scholarly journals Design and Implementation of MCNN for Better Prediction of Stock Price Movement

Author(s):  
Anshul Sahu

The stock market prediction is problematic subsequently the stock price is active in environment. To decrease the inappropriate predictions of the stock market and evolution the ability to predict the market actions. To escape the risk and the challenging in predicting stock price. Predicting stock market prices is a difficult task that conventionally contains extensive neural network. Owed to the linked environment of stock prices, conventional batch processing technique cannot be developed competently for stock market analysis. We propose an efficient Learning algorithm that develops a kind of Modified Computational Neural Networks (MCNN) based on BPNN (Back Propagation neural network) filter in training to increase the stock price prediction. Where the weights are adjusted for separate data points using stochastic gradient descent. This will distribute extra precise outcomes when linked to existing stock price prediction algorithms. The network is trained and evaluated for accurateness complete numerous sizes of data, and the results are organized.

Author(s):  
Jimmy Ming-Tai Wu ◽  
Zhongcui Li ◽  
Norbert Herencsar ◽  
Bay Vo ◽  
Jerry Chun-Wei Lin

AbstractIn today’s society, investment wealth management has become a mainstream of the contemporary era. Investment wealth management refers to the use of funds by investors to arrange funds reasonably, for example, savings, bank financial products, bonds, stocks, commodity spots, real estate, gold, art, and many others. Wealth management tools manage and assign families, individuals, enterprises, and institutions to achieve the purpose of increasing and maintaining value to accelerate asset growth. Among them, in investment and financial management, people’s favorite product of investment often stocks, because the stock market has great advantages and charm, especially compared with other investment methods. More and more scholars have developed methods of prediction from multiple angles for the stock market. According to the feature of financial time series and the task of price prediction, this article proposes a new framework structure to achieve a more accurate prediction of the stock price, which combines Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and Long–Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM). This new method is aptly named stock sequence array convolutional LSTM (SACLSTM). It constructs a sequence array of historical data and its leading indicators (options and futures), and uses the array as the input image of the CNN framework, and extracts certain feature vectors through the convolutional layer and the layer of pooling, and as the input vector of LSTM, and takes ten stocks in U.S.A and Taiwan as the experimental data. Compared with previous methods, the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm in this article leads to better results when compared directly.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1006-1007 ◽  
pp. 1031-1034
Author(s):  
Li Zhang ◽  
Qing Yang Xu ◽  
Chao Chen ◽  
Zeng Jun Bao

The stock market is a nonlinear dynamics system with enormous information, which is difficult to predict effectively by traditional methods. The model of stock price forecast based on BP Neutral-Network is put forward in this article. The paper try to find the way how to predictive the stock price. Exhaustive method is used for the hidden layer neurons and training method determination. Finally the experiment results show that the algorithm get better performance in stock price prediction.


Stock price prediction is always a most challenging task. Artificial Neural Network prediction clears the stock price prediction challenge by forming the training set. By using the past information as the network input, one can predict the expected output of the network. In order to predict the expected result as the accurate we add multi-layer perceptron to the knowledge set we formed from the past historical data available in the nifty NSE and Sensex BSE. This paper proves that proposing the learning knowledge set using multilayer neural network will predict the accurate closing price of future stock in stock market.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eko Riyanto

Stock price prediction is useful for investors to see how the prospects of a company's stock investment in the future. Stock price prediction can be used to anticipate the deviation of stock prices. It can also helps investors in decision making. Artificial Neural Networks do not require mathematical models but data from problems to be solved. Information is conveyed through the data, and the Artificial Neural Network filters the information through training. Therefore, Artificial Neural Network is appropriate to solve the problem of stock price prediction.            Learning method that will be used to predict stock price is Supervised Learning with Backpropagation algorithm. With this algorithm, networks can be trained using stock price data from the previous time, classify it and adjust network link weight as new input and forecast future stock prices. By using ANN, time series prediction is more accurate. After analyzing the problem of stock price movement system, the writer can know the pattern of what variables will be taken for further insert into the stock price forecasting system.            This application can be used for stock price forecasting technique, so it will be useful for beginner investor as well as advanced investor as reference to invest in capital market. Implementing supervised learning backpropagation method will get accurate forecasting results more than 98%.Keyword - artificial neural network, stock, backpropagation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2.6) ◽  
pp. 71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Avilasa Mohapatra ◽  
Smruti Rekha Das ◽  
Kaberi Das ◽  
Debahuti Mishra

Financial forecasting is one of the domineering fields of research, where investor’s money is at stake due to the rise or fall of the stock prices which unpredictable and fluctuating. Basically as the demand for stock markets has been rising at an unprecedented rate so its prediction becomes all the more exciting and challenging. Prediction of the forthcoming stock prices mostly Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based models are taken into account. The other models such as Bio-inspired Computing, Fuzzy network model etc., considering statistical measures, technical indicators and fundamental indicators are also explored by the researchers in the field of financial application. Ann’s development has led the investors for hoping the best prediction because networks included great capability of machine learning such as classification and prediction. Most optimization techniques are being used for training the weights of prediction models. Currently, various models of ANN-based stock price prediction have been presented and successfully being carried to many fields of Financial Engineering. This survey aims to study the mostly used ANN and related representations on Stock Market Prediction and make a proportional analysis between them.


Author(s):  
Nur Ghaniaviyanto Ramadhan ◽  
Imelda Atastina

Stocks are the most popular investments among entrepreneurs or other investors. When investing in stocks these investors tend to learn how to invest stocks correctly and when is the right time. For the problem of how to invest shares correctly can be used a variety of basic theories that already exist, but for the problem when the right time needs further learning. In this paper will purpose about stock price prediction using stock data indicators and financial headline data in Bahasa Indonesia. The machine learning model used is a multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLP-NN) with the highest accuracy produced by 80%.


Complexity ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun Sik Sim ◽  
Hae In Kim ◽  
Jae Joon Ahn

Stock market prediction is a challenging issue for investors. In this paper, we propose a stock price prediction model based on convolutional neural network (CNN) to validate the applicability of new learning methods in stock markets. When applying CNN, 9 technical indicators were chosen as predictors of the forecasting model, and the technical indicators were converted to images of the time series graph. For verifying the usefulness of deep learning for image recognition in stock markets, the predictive accuracies of the proposed model were compared to typical artificial neural network (ANN) model and support vector machine (SVM) model. From the experimental results, we can see that CNN can be a desirable choice for building stock prediction models. To examine the performance of the proposed method, an empirical study was performed using the S&P 500 index. This study addresses two critical issues regarding the use of CNN for stock price prediction: how to use CNN and how to optimize them.


Author(s):  
Arafat Jahan Nova ◽  
Zahada Qurashi Mim ◽  
Sanjida Rowshan ◽  
Md. Riad Ul Islam ◽  
Md Nurullah ◽  
...  

A stock market is a place where company shares are traded to the stockbrokers. Stock price prediction is one of the most challenging problems as a high level of accuracy is the key factor in predicting a stock market. Many methods are used to predict the price in the stock market but none of those methods are proved as a consistently acceptable prediction tool due to its volatile nature. In this paper, we proposed Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique because ANN can generalize and predict data after learning and analyzing from the initial inputs and their relationships. We used feed forward network and backward propagation algorithm to predict stock prices. In this paper, we introduced a method that can find out the future value of stock prices in a particular day based on some input using ANN back propagation algorithm.


Author(s):  
A John. ◽  
D. Praveen Dominic ◽  
M. Adimoolam ◽  
N. M. Balamurugan

Background:: Predictive analytics has a multiplicity of statistical schemes from predictive modelling, data mining, machine learning. It scrutinizes present and chronological data to make predictions about expectations or if not unexplained measures. Most predictive models are used for business analytics to overcome loses and profit gaining. Predictive analytics is used to exploit the pattern in old and historical data. Objective: People used to follow some strategies for predicting stock value to invest in the more profit-gaining stocks and those strategies to search the stock market prices which are incorporated in some intelligent methods and tools. Such strategies will increase the investor’s profits and also minimize their risks. So prediction plays a vital role in stock market gaining and is also a very intricate and challenging process. Method: The proposed optimized strategies are the Deep Neural Network with Stochastic Gradient for stock prediction. The Neural Network is trained using Back-propagation neural networks algorithm and stochastic gradient descent algorithm as optimal strategies. Results: The experiment is conducted for stock market price prediction using python language with the visual package. In this experiment RELIANCE.NS, TATAMOTORS.NS, and TATAGLOBAL.NS dataset are taken as input dataset and it is downloaded from National Stock Exchange site. The artificial neural network component including Deep Learning model is most effective for more than 100,000 data points to train this model. This proposed model is developed on daily prices of stock market price to understand how to build model with better performance than existing national exchange method.


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