Macroeconomic Determinants of the Behavior of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE)

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Nabila Nisha
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Regulatory Changes ◽  
Considerable Impact ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

Many past studies documented a strong evidence of a linkage between stock prices and macroeconomic activities across different stock markets and time horizons. However, most of these studies have focused on developed economies and highlighted the impact of either domestic variables or a few global factors. In recent times, the impact of global macroeconomic factors upon stock returns has garnered a lot of interest due to globalization. The aim of this paper is therefore to examine the combined influence of global and domestic macroeconomic factors upon stock returns and extend this relationship to an emerging market of Bangladesh. Using Vector Autoregression (VAR) model, findings indicate a considerable impact of money supply for the stock returns of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). Additionally, an insignificant influence of the world price index is observed, which implies a complete segmentation of DSE from the global financial markets. Finally, the study highlights regulatory changes and policy-making decisions from the perspective of Bangladesh.

Nonperforming loans and bank profitability: evidence from an emerging market

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 462-481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Laryea ◽  
Matthew Ntow-Gyamfi ◽  
Angela Azumah Alu
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Bank Profitability ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Panel Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants of nonperforming loans (NPLs) as well as the impact of NPLs on bank profitability. Design/methodology/approach Using a sample of 22 Ghanaian banks over the period 2005-2010, the study employs a fixed effect panel model in estimating three different empirical models. Findings The study finds new evidence of bank-specific factors as well as macroeconomic factors determining NPLs. Inflation and industry concentration are not significant in determining NPLs, although both are positively related to NPLs. Practical implications The findings of this study have important implications for policy makers and bank managers. Originality/value The paper offers significant value in shaping and improving the banking sector of emerging markets.

Price Behaviour Around Dividend Announcements in the Indian Equity Market in the Existence of Corporate Dividend Tax

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 402-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chanchal Chatterjee ◽  
Paromita Dutta
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Cash Dividend ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Dividend Announcements ◽  
Abnormal Stock Returns ◽  
Dividend Tax

This article empirically examines the price behaviour around cash dividend announcements of the firms listed on the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (NSE) in order to understand whether dividend announcements really influence stock returns in the market and carry meaningful information to the investors in the existence of corporate dividend tax. The article uses standard ‘event study’ methodology based on market model on a sample of 210 dividend announcements. Subsample analysis is employed for further analysis of firms of different categories. The study finds that cash dividend announcements do not necessarily generate abnormal stock returns in an emerging market, such as India. The whole sample is further divided into various subsamples on the basis of firm size and the size of payout ratio. The study finds that large payout firms experience greater stock returns compared to the smaller payout firms just after the dividend announcements. However, stock returns following dividend announcements do not vary across firm size. This article provides evidence to the managers about the non-linkage between cash dividend announcements and stock returns in an emerging market like India. This finding is contrary to the findings of many other studies that are based on the data of the developed economies.

scholarly journals The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices in Kuwait

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 99 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad M. Al-Kandari ◽  
Sadeq J. Abul
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Impact

The Kuwaiti Stock Exchange was established in April 1977 and is among the oldest stock exchanges in the GCC countries. This study aims to add new evidence about the impact of macroeconomic factors on the Kuwaiti Stock Exchange. It examines empirically the dynamic relationship between the Kuwaiti Stock Exchange Index and the main macroeconomic variables. These variables included M2, the three-month deposit interest rate, oil prices, the US Dollar vs Kuwaiti Dinar exchange rate and the inflation rate. By applying the Johansen cointegration test, together with the Var Error Correction Model (VECM), the study found that there a long-run unidirectional relationship exists between the Kuwaiti Stock Exchange Index and the aforementioned macroeconomic variables. This study also confirmed the existence of a short-run relationship between oil prices and stock prices in Kuwait.

scholarly journals ANALYSIS RELATES TO THE IMPACT FROM MACROECONOMIC FACTORS TO BANKING STOCK RETURNS WHICH MEDIATED BY PROFITABILITY

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 742-755
Author(s):  
Hedwigis Esti Riwayati ◽  
Muhammad Affid Diena
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Path Analysis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Good Investment ◽  
The Impact

This research aims to analyze the impact which caused by macroeconomic factors to stock returns which mediated by profitability. This research used purposive sampling method with BUKU IV Banks who Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as sample in this research period. The data was taken from the quarterly financial reports of the sample banks and Bank Indonesia. The analysis technique that used in this research are panel data regression and used path analysis to reveal the impact which caused by intervening variable. The results found that interest rates had no significant impact towards stock returns, while the inflation rate and the rupiah exchange rate had a direct significant impact on stock returns. Path analysis found that interest rates, inflation rates and Rupiah exchange rate had no significant affect on stock returns which indirectly mediated by profitability. This research results are very useful as an information for investors and stakeholders to determine good investment decisions in the banking sector.

scholarly journals Pan(dem)ic Reactions in Turkish Stock Market: Evidence from share repurchases

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Burak Pirgaip
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Global Markets ◽  
Share Repurchases ◽  
Share Repurchase ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Financial Uncertainty ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Share repurchases have been widely used in global markets for years for various purposes such as to pay out cash, to stabilize stock prices, and so on. However, their use has recently been challenged due to the economic and financial uncertainty imposed by the COVID-19 outbreak. Not only governments have put bans or restrictions on the repurchasing transactions but also some major companies themselves have suspended their buyback programmes to preserve cash. On the other hand, repurchase activity has manifested itself in Turkish capital markets somewhat unexpectedly under uncertain market conditions. This study is one of the first attempts to explore the impact of share repurchase transactions on stock returns in an emerging market severely hit by COVID-19. Event study analyses reveal that market reaction to repurchase activity in the aftermath of the pandemic declaration of March 11, 2020 was significantly positive. Moreover, short-term stock performance of repurchasing firms was far greater than that of their non-repurchasing peers. These results have important policy implications in terms of corporate payout decisions which have recently been challenged by the new coronavirus.

Macroeconomic factors and stock returns: Evidence from the emerging market of Asia

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 16-20
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asad Saleem Malik ◽  
Saher Touqeer ◽  
Shumaila Zeb
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns of Pakistan, India and Sri Lanka for the period of 1997-2014. GMM approach is used to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns. Variables of the study were T-Bills, Exchange Rate, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Industrial Production Index (IPI). The results of study show that T-bills rate has significant negative impact while Exchange rate has a significant positive impact on the Stock Returns of the study period.

scholarly journals The Impact of Tax Amnesty Announcement towards Share Performance and Market Reaction in Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Lidya Agustina ◽  
Yuliana Gunawan ◽  
Windawaty Chandra
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Test Method ◽  
Tax Amnesty ◽  
The Impact

The Indonesian Government reviewed back the tax amnesty in 2016. Various reactions came up along with the announcement of tax amnesty, the investors did not accept- which led to the announcement of the Tax Forgiveness regulation through the market reactions and stock market performances in Indonesia Stock Exchange. This research is to analyze event study using information based on government-related announcements to show the impact of the new regulation towards stock performance and market reaction. The effect of the announcement will be seen from the changes in stock-prices or stock-returns that provide abnormal returns in the event period as well as market reaction which reflected in trading volume. This research used stock-return data and trading volume from all companies listed in IDX in 2016 and analyzed using the Paired Sample T-Test method. The result of this research shows there are differences among the average of stock-return, average abnormal-return of stock, and stock trading volume before and after the tax amnesty announcement.

Macroeconomic Sensitivity, Risk-Return Trade-Off and Volatility Dynamics Evidence From Developed and Developing Markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Faisal Khan ◽  
Hashim Khan ◽  
Saif Ur-Rehman Khan ◽  
Muhammad Jumaa ◽  
Sharif Ullah Jan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Leverage Effect ◽  
Return Volatility ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Return Volatility ◽  
Risk Return ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to examine the impact of macroeconomic factors on the stock return volatility along with the pricing of risk, and asymmetry and leverage effect on a comparative basis for the USA and UAE markets. Further, these three dimensions are also investigated with regard to various firm's features (such as firm's size and age). The daily data for the period 4th January 2010 to 29th December 2017 of firm stock returns from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADSE), and the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) is considered and three time-series models were applied. The results from GARCH (1. 1) indicated that all the economic factors have significant impact on the stock return volatility in both the markets. Similarly, the study also found evidence of asymmetry & leverage effect using EGARCH in the NYSE (for all firms) and the UAE (partially). Finally, for a majority of the firms, a positive risk-return relationship is found in the UAE and a negative risk-return relationship is found in the NYSE using GARCH-in the mean. Interestingly, these results in context of both markets were different with respect to various firm features such as firm size and age. In light of these results, it is concluded that both the markets have different dynamics with regard to all three dimensions. Hence, the investors have a clear opportunity to diversify their risk and investments across developed and emerging markets.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT ON STOCK RETURNS AMONG THE TEN TOP COMPANIES IN PAKISTAN

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zubair Tanveer ◽  
Muhammad Zul Azri Muhammad Jamil
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Insider Trading ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Abuse ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The study tested the response of stock prices around the dividend declaration dates in Pakistan stock exchange. It estimated the data of 1110 dividends announced by 91 firms of the highest ten active sectors of Pakistan Stock Exchange. To empirically investigate the relationship between stock returns and dividend announcement, the panel regression was employed by creating dummy variables for 61 days around the dividend declaration dates. Cumulative average abnormal returns and average abnormal returns were also stimated around the events with the help of event study methodology. Outcomes of the empirical analysis revealed strong evidence of market abuse in the term of insider trading and supported the argument of the information content hypothesis and semistrong form of efficient market. Moreover, the study also found a robust impact of the probable ex-dividend date. The study recommended that it is a responsibility of stock exchange regulatory authorities, whistleblowers, registered companies, and the investors collectively to detect and punish this white-collar financial crime.  

AN ANALYSIS OF ABNORMAL RETURNS ASSOCIATED WITH STOCK SPLIT

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
JYOTI PANDEY ◽  
VINAY KANDPAL ◽  
NEERAJ NAUTIYAL
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Stock Splits ◽  
Event Window ◽  
Stock Split ◽  
Secondary Information ◽  
The Impact

A stock split is when a company’s outstanding shares are divided into multiple shares by issuing more shares to current shareholders without eroding their stake’s value. The company typically takes these actions to increase liquidity and marketability, lower stock prices, attract new investors and so on. The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of stock splits on the stock returns during the study period. Companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and those included in the S&P BSE 500 Index are included in the stock split data. The study period covers 14 years, between 2008 and 2021. Market model event study methodology is being employed to analyze the average abnormal returns (AARs), cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) and cumulative AAR (CAARs) using an event window period consisting of 31 days ([Formula: see text]). The study is largely based on secondary information from the CMIE Prowess IQ Database and the official BSE website. The [Formula: see text]-test, mean and standard deviation were used to investigate the influence of stock split announcements on share prices and the performance of stock splits before and after the announcement. The study found that on ([Formula: see text]), ([Formula: see text]), ([Formula: see text]) and ([Formula: see text]) and on the day of the announcement ([Formula: see text]), the market reacted favorably with significant positive abnormal returns. On ([Formula: see text]) and ([Formula: see text]) days, however, there were significant negative abnormal returns. The null hypothesis is accepted as the CAR for the whole 31-day event window, which is 0.0221, with a [Formula: see text]-statistic of 1.692, which is insignificant.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document