Financial Development and Energy Consumption in Turkey

Author(s):  
Murat Çetin ◽  
Eyyup Ecevit ◽  
Fahri Seker ◽  
Davuthan Günaydin

This chapter investigates the cointegration and causal relationship between financial development and energy consumption in the case of Turkey over the period 1960-2011. In doing so, the ARDL bounds testing and Johansen-Juselius approaches to cointegration and Granger causality test based on vectorerror correction model are employed. The empirical results show that the series are cointegrated. The empirical results also show a positive and statistically significant relationship between financial development and energy consumption in the long run. In addition, a unidirectional causality running from financial development to energy consumption is found in the short and long run. Thus, this chapter provides an empirical evidence that financial development is a determinant of energy consumption in Turkey. This chapter also presents some implications for Turkey's energy policy.

2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 155-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shahbaz ◽  
Mohammad Mafizur Rahman

Purpose – This paper aims to explore the relationship between exports, financial development and economic growth in case of Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach – The autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach to cointegration and error correction model are applied to test the long-run and short-run relationships, respectively. The direction of causality between the variables is investigated by the vector error correction model Granger causality test and robustness of causality analysis is tested by applying innovative accounting approach. Findings – The analysis confirms cointegration for the long-run relation between exports, economic growth and financial development in case of Pakistan. The results indicate that economic growth and financial development spur exports growth in Pakistan. The causality analysis reveals feedback hypothesis that exists between financial development and economic growth, financial development and exports, and, exports and economic growth. Originality/value – This study provides new insights for policy makers to sustain exports growth by stimulating economic growth and developing financial sector in Pakistan.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (03) ◽  
pp. 2050010
Author(s):  
NGUYEN MINH HA ◽  
BUI HOANG NGOC ◽  
MICHAEL MCALEER

The paper investigates the impact of financial integration and energy consumption on economic growth in Vietnam during the period 1986–2017. By applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag ARDL) approach proposed by Pesaran et al. [Pesaran, MH, Y Shin and RJ Smith (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.] and the bounds cointegration test, the empirical results show the existence of long-term cointegration among all the variables, and that an increase in financial integration leads to an increase in economic growth in the long run. There is a positive impact of energy consumption on growth in both the short run and long run. The causality test of Toda and Yamamoto [Toda, HY and T Yamamoto (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250.] confirm that there is bi-directional causality between the pairs, financial integration and economic growth, and energy consumption and growth, which support the feedback hypothesis. However, there is only uni-directional causality from energy consumption to financial integration. The empirical results should be of major empirical importance for public policy decision-makers to plan sustainable development goals for Vietnam.


Author(s):  
Jen-Eem Chen ◽  
Yan-Ling Tan ◽  
Chin-Yu Lee ◽  
Lim-Thye Goh

This paper aims to contribute to the existing literature by examining the dynamic relationship among petroleum consumption, financial development, economic growth and energy price. The sample of this study is based on the Malaysian annual data from 1980 to 2010. The model specification was examined in the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework and the results revealed the existence of a long-run equilibrium. The findings indicated that financial development and economic growth cause a demand for energy to escalate in the long run. The Toda-Yamamoto (TYDL) non Granger-causality test provides evidence that there is unidirectional Granger-causality running from financial development and economic growth to energy consumption in the long run. This suggests that Malaysia is not an energy-dependent country. Hence, the government could implement energy conservation policies to reduce the waste of energy use. Given that development in the financial sector, and economic growth increase petroleum consumption in Malaysia, the policies pertaining to energy consumption should incorporate the development of the financial sector and economic growth of country.   Keywords: Petroleum consumption, financial development, non-renewable energy, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), Toda-Yamamoto (TYDL) non Granger-causality test


Author(s):  
Fahri Seker ◽  
Murat Cetin ◽  
Birol Topcu ◽  
Gamze Yıldız Seren

The aim of this chapter is to investigate the cointegration and causal relationship between financial development, trade openness, and economic growth in Turkey for the period of 1980-2012. To analyze the data, the bounds testing and Johansen-Juselius approaches to cointegration and Granger causality test based on vector error-correction model are employed. The cointegration tests suggest that there is a long-run relationship between the variables. The Granger causality test reveals long-run bidirectional causality between trade openness and economic growth. The findings also indicate unidirectional causality running from financial development to trade openness and economic growth in the long run as well as a bi-directional causality between financial development and economic growth in the short run. The results support supply-leading and trade-led growth hypotheses. Therefore, it can be suggested that Turkey can accelerate its economic growth by improving its financial systems and encouraging foreign trade.


2019 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-61
Author(s):  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between energy consumption and financial development in South Africa during the period 1980-2013. In order to address the omission of variable bias, the study has included economic growth as an intermittent variable between financial development and energy consumption. Unlike some previous studies, this study uses three proxies for financial development: i) domestic credit to the private sector as a percentage of GDP as a proxy for financial institutions’ depth; ii) bank credit to bank deposits as a proxy for financial institutions’ stability; and iii) bank lending-deposit spread as a proxy for financial institutions’ efficiency. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration and Granger-causality test, the obtained results show that there is a distinct long-run unidirectional causal flow from financial development to energy consumption in South Africa. This applies irrespective of which proxy has been used to measure the level of financial development. The study also finds that there is a long-run unidirectional causality from economic growth to energy consumption, and a unidirectional causality from economic growth to financial development when bank lending-deposit interest rates spread is used as a proxy for financial development. This, therefore, implies that energy consumption in South Africa is largely driven by the growth-led financial development in the long run.


2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Habib-ur Rahman ◽  
Ahmad Ghazali ◽  
Ghulam Ali Bhatti ◽  
Safdar Ullah Khan

This paper examines the long-run relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2) emission and economic growth, financial development, trade, energy consumption, and foreign direct investment in the case of Lithuania by employing time series data of 1989-2018. In particular, this paper aims to test whether the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) relationship for economic growth and financial development holds or not. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure is employed for the empirical analysis. The results validate the existence of EKC in the long-run as well as in the short-run since there is an inverted U-shaped relation between CO2 emissions and economic growth. Conversely, we could not validate the EKC relationship between CO2 emissions and financial development. Trade and energy consumption are other significant determinants of CO2 emissions. The causality analysis results show that unidirectional causality runs from economic growth to CO2 emissions and trade to CO2 emissions. The validity of the EKC hypothesis indicates that Lithuania can achieve short-term, medium-term, and long-term climate change mitigation and adoption goals and objectives approved by the Parliament of the Republic of Lithuania without deteriorating its economic growth.


Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 158
Author(s):  
Palesa Milliscent Lefatsa ◽  
Kin Sibanda ◽  
Rufaro Garidzirai

This paper examines the nexus between financial development and energy consumption in South Africa. To determine the long run and short run relationship between financial development and energy consumption in South Africa, the paper uses an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) and Granger causality test to establish the type of correlation between 1980 and 2018. ARDL bounds testing method offers concrete long-run estimates and t-statistics as it is flexible whether the adopted variables are I(0) or I(1).The study used per capita (kilogram, kg of oil equivalent) to measure total energy consumption, domestic credit to the private sector (percentage of gross domestic product, GDP) to measure financial development, real GDP growth (to capture economic growth), industrial value added (percentage of GDP) to measure industrialization, and urban population (percentage of total population) to capture urbanization. Results from ARDL showed that the relationship between financial development and energy consumption is positive in nature both in short-run and long-run. Granger causality test results revealed unidirectional causality from financial development to energy consumption. Policymakers need to formulate policy reforms that channels more credit to private sector development in order to bolster more energy use in South Africa. There ought to be proper balance between financial development and energy consumption to avoid electricity crisis.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.


2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 291 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Arouri ◽  
Gazi Salah Uddin ◽  
Sanjib Chakraborty ◽  
Anissa Chaibi ◽  
Philippe Foulquier

<p>This paper contributes to the literature by investigating the relationships between business activity, carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emissions, energy consumption in a developing country by taking into consideration the effects of ongoing industrialization and financial development. To do this, we introduce an innovative empirical approach based on ARDL bounds testing in the presence of structural breaks and apply it to Mexico over the period 1971-2011. We show strong evidence of cointegration between these variables. More interestingly, we find that energy is the long-run forcing variable to explain the Mexican business activity growth. This implies that energy savings policy may result in decreasing the national income or employment.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sakib Amin ◽  
Farhan Khan ◽  
Ashfaqur Rahman

Abstract We analyse how the financial development and green energy use are linked to the countries of South Asia from 1990 to 2018. Domestic credit to the private sector and renewable energy consumption is being used in this paper as indicators of financial development and the use of renewable energy. On the indication of cross-sectional dependency among the variables of the models, we apply second generation panel unit root tests and cointegration tests to check the stationarity properties and long-run cointegration relation among the variables. We find that variables are stationary at the first difference, and long-run cointegration exists. By applying robust dynamic heterogeneous and cross-section augmented estimators, we find that increase in GDP increases renewable energy consumption by 1.56-0.50%; however reduces by 0.07-0.03% after certain thresholds. Furthermore, increase in financial development, on average, reduces the propensity of renewable energy consumption by 0.15-0.07% in the long-run. On the other hand, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test shows a unidirectional relationship from GDP to financial development and financial development to renewable energy consumption but not vice versa. We suggest that the selected countries revisit and restructure the renewable energy policy and emphasise institutional reforms to strengthen renewable energy development in the upcoming years.


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