scholarly journals METHODS OF CONFLICT PROBABILITY ESTIMATION AND DECISION MAKING FOR AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT

Aviation ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vitaly Babak ◽  
Volodymyr Kharchenko ◽  
Volodymyr Vasylyev

This research addresses the issue of conflict detection in Air Traffic Control (ATC) and in Airborne Separation Assurance System (ASAS) domains. Stochastic methods of conflict situation detection and conflict probability evaluation are presented. These methods can be used for air traffic conflict alert and avoidance systems for mid‐range monitoring of air traffic and for flight safety. The mathematical formulation of the problem and the procedure of evaluation are presented. Two methods are introduced. One is based on fast statistical simulation of predicted violations of safe separation standards, and the other gives a closed‐form analytic expression that can be applied to numerical evaluation methods. The next method proposed is a method of sequential evaluation of decision‐making time limit to prevent a dangerous approach of the aircraft for short‐range monitoring. The problem is solved by assuming that the estimation and prediction of trajectory are based on the spline‐function method. The evaluation of the boundary instants for decision‐making is achieved by solving the derived boundary equation for fixed decision‐making distance. The distinguishing feature of this method is transformation of a confidence interval of predicted distance to a confidence interval of predicted time for estimation of the decision‐making time limit.

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 43-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. O. Nikulin

In the article the analysis of functioning a joint decision-making (A-CDM) system of Sheremetyevo Airport is presented during airport operation in a "rush hour". Domestic and international programs of air traffic management (ATM) development assume that the airports will be completely included into the air traffic management network as components of this network. Cooperative decision-making will be used to provide a "seamless" process of planning. This process will take place with participation of airspace users, suppliers of an air navigation service and airports (with use of the automated facilities of arrival, departure and traffic on airfield surface) for the benefit of sequence management to increase runway capacity. The runway equipment has to be modernized, separation standards among aircraft on arrival and departure should be reduced, modern navigation and traffic control on an airfield surface aids have to operate. The runway is referred to the resources which operate according to the principle of only one client service. Influence of weather conditions (the wet runway, severe wind, low visibility) determines the airfield capacity. Arrival and departure control allows optimizing aerodrome operation from the view of cost efficiency and ecology. The system of joint decision-making for an airport is a complex of the procedures aimed at increasing level of air traffic flows organization, airfield and airspace capacity through raising a level of event predictability and optimization of the resource use process. The system allows operating information to obtain the modified output data for decision-making. The main system objectives are to increase the level of temporary accuracy of an event emergence and also its predictability.


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 85-93
Author(s):  
G. M. Lebedev ◽  
V. B. Malygin

The article proposes a formalization methodology of the basic characteristics of the production processes of the aviation industry major components, such as airlines, airports and air traffic control authorities. This technique is not exhaustive, but it is quite suitable as the basis for the formation of the initial data for decision-making optimization under the conditions of airport operations performance and air traffic management, based on the principles of work coordination of the airports operational units. It is proposed to use a genetic algorithm as a tool for optimizing collaborative decision-making, which allows for a smaller number of iterations in real time to obtain a suboptimal solution that meets the requirements of the process participants. The mathematical model in multiplicative form is presented in making an assessment of the application feasibility of the genetic algorithm, taking into account the interests of three stakeholders. Planning the use of aircraft for the airport flight schedule based on the formalized data of the airline fleet, the capabilities of the base airport apron, as well as the restrictions of permanent and temporary nature is accepted as the original product. The article demonstrates the potential advantage of the genetic algorithm, the point of which is that within each step of a suboptimal choice of priorities instead of brute-force options limited but effective direct search of a reduced number of those options that have been chosen as the "elite" by using multiplicative form is carried out.


Author(s):  
A. V. Strukova

The article considers the new automated air traffic management system «Synthesis AR4», as well as a system description for ensuring the implementation of a modernized airspace structure, navigation and surveillance that provides technical capabilities. A number of functional capabilities and advantages of the airspace security system are presented.


1978 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 485-485
Author(s):  
John G. Kreifeldt

The present national Air Traffic Control system is a ground-centralized, man intensive system which through design allows relatively little meaningful pilot participation in decision making. The negative impact of this existing design can be measured in delays, dollars and lives. The FAA's design plans for the future ATC system will result in an even more intensive ground-centralized system with even further reduction of pilot decision making participation. In addition, controllers will also be removed from on-line decision making through anticipated automation of some or all of this critical function. Recent congressional hearings indicate that neither pilots nor controllers are happy or sanguine regarding the FAA's design for the future ATC system.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1383
Author(s):  
Judith Rosenow ◽  
Martin Lindner ◽  
Joachim Scheiderer

The implementation of Trajectory-Based Operations, invented by the Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research program SESAR, enables airlines to fly along optimized waypoint-less trajectories and accordingly to significantly increase the sustainability of the air transport system in a business with increasing environmental awareness. However, unsteady weather conditions and uncertain weather forecasts might induce the necessity to re-optimize the trajectory during the flight. By considering a re-optimization of the trajectory during the flight they further support air traffic control towards achieving precise air traffic flow management and, in consequence, an increase in airspace and airport capacity. However, the re-optimization leads to an increase in the operator and controller’s task loads which must be balanced with the benefit of the re-optimization. From this follows that operators need a decision support under which circumstances and how often a trajectory re-optimization should be carried out. Local numerical weather service providers issue hourly weather forecasts for the coming hour. Such weather data sets covering three months were used to re-optimize a daily A320 flight from Seattle to New York every hour and to calculate the effects of this re-optimization on fuel consumption and deviation from the filed path. Therefore, a simulation-based trajectory optimization tool was used. Fuel savings between 0.5% and 7% per flight were achieved despite minor differences in wind speed between two consecutive weather forecasts in the order of 0.5 m s−1. The calculated lateral deviations from the filed path within 1 nautical mile were always very small. Thus, the method could be easily implemented in current flight operations. The developed performance indicators could help operators to evaluate the re-optimization and to initiate its activation as a new flight plan accordingly.


1980 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 475-481
Author(s):  
P. Bertolazzi ◽  
M. Lucertini

The major purpose of an air traffic control system is to ensure the separation of two or more aircraft flying in the same airspace, with an efficiency that can be expressed in terms of capacity and cost. As air traffic grows in numbers it becomes necessary to reduce the workload of the controllers by relieving them of many monitoring tasks, and eventually some decision-making tasks, through computerized automation. In this context many developments tend to build up an efficient conflict-alert subsystem.The problem of conflict-alert in the air needs strategic tools, to make collision unlikely or even impossible, and tactical tools to detect impending collisions. The latter detect potentially hazardous aircraft encounters and alert the controller in time to warn the pilots (if necessary) and should obviously provide this capability with a minimal number of false alarms and no increase in workload.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dimitrios Dimitriou ◽  
Stylianos Zantanidis

This paper/chapter deals with the key drivers for adopting and developing an Occupational Health and Safety System (OHS) with a special focus on air traffic management and traffic controller’s workplace. A such system includes regulation and legal compliance procedures, actions and monitoring for ensuring workplace safety, incentives and motivation for the air traffic controller and associate personnel health and wellbeing. By a systemic approach, the key characteristics of OHS towards air traffic management are presented, highlighting the key aspects for implementing a quality management system in air traffic control, which is the cornerstone of airport operation efficiency and productivity on one hand; and the nature of job and the intensive working environment is well recognised. Based on air traffic providers functional analysis the key occupational aspects for air traffic control are taken into consideration, providing the benefits for implementing quality management systems (QMS) and OHS is real business. Conventional wisdom is to highlight the importance for establishing and incorporating a modern custom-made OHS system in accordance with the requirements addressed by OHSAS 18001 to develop and implement a QMS for air traffic services. Contribution of this paper is to highlight the key priorities for managers and decision makers in field of air traffic services providers, depicting ways and recommendation for adopting an efficient path for implementing OHS in a QMS environment.


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