scholarly journals Correspondence between Monetary Policies and Stock Prices

Money supply in an economy plays a vital role in determining the prices of stocks. This study uses repo rate and reverse repo rate as a proxy for money supply and the stock return from CNX Nifty as the dependant variable. This study uses monthly data for 10 years. The study is aimed at determining the relationship between repo rate, reverse repo rate and stock price return. The study identifies that repo rate and reverse repo rate are significantly affecting he stock return.

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isaac Cliford Queku ◽  
Seth Gyedu ◽  
Emmanuel Carsamer

PurposeThe purpose of the paper is to investigate the causal relationships and speed of adjustment of stock prices to changes in macroeconomic information (MEI) in Ghana from 1996 to 2018 using monthly data. The paper seeks to conduct the investigation at individual MEI level rather than the composite MEI.Design/methodology/approachQuantitative approach was used in this paper. Monthly data span of 1996–2018 was used. The delay and half-life technique was used to determine the speed with which the information resulting from the changes in the macroeconomic are evident in the stock price. Thereafter, Toda–Yamamoto Granger no-causality approach was used to examine the causal relationship amongst variables.FindingsThe paper revealed that although the market adjustment to MEI has improved, the speed is till slow. The exchange rate exhibited the slowest speed in respect of the market reaction while the market reaction to money supply was the fastest. Toda–Yamamoto Granger no-causality estimation also revealed a bi-directional causality between MEI (gross domestic product, interest rate and money supply) and stock price and uni-directional relationship flowing from MEI (the exchange rate and foreign direct investment) to stock price. The paper also found no causality between inflation and stock price.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings although revealed improved level of market efficiency in comparison with the earlier data, the speed of adjustment is still undesirable. Rigorous approach should be adopted for the implementation of major reforms such as alternative market so as to increase the number of share listing and to increase the scope of investors' participation to enhancing trading volume and marketability and ultimately speed up information diffusion.Practical implicationsThe practical implication of the low level of information processing rate of Ghana Stock Exchange (averagely more than a month) is that astute investors and market analysts could employ MEI to outperform the market prior to their infusion onto the stock market.Originality/valueThis study is one of the few studies in the Ghanaian literature that has extended the investigation of the speed of adjustment beyond composite or aggregate macroeconomic level estimation to estimation at individual variable level. This contribution is very relevant since each macroeconomic variable has unique characteristics and require specific policy framework, it is important to consider the speed of adjustment from the perspective of each of the individual variables.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-194
Author(s):  
Kangtao Ye ◽  
Jenny Xinjiao Guan ◽  
Bo Zhang

We examine the effect of strategic deviation on the relative amount of firm-specific information incorporated into stock prices, measured by stock return synchronicity. Strategic deviation is conceptualized as the extent to which the pattern of a firm’s resource allocation deviates from that of its industry peers. We find that strategic deviation is negatively associated with stock return synchronicity. Using a path analysis, we document that firms following deviant strategy issue more frequent managerial forecasts and have a higher level of block ownership than nondeviant firms, and that both managerial forecasts and block ownership partially mediate the relationship between strategic deviation and stock return synchronicity. Our study contributes to accounting and finance literature by documenting the role of firms’ strategic positioning in the stock price-formation process.


Author(s):  
Caroline Geetha

The aim of this study is to find the relationship between the monetary transmission channels with the stock prices.  The study utilizes the monthly data from 1990 to 2001 obtained from the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Report and the monthly bulletin of the Central Bank of Malaysia.  The result revealed that all the variables are non-stationary at the level form and stationary at the first difference.  The Johansen Cointegration revealed that a long-run relationship does exist for the unanticipated changes in money supply, unlike the anticipated changes in money supply that only established a short-run relationship with stock prices.  This is due to the level of monetization that is unable to eliminate the excess in the money market in the long run. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 18-38
Author(s):  
Mani Raj Shrestha

Monetary authorities are attentive towards stock price movement because of its significance in financial stability. Though stock price is one of the major channels of monetary transmission, very little is known about it in Nepali context. This study analyzed monetary variables, stock prices, and monetary policy goals using time series data. Results from Koyck approach to distributed lags, vector autoregression and mediation analysis revealed mixed evidence of causality between monetary policy and stock prices. Though results were not consistent across different econometric analysis, inter-bank interest rate, narrow money supply, broad money supply, monetary policy announcement, and monetary policy stances were found to be significant in explaining stock prices. Furthermore, causality also existed from stock prices to monetary policy, suggesting that monetary authorities also consider development in stock prices while formulating monetary policies. However, stock prices had not been found to mediate the relationship between monetary policy variables and monetary policy goals, which questioned stock prices being a channel of monetary policy transmission in Nepal.


2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1519-1544 ◽  
Author(s):  
George J. Jiang ◽  
Tong Yao

AbstractWe identify large discontinuous changes, known as jumps, in daily stock prices and explore the role of jumps in cross-sectional stock return predictability. Our results show that small and illiquid stocks have higher jump returns to the extent that cross-sectional differences in jumps fully account for the size and illiquidity effects. Based on value-weighted portfolios, jumps also account for the value premium. On the other hand, jumps are not the cause of momentum or net share issue effects. The findings of our study shed new light on stock return dynamics and present challenges to conventional explanations of stock return predictability.


Author(s):  
Aprih . Santoso

Abstract : Companies need funds in order to carry out operations such as the financing of production activities, pay employees, pay other expenses related to the operation of the company. One way to obtain these funds is to attract investors to invest in companies in the form of stock, but in making this investment is certainly not easy for investors, because investors need consideration beforehand to find out how the company's performance. The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the effect of operating cash flow to stock return through stock price at companies listed on the Stock Exchange Year 2012-2015. The data used in this study dala are secondary data from the financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 - 2015. The data are in the form of financial statements can be obtained from the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (ICMD), the IDX website www.idx.co. id as well as from various other sources to support this research. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange the period 2012 - 2015. The samples taken by the sampling technique used purposive sampling.From the test results and analysis of the data it can be concluded that operating cash flow directly and indirectly has no effect on stock returns through stock prices showed no significant results. Keywords :  Operating Cash Flow, Stock Price, Stocks Return


2022 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 72-80
Author(s):  
Soltane et al. ◽  

The objective of this research is to investigate the relationship between illiquidity and stock prices on the Tunisian stock exchange. While previous researches tended to focus on one form of illiquidity to examine this relationship, our study unifies three forms of illiquidity at the same time. Indeed, we simultaneously consider illiquidity as systematic risk, as a characteristic of the market, and as a characteristic of the stock. The aggregate illiquidity of the market is the average of individual stock illiquidity. The illiquidity risk is the sensitivity of the stock price to illiquidity shocks. Shocks of market illiquidity are estimated by the innovations in the expected market illiquidity. Results show that investors on the Tunisian stock exchange do not require higher returns when they expect a rise of market illiquidity, whereas investors on U.S markets are compensated for higher expected market illiquidity. In addition, shocks of market illiquidity provoke a fall in stock prices of small caps, while large caps are not sensitive to market illiquidity shocks. This differs slightly from results based on U.S. data where illiquidity shocks reduce all stock prices but most notably those of small caps. Robustness tests validate our findings. Our results are consistent with previous studies which reported that the “zero-return” ratio predicts significantly the return-illiquidity relationship on emerging markets.


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Setyaningsih Setyaningsih

The objective of this study is to investigate the relationship between accounting variables and stock price changes in Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX). Some accounting variables in this study are devidend payout  ratio, assets size, assets growth , leverage ratio, variability in earning and covariability in earning as independent variables, the independent variables are stock  price changes. The study analysis 80 cases of active firms  in  the period of 1994 to 1997.  Data is collected by means of purpo sive random sampling. Regression analysis is used to analyse the data.The  result  of  the study  shows  that  there  is significant  affect  of  the  sevent financial accounting informations in the model as predictor of stock price changes (Y); there are two variables to be dropped because there is multicolinierity among variables. Those variables are leverage ratio (X5) and covariability in earning (X7) . There are five other independent variables affect significantly to stock prices changes (Y), which their contribution is 49%.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 110-118
Author(s):  
Muhamad Muin ◽  

This study aims to analyze the relationship between the rupiah exchange rate (RER) and the money supply (M1) on the outgrowth of the consumer price index (CPI) in Indonesia. The data used in this study are monthly data series from January 2005 to January 2019. The results of this empirical study shows that there is a relationship between RER and M1 on CPI in the long term and there is a correction in the short term balance (ECM) which is influenced by M1. All of these variables are significant at α = 5% and partly significant at α = 1%.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (11) ◽  
pp. 2331
Author(s):  
Niswatin Chasanah ◽  
Sylva Alif Rusmita

This study aims to determine and analyze the effect of profitability (ROA) on stock prices with corporate social responsibility (CSR) as a variable that moderates the two variables. The object of this research is companies incorporated in JII and SRI-KEHATI indexes that meet the test sample criteria during the period 2016 - 2018. This study uses a quantitative approach. Analysis of the data in this study used a moderation regression analysis (MRA). This study uses 20 samples for the JII index and 21 for the SRI-KEHATI index. Data obtained from the company's financial statements incorporated in JII and the SRI-KEHATI index for the period of 2016 - 2018 on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) website. The results showed that Return On Assets (ROA) had a significant effect on JII stock prices and SRI-KEHATI index stock prices. Furthermore, with CSR as a moderating variable showing the results of research with JII that is partially CSR disclosure shows a significant value which means CSR disclosure is able to moderate the relationship of ROA with JII stock prices. Overall (simultaneous) independent variables (ROA, CSR, ROA * CSR) significantly influence the stock price of JII. Furthermore, the results of research with the SRI-KEHATI index partially disclose CSR as a moderating variable showing a significant value. This means that CSR disclosure is not able to moderate the relationship of ROA with JII stock prices. while overall (simultaneous) independent variables (ROA, CSR, ROA * CSR) affect the stock price of the SRI-KEHATI index.Keywords: Profitability,StockPrice,ROA,CSR


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document