Pressure Prediction Technology of the Deep Strata Based on BP Neural Network

2010 ◽  
Vol 143-144 ◽  
pp. 28-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Tie Yan ◽  
Ying Jie Liang

. The accurate prediction of strata pressure is the base for safely, quality and efficiently drilling, decreasing hole problems and reasonable development of the reservoir. Because of the high cost, long cycle of the formation pressure measured method, which may influence the safety of drilling operation, thus a new method for predicting strata pressure, based on the BP neural network, is presented in this paper, and establishing process of the neural network forecast model are discussed in detail. This method takes the acoustic time, natural potential, natural gamma ray log data and pipe pressure test data as study sample, which has a very high accuracy. The paper predicts strata pressure of the Saertu oil field and Xingshugang oil field in Daqing, and the results show that relative error between the predicted data and experimental data is less than ±8.9%.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Shaobo Lu

Based on the BP neural network and the ARIMA model, this paper predicts the nonlinear residual of GDP and adds the predicted values of the two models to obtain the final predicted value of the model. First, the focus is on the ARMA model in the univariate time series. However, in real life, forecasts are often affected by many factors, so the following introduces the ARIMAX model in the multivariate time series. In the prediction process, the network structure and various parameters of the neural network are not given in a systematic way, so the operation of the neural network is affected by many factors. Each forecasting method has its scope of application and also has its own weaknesses caused by the characteristics of its own model. Secondly, this paper proposes an effective combination method according to the GDP characteristics and builds an improved algorithm BP neural network price prediction model, the research on the combination of GDP prediction model is currently mostly focused on the weighted form, and this article proposes another combination, namely, error correction. According to the price characteristics, we determine the appropriate number of hidden layer nodes and build a BP neural network price prediction model based on the improved algorithm. Validation of examples shows that the error-corrected GDP forecast model is also better than the weighted GDP forecast model, which shows that error correction is also a better combination of forecasting methods. The forecast results of BP neural network have lower errors and monthly prices. The relative error of prediction is about 2.5%. Through comparison with the prediction results of the ARIMA model, in the daily price prediction, the relative error of the BP neural network prediction is 1.5%, which is lower than the relative error of the ARIMA model of 2%.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2083 (3) ◽  
pp. 032010
Author(s):  
Rong Ma

Abstract The traditional BP neural network is difficult to achieve the target effect in the prediction of waterway cargo turnover. In order to improve the accuracy of waterway cargo turnover forecast, a waterway cargo turnover forecast model was created based on genetic algorithm to optimize neural network parameters. The genetic algorithm overcomes the trap that the general iterative method easily falls into, that is, the “endless loop” phenomenon that occurs when the local minimum is small, and the calculation time is small, and the robustness is high. Using genetic algorithm optimized BP neural network to predict waterway cargo turnover, and the empirical analysis of the waterway cargo turnover forecast is carried out. The results obtained show that the neural network waterway optimized by genetic algorithm has a higher accuracy than the traditional BP neural network for predicting waterway cargo turnover, and the optimization model can long-term analysis of the characteristics of waterway cargo turnover changes shows that the prediction effect is far better than traditional neural networks.


2010 ◽  
Vol 439-440 ◽  
pp. 848-853
Author(s):  
Shuang Chen Li ◽  
Di Yuan

This article proposed the improvement BP algorithm which solved the neural network to restrain slow and easy well to fall into the partial minimum the question, through setup time sequence forecast model made the long-term power forecast, and made a comparison with the traditional BP natural network.


2012 ◽  
Vol 548 ◽  
pp. 438-443
Author(s):  
Heng Xue ◽  
Ping Li Liu ◽  
Nian Yin Li ◽  
Zhi Feng Luo ◽  
Li Qiang Zhao

The technique of acidizing stimulation is one of the most critical measures in petroleum industry to enhance production. As acidizing technique being an integrated course which combines science, practice and experience in one, it cannot be explained by mathematical technique precisely. For conventional acidizing, the workload is extremely huge and complicated, since it has built an extensive database with the help of a huge amount of the application samples. The Neural Network has the generalization ability, which not only has the most consistency with training samples, but also is a dependable network for predication of test samples, whose data distribution is similar to the previous ones. Expert system for acidizing based on the BP Neural Networks can predict a favorable acidizing fluids system and suitable dosage reasonably, effectively and accurately with a large pool of initial input parameters. Thereby this expert system can assist field application and realize the systematization and intelligence in oil field.


2013 ◽  
Vol 718-720 ◽  
pp. 1961-1966
Author(s):  
Hong Sheng Xu ◽  
Qing Tan

Electronic commerce recommendation system can effectively retain user, prevent users from erosion, and improve e-commerce system sales. BP neural network using iterative operation, solving the weights of the neural network and close values to corresponding network process of learning and memory, to join the hidden layer nodes of the optimization problem of adjustable parameters increase. Ontology learning is the use of machine learning and statistical techniques, with automatic or semi-automatic way, from the existing data resources and obtaining desired body. The paper presents building electronic commerce recommendation system based on ontology learning and BP neural network. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has high efficiency.


2012 ◽  
Vol 241-244 ◽  
pp. 1602-1607
Author(s):  
Guang Hai Han ◽  
Xin Jun Ma

It usually need different ways to process different objects in the manufacturing, Therefore, firstly we need to distinguish the categories of objects to be processed, then the machine will know how to deal with the objects. In order to automatically recognize the category of the irregular object, this paper extracted the improved Hu's moments of each object as the feature by the way of processing images of the working platform that the irregular objects are putting on. This paper adopts the variable step BP neural network with adaptive momentum factor as the classifier. The experiment shows that this method can effectively distinguish different irregular objects, and during the training of the neural network, it has faster convergence speed and better approximation compared with the traditional BP neural network


2012 ◽  
Vol 605-607 ◽  
pp. 2366-2369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Wang ◽  
Dan Zheng ◽  
Shi Min Luo ◽  
Dong Ming Zhan ◽  
Peng Nie

Based on analyzing the principle of BP neural network and time sequence characteristics of railway passenger flow, the forecast model of railway short-term passenger flow based on BP neural network was established. This paper mainly researches on fluctuation characteristics and short-time forecast of holiday passenger flow. Through analysis of passenger flow and then be used in passenger flow forecasting in order to guide the transport organization program especially the train plan of extra passenger train. And the result shows the forecast model based on BP neural network has a good effect on railway passenger flow prediction.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-99
Author(s):  
Mohsen Talebkeikhah ◽  
Zahra Sadeghtabaghi ◽  
Mehdi Shabani

Permeability is a vital parameter in reservoir engineering that affects production directly. Since this parameter's significance is obvious, finding a way for accurate determination of permeability is essential as well. In this paper, the permeability of two notable carbonate reservoirs (Ilam and Sarvak) in the southwest of Iran was predicted by several different methods, and the level of accuracy in all models was compared. For this purpose, Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP), Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), decision tree (DT), and random forest (RF) methods were chosen. The full set of real well-logging data was investigated by random forest, and five of them were selected as the potent variables. Depth, Computed gamma-ray log (CGR), Spectral gamma-ray log (SGR), Neutron porosity log (NPHI), and density log (RHOB) were considered efficacious variables and used as input data, while permeability was considered output. It should be noted that permeability values are derived from core analysis. Statistical parameters like the coefficient of determination ( ), root mean square error (RMSE) and standard deviation (SD) were determined for the train, test, and total sets. Based on statistical and graphical results, the SVM and DT models perform more accurately than others. RMSE, SD and R2values of SVM and DT models are 0.38, 1.63, 0.97 and 0.44, 2.89, and 0.96 respectively. The results of the best-proposed models of this paper were then compared with the outcome of the empirical equation for permeability prediction. The comparison indicates that artificial intelligence methods perform more accurately than traditional methods for permeability estimation, such as proposed equations. Doi: 10.28991/HEF-2021-02-02-01 Full Text: PDF


2021 ◽  
pp. 4810-4818
Author(s):  
Marwah H. Khudhair

     Shuaiba Formation is a carbonate succession deposited within Aptian Sequences. This research deals with the petrophysical and reservoir characterizations characteristics of the interval of interest in five wells of the Nasiriyah oil field. The petrophysical properties were determined by using different types of well logs, such as electric logs (LLS, LLD, MFSL), porosity logs (neutron, density, sonic), as well as gamma ray log. The studied sequence was mostly affected by dolomitization, which changed the lithology of the formation to dolostone and enhanced the secondary porosity that replaced the primary porosity. Depending on gamma ray log response and the shale volume, the formation is classified into three zones. These zones are A, B, and C, each can be split into three rock intervals in respect to the bulk porosity measurements. The resulted porosity intervals are: (I) High to medium effective porosity, (II) High to medium inactive porosity, and (III) Low or non-porosity intervals. In relevance to porosity, resistivity, and water saturation points of view, there are two main reservoir horizon intervals within Shuaiba Formation. Both horizons appear in the middle part of the formation, being located within the wells Ns-1, 2, and 3. These intervals are attributed to high to medium effective porosity, low shale content, and high values of the deep resistivity logs. The second horizon appears clearly in Ns-2 well only.


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