A New Macroeconomic Architecture for the Stock Market A General-System and Cybernetic Approach

2013 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masudul Alam Choudhury
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Growth And Development ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
General System ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
The Real ◽  
Financial Architecture ◽  
Macroeconomic Analysis ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Emergent Structure

The old idea of segmented macroeconomics of the financial sector competing with the real economy is replaced by a new model, which manifests strong interaction, integration and co-evolution by circular causation relations between the monetary sector and the real economy with the bridging function of finance and financial instruments. The Money, Finance, Spending and Real Economy (MFSRE) model emerges. This model formalizes the new architecture for the macroeconomy, and its relationship to the stock market. In this model relating to a reconstructed state of the economy and the emergent structure of the financial architecture, money and spending are treated as complementary elements of growth and development. The overarching structure in the end is the MFSRE with its extensively complementary inter-variables relationship in a general system and cybernetic form of interrelationships. The economic organization of the MFSRE causes price stabilization and economic growth and development. These are signified in the social wellbeing criterion of the good economy. The stock market, exemplified by the empirical case study of Bangladesh’s state of the economy and the Dhaka Stock Exchange, bring out the true example of the macroeconomic analysis. The new financial architecture with its stabilization, sustainability and growth and wellbeing as basic-needs regime of development is contrasted with old macroeconomic belief and policies based on outmoded macroeconomic beliefs and futures.

A New Macroeconomic Architecture for the Stock Market

2014 ◽  
pp. 1521-1538
Author(s):  
Masudul Alam Choudhury
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Growth And Development ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
General System ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
The Real ◽  
Financial Architecture ◽  
Macroeconomic Analysis ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Emergent Structure

The old idea of segmented macroeconomics of the financial sector competing with the real economy is replaced by a new model, which manifests strong interaction, integration and co-evolution by circular causation relations between the monetary sector and the real economy with the bridging function of finance and financial instruments. The Money, Finance, Spending and Real Economy (MFSRE) model emerges. This model formalizes the new architecture for the macroeconomy, and its relationship to the stock market. In this model relating to a reconstructed state of the economy and the emergent structure of the financial architecture, money and spending are treated as complementary elements of growth and development. The overarching structure in the end is the MFSRE with its extensively complementary inter-variables relationship in a general system and cybernetic form of interrelationships. The economic organization of the MFSRE causes price stabilization and economic growth and development. These are signified in the social wellbeing criterion of the good economy. The stock market, exemplified by the empirical case study of Bangladesh's state of the economy and the Dhaka Stock Exchange, bring out the true example of the macroeconomic analysis. The new financial architecture with its stabilization, sustainability and growth and wellbeing as basic-needs regime of development is contrasted with old macroeconomic belief and policies based on outmoded macroeconomic beliefs and futures.

Cybernetic Approach for the Stock Market

2017 ◽  
pp. 193-210
Author(s):  
Masudul Alam Choudhury
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Growth And Development ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
General System ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Financial Architecture ◽  
Macroeconomic Analysis ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Emergent Structure

The old idea of segmented macroeconomics of the financial sector competing with the real economy is replaced by a new model. This model formalizes the new architecture for the macro economy, and its relationship to the stock market. In this model relating to a reconstructed state of the economy and the emergent structure of the financial architecture, money and spending are treated as complementary elements of growth and development. The overarching structure in the end is the Money, Finance, Spending and Real Economy (MFSRE) with its extensively complementary inter-variables relationship in a general system and cybernetic form of interrelationships. The stock market, exemplified by the empirical case study of Bangladesh's state of the economy and the Dhaka Stock Exchange, bring out the true example of the macroeconomic analysis. The new financial architecture with its stabilization, sustainability and growth and wellbeing as basic-needs regime of development is contrasted with old macroeconomic belief and policies based on outmoded macroeconomic beliefs and futures.

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF THE STATE MARKET FROM THE POSITION OF ITS IMPACT ON THE FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE OF ENTERPRISES OF THE REAL ECONOMY

2019 ◽  
pp. 26-35
Author(s):  
M. Dushak
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Bond Market ◽  
The State ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Equity Structure ◽  
The Real ◽  
Financial Architecture ◽  
Public Offering

The stock market plays a significant role in financing the economic entities of the real sector of the economy. The ability to raise funds using stock market instruments makes it possible to expand significantly the scale of business activity. However, the presence of recurring financial crises in the financial sector and the weak development of the stock market make it impossible for enterprises to take full advantage of these opportunities. So it is important to evaluate the state and trends of the stock market in the context of using its funds to finance real sector enterprises. In the course of the research, the authors conclude that the largest segment of the Ukrainian stock market serves government-owned issuers and mainly conducts domestic government bond transactions. Only a small proportion of operations provide financing for the activity of enterprises through the issue of shares and bonds. This situation testifies to the “fictitiousness” of the stock market, as it does not fulfill its key function of attracting temporarily free funds by issuers. In addition, the stock and bond market in Ukraine is scanty. Issuers, intending to make a public offering of shares, must fulfill sufficiently high requirements for their own securities, which does not encourage them to use this mechanism. The situation is similar in the bond market: in most cases, the issuers will spend more time and resources to carry out the issue than borrowing from the banking sector. The above points to the low interest of issuers in the real sector of the economy to use stock market instruments to manage the equity structure. There is a need to develop effective measures to leverage the stock sector's capabilities to finance businesses in the real economy. Keywords: enterprise financial architecture, stock market, bond market, capital structure.

Dynamic interactions between stock markets and the real economy

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 715-746 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikiforos T. Laopodis ◽  
Andreas Papastamou
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Dynamic Interactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Real

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to re-examine the relationship between a country’s aggregate stock market and general economic development for 14 emerging economies for the period from 1995 to 2014. Design/methodology/approach The methodological approach of the paper is multifold. First, the authors use cointegration analysis to determine the simple dynamics among the variables. Second, the authors utilize vector autoregression analysis to study the dynamics among the variables for the 14 countries. Third, the authors employ panel analysis to determine common variations among the variables and across countries. Findings When examining the linkage between the stock market and economic development, proxied by gross domestic product growth or with gross fixed capital formation growth, the authors did not find a meaningful relationship between them. However, when the authors included additional control variables strong, dynamic interactions between the two magnitudes surfaced. Specifically, it was found that the stock market is positively and robustly correlated with contemporaneous and future real economic development and, thus, it directly contributed to a country’s economic development either through the production of goods and services or the accumulation of real capital. Thus, it can be inferred that the stock market alone is not capable of boosting economic development in these countries unless being part of a comprehensive financial system (which includes banks) as well as investment in real capital. Research limitations/implications The policy implications are clear. Government authorities must recognize that the stock market alone is not a driver of economic development and that a sound, efficient financial system (which includes banks) must be present in order to contribute and foster economic development. Originality/value The study is original in the sense that it examines various financial and economic variables to determine the degree of (or dynamic interactions among) the stock market and the real economy for each and all emerging markets in the sample.

scholarly journals Interactions between the Real Economy and the Stock Market: A Simple Agent-Based Approach

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Westerhoff
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
The Real ◽  
Goods Market ◽  
Numerical Tools ◽  
Market Approach ◽  
Fundamental Values

We develop a simple behavioral macromodel to study interactions between the real economy and the stock market. The real economy is represented by a Keynesian-type goods market approach while the setup for the stock market includes heterogeneous speculators. Using a mixture of analytical and numerical tools we find, for instance, that speculators may create endogenous boom-bust dynamics in the stock market which, by spilling over into the real economy, can cause lasting fluctuations in economic activity. However, fluctuations in economic activity may, by shaping the firms' fundamental values, also have an impact on the dynamics of the stock market.

scholarly journals The Stock Market Situation and Economic Growth – An Attempt to Assess the Dependence

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (32) ◽  
pp. 117-128
Author(s):  
Michał Radke
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Calculated Data ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Market Situation

The aim of the article: The main aim of the article is to analyze the relationship between the stock market situation and the real economy, measured by the strength of the correlation between the rate of return on the stock market and the rate of GDP growth in European capital markets. The next objective is to answer the question whether the stock market index changes are ahead of, and if so, by how much, GDP changes. The author’s hypothesis stipulates that the stock exchange situation precedes the change in economic activity and serves as its forecast. Methodology: The empirical research work was carried out on the basis of quarterly data value of the stock index and the GDP between 2010 and the first quarter of 2021 for 20 European countries. For indices and GDP, the quarterly dynamics of the rate of return and GDP were calculated. Data on the value of the stock exchange index was taken from the website www.stooq.pl, while data on GDP was taken from Eurostat. Subsequently, the analysis concerned the correlation relationships between the variables on the basis of the Pearson correlation coefficient. The correlation between the variables was calculated without delay, as well as with a delay of one, two or three quarters of the returns on stock indices. Results of the research: Changes in the value of the stock exchange index is in most cases positively correlated with the change in GDP and the correlation is pronounced, but it is low and moderate. The only market for which a significant correlation was observed, was the Polish market. At the same time, it can be stated that the rates of return on the stock exchange index precede a change in GDP by one or three quarters. No changes were observed for the analyzed countries for two quarters.

scholarly journals ROLE OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IN FINANCING THE ENTERPRISES OF THE REAL SECTOR OF THE ECONOMY

2018 ◽  
pp. 78-84
Author(s):  
Dmytro Malysh
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
The Real

Introduction. Financial sector plays an important role in the financing of business entities in the real economy sector. A possibility of rising funds through the stock or banking sector enables substantially to expand the scope of enterprises. However, the presence of permanent financial crises does not allow companies to use these opportunities in full. Therefore, the assessment of state and trends of the stock and banking sectors in the context of the use of their funds to finance companies in the real sector of the economy becomes important. Purpose. The article aims to identify contemporary issues of development of the stock and banking sectors in the context of their ability to finance companies in the real economy. Method. In order to achieve the goal of the research we have used the following methods: method of structural and dynamic analysis and method of economic and statistical analysis of the development of the stock and banking sectors of Ukraine. Results. It has been determined that the deterioration of the stock market in Ukraine led to its exclusion from the list of marginal markets. The largest segment of the Ukrainian stock and banking sector services the issuers, which are owned by the state. At the same time, the financial sector has features of bank-centeredness since banks play a leading role in financing of companies and in transactions of the stock market. Ukrainian stock market mainly carries out operations with government bonds and only a small part of operations provides financing for the activities of companies through the issue of stocks and bonds. The share of long-term sources of funding is gradually decreasing and it is critically low for economic growth of the country. The tempos of providing long-term and short-term bank loans for the company are slowing down. A positive trend is the reduction of interest rates on loans. There is a need to develop effective measures for using opportunities of the stock and banking sectors as well for financing companies in the real sector of the economy.

scholarly journals Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007–2008

2009 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus K Brunnermeier
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Great Depression ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Credit Crunch ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Great Depression

The financial market turmoil in 2007 and 2008 has led to the most severe financial crisis since the Great Depression and threatens to have large repercussions on the real economy. The bursting of the housing bubble forced banks to write down several hundred billion dollars in bad loans caused by mortgage delinquencies. At the same time, the stock market capitalization of the major banks declined by more than twice as much. While the overall mortgage losses are large on an absolute scale, they are still relatively modest compared to the $8 trillion of U.S. stock market wealth lost between October 2007, when the stock market reached an all-time high, and October 2008. This paper attempts to explain the economic mechanisms that caused losses in the mortgage market to amplify into such large dislocations and turmoil in the financial markets, and describes common economic threads that explain the plethora of market declines, liquidity dry-ups, defaults, and bailouts that occurred after the crisis broke in summer 2007.

scholarly journals ТЕНДЕНЦІЇ РОЗВИТКУ ТА ФУНКЦІОНУВАННЯ ФОНДОВОГО РИНКУ УКРАЇНИ

World Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1(53)) ◽  
pp. 11-15
Author(s):  
Смагло О. В.
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
The State ◽  
Industrialized Countries ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Independent Sector ◽  
The Right

Today, the Stock market of Ukraine is at the stage of its formation and is lagging far behind the stock markets of industrialized countries. Against this background, the study of current conditions and peculiarities of development of stock exchange trading and infrastructure of Ukraine becomes extremely relevant for the national economy.The stock market of Ukraine is in a state today that ensures its transition from the sphere of servicing of capital circulation to an independent sector of the economy, since one of the main indicators of the state of the economy of any country is the stock market, which is very keenly responsive to any changes in the state. The functioning of the stock market depends primarily on strong infrastructure, which creates the right conditions for the issue and further circulation of securities.

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