Lead-Lag Relationships between Import Commodity Prices and Freight Rates: The Case of Raw Material Imports of Korea

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 34-45
Author(s):  
Chi-Yeol Kim ◽  
Kwang-So Park
Author(s):  
Eri Kuntoro

Since 2000, Indonesia had been confronted with the problem of increasing income inequality between the poor and rich. At the same time, there was a shift change in the economic structure. That was the decrease in the contribution of manufacturing sector which was replaced by services sector and the increase in raw material export due to the jump in commodity prices. This study aims to measure the determinants of inequality from the employment side in the form of structural transformation and the economic openness side in the form of trade and investment. By using a dynamic panel model, it is known that the increase on trade openness has a significant effect on the reducing of income inequality, but its effect has diminished in the commodity boom period. Meanwhile, the structural transformation from the agricultural sector to the services sector has contributed a significant role in reducing inequality.


Author(s):  
Mohcine Bakhat ◽  
Klaas Würzburg

Past research has mainly applied linear cointegration analysis to study the relationship of crude oil prices with the prices of other commodities. However, recent methodological innovations in cointegration analysis allow for a more thorough analysis of the co-movement of commodity prices and detect asymmetric and thresholds co-movements. Following Enders and Siklos [1] and Hansen and Seo [2], we apply threshold cointegration analysis, detecting co-movements that earlier studies based on linear cointegration analysis could not detect. We find that adjustments to positive and negative deviations from the long-run equilibrium are asymmetric for copper, food and agricultural raw materials in the short-run. Moreover, the adjustments for aluminum and nickel are symmetric. The price Granger causalities behave as expected for metals and agricultural raw material prices. Food prices, however, behave differently. In sum, the results of this paper underscore the importance of consistently testing nonlinear cointegration and point out the complex interactions that take place between the markets of oil and other commodities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 168-178
Author(s):  
Tamás Mizik

Crises impact every sector of the economy; however, the magnitude of that impact varies between the different sectors. The agri-food sector-related lessons learned from the last two crises (global financial crisis in 2008, and the sanctions against Russia in 2014) are that international trade becomes lower and commodity prices rise. This article analyzes the performance of the Hungarian agri-food sector during the last three crises based on international and Hungarian datasets. The results show that impacts depend on many factors, such as the type of the agri-food products (raw material vs. processed product, perishable vs. non-perishable goods, etc.) or the depth of trade integration. It should be noted that Hungary is heavily integrated into the EU’s common market, its major trade partners are the other member states. At the commodity level, the share of raw materials is higher on the export side (e.g. cereals) compared to the import side (e.g. meat products). Based on the results, the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic were different from the two previous crises. Despite the difficulties in transport, Hungarian exportation expanded and resulted in an increasing trade surplus, while international commodity prices remained stable. The identification of the different impacts of the coronavirus compared to the other two crises is the major finding of the article. Doi: 10.28991/HIJ-2021-02-03-02 Full Text: PDF


Author(s):  
Cristiani Eccher

The Dairy Industry faces many challenges compared to other sectors. On the supply side due to the nature of the raw material, large inventories are not applied; during the manufacturing process, the continuous production is highly sensitive to any sort of unplanned disruption; and on the demand side, the market dictates the commodity prices. In response to the growth in competition, dairy organizations’ strategy must incorporate technology into their daily processes in order to become more efficient, profitable and sustainable. To achieve desired levels of improvement, Modelling and Simulation has been increasing in popularity in the decision-making process. Using a Dairy company as a case study, this paper has highlighted the potential for Modelling and Simulation to be used as a powerful strategic tool for decision-making processes.


1958 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 408-415

The ninth annual report of the Organization for European Economic Cooperation (OEEC), entitled A Decade of Cooperation, Achievements and Perspectives?, was made public in April 1958. It included a summary of the origins of OEEC and reviewed the ten years of its history, considering such topics as the recovery and expansion of output, expanding exports and freeing trade, the creation of the European Payments Union and its activities, the fight against inflation, and cooperation in various fields of economic activity. It devoted a section to present and future tasks, noting that finding the means for maintaining adequate expansion along with financial stability was a major problem. The report stated that in recent months there had been signs, with one or two important exceptions, that the pressure on prices had slackened; raw material prices had fallen, and the price rise for manufacturing products had been checked. After reaching record levels, the pace of industrial expansion in western Europe had been considerably reduced as the investment boom tapered off; there had been no increase in total industrial production in member countries combined since spring 1957. A fall in many primary commodity prices, due largely to a continued upward trend in output of primary commodities in the face of a levelling off of world demand had reduced the purchasing power of third countries and eventually would tend to reduce their purchases from member countries. The present economic situation, therefore, had conflicting tendencies, making it difficult to establish firm lines of policy; demand pressures had eased, but the rise of the cost of living had not clearly been checked.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 351-370
Author(s):  
Cumhur ŞAHİN

Commodity markets, both in the past and in modern times, have had an extraordinary economic impact on individuals and societies. Although it is not known exactly when and where commodity markets started, it is thought that it started about 6000 years ago with rice trade in China. Commodities, as raw material providers used in production, have an intensive usage area. This study aims to examine the global commodity prices such as gold ounce price, silver ounce price, copper price, Brent crude oil price, and natural gas prices, and the volatility structure in the Borsa Istanbul 100 index, representing the Turkey Stock Market. For this purpose, daily closing prices for the period of 2015 January-2019 December were examined in the study. To investigate the time evolution of correlations between the commodities and stock market, the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH model is used. The results show that the volatility between the BIST 100 index and commodity prices has constant effects and a comprehensive volatility clustering arises.


2001 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucia Savadori ◽  
Eraldo Nicotra ◽  
Rino Rumiati ◽  
Roberto Tamborini

The content and structure of mental representation of economic crises were studied and the flexibility of the structure in different social contexts was tested. Italian and Swiss samples (Total N = 98) were compared with respect to their judgments as to how a series of concrete examples of events representing abstract indicators were relevant symptoms of economic crisis. Mental representations were derived using a cluster procedure. Results showed that the relevance of the indicators varied as a function of national context. The growth of unemployment was judged to be by far the most important symptom of an economic crisis but the Swiss sample judged bankruptcies as more symptomatic than Italians who considered inflation, raw material prices and external accounts to be more relevant. A different clustering structure was found for the two samples: the locations of unemployment and gross domestic production indicators were the main differences in representations.


2006 ◽  
Vol 103 (2) ◽  
pp. 76-81
Author(s):  
C. Perin Filho ◽  
D. Tassinari Miranda ◽  
E. Medeiros Milanez ◽  
E. Luiz Massanori Harano ◽  
E. Torres Bispo dos Santos ◽  
...  

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