) was employed in this study to decompose runoff series into several stationary components and a trend. The long short-term memory (LSTM) model was used to build the prediction model for each sub-series. The model input set contained the historical flow series of the simulation station, its upstream hydrological station, and the historical meteorological element series. The final input of the LSTM model was selected by the MI method. To verify the effect of EEMD, this study used the Radial Basis Function (RBF) model to predict the sub-series, which was decomposed by EEMD. In addition, to study the simulation characteristics of the EEMD-LSTM model for different months of runoff, the GM(group by month)-EEMD-LSTM was set up for comparison. The key difference between the GM-EEMD-LSTM model and the EEMD-LSTM model is that the GM model must divide the runoff sequence on a monthly basis, followed by decomposition with EEMD and prediction with the LSTM model. The prediction results of the sub-series obtained by the LSTM and RBF exhibited better statistical performance than those of the original series, especially for the EEMD-LSTM. The overall GM-EEMD-LSTM model performance in low-water months was superior to that of the EEMD-LSTM model, but the simulation effect in the flood season was slightly lower than that of the EEMD-LSTM model. The simulation results of both models are significantly improved compared to those of the LSTM model.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruoyang Chen ◽  
Bin Pan

Since the CSI 300 index futures officially began trading on April 15, 2010, analysis and predictions of the price fluctuations of Chinese stock index futures prices have become a popular area of active research. In this paper, the Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (CEEMD) method is used to decompose the sequences of Chinese stock index futures prices into residue terms, low-frequency terms, and high-frequency terms to reveal the fluctuation characteristics over different time scales of the sequences. Then, the CEEMD method is combined with the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm-based Support Vector Machine (SVM) model to forecast Chinese stock index futures prices. The empirical results show that the residue term determines the long-term trend of stock index futures prices. The low-frequency term, which represents medium-term price fluctuations, is mainly affected by policy regulations under the analysis of the Iterated Cumulative Sums of Squares (ICSS) algorithm, whereas short-term market disequilibrium, which is represented by the high-frequency term, plays an important local role in stock index futures price fluctuations. In addition, in forecasting the daily or even intraday price data of Chinese stock index futures, the combination prediction model is superior to the single SVM model, which implies that the accuracy of predicting Chinese stock index futures prices will be improved by considering fluctuation characteristics in different time scales.


2011 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 483-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
BRADLEY LEE BARNHART ◽  
HONDA KAHINDO WA NANDAGE ◽  
WILLIAM EICHINGER

This investigation presents an improved ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) algorithm that can be applied to discontinuous data. The quality of the algorithm is assessed by creating artificial data gaps in continuous data, then comparing the extracted intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) from both data sets. The results show that errors increase as the gap length increases. In addition, errors in the high-frequency IMFs are less than the low-frequency IMFs. The majority of the errors in the high-frequency IMFs are due to end-effect errors associated with under-defined interpolation functions near the gap endpoints. A method that utilizes a mirroring technique is presented to reduce the errors in the discontinuous decomposition. The improved algorithm provides a more locally accurate decomposition of the data amidst data gaps. Overall, this simple but powerful algorithm expands EEMD's ability to locally extract periodic components from discontinuous data.


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