scholarly journals INCOME APPROACH AND PROPERTY MARKET CYCLE

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 207-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maurizio D’AMATO
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Property Market ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Bubble ◽  
Valuation Method ◽  
Real Estate Valuation ◽  
Income Approach ◽  
Valuation Process

This paper is focused on a proposed valuation method including real estate market cycle analysis in real estate valuation process. Starting from early works on this field (d'Amato 2003) the work highlight the dangerous gap between academic research on property market cycles and professional practice of property valuation. The danger of this gap comes from the fact that in spite it is well documented that the property market has a “natural” cyclical behaviour, the opinions of value based on income approaches still relies on assumption of a stable or perpetually growing (or decreasing) income. This may be one generating factors of the real estate bubble and the subsequent financial markets crisis experienced recently. This paper offers a general introduction on cyclical capitalization as a further family of valuation methodologies based on income approach. This method includes in the traditional Dividend Discount Model more than one g-factor in order to plot property market cycle. An empirical application of Cyclical Capitalization is offered to the office market of the Eastern London.

Cyclical capitalization and lag vacancy

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 211-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maurizio d’Amato
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Mortgage Lending ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
Valuation Process

Purpose This paper aims to propose a new valuation method for income producing properties. The model originally called cyclical dividend discount models (d’Amato, 2003) has been recently proposed as a family of income approach methodologies called cyclical capitalization (d’Amato, 2013; d’Amato, 2015; d’Amato, 2017). Design/methodology/approach The proposed methodology tries to integrate real estate market cycle analysis and forecast inside the valuation process allowing the appraiser to deal with real estate market phases analysis and their consequence in the local real estate market. Findings The findings consist in the creation of a methodology proposed for market value and in particular for mortgage lending determination, as the model may have the capability to reach prudent opinion of value in all the real estate market phase. Research limitations/implications Research limitation consists mainly in a limited number of sample of time series of rent and in the forecast of more than a cap rate or yield rate even if it is quite commonly accepted the cyclical nature of the real estate market. Practical implications The implication of the proposed methodology is a modified approach to direct capitalization finding more flexible approaches to appraise income producing properties sensitive to the upturn and downturn of the real estate market. Social implications The model proposed can be considered useful for the valuation process of those property affected by the property market cycle, both in the mortgage lending and market value determination. Originality/value These methodologies try to integrate in the appraisal process the role of property market cycles. Cyclical capitalization modelling includes in the traditional dividend discount model more than one g-factor to plot property market cycle dealing with the future in a different way. It must be stressed the countercyclical nature of the cyclical capitalization that may be helpful in the determination of mortgage lending value. This is a very important characteristic of such models.

scholarly journals Principles and Criteria for using Statistical Parametric Models and Conditional Models for Valuation of Multi-Component Real Estate

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 33-43
Author(s):  
Tomasz Adamczyk ◽  
Agnieszka Bieda ◽  
Piotr Parzych
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Parametric Model ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Comparative Approach ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Valuation ◽  
Conditional Models ◽  
Valuation Process

Abstract The complexity of multi-component real properties results from the possibility of identifying various components in legal, physical or functional terms. The possibility of distinguishing various functional elements of real properties, combined with the specificity resulting from their market properties, is problematic when applying the comparative approach to real estate valuation. In this case, the valuation procedure can be implemented using statistical models: the parametric model or the conditional one. This research paper demonstrates the construction of the parametric and conditional models taking into account the geometric and pricing attributes of multi-component real estate. The authors paid attention to adjusting the models to the available market data. They also specified the conditions for the use of statistical models in the real estate valuation process. Based on the analytical and accounting considerations, the estimation criteria for the parametric model and the conditional model were defined, which allow the correct application of these models at the stages of the real estate market analysis and the real estate valuation process.

scholarly journals The Application of Spatial Analysis Methods in the Real Estate Market in South‑Eastern Poland

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (333) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dorota Dejniak
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Analysis ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Graphical Form ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Strategic Decisions ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
South Eastern ◽  
Estate Property

The aim of the article is to apply the method of spatial analysis to research the real estate property market in south‑eastern Poland. The methods of spatial statistics will be used to model the space differences of prices per one square metre of dwelling surface located in districts of south‑eastern Poland and to investigate spatial autocorrelation. The databases will be presented in a graphical form. The results may be used to set the spatial regularities and relations. The methods presented may be applied while making strategic decisions.

Spatial Deployment of the Chinese Property Market (2010–2016)

2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (03) ◽  
pp. 1950006
Author(s):  
ELFIE SWERTS
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Multinational Firms ◽  
Spatial Location ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Real Estate Investment ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Sector ◽  
New Perspective

Real estate activities and companies in China have grown considerably since the major reforms of the late 1970s. This paper examines the spatial deployment of firms linked to the Chinese real estate market in Chinese cities in 2010, 2013 and 2016. It provides a first mapping of multinational firms specialized in the real estate sector. It describes the patterns of ownership networks built by financial links both between foreign multinational firms and Chinese firms and among multinational firms themselves. It therefore provides a new understanding about the penetration of both foreign direct investment (FDI) and Hong Kong’s role in the Chinese real estate market. This paper provides a comparison of the spatial location logics of these firms according to their Chinese or foreign origin and offers a new perspective on the geography of real estate investment by analyzing financial links between the Chinese and foreign cities involved.

Real Estate Valuation Fraud

2015 ◽  
pp. 278-291
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Personal Gain ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Valuation ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
Real Market

Valuation profession is a link between the borrower and the lender. Fraud is an intentional deliberate deception committed for illegitimate personal gain. There are several forms of real estate fraud, especially when the real estate market is facing a boom. The most widespread types of real estate fraud include the preparation of two sets of settlement statements, property flipping, and fraudulent qualifications. There are mainly three types of valuation to look out for. Valuation may be received from an unauthorized agency. Furthermore, a real valuation may be altered from the original to generate profit. Thirdly, intentional inflation of the value of a property will hide the real market value. It is usually difficult to spot real estate fraudulent activities, so deep investigations and professionalism is needed. This chapter explores real estate fraud.

Building sales: advertising and the property market

2018 ◽  
pp. 168-207
Author(s):  
Conor Lucey
Keyword(s):  
Nineteenth Century ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Luxury Goods ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
House Building

Having examined the building and decorating of the urban house, this chapter explores how the artisan approached marketing and selling real estate. As the first sustained analysis of property advertising in the eighteenth and early nineteenth-century Atlantic world, this chapter first considers how regional variations and social demographics (aristocratic audiences in London and Dublin compared with merchant audiences in Boston and Philadelphia) dictated the form and content of property notices, reflecting on issues such as location, quality of structural and decorative finish, convenience, and decorum. But while house-building and house-selling were principally economic activities, representing the motivating force for building mechanics to enter the real estate market, the evidence from property advertisements reveals that builders were cognizant of the semantics of advertising rhetoric and employed a vocabulary that emulated that of auctioneers, luxury goods manufacturers and other polite retailers.

scholarly journals The Valuation of Hope Value for Real Estate Development

2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Renigier-Biłozor ◽  
Maurizio d’Amato
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Option ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Option Theory ◽  
General Terms ◽  
Real Estate Valuation ◽  
The Difference

Abstract In the valuation of a property subject to development, the valuer may consider the potential aspect of the value of both land to be improved and a building to be refurbished. These kinds of valuations are complex, especially when a prudent assessment of value is required. In general terms, all properties may have potential development which, in some cases, can be termed “hope”. In particular, uncertainty regarding the change in the legal framework may create expectations as to the uncertain variation of property value in the future. In these cases, it may be necessary to deal with hope value or future value, trying to reach the value of a property subjected to uncertain changes. Hope value is the difference between the existing use value and the price that the market might pay for future transformation. The main aim of the paper is the elaboration of a methodology to determine the hope value. In this work, a real option model for the valuation of hope value in the real estate market will be applied to a small sample of residential properties located in Olsztyn that are subject to possible transformation. The possibility of a transformation may create expectations and may influence the value of the property. Although the applications of these methods to real estate valuation are fairly recent, the International Valuation Standards have included real option theory in the income approach as a valuation method since 2011.

scholarly journals The Problem of Competition on Real Estate Market on the Example of the Local Housing Market in Olsztyn

2013 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oksana Kuryj-Wysocka ◽  
Radosław Wiśniewski
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Price Competition ◽  
Free Market ◽  
Fundamental Principle ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Property Market ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
The Real Estate Market

Abstract In the economic theory, competition is considered to be a fundamental principle of the free market. Due to the competition, customers get lower prices, better service quality, more and more choices. The competition in the real estate market is a very important factor in its development. Buying or selling real estate is often one of the most important financial transactions, which require the purchaser. With the reference to the above, the participants of the real estate market need to analyse a number of transactions and do a detailed understanding of the market before making a decision and finding a deal that meets all the expectations which will not be diverging significantly from remaining offers functioning in the given area of the market. The phenomenon of competition is very advantageous for buyers of a real estate, because it shows a wide range of various possibilities which one should consider before making a final choice. Times of crisis trigger a tendency of the growing competition in the property market, what results in a decrease in real estate prices. This article brings up the issue of price and non-price competition on the real estate market and the influence which it exerts on the decision of the purchaser. The aim of this paper is to present the phenomenon of the competition at three levels (levels), by examining what relationship occurs between the entities functioning on the market, what occurs between entities and objects, and how the entities, i.e. individual real estate, compete with each other. This study will be conducted with methods of statistical analysis of the market, however Herfindahl-Hirschman Index will be used to measure competition on the local real estate market.

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