scholarly journals Gaussian Process-Based Hybrid Model for Predicting Oxygen Consumption in the Converter Steelmaking Process

Processes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 352 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng-Long Jiang ◽  
Xinyue Shen ◽  
Zhong Zheng

Oxygen is one of the most important energies used in converter steelmaking processes of integrated iron and steel works. Precisely forecasting oxygen consumption before processing can benefit process control and energy optimization. This paper assumes there is a linear relationship between the oxygen consumption and input materials, and random noises are caused by other unmeasurable materials and unobserved reactions. Then, a novel hybrid prediction model integrating multiple linear regression (MLR) and Gaussian process regression (GPR) is introduced. In the hybrid model, the MLR method is developed to figure the global trend of the oxygen consumption, and the GPR method is applied to explore the local fluctuation caused by noise. Additionally, to accelerate the computational speed on the practical data set, a K-means clustering method is devised to respectively train a number of GPR models. The proposed hybrid model is validated with the actual data collected from an integrated iron and steel work in China, and compared with benchmark prediction models including MLR, artificial neural network, support vector machine and standard GPR. The forecasting results indicate that the suggested model is able to not only produce satisfactory point forecasts, but also estimate accurate probabilistic intervals.

2019 ◽  
Vol 127 (4) ◽  
pp. 959-973 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seung Ho Yeom ◽  
Ji Sung Na ◽  
Hwi-Dong Jung ◽  
Hyung-Ju Cho ◽  
Yoon Jeong Choi ◽  
...  

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common sleep breathing disorder. With the use of computational fluid dynamics (CFD), this study provides a quantitative standard for accurate diagnosis and effective surgery based on the investigation of the relationship between airway geometry and aerodynamic characteristics. Based on computed tomography data from patients having normal geometry, 4 major geometric parameters were selected and a total of 160 idealized cases were modeled and simulated. We created a predictive model using Gaussian process regression (GPR) through a data set obtained through numerical method. The results demonstrated that the mean accuracy of the overall GPR model was ~72% with respect to the CFD results for the realistic upper airway model. A support vector machine model was also used to identify the degree of OSA symptoms in patients as normal-mild and moderate and severe. We achieved an accuracy of 82.5% with the training data set and an accuracy of 80% with the test data set. NEW & NOTEWORTHY There have been many studies on the analysis of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) through computational fluid dynamics and finite element analysis. However, these methods are not useful for practical medical applications because they have limited information for OSA symptom. This study employs the machine learning algorithm to predict flow characteristics quickly and to determine the symptoms of the patient's OSA. The overall Gaussian process regression model's mean accuracy was ~72%, and the accuracy for the classification of OSA was >80%.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nhat-Duc Hoang ◽  
Anh-Duc Pham ◽  
Quoc-Lam Nguyen ◽  
Quang-Nhat Pham

This research carries out a comparative study to investigate a machine learning solution that employs the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for modeling compressive strength of high-performance concrete (HPC). This machine learning approach is utilized to establish the nonlinear functional mapping between the compressive strength and HPC ingredients. To train and verify the aforementioned prediction model, a data set containing 239 HPC experimental tests, recorded from an overpass construction project in Danang City (Vietnam), has been collected for this study. Based on experimental outcomes, prediction results of the GPR model are superior to those of the Least Squares Support Vector Machine and the Artificial Neural Network. Furthermore, GPR model is strongly recommended for estimating HPC strength because this method demonstrates good learning performance and can inherently express prediction outputs coupled with prediction intervals.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Philipp Bahlke ◽  
Natnael Mogos ◽  
Jonny Proppe ◽  
Carmen Herrmann

Heisenberg exchange spin coupling between metal centers is essential for describing and understanding the electronic structure of many molecular catalysts, metalloenzymes, and molecular magnets for potential application in information technology. We explore the machine-learnability of exchange spin coupling, which has not been studied yet. We employ Gaussian process regression since it can potentially deal with small training sets (as likely associated with the rather complex molecular structures required for exploring spin coupling) and since it provides uncertainty estimates (“error bars”) along with predicted values. We compare a range of descriptors and kernels for 257 small dicopper complexes and find that a simple descriptor based on chemical intuition, consisting only of copper-bridge angles and copper-copper distances, clearly outperforms several more sophisticated descriptors when it comes to extrapolating towards larger experimentally relevant complexes. Exchange spin coupling is similarly easy to learn as the polarizability, while learning dipole moments is much harder. The strength of the sophisticated descriptors lies in their ability to linearize structure-property relationships, to the point that a simple linear ridge regression performs just as well as the kernel-based machine-learning model for our small dicopper data set. The superior extrapolation performance of the simple descriptor is unique to exchange spin coupling, reinforcing the crucial role of choosing a suitable descriptor, and highlighting the interesting question of the role of chemical intuition vs. systematic or automated selection of features for machine learning in chemistry and material science.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 662-669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junnan Zhao ◽  
Lu Zhu ◽  
Weineng Zhou ◽  
Lingfeng Yin ◽  
Yuchen Wang ◽  
...  

Background: Thrombin is the central protease of the vertebrate blood coagulation cascade, which is closely related to cardiovascular diseases. The inhibitory constant Ki is the most significant property of thrombin inhibitors. Method: This study was carried out to predict Ki values of thrombin inhibitors based on a large data set by using machine learning methods. Taking advantage of finding non-intuitive regularities on high-dimensional datasets, machine learning can be used to build effective predictive models. A total of 6554 descriptors for each compound were collected and an efficient descriptor selection method was chosen to find the appropriate descriptors. Four different methods including multiple linear regression (MLR), K Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were implemented to build prediction models with these selected descriptors. Results: The SVM model was the best one among these methods with R2=0.84, MSE=0.55 for the training set and R2=0.83, MSE=0.56 for the test set. Several validation methods such as yrandomization test and applicability domain evaluation, were adopted to assess the robustness and generalization ability of the model. The final model shows excellent stability and predictive ability and can be employed for rapid estimation of the inhibitory constant, which is full of help for designing novel thrombin inhibitors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 4055
Author(s):  
Mahdi S. Alajmi ◽  
Abdullah M. Almeshal

Machining process data can be utilized to predict cutting force and optimize process parameters. Cutting force is an essential parameter that has a significant impact on the metal turning process. In this study, a cutting force prediction model for turning AISI 4340 alloy steel was developed using Gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector machines (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN) methods. The GPR simulations demonstrated a reliable prediction of surface roughness for the dry turning method with R2 = 0.9843, MAPE = 5.12%, and RMSE = 1.86%. Performance comparisons between GPR, SVM, and ANN show that GPR is an effective method that can ensure high predictive accuracy of the cutting force in the turning of AISI 4340.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4730 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Wang ◽  
Hongyinping Feng ◽  
Guisheng Zhang ◽  
Daizong Yu

An accurate, reliable and stable air quality prediction system is conducive to the public health and management of atmospheric ecological environment; therefore, many models, individual or hybrid, have been implemented widely to deal with the prediction problem. However, many of these models do not take into consideration or extract improperly the period information in air quality index (AQI) time series, which impacts the models’ learning efficiency greatly. In this paper, a period extraction algorithm is proposed by using a Luenberger observer, and then a novel period-aware hybrid model combined the period extraction algorithm and tradition time series models is build to exploit the comprehensive forecasting capacity to the AQI time series with nonlinear and non-stationary noise. The hybrid model requires a multi-phase implementation. In the first step, the Luenberger observer is used to estimate the implied period function in the one-dimensional AQI series, and then the analyzed time series is mapped to the period space through the function to obtain the period information sub-series of the original series. In the second step, the period sub-series is combined with the original input vector as input vector components according to the time points to establish a new data set. Finally, the new data set containing period information is applied to train the traditional time series prediction models. Both theoretical proof and experimental results obtained on the AQI hour values of Beijing, Tianjin, Taiyuan and Shijiazhuang in North China prove that the hybrid model with period information presents stronger robustness and better forecasting accuracy than the traditional benchmark models.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eunseo Oh ◽  
Hyunsoo Lee

The developments in the fields of industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) and big data technologies have made it possible to collect a lot of meaningful industrial process and quality-based data. The gathered data are analyzed using contemporary statistical methods and machine learning techniques. Then, the extracted knowledge can be used for predictive maintenance or prognostic health management. However, it is difficult to gather complete data due to several issues in IIoT, such as devices breaking down, running out of battery, or undergoing scheduled maintenance. Data with missing values are often ignored, as they may contain insufficient information from which to draw conclusions. In order to overcome these issues, we propose a novel, effective missing data handling mechanism for the concepts of symmetry principles. While other existing methods only attempt to estimate missing parts, the proposed method generates a whole set of data set using Gaussian process regression and a generative adversarial network. In order to prove the effectiveness of the proposed framework, we examine a real-world, industrial case involving an air pressure system (APS), where we use the proposed method to make quality predictions and compare the results with existing state-of-the-art estimation methods.


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