scholarly journals The Temporal-Spatial Distribution and Information-Diffusion-Based Risk Assessment of Forest Fires in China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 13859
Author(s):  
Shu Wu

As forest fires are becoming a recurrent and severe issue in China, their temporal-spatial information and risk assessment are crucial for forest fire prevention and reduction. Based on provincial-level forest fire data during 1998–2017, this study adopts principal component analysis, clustering analysis, and the information diffusion theory to estimate the temporal-spatial distribution and risk of forest fires in China. Viewed from temporality, China’s forest fires reveal a trend of increasing first and then decreasing. Viewed from spatiality, provinces characterized by high population density and high coverage density are seriously affected, while eastern coastal provinces with strong fire management capabilities or western provinces with a low forest coverage rate are slightly affected. Through the principal component analysis, Hunan (1.33), Guizhou (0.74), Guangxi (0.51), Heilongjiang (0.48), and Zhejiang (0.46) are found to rank in the top five for the severity of forest fires. Further, Hunan (1089), Guizhou (659), and Guanxi (416) are the top three in the expected number of general forest fires, Fujian (4.70), Inner Mongolia (4.60), and Heilongjiang (3.73) are the top three in the expected number of large forest fires, and Heilongjiang (59,290), Inner Mongolia (20,665), and Hunan (5816) are the top three in the expected area of the burnt forest.

2014 ◽  
Vol 505-506 ◽  
pp. 782-786
Author(s):  
Chun Mei Zhang ◽  
Zhan Xin Ma ◽  
Lu Lu Zhai ◽  
Xin Yu Cui ◽  
Xiao Biao Zhao

Based on the relevant data of comprehensive transportation system in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region from 1990 to 2011, the transport equipment, transport mileage, transport capacity, and the transport share of the total economic output in four aspects are studied. Then we select 13 indicators to build the evaluation of comprehensive transportation system in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Using SPSS17.0 software to perform the principal component analysis could get the evaluation of the development of comprehensive transportation system in Inner Mongolia, which has maintained rapid development in the past 22 years, especially after 2003, higher than previous years. It is in accordance with the current transportation development of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, next we verify the feasibility of the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on transportation problem. The method also has theoretical significance of research on relevant aspects of other areas.


2021 ◽  
Vol 859 (1) ◽  
pp. 012113
Author(s):  
Jing Zhang ◽  
Jinlei Yuan ◽  
Renyuan Wang ◽  
Mingxing Luo ◽  
Yang Chen ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang ye ◽  
Tang Shoufeng ◽  
Shi Ke

Abstract To provide an effective risk assessment of water inrush for coal mine safety production, a BP neural network prediction method for water inrush based on principal component analysis and deep confidence network optimization was proposed. Because deep belief network (DBN) is disadvantaged by a long training time when establishing a high-dimensional data classification model, the principal component analysis (PCA) method is used to reduce the dimensionality of many factors affecting the water inrush of the coal seam floor, thus reducing the number of variables of the research object, redundancy and the difficulty of feature extraction and shortening the training time of the model. Then, a DBN network was used to extract secondary features from the processed nonlinear data, and a more abstract high-level representation was formed by combining low-level features to find the expression of the nonlinear relationship between the characteristics of water inbursts. Finally, a prediction model was established to predict the water inrush in coal mines. The superiority of this method was verified by comparing the prediction of the actual working face with the actual situation in typical mining areas of North China.


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