scholarly journals Relation of Economic Growth and Macro Economic Variables

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 220-225
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Economic Variables ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Import Trade

Indian economy is experiencing a downturn in its business cycle, the relation between growth, inflation, exchange rate, trade openness, investment, export and import is examined, to understand how these variables influence the GDP of an economy. In this context this article is an attempt to identify the factors which helps to fasten the process of economic growth for India when it is passing through a phase of recession. Cointegration among variables in both short and long term is observed. Granger causality results indicate that all the variables cause/influence each other. The regression of the macro economic variables on GDP indicates that import, trade openness is significant and negatively related; whereas investment is positively related. Results of the study indicate investment in the economy will contribute to growth as it will reduce dependence on import.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

scholarly journals Impact of FDI on Provincial Economic Growth in Vietnam

2014 ◽  
Vol 221 ◽  
pp. 65-84
Author(s):  
THÀNH SỬ ĐÌNH ◽  
Tiến Nguyễn Minh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Resources ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Controversial Issue ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Impact

The impact of foreign direct imvestment (FDI) on economic growth is still a highly controversial issue as remarked by many researchers (Aitken et al.; 1997; Carkovic & Levine, 2002; Bende-Nabende et al., 2003; Durham, 2004; and Hsiao, 2006). Using a panel dataset of 43 provinces in Vietnam during 1997 – 2012 and the Granger causality test by Arellano-Bond GMM and PMG estimation, this paper shows that: (i) FDI does Granger-cause private investment, human resources, taxation, infrastructure, trade openness and local technology; (ii) FDI has a positive impacts on provincial economic growth in the long term; and (iii) FDI flows vary over provinces due to differences in geographical conditions and level of development.

scholarly journals Influence of Exchange Rate on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: An Empirical Analysis Based on Co-Integration and Granger Causality Test

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Lan Tan ◽  
Yifan Xu ◽  
Alemayehu Gashaw
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Close Association ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Although it is widely recognized that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows have a dominant effect on economic growth of host countries, the determinants of FDI inflows are still unclear. Especially, about the effect of exchange rate on FDI inflow, the results reached by scholars vary across countries or regions. It is of great practical and theoretical significance to explore the influencing effects of exchange rate on FDI inflow and identify the mechanisms that underlie them in close association with regional economic characters so as to help local government implement targeted government policies to achieve sustainable FDI inflow and sustainable economic growth. For this purpose, the influencing effects and the influencing mechanisms of the exchange rate on FDI inflows are investigated for Zhejiang province, China, over 1985–2019 by employing the co-integration tests, vector error correction models, Granger causality tests, and impulse response tests. Empirical results indicate that there are long-term stable and unidirectional causal relationship between the exchange rate and FDI inflow. Continuous appreciation of RMB against USD discourages FDI inflow. The mechanism which underlies the long-term relationship is the wealth effect, rather than the cost effect or the demand effect. By contrast, in the short run, neither the exchange rate nor the three influencing mechanism has a significant impact on FDI inflow. These results suggest policy recommendations for improving FDI by accumulating human capital and improving infrastructure. These findings are also applicable for other countries or regions with similar economic characters.

scholarly journals Economic Growth, Domestic Investment, Real Exchange Rate and Trade Openness in India: A multi-cointegration analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 169-184
Author(s):  
Md. Samsur Jaman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This study examines the relationships between economic growth, gross domestic investment, real exchange rate and trade openness in Indian Economy using the Johansen –Juselius cointegration test and VEC Granger causality test. The results suggest that there exists a long-run relationship among the variables. All the estimated coefficients of the long-run equation have the correct positive signs and significant at least at the 5 per cent level. Specifically, in the long run, a 1% increase in Gross Domestic Investment (GDI) increases 0.066% in economic growth. Similarly, a 1% increase in trade openness leads to 0.082% increase in economic growth and a 1% increase in real exchange rate leads to 0.26% increase in economic growth. Thus, in the long run, Gross Domestic Investment (GDI), trade openness and real exchange rate have positively impact on economic growth. The results from the VEC Granger causality test suggest that in the short run only economic growth has short run impact on Gross Domestic Investment (GDI). The other variables have no short run impact on each other. Thus, there is a unidirectional causality from economic growth to GDI, but there is no feedback effect.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (IV) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

Foreign Direct Investment in the Make in India Era

2021 ◽  
pp. 474-479
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Dummy Variable ◽  
The Government ◽  
Long Term Impact

The present study attempted to examine the recent effects of FDI on India's economic growth in the Make in India initiative (MII) launched by the government. The trends of FDI inflows in India showed that when the CAGR of FDI inflows was -2.78 percent from 2008 to 2014 (pre-Make in India), the CAGR of FDI inflows was 8.54 percent between 2014 to 2020 (Post-Make in India). Further, the OLS results showed that the variables such as FDI inflows, trade openness, and exchange rate significantly impact India's economic growth. The dummy variable that stood for the Make in India initiative had a statistically significant impact on growth. The predictions about FDI inflows showed an upward trajectory since 2021-2022, which suggested that India may have further scope to attract more FDI into the country if they continue to do reforms like before and enhance competitiveness, and FDI may have a long-term impact on GDP.

scholarly journals Financial Development and Economic Growth: Case of Mali

2021 ◽  
pp. 108-119
Author(s):  
Dr N’Diaye Mamadou
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Growth Equation ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
Short And Long Term

This article examines the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Mali. The process by which financial development affects economic growth in Mali has been observed: first, by regressing a growth equation, and second, by Granger causality. To do this, the ordinary least squares method is used to estimate an error correction model over the period 1980-2015. The results obtained show that bank deposits and loans to the economy have a negative and significant effect on short-term economic growth. Moreover, the money supply has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in the short and long term. Moreover, public spending and trade openness has a positive and significant effect on economic growth, in the short and long term for the former and, in the long term for the latter. In addition, no Granger causal link was detected. A probable improvement lies in the continuation of the reforms, already undertaken by the CBWAS.

The influence of inflation targeting on the pass-through effect of the exchange rate

2018 ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
Ph. S. Kartaev ◽  
Yu. I. Yakimova
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

The paper studies the impact of the transition to the inflation targeting regime on the magnitude of the pass-through effect of the exchange rate to prices. We analyze cross-country panel data on developed and developing countries. It is shown that the transition to this regime of monetary policy contributes to a significant reduction in both the short- and long-term pass-through effects. This decline is stronger in developing countries. We identify the main channels that ensure the influence of the monetary policy regime on the pass-through effect, and examine their performance. In addition, we analyze the data of time series for Russia. It was concluded that even there the transition to inflation targeting led to a decrease in the dependence of the level of inflation on fluctuations in the ruble exchange rate.

ISSUES OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STATE BUDGET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (7) ◽  
pp. 4-19
Author(s):  
Akmal Baltayevich Allakuliev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
The State ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Dynamic Correlations ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The article examines the interaction of the country's GDP with the state budget in the short and long term, the impact of the macro-fiscal mechanism on the country's economic growth on the example of Uzbekistan.The aim of the study is to identify dynamic correlations between the country's state budget expenditures and the economic growth of the macro-fiscal mechanism in the short and long term, as well as to analyze the approximation or rate of return of GDP and the state budget to equilibrium during various macroeconomic shocks. and hesitation.The scientific novelties of the research are:

scholarly journals PENGARUH LIBERALISASI ARUS MODAL TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI ASEAN-5

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 345-354
Author(s):  
Devilia Sitorus ◽  
Crisanty Sutristyaningtyas Titik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Financial Openness ◽  
Partial Adjustment ◽  
Adjustment Model ◽  
Partial Adjustment Model ◽  
Short And Long Term

This study aims to examine the relationship between capital flow liberalization and economic growth in ASEAN-5. This research is a quantitative study that uses data: GDP, Gross Capital Formation, financial disclosure seen from the Chinn-Ito index for the period 2000-2017 in 5 ASEAN countries namely Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Data were processed using panel data regression analysis and specifically for Indonesia, Partial Adjustment Model (PAM) regression was performed. The results of this study indicate that financial openness seen from the Chinn-Ito index has a negative and significant influence on the economic growth of ASEAN-5 countries. Capital flows have a positive and significant impact on the economic growth of ASEAN-5 countries. Meanwhile, the PAM (Partial Adjustment Model) regression model shows that capital flows have a positive and significant influence on Indonesia's economic growth both in the short and long term, while financial openness has a negative and significant impact on Indonesia's economic growth both in the short and long term.

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