scholarly journals Identifying structural changes in the exchange rates of South Africa as a regime-switching process

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katleho Makatjane ◽  
Roscoe van Wyk
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Markov Switching ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Machine Learning Approach

Exchange rate volatility is said to exemplify the economic health of a country. Exchange rate break points (known as structural breaks) have a momentous impact on the macroeconomy of a country. Nonetheless, this country study makes use of both unsupervised and supervised machine learning algorithms to classify structural changes as regime shifts in real exchange rates in South Africa. Weekly data for the period January 2003–June 2020 are used. To these data we apply both non-linear principal component analysis and Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. The former approach is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data using an orthogonal linear transformation by preserving the statistical variance of the data, with the proviso that a new trait is non-linearly independent, and it identifies the number of regime switches that are to be used in the Markov-switching model. The latter is used to partition the variance in each regime by allowing an estimation of multiple break transitions. The transition breakpoints estimates derived from this machine learning approach produce results that are comparable to other methods on similar system sizes. Application of these methods shows that the machine learning approach can also be employed to identify structural changes as a regime-switching process. During times of financial crisis, the growing concern over exchange rate volatility, including its adverse effects on employment and growth, broadens the debates on exchange rate policies. Our results should help the South African monetary policy committee to anticipate when exchange rates will pick up and be prepared for the effects of periods of high exchange rates.

scholarly journals South Africa Crime Visualization, Trends Analysis, and Prediction Using Machine Learning Linear Regression Technique

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Ibidun Christiana Obagbuwa ◽  
Ademola P. Abidoye
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Data Repository ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Crime Data ◽  
Social Violence ◽  
Machine Learning Approach

South Africa has been classified as one of the most homicidal, violent, and dangerous places across the globe. However, the two elements that pushed South Africa high in the crime rank are the rates of social violence and homicide. It was reported by Business Insider that South Africa is among the most top 15 ferocious nations on earth. By 1995, South Africa was rated the second highest in terms of murder. However, the crime rate has reduced for some years and suddenly rose again in recent years. Due to social violence and crime rates in South Africa, foreign investors are no longer interested in continuing or starting a business with the nation, and hence, its economy is declining. South Africa’s government is looking for solutions to the crime issue and to redeem the image of the country in terms of high crime ranking and boost the confidence of the investors. Many traditional approaches to data analysis in crime-related studies have been done in South Africa, but the machine learning approach has not been adequately considered. The police station and many other agencies that deal with crime hold a lot of databases that can be used to predict or analyze criminal happenings across the provinces of South Africa. This research work aimed at offering a solution to the problem by building a model that can predict crime. The machine learning approach shall be used to extract useful information from South Africa's nine provinces' crime data. A crime prediction system that can analyze and predict crime is proposed. To accomplish this, South Africa crime data on 27 crime categories were obtained from the popular data repository “Kaggle.” Diverse data analytics steps were applied to preprocess the datasets, and a machine learning algorithm (linear regression) was used to build a predictive model to analyze data and predict future crime. The appropriate authorities and security agencies in South Africa can have insight into the crime trends and alleviate them to encourage the foreign stakeholders to continue their businesses.

1552-P: Machine Learning Approach to Decision-Making for Initial Insulin Use in Japanese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1552-P
Author(s):  
KAZUYA FUJIHARA ◽  
MAYUKO H. YAMADA ◽  
YASUHIRO MATSUBAYASHI ◽  
MASAHIKO YAMAMOTO ◽  
TOSHIHIRO IIZUKA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Type 2 Diabetes ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Japanese Patients ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Machine Learning Approach ◽  
Insulin Use

A Machine Learning Approach to Jet-Surface Interaction Noise Modeling

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clifford A. Brown ◽  
Jonny Dowdall ◽  
Brian Whiteaker ◽  
Lauren McIntyre
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Surface Interaction ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Noise Modeling ◽  
Machine Learning Approach

Mol2vec: Unsupervised Machine Learning Approach with Chemical Intuition

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina Jaeger ◽  
Simone Fulle ◽  
Samo Turk
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Language Processing ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Unsupervised Machine Learning ◽  
Feature Representations ◽  
Machine Learning Approach ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Vector Representations

Inspired by natural language processing techniques we here introduce Mol2vec which is an unsupervised machine learning approach to learn vector representations of molecular substructures. Similarly, to the Word2vec models where vectors of closely related words are in close proximity in the vector space, Mol2vec learns vector representations of molecular substructures that are pointing in similar directions for chemically related substructures. Compounds can finally be encoded as vectors by summing up vectors of the individual substructures and, for instance, feed into supervised machine learning approaches to predict compound properties. The underlying substructure vector embeddings are obtained by training an unsupervised machine learning approach on a so-called corpus of compounds that consists of all available chemical matter. The resulting Mol2vec model is pre-trained once, yields dense vector representations and overcomes drawbacks of common compound feature representations such as sparseness and bit collisions. The prediction capabilities are demonstrated on several compound property and bioactivity data sets and compared with results obtained for Morgan fingerprints as reference compound representation. Mol2vec can be easily combined with ProtVec, which employs the same Word2vec concept on protein sequences, resulting in a proteochemometric approach that is alignment independent and can be thus also easily used for proteins with low sequence similarities.

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