Russian economy on the background of global pandemics: the basic contours of «new reality»

2020 ◽  
pp. 4-15
Author(s):  
I.I. Smotritskaya

The article deals with conceptual issues related to the adaptation of the Russian economy to the new financial and economic reality that is emerging as a result of the COVID-19 epidemic. The current state of the world economy is studied, the main characteristic features of the «new reality» are highlighted, and the complex of anti-crisis measures implemented in the US and the EU is considered. The results of forecast assessments of the consequences of the pandemic for the economy of our country in the short and long term are analyzed; the principles, priorities and vectors of post-crisis development of the Russian economy are substantiated.

2007 ◽  
Vol 201 ◽  
pp. 8-14

In 2006, global output, measured in terms of purchasing power parities, expanded by 5.4 per cent, the fastest rate of growth since 1973. Despite a higher oil price and the recent rise in global long-term interest rates, we expect world growth to remain above 5 per cent this year, with a slowdown in the US offset by the rapidly expanding China and stable growth in the EU and Japan. In this issue we explore the widening divergence between the return on investment and real interest rates in the major economies. This suggests that despite the recent rise in long real rates it remains profitable for firms to invest in many countries.


2004 ◽  
Vol 187 ◽  
pp. 8-35

The two key factors underlying our forecast this quarter are the continued depreciation of the US$, which is about 4½ per cent weaker in effective terms than in October and 18 per cent below its recent peak in early 2002, and the emergence of what appears to be a sustainable recovery in Japan. Our projections for world growth this year incorporate significant upward revisions for the world's two largest economies, the US and Japan, while the outlook for the EU and Canada remains largely unchanged, although they also gain modest support from stronger demand in the US and Asia.


2012 ◽  
Vol 222 ◽  
pp. F2-F2

World growth is expected to remain below trend at 3.1 per cent in 2012 and 3.4 per cent in 2013.The Euro Area is forecast to contract by 0.5 per cent this year and grow only marginally next year with unemployment reaching ‘depression-era’ rates in some periphery economies. The US is likely to grow by 2 per cent in each year.Growth in Brazil, Russia, India and China will be below long-term potential next year, although ‘hard-landings’ will be avoided; the impact on advanced economies will be offset by a large gain in competitiveness.Debt to GDP ratios in OECD countries will, on average, be higher in 2014 than at present.


2003 ◽  
Vol 183 ◽  
pp. 8-33

Risks of a US driven slowdown in world activity have receded in the past few months, as US consumer demand remains robust. However, a worsened outlook for Germany and Japan suggests that the recovery will be more gradual than previously anticipated, in part as a consequence of the strengthening of the euro and the yen against the dollar in recent months. We estimate that world growth recorded a modest improvement in 2002, rising to 2.7 per cent from 2.2 per cent in 2001. However, regional cyclical variation increased last year. While 2001 saw a sharp slowdown in growth across all the major regions of the world, with the world's three largest economies recording outright recessions, growth accelerated last year in the US, China and Dynamic Asia, but slowed further in the EU, Japan and South America.


1998 ◽  
Vol 37 (4II) ◽  
pp. 1053-1070 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sohail Jehangir Malik ◽  
Hina Nazli

By highlighting the lack of rigorous evidence and calling for a greater understanding of the interaction of the two processes, a recent study [Nelson et al. (1997)] has called into question the strong perception that poverty is both a consequence as well as a cause of resource degradation.1 This perception which is widely held is strongly evident in the writings of the multilateral development agencies such as the World Bank (1990) and IFAD (1992) and exists despite extensive reviews which indicate that the short- and long-term implications of land degradation are not very clear [see Scherr and Yadav (1995)]. Similarly, while knowledge about poverty is expanding rapidly, thanks in large parts to the massive international focus and resources brought to bear on its understanding in the past ten.........................


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (39) ◽  
pp. 91-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viera Ružeková ◽  
Elena Kašťáková

Abstract Expanding globalization of the world economy has put a strong pressure on individual entities that operate in it. International competitiveness has become a major driving force of economic and social differentiation of the countries. Individual states and their public administrations have to create an effective business environment. This paper reflects these developments and, with the help of relevant multi-criteria (GCI, WCI, DBI) and single-criteria indexes of competitiveness, tries to assess the current state of competitiveness of two regions in Central and Eastern Europe – the Visegrad Four and Baltic Group states, which had a similar starting position on their path to building a market economy and integration into the EU structures.


2008 ◽  
pp. 51-61
Author(s):  
A. Apokin

The paper reviews an evolution of key political and economic hypotheses in the literature from 1993 to 2007 related to emergence, stability and correction mechanisms of the so-called "global imbalances" which are connected to the US trade deficit. The special "counterweighting" role of sovereign wealth funds in possible mechanisms of global imbalances’ correction in medium- and long-term perspective is considered.


2015 ◽  
pp. 49-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Simonov

The article analyzes the causes and possible consequences of the current situation in the foreign exchange market for Russian development strategy of import substitution that the country has to develop and implement after the US, the EU and some of its allies initiated economic sanctions against Russia. It is shown that the sanctions policy follows the competition, aggravated with the onset of the structural crisis of the world economy in 2008, that is understood as the crisis in the model of inflationary growth, combined with the cyclical and financial crises.


2002 ◽  
Vol 182 ◽  
pp. 8-36

Global economic activity strengthened considerably in the first half of this year, helped by a rebound in trade volumes and a marked recovery in industrial production. Although the rapid growth experienced in the early part of the year has faltered, there was still broadly-based, if somewhat subdued, growth in activity in all the major economies in the second quarter of the year, with GDP rising by between 0.3-0.6 per cent in the US, the UK, the Euro Area and Japan. For the year as a whole we continue to expect global GDP growth (measured at Purchasing Power Parity exchange rates) to be around 2¾ per cent, which whilst below long-term trend levels, would be a welcome improvement on the growth of under 2¼ per cent seen in 2001.


2014 ◽  
pp. 13-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Glazyev

This article examines fundamental questions of monetary policy in the context of challenges to the national security of Russia in connection with the imposition of economic sanctions by the US and the EU. It is proved that the policy of the Russian monetary authorities, particularly the Central Bank, artificially limiting the money supply in the domestic market and pandering to the export of capital, compounds the effects of economic sanctions and plunges the economy into depression. The article presents practical advice on the transition from external to domestic sources of long-term credit with the simultaneous adoption of measures to prevent capital flight.


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