Forecasting Stock Price Based on Back Propagation Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 1006-1007 ◽  
pp. 1031-1034
Author(s):  
Li Zhang ◽  
Qing Yang Xu ◽  
Chao Chen ◽  
Zeng Jun Bao

The stock market is a nonlinear dynamics system with enormous information, which is difficult to predict effectively by traditional methods. The model of stock price forecast based on BP Neutral-Network is put forward in this article. The paper try to find the way how to predictive the stock price. Exhaustive method is used for the hidden layer neurons and training method determination. Finally the experiment results show that the algorithm get better performance in stock price prediction.

2013 ◽  
Vol 284-287 ◽  
pp. 3020-3024
Author(s):  
Jung Bin Li ◽  
Chien Ho Wu

This study adopts popular back-propagation neural network to make one-period-ahead prediction of the stock price. A model based on Taylor series by using both fundamental and technical indicators EPS and MACD as input data is built for an empirical study. Leading Taiwanese companies in non-hi-tech industry such as Formosa Plastics, Yieh Phui Steel, Evergreen Marine, and Chang Hwa Bank are picked as targets to analyze their reasonable prices and moving trends. The performance of this model shows remarkable return and high accuracy in making long/short strategies.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Elohansen Padang

This research was conducted to investigate the ability of backpropagation artificial neural network in estimating rainfall. Neural network used consists of input layer, 2 hidden layers and output layer. Input layer consists of 12 neurons that represent each input; first hidden layer consists of 12 neurons with activation function tansig, while the second hidden layer consists of 24 neurons with activation function logsig. Output layer consists of 1 neuron with activation function purelin. Training method used is the method of gradient descent with momentum. Training method used is the method of gradient descent with momentum. Learning rate and momentum parameters defined respectively by 0.1 and 0.5. To evaluate the performance of the network model to recognize patterns of rainfall data is used in Biak city rainfall data from January 1997 - December 2008 (12 years). This data is divided into 2 parts, namely training and testing data using rainfall data from January 1997-December 2005 and data estimation using rainfall data from January 2006-December 2008. From the results of this study concluded that rainfall patterns Biak town can be recognized quite well by the model of back propagation neural network. The test results and estimates of the model results testing the value of R = 0.8119, R estimate = 0.53801, MAPE test = 0.1629, and MAPE estimate = 0.6813.


Author(s):  
Anshul Sahu

The stock market prediction is problematic subsequently the stock price is active in environment. To decrease the inappropriate predictions of the stock market and evolution the ability to predict the market actions. To escape the risk and the challenging in predicting stock price. Predicting stock market prices is a difficult task that conventionally contains extensive neural network. Owed to the linked environment of stock prices, conventional batch processing technique cannot be developed competently for stock market analysis. We propose an efficient Learning algorithm that develops a kind of Modified Computational Neural Networks (MCNN) based on BPNN (Back Propagation neural network) filter in training to increase the stock price prediction. Where the weights are adjusted for separate data points using stochastic gradient descent. This will distribute extra precise outcomes when linked to existing stock price prediction algorithms. The network is trained and evaluated for accurateness complete numerous sizes of data, and the results are organized.


Author(s):  
Jimmy Ming-Tai Wu ◽  
Zhongcui Li ◽  
Norbert Herencsar ◽  
Bay Vo ◽  
Jerry Chun-Wei Lin

AbstractIn today’s society, investment wealth management has become a mainstream of the contemporary era. Investment wealth management refers to the use of funds by investors to arrange funds reasonably, for example, savings, bank financial products, bonds, stocks, commodity spots, real estate, gold, art, and many others. Wealth management tools manage and assign families, individuals, enterprises, and institutions to achieve the purpose of increasing and maintaining value to accelerate asset growth. Among them, in investment and financial management, people’s favorite product of investment often stocks, because the stock market has great advantages and charm, especially compared with other investment methods. More and more scholars have developed methods of prediction from multiple angles for the stock market. According to the feature of financial time series and the task of price prediction, this article proposes a new framework structure to achieve a more accurate prediction of the stock price, which combines Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and Long–Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM). This new method is aptly named stock sequence array convolutional LSTM (SACLSTM). It constructs a sequence array of historical data and its leading indicators (options and futures), and uses the array as the input image of the CNN framework, and extracts certain feature vectors through the convolutional layer and the layer of pooling, and as the input vector of LSTM, and takes ten stocks in U.S.A and Taiwan as the experimental data. Compared with previous methods, the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm in this article leads to better results when compared directly.


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