scholarly journals Challenging a Global Land Surface Model in a Local Socio-Environmental System

Land ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 398
Author(s):  
Kyla M. Dahlin ◽  
Donald Akanga ◽  
Danica L. Lombardozzi ◽  
David E. Reed ◽  
Gabriela Shirkey ◽  
...  

Land surface models (LSMs) predict how terrestrial fluxes of carbon, water, and energy change with abiotic drivers to inform the other components of Earth system models. Here, we focus on a single human-dominated watershed in southwestern Michigan, USA. We compare multiple processes in a commonly used LSM, the Community Land Model (CLM), to observational data at the single grid cell scale. For model inputs, we show correlations (Pearson’s R) ranging from 0.46 to 0.81 for annual temperature and precipitation, but a substantial mismatch between land cover distributions and their changes over time, with CLM correctly representing total agricultural area, but assuming large areas of natural grasslands where forests grow in reality. For CLM processes (outputs), seasonal changes in leaf area index (LAI; phenology) do not track satellite estimates well, and peak LAI in CLM is nearly double the satellite record (5.1 versus 2.8). Estimates of greenness and productivity, however, are more similar between CLM and observations. Summer soil moisture tracks in timing but not magnitude. Land surface reflectance (albedo) shows significant positive correlations in the winter, but not in the summer. Looking forward, key areas for model improvement include land cover distribution estimates, phenology algorithms, summertime radiative transfer modelling, and plant stress responses.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Souhail Boussetta ◽  
Gianpaolo Balsamo ◽  
Emanuel Arduini ◽  
Miguel Nogueira ◽  
Gabriele Arduini ◽  
...  

<p><span><span>The effects of vegetation and land use/land cover maps on surface energy and carbon fluxes predictions from land surface model are investigated. The model is applied at global scale and a comparison between two configurations using different land cover maps is performed. In the first configuration, the land cover is based on the operational GLCCv1.2 map, in the second the ESA-CCI land cover map is used.</span></span></p><p><span><span>Based on these two configurations, the observation operator that disaggregates the satellite-based leaf area index into high and low vegetation components is also modified to ensure optimal conservation of the observed LAI. The Seasonal variability of the vegetation cover is also investigated by introducing a modified lamber-beer formulation that allows varying the vegetation cover as a function of the LAI. </span></span></p>


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (17) ◽  
pp. 23995-24041 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. A. Holm ◽  
K. Jardine ◽  
A. B. Guenther ◽  
J. Q. Chambers ◽  
E. Tribuzy

Abstract. Tropical trees are known to be large emitters of biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOC), accounting for up to 75% of the global isoprene budget. Once in the atmosphere, these compounds influence multiple processes associated with air quality and climate. However, uncertainty in biogenic emissions is two-fold, (1) the environmental controls over isoprene emissions from tropical forests remain highly uncertain; and (2) our ability to accurately represent these environmental controls within models is lacking. This study evaluated the biophysical parameters that drive the global Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature (MEGAN) embedded in a biogeochemistry land surface model, the Community Land Model (CLM), with a focus on isoprene emissions from an Amazonian forest. Upon evaluating the sensitivity of 19 parameters in CLM that currently influence isoprene emissions by using a Monte Carlo analysis, up to 61% of the uncertainty in mean isoprene emissions was caused by the uncertainty in the parameters related to leaf temperature. The eight parameters associated with photosynthetic active radiation (PAR) contributed in total to only 15% of the uncertainty in mean isoprene emissions. Leaf temperature was strongly correlated with isoprene emission activity (R2 = 0.89). However, when compared to field measurements in the Central Amazon, CLM failed to capture the upper 10–14 °C of leaf temperatures throughout the year (i.e., failed to represent ~32 to 46 °C), and the spread observed in field measurements was not representative in CLM. This is an important parameter to accurately simulate due to the non-linear response of emissions to temperature. MEGAN-CLM 4.0 overestimated isoprene emissions by 60% for a Central Amazon forest (5.7 mg m−2 h−1 vs. 3.6 mg m−2 h−1), but due to reductions in leaf area index (LAI) by 28% in MEGAN-CLM 4.5 isoprene emissions were within 7% of observed data (3.8 mg m−2 h−1). When a slight adjustment to leaf temperature was made to match observations, isoprene emissions increased 24%, up to 4.8 mg m−2 h−1. Air temperatures are very likely to increase in tropical regions as a result of human induced climate change. Reducing the uncertainty of leaf temperature in BVOC algorithms, as well as improving the accuracy of replicating leaf temperature output in land surface models is warranted in order to improve estimations of tropical BVOC emissions.


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (15) ◽  
pp. 3902-3923 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter E. Thornton ◽  
Niklaus E. Zimmermann

Abstract A new logical framework relating the structural and functional characteristics of a vegetation canopy is presented, based on the hypothesis that the ratio of leaf area to leaf mass (specific leaf area) varies linearly with overlying leaf area index within the canopy. Measurements of vertical gradients in specific leaf area and leaf carbon:nitrogen ratio for five species (two deciduous and three evergreen) in a temperate climate support this hypothesis. This new logic is combined with a two-leaf (sunlit and shaded) canopy model to arrive at a new canopy integration scheme for use in the land surface component of a climate system model. An inconsistency in the released model radiation code is identified and corrected. Also introduced here is a prognostic canopy model with coupled carbon and nitrogen cycle dynamics. The new scheme is implemented within the Community Land Model and tested in both diagnostic and prognostic canopy modes. The new scheme increases global gross primary production by 66% (from 65 to 108 Pg carbon yr−1) for diagnostic model simulations driven with reanalysis surface weather, with similar results (117 PgC yr−1) for the new prognostic model. Comparison of model predictions to global syntheses of observations shows generally good agreement for net primary productivity (NPP) across a range of vegetation types, with likely underestimation of NPP in tundra and larch communities. Vegetation carbon stocks are higher than observed in forest systems, but the ranking of stocks by vegetation type is accurately captured.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eduardo Emilio Sanchez-Leon ◽  
Natascha Brandhorst ◽  
Bastian Waldowski ◽  
Ching Pui Hung ◽  
Insa Neuweiler ◽  
...  

<p>The success of data assimilation systems strongly depends on the suitability of the generated ensembles. While in theory data assimilation should correct the states of an ensemble of models, especially if model parameters are included in the update, its effectiveness will depend on many factors, such as ensemble size, ensemble spread, and the proximity of the prior ensemble simulations to the data. In a previous study, we generated an ensemble-based data-assimilation framework to update model states and parameters of a coupled land surface-subsurface model. As simulation system we used the Terrestrial Systems Modeling Platform TerrSysMP, with the community land-surface model (CLM) coupled to the subsurface model Parflow. In this work, we used the previously generated ensemble to assess the effect of uncertain input forcings (i.e. precipitation), unknown subsurface parameterization, and/or plant physiology in data assimilation. The model domain covers a rectangular area of 1×5km<sup>2</sup>, with a uniform depth of 50m. The subsurface material is divided into four units, and the top soil layers consist of three different soil types with different vegetation. Streams are defined along three of the four boundaries of the domain. For data assimilation, we used the TerrsysMP PDAF framework. We defined a series of data assimilation experiments in which sources of uncertainty were considered individually, and all additional settings of the ensemble members matched those of the reference. To evaluate the effect of all sources of uncertainty combined, we designed an additional test in which the input forcings, subsurface parameters, and the leaf area index of the ensemble were all perturbed. In all these tests, the reference model had homogenous subsurface units and the same grid resolution as all models of the ensemble. We used point measurements of soil moisture in all data assimilation experiments. We concluded that precipitation dominates the dynamics of the simulations, and perturbing the precipitation fields for the ensemble have a major impact in the performance of the assimilation. Still, considerable improvements are observed compared to open-loop simulations. In contrast, the effect of variable plant physiology was minimal, with no visible improvement in relevant fluxes such as evapotranspiration. As expected, improved ensemble predictions are propagated longer in time when parameters are included in the update.</p>


2006 ◽  
Vol 111 (D18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne-Laure Gibelin ◽  
Jean-Christophe Calvet ◽  
Jean-Louis Roujean ◽  
Lionel Jarlan ◽  
Sietse O. Los

2011 ◽  
Vol 42 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 95-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Venkat Lakshmi ◽  
Seungbum Hong ◽  
Eric E. Small ◽  
Fei Chen

The importance of land surface processes has long been recognized in hydrometeorology and ecology for they play a key role in climate and weather modeling. However, their quantification has been challenging due to the complex nature of the land surface amongst other reasons. One of the difficult parts in the quantification is the effect of vegetation that are related to land surface processes such as soil moisture variation and to atmospheric conditions such as radiation. This study addresses various relational investigations among vegetation properties such as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Leaf Area Index (LAI), surface temperature (TSK), and vegetation water content (VegWC) derived from satellite sensors such as Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and EOS Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E). The study provides general information about a physiological behavior of vegetation for various environmental conditions. Second, using a coupled mesoscale/land surface model, we examine the effects of vegetation and its relationship with soil moisture on the simulated land–atmospheric interactions through the model sensitivity tests. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was selected for this study, and the Noah land surface model (Noah LSM) implemented in the WRF model was used for the model coupled system. This coupled model was tested through two parameterization methods for vegetation fraction using MODIS data and through model initialization of soil moisture from High Resolution Land Data Assimilation System (HRLDAS). Finally, this study evaluates the model improvements for each simulation method.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 1917-1933 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Fang ◽  
Xiwu Zhan ◽  
Christopher R. Hain ◽  
Jifu Yin ◽  
Jicheng Liu

Abstract Green vegetation fraction (GVF) plays a crucial role in the atmosphere–land water and energy exchanges. It is one of the essential parameters in the Noah land surface model (LSM) that serves as the land component of a number of operational numerical weather prediction models at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) of NOAA. The satellite GVF products used in NCEP models are derived from a simple linear conversion of either the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) currently or the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) planned for the near future. Since the NDVI or EVI is a simple spectral index of vegetation cover, GVFs derived from them may lack the biophysical meaning required in the Noah LSM. Moreover, the NDVI- or EVI-based GVF data products may be systematically biased over densely vegetated regions resulting from the saturation issue associated with spectral vegetation indices. On the other hand, the GVF is physically related to the leaf area index (LAI), and thus it could be beneficial to derive GVF from LAI data products. In this paper, the EVI-based and the LAI-based GVF derivation methods are mathematically analyzed and are found to be significantly different from each other. Impacts of GVF differences on the Noah LSM simulations and on weather forecasts of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model are further assessed. Results indicate that LAI-based GVF outperforms the EVI-based one when used in both the offline Noah LSM and WRF Model.


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 2015-2033 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Fairbairn ◽  
Alina Lavinia Barbu ◽  
Adrien Napoly ◽  
Clément Albergel ◽  
Jean-François Mahfouf ◽  
...  

Abstract. This study evaluates the impact of assimilating surface soil moisture (SSM) and leaf area index (LAI) observations into a land surface model using the SAFRAN–ISBA–MODCOU (SIM) hydrological suite. SIM consists of three stages: (1) an atmospheric reanalysis (SAFRAN) over France, which forces (2) the three-layer ISBA land surface model, which then provides drainage and runoff inputs to (3) the MODCOU hydro-geological model. The drainage and runoff outputs from ISBA are validated by comparing the simulated river discharge from MODCOU with over 500 river-gauge observations over France and with a subset of stations with low-anthropogenic influence, over several years. This study makes use of the A-gs version of ISBA that allows for physiological processes. The atmospheric forcing for the ISBA-A-gs model underestimates direct shortwave and long-wave radiation by approximately 5 % averaged over France. The ISBA-A-gs model also substantially underestimates the grassland LAI compared with satellite retrievals during winter dormancy. These differences result in an underestimation (overestimation) of evapotranspiration (drainage and runoff). The excess runoff flowing into the rivers and aquifers contributes to an overestimation of the SIM river discharge. Two experiments attempted to resolve these problems: (i) a correction of the minimum LAI model parameter for grasslands and (ii) a bias-correction of the model radiative forcing. Two data assimilation experiments were also performed, which are designed to correct random errors in the initial conditions: (iii) the assimilation of LAI observations and (iv) the assimilation of SSM and LAI observations. The data assimilation for (iii) and (iv) was done with a simplified extended Kalman filter (SEKF), which uses finite differences in the observation operator Jacobians to relate the observations to the model variables. Experiments (i) and (ii) improved the median SIM Nash scores by about 9 % and 18 % respectively. Experiment (iii) reduced the LAI phase errors in ISBA-A-gs but had little impact on the discharge Nash efficiency of SIM. In contrast, experiment (iv) resulted in spurious increases in drainage and runoff, which degraded the median discharge Nash efficiency by about 7 %. The poor performance of the SEKF originates from the observation operator Jacobians. These Jacobians are dampened when the soil is saturated and when the vegetation is dormant, which leads to positive biases in drainage and/or runoff and to insufficient corrections during winter, respectively. Possible ways to improve the model are discussed, including a new multi-layer diffusion model and a more realistic response of photosynthesis to temperature in mountainous regions. The data assimilation should be advanced by accounting for model and forcing uncertainties.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dazhi Li ◽  
Xujun Han ◽  
Dhanya C.t. ◽  
Stefan Siebert ◽  
Harry Vereecken ◽  
...  

<p>Irrigation is very important for maintaining the agricultural production and sustaining the increasing population of India. The irrigation requirement can be estimated with land surface models by modeling water storage changes but the estimates are affected by various uncertainties such as regarding the spatiotemporal distribution of areas where and when irrigation is potentially applied. In the present work, this uncertainty is analyzed for the whole Indian domain. The irrigation requirements and hydrological fluxes over India were reconstructed by multiple simulation experiments with the Community Land Model (CLM) version 4.5 for the year of 2010.</p><p>These multiple simulation scenarios showed that the modeled irrigation requirement and the land surface fluxes differed between the scenarios, representing the spatiotemporal uncertainty of the irrigation maps. Using a season-specific irrigation map resulted in a higher transpiration-evapotranspiration ratio (T/ET) in the pre-monsoon season compared to the application of a static irrigation map, which implies a higher irrigation efficiency. The remote sensing based evapotranspiration products GLEAM and MODIS ET were used for comparison, showing a similar increasing ET-trend in the pre-monsoon season as the irrigation induced land surface modeling. The correspondence is better if the seasonal irrigation map is used as basis for simulations with CLM. We conclude that more accurate temporal information on irrigation results in modeled evapotranspiration closer to the spatiotemporal pattern of evapotranspiration deduced from remote sensing. Another conclusion is that irrigation modeling should consider the sub-grid heterogeneity to improve the estimation of soil water deficit and irrigation requirement.</p>


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