scholarly journals In-Hospital Mortality of COVID-19 Patients Treated with High-Flow Nasal Oxygen: Evaluation of Biomarkers and Development of the Novel Risk Score Model CROW-65

Life ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 735
Author(s):  
Toni Kljakovic Gaspic ◽  
Mirela Pavicic Ivelja ◽  
Marko Kumric ◽  
Andrija Matetic ◽  
Nikola Delic ◽  
...  

To replace mechanical ventilation (MV), which represents the cornerstone therapy in severe COVID-19 cases, high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO) therapy has recently emerged as a less-invasive therapeutic possibility for those patients. Respecting the risk of MV delay as a result of HFNO use, we aimed to evaluate which parameters could determine the risk of in-hospital mortality in HFNO-treated COVID-19 patients. This single-center cohort study included 102 COVID-19-positive patients treated with HFNO. Standard therapeutic methods and up-to-date protocols were used. Patients who underwent a fatal event (41.2%) were significantly older, mostly male patients, and had higher comorbidity burdens measured by CCI. In a univariate analysis, older age, shorter HFNO duration, ventilator initiation, higher CCI and lower ROX index all emerged as significant predictors of adverse events (p < 0.05). Variables were dichotomized and included in the multivariate analysis to define their relative weights in the computed risk score model. Based on this, a risk score model for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients treated with HFNO consisting of four variables was defined: CCI > 4, ROX index ≤ 4.11, LDH-to-WBC ratio, age > 65 years (CROW-65). The main purpose of CROW-65 is to address whether HFNO should be initiated in the subgroup of patients with a high risk of in-hospital mortality.

Angiology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (10) ◽  
pp. 948-954
Author(s):  
Gülay Gök ◽  
Mehmet Karadağ ◽  
Ümit Yaşar Sinan ◽  
Mehdi Zoghi

We aimed to predict in-hospital mortality of elderly patients with heart failure (HF) by using a risk score model which could be easily applied in routine clinical practice without using an electronic calculator. The study population (n = 1034) recruited from the Journey HF-TR (Patient Journey in Hospital with Heart Failure in Turkish Population) study was divided into a derivation and a validation cohort. The parameters related to in-hospital mortality were first analyzed by univariate analysis, then the variables found to be significant in that analysis were entered into a stepwise multivariate logistic regression (LR) analysis. Patients were classified as low, intermediate, and high risk. A risk score obtained by taking into account the regression coefficients of the significant variables as a result of the LR analysis was tested in the validation cohort using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. In total, 6 independent variables (age, blood urea nitrogen, previous history of hemodialysis/hemofiltration, inotropic agent use, and length of intensive care stay) associated with in-hospital mortality were included in the analysis. The risk score had a good discrimination in both the derivation and validation cohorts. A new validated risk score to determine the risk of in-hospital mortality of elderly hospitalized patients with HF was developed by including 6 independent predictors.


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. E191-E196
Author(s):  
Eslam Elamry ◽  
Hesham Mostafa Alkady ◽  
Yasser Menaissy ◽  
Osama Abdalla

Background: We assessed risk factors for early mortality in isolated total anomalous pulmonary venous connection over a modern era excluding emergent cases to eliminate the influence of associated factors on surgical outcome.  Methods: 70 patients with isolated total anomalous pulmonary venous connection who were repaired electively between January 2013 and February 2018 were included. Results: In-hospital mortality was encountered in 4 patients (5.7%). Upon univariate analysis, low age (P = .003) and weight (P = .001) at surgery, preoperative pulmonary venous obstruction (P = .010), preoperative low oxygen saturation (P = .031), long cardiopulmonary bypass (P = .001) and aortic cross clamp (P = .003) times, long duration of mechanical ventilation (P = .001), chest infection (P = 0.041), postoperative low CO syndrome (P < .001) and long postoperative inotropic support (P = .015) were significant predictors of in-hospital mortality. In multivariate analysis postoperative low cardiac output syndrome (OR: 1.060; 95% CI: 1.008-1.116) and prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation (OR: 1.772; 95% CI: 1.141-2.751) were independent factors of in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: Surgical repair of TAPVC is now performed with acceptable results. According to our study, postoperative low cardiac output syndrome and prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation were the most significant predictors for early mortality.


Critical Care ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ricard Mellado-Artigas ◽  
◽  
Bruno L. Ferreyro ◽  
Federico Angriman ◽  
María Hernández-Sanz ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Whether the use of high-flow nasal oxygen in adult patients with COVID-19 associated acute respiratory failure improves clinically relevant outcomes remains unclear. We thus sought to assess the effect of high-flow nasal oxygen on ventilator-free days, compared to early initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation, on adult patients with COVID-19. Methods We conducted a multicentre cohort study using a prospectively collected database of patients with COVID-19 associated acute respiratory failure admitted to 36 Spanish and Andorran intensive care units (ICUs). Main exposure was the use of high-flow nasal oxygen (conservative group), while early invasive mechanical ventilation (within the first day of ICU admission; early intubation group) served as the comparator. The primary outcome was ventilator-free days at 28 days. ICU length of stay and all-cause in-hospital mortality served as secondary outcomes. We used propensity score matching to adjust for measured confounding. Results Out of 468 eligible patients, a total of 122 matched patients were included in the present analysis (61 for each group). When compared to early intubation, the use of high-flow nasal oxygen was associated with an increase in ventilator-free days (mean difference: 8.0 days; 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.4 to 11.7 days) and a reduction in ICU length of stay (mean difference: − 8.2 days; 95% CI − 12.7 to − 3.6 days). No difference was observed in all-cause in-hospital mortality between groups (odds ratio: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.25 to 1.64). Conclusions The use of high-flow nasal oxygen upon ICU admission in adult patients with COVID-19 related acute hypoxemic respiratory failure may lead to an increase in ventilator-free days and a reduction in ICU length of stay, when compared to early initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation. Future studies should confirm our findings.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ricard Mellado Artigas ◽  
Bruno L. Ferreyro ◽  
Federico Angriman ◽  
María Hernández-Sanz ◽  
Egoitz Arruti ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose: Whether the use of high-flow nasal oxygen in adult patients with COVID-19 associated acute respiratory failure improves clinically relevant outcomes remains unclear. We thus sought to assess the effect of high-flow nasal oxygen on ventilator-free days, compared to early initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation, on adult patients with COVID-19.Methods: We conducted a multicentre cohort study using a prospectively collected database of patients with COVID-19 associated acute respiratory failure admitted to 36 Spanish and Andorran intensive care units (ICUs). Main exposure was the use of high-flow nasal oxygen (conservative group), while early invasive mechanical ventilation (within the first day of ICU admission; early intubation group) served as the comparator. The primary outcome was ventilator-free days at 28 days. ICU length of stay and all-cause in-hospital mortality served as secondary outcomes. We used propensity score matching to adjust for measured confounding.Results: Out of 468 eligible patients, a total of 122 matched patients were included in the present analysis (61 for each group). When compared to early intubation, the use of high-flow nasal oxygen was associated with an increase in ventilator-free days (mean difference: 8.0 days; 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.4 to 11.7 days), and a reduction in ICU length of stay (mean difference: -8.2 days; 95% CI -12.7 to -3.6 days). No difference was observed in all-cause in-hospital mortality between groups (odds ratio: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.25 to 1.64).Conclusions: The use of high-flow nasal oxygen upon ICU admission in adult patients with COVID-19 related acute hypoxemic respiratory failure may lead to an increase in ventilator-free days and a reduction in ICU length of stay, when compared to early initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation. Future studies should confirm our findings.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Wang ◽  
Zhiqiang Zou ◽  
Kun Ding ◽  
Chunguo Hou ◽  
Song Qin

Abstract Background: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a severe systemic virus infectious disease usually having multi-organ dysfunction which resembles sepsis. Methods: Data of 321 patients with laboratory-confirmed SFTS from May 2013 to July 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic and clinical characteristics, calculated quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria for survivors and nonsurvivors were compared. Independent risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality were obtained using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Risk score models containing different risk factors for mortality in stratified patients were established whose predictive values were evaluated using the area under ROC curve (AUC). Results: Of 321 patients, 87 died (27.1%). Age ( p <0.001) and percentage numbers of patients with qSOFA≥2 and SIRS≥2 ( p <0.0001) were profoundly greater in nonsurvivors than in survivors. Age, qSOFA, SIRS score and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were independent risk factors for mortality for all patients. And qSOFA score was the only common risk factor in all patients, those age≥60 years and those enrolled in the intensive care unit (ICU). A risk score model containing all these risk factors (Model1) has high predictive value for in-hospital mortality in these three groups with AUCs (95% CI): 0.919 (0.883-0.946), 0.929 (0.862-0.944) and 0.815 (0.710-0.894), respectively. A model only including age and qSOFA also has high predictive value for mortality in these groups with AUCs (95% CI): 0.872 (0.830-0.906), 0.885(0.801-0.900) and 0.865 (0.767-0.932), respectively. Conclusions: Risk models containing qSOFA have high predictive validity for SFTS mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ya-Dan Wen ◽  
Xiao-San Zhu ◽  
Dong-Jie Li ◽  
Qing Zhao ◽  
Quan Cheng ◽  
...  

AbstractThe present study aimed to construct and evaluate a novel experiment-based hypoxia signature to help evaluations of GBM patient status. First, the 426 proteins, which were previously found to be differentially expressed between normal and hypoxia groups in glioblastoma cells with statistical significance, were converted into the corresponding genes, among which 212 genes were found annotated in TCGA. Second, after evaluated by single-variable Cox analysis, 19 different expressed genes (DEGs) with prognostic value were identified. Based on λ value by LASSO, a gene-based survival risk score model, named RiskScore, was built by 7 genes with LASSO coefficient, which were FKBP2, GLO1, IGFBP5, NSUN5, RBMX, TAGLN2 and UBE2V2. Kaplan–Meier (K–M) survival curve analysis and the area under the curve (AUC) were plotted to further estimate the efficacy of this risk score model. Furthermore, the survival curve analysis was also plotted based on the subtypes of age, IDH, radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Meanwhile, immune infiltration, GSVA, GSEA and chemo drug sensitivity of this risk score model were evaluated. Third, the 7 genes expression were evaluated by AUC, overall survival (OS) and IDH subtype in datasets, importantly, also experimentally verified in GBM cell lines exposed to hypoxic or normal oxygen condition, which showed significant higher expression in hypoxia than in normal group. Last, combing the hypoxia RiskScore with clinical and molecular features, a prognostic composite nomogram was generated, showing the good sensitivity and specificity by AUC and OS. Meanwhile, univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were used for performed to identify variables in nomogram that were significant in independently predicting duration of survival. It is a first time that we successfully established and validated an independent prognostic risk model based on hypoxia microenvironment from glioblastoma cells and public database. The 7 key genes may provide potential directions for future biochemical and pharmaco-therapeutic research.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 509-509
Author(s):  
Elias Jabbour ◽  
Hagop Kantarjian ◽  
Susan O'Brien ◽  
Jenny Shan ◽  
Guillermo Garcia-Manero ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 509 The availability of 2-TKIs has provided new therapeutic options for pts with CML post imatinib failure. We assessed the predictive factors of outcome of pts in CML-CP treated with 2-TKI. A total of 128 pts with CML-CP after imatinib failure treated with dasatinib (n=76) or nilotinib (n=52) were analyzed. Median age was 56 years (range, 21-83). The median duration of CP (CML diagnosis to start of 2-TKI) was 66 months (range, 2-241). Their best response to imatinib was complete hematologic response only in 33%, and cytogenetic response in 55% (23% complete, 16% partial, 15% minor). 4 pts were refractory to imatinib, 3 had unknown response, and 8 were intolerant. At the start of 2-TKI, 94 (73%) pts had active disease. 23% had clonal evolution (CE), and 73% had more than 90% Philadelphia positivity. The median follow-up time was 39 months (range, 15-61) from the start of the 2-TKI. At the time of last follow-up, 108 of the 128 pts (85%) were alive, 86 (67%) in CP on 2-TKI therapy; 17 pts had died. Responses to 2-TKI are shown in Table 1. In the univariate analysis (UA) for event-free survival (EFS), factors associated with poor EFS were splenomegaly, anemia (hemoglobin ≤12g/dL), lack of any cytogenetic response to previous imatinib therapy, ≥ 90% Philadelphia-positive (Ph+) metaphases at the start of 2-TKI therapy, nilotinib therapy, and high sokal risk score disease. In the subsequent multivariate analysis (MVA), splenomegaly, anemia (hemoglobin ≤12g/dL), lack of any cytogenetic response to previous imatinib therapy, and ≥ 90% Ph+ metaphases were selected as independent factors associated with poor EFS. Factors associated with poor overall survival (OS) in the UA were CE, performance status (PS) ≥1, and high sokal risk score at the start of 2-TKI therapy. In the MVA, only CE and a PS ≥1 were selected as independent poor prognostic factors for OS. High hemoglobin level (≥12g/dL), 0% bone marrow blasts, previous cytogenetic response to imatinib therapy, ≤90% Ph+ metaphases, and low sokal risk score were associated with the achievement of a major cytogenetic response (MCyR) by 12 months of therapy with 2-TKI in the UA. In the subsequent MVA for response, the lack of any cytogenetic response to imatinib therapy, anemia (hemoglobin ≤12g/dL) and ≥90% Ph+ metaphases at the start of 2-TKI therapy were selected as poor predictive factors for 12-month MCyR. Pts with 0, 1, 2, or 3 adverse factors had a 12-month probability of achieving a MCyR with 2-TKI therapy of 85%, 79%, 35%, and 14%, respectively. Based on these findings, we developed a score model that included the factors identified as independent predictive for a MCyR by 12 months of therapy with 2-TKI. Three prognostic risk groups are proposed for the new score model: 1) low score (no adverse factors; 16% of pts), in which pts have a 12-month probability of achieving a MCyR of 85%, after therapy with 2-TKI; 2) intermediate score (1-2 adverse factors; 67% of pts), in which pts have a 12-month probability of achieving a MCyR of 56%; and 3) high score (3 adverse factors; 17% of pts), in which pts have a 12-month probability of achieving a MCyR of 14% (Table 2). This score model predicts significantly for EFS (p=0.003) with a trend for OS (p=0.18). In conclusion, the outcome of pts post imatinib failure treated with 2-TKIs is dependent on previous cytogenetic response to imatinib, absence of anemia, and disease burden at the start of therapy. Pts with no previous cytogenetic response to imatinib therapy with anemia and high disease burden have a low likelihood of responding to 2-TKI with poor EFS, and therefore should be offered alternative treatment options. Disclosures: Jabbour: Novartis: Speakers Bureau; Bristol Myers Squibb: Speakers Bureau. Kantarjian:Novartis: Research Funding; Bristol Myers Squibb : Research Funding; Wyeth: Research Funding. Wierda:Bayer: Research Funding; Sanofi Aventis: Research Funding; Abbott: Consultancy, Research Funding; GSK: Consultancy, Research Funding; Trubion: Consultancy; Ligand: Consultancy; Genetech: Consultancy, Honoraria; Medimmune: Consultancy; Celegene: Speakers Bureau. Borthakur:Novartis: Speakers Bureau; Bristol Myers Squibb : Speakers Bureau. Rios:Novartis: Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Bristol Myers Squibb : Consultancy, Honoraria, Speakers Bureau. Cortes:Bristol Myers Squibb: Research Funding; Novartis: Research Funding.


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