scholarly journals Forecast of Waterway Cargo Turnover Volume Based on Genetic Algorithm to Optimize Neural Network Parameters

2021 ◽  
Vol 2083 (3) ◽  
pp. 032010
Author(s):  
Rong Ma
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Network Parameters ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Target Effect ◽  
The Empirical Analysis ◽  
Better Than

Abstract The traditional BP neural network is difficult to achieve the target effect in the prediction of waterway cargo turnover. In order to improve the accuracy of waterway cargo turnover forecast, a waterway cargo turnover forecast model was created based on genetic algorithm to optimize neural network parameters. The genetic algorithm overcomes the trap that the general iterative method easily falls into, that is, the “endless loop” phenomenon that occurs when the local minimum is small, and the calculation time is small, and the robustness is high. Using genetic algorithm optimized BP neural network to predict waterway cargo turnover, and the empirical analysis of the waterway cargo turnover forecast is carried out. The results obtained show that the neural network waterway optimized by genetic algorithm has a higher accuracy than the traditional BP neural network for predicting waterway cargo turnover, and the optimization model can long-term analysis of the characteristics of waterway cargo turnover changes shows that the prediction effect is far better than traditional neural networks.

Long-Term Power Load Forecast Based on Improved BP Neural Network

2010 ◽  
Vol 439-440 ◽  
pp. 848-853
Author(s):  
Shuang Chen Li ◽  
Di Yuan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Setup Time ◽  
Time Sequence ◽  
Bp Algorithm ◽  
Load Forecast ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Power Load

This article proposed the improvement BP algorithm which solved the neural network to restrain slow and easy well to fall into the partial minimum the question, through setup time sequence forecast model made the long-term power forecast, and made a comparison with the traditional BP natural network.

scholarly journals Research on GDP Forecast Analysis Combining BP Neural Network and ARIMA Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Shaobo Lu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Relative Error ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
The Neural Network

Based on the BP neural network and the ARIMA model, this paper predicts the nonlinear residual of GDP and adds the predicted values of the two models to obtain the final predicted value of the model. First, the focus is on the ARMA model in the univariate time series. However, in real life, forecasts are often affected by many factors, so the following introduces the ARIMAX model in the multivariate time series. In the prediction process, the network structure and various parameters of the neural network are not given in a systematic way, so the operation of the neural network is affected by many factors. Each forecasting method has its scope of application and also has its own weaknesses caused by the characteristics of its own model. Secondly, this paper proposes an effective combination method according to the GDP characteristics and builds an improved algorithm BP neural network price prediction model, the research on the combination of GDP prediction model is currently mostly focused on the weighted form, and this article proposes another combination, namely, error correction. According to the price characteristics, we determine the appropriate number of hidden layer nodes and build a BP neural network price prediction model based on the improved algorithm. Validation of examples shows that the error-corrected GDP forecast model is also better than the weighted GDP forecast model, which shows that error correction is also a better combination of forecasting methods. The forecast results of BP neural network have lower errors and monthly prices. The relative error of prediction is about 2.5%. Through comparison with the prediction results of the ARIMA model, in the daily price prediction, the relative error of the BP neural network prediction is 1.5%, which is lower than the relative error of the ARIMA model of 2%.

Energy Demand Forecast of City Based on Cellular Genetic Algorithm

2012 ◽  
Vol 263-266 ◽  
pp. 2122-2125
Author(s):  
Yu Gui Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
The Other ◽  
Demand Forecast ◽  
Minimum Error ◽  
Search Optimization ◽  
Cellular Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Better Than

As a branch of genetic algorithm (GA), cellular genetic algorithm (CGA) has been used in search optimization of the population in recent years. Compared with traditional genetic algorithm and the algorithm combined with traditional genetic algorithm and BP neural network, energy demand forecast of city by the method of combining cellular genetic algorithm and BP neural network had the characteristic of the minimum training times, the shortest consumption time and the minimum error. Meanwhile, it was better than the other two algorithms from the point of fitting effect.

THE PROBLEM OF MODELLING A TRUNK AIR ROUTE NETWORK

Aviation ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatiana Tseytlina ◽  
Victor Balashov ◽  
Andrey Smirnov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Fuzzy Neural Network ◽  
Development Environment ◽  
Route Network ◽  
Information Models ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Fuzzy Neural ◽  
Neural Network Toolbox

In this work we developed a fuzzy neural network-based model of the conditions for the existence of air routes, i.e. the rules underlying the emergence, existence and elimination of air routes (direct links between cities). The model belongs to the class of information models: the existence or non-existence of an air route is considered dependent on a complex of parameters. These parameters characterise the transport link, as well as the generational and target capabilities of the connected cities. The model was constructed using genetic algorithm techniques and self-organising Kohonen maps (implemented by software features of the STATISTICA package), as well as software tools of the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox and the Neural Network Toolbox of the MatLab development environment. The model is used to forecast the development of the topology of the network. The forecast is a necessary component of long-term forecasts of demand in the aircraft market.

Research on the Application of the Prediction of the Expressway Traffic Flow Based on the Neural Network with Genetic Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 189-193 ◽  
pp. 4400-4404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Mei Zhu ◽  
Chang Peng Yan ◽  
Xiao Li Xu ◽  
Guo Xin Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Neural Network Algorithm ◽  
Genetic Neural Network

In order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the prediction of expressway traffic flow, this paper, based on the characteristics of the data of the expressway traffic flow, focuses on an optimized method of prediction with the application of the neural network with genetic algorithm. Applying genetic algorithm, optimizing BP neural network structure and establishing a new mixed model, this algorithm speed up the slow convergence velocity of traditional BP neural network prediction and increases the possibility to escape local minima. This algorithm based on the optimized genetic neural network predicts the actual data of the expressway traffic flow, the result of which shows that the application of the optimized method of prediction with the genetic neural network algorithm is effective and that it improves the rate and the accuracy of the prediction of the expressway traffic flow.

Pressure Prediction Technology of the Deep Strata Based on BP Neural Network

2010 ◽  
Vol 143-144 ◽  
pp. 28-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Tie Yan ◽  
Ying Jie Liang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Gamma Ray ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Oil Field ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Natural Gamma ◽  
Gamma Ray Log ◽  
Deep Strata ◽  
Very High

. The accurate prediction of strata pressure is the base for safely, quality and efficiently drilling, decreasing hole problems and reasonable development of the reservoir. Because of the high cost, long cycle of the formation pressure measured method, which may influence the safety of drilling operation, thus a new method for predicting strata pressure, based on the BP neural network, is presented in this paper, and establishing process of the neural network forecast model are discussed in detail. This method takes the acoustic time, natural potential, natural gamma ray log data and pipe pressure test data as study sample, which has a very high accuracy. The paper predicts strata pressure of the Saertu oil field and Xingshugang oil field in Daqing, and the results show that relative error between the predicted data and experimental data is less than ±8.9%.

scholarly journals The Evaluation of Dynamic Airport Competitiveness Based on IDCQGA-BP Algorithm

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Cui ◽  
Hai-bo Kuang ◽  
Ye Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Yangtze River Delta ◽  
River Delta ◽  
Bp Algorithm ◽  
Quantum Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Competition And Cooperation ◽  
Better Than

Aimed at the multidimensional and complex characteristic of airport competitiveness, a new algorithm is proposed in which BP neural network is optimized by improved double chains quantum genetic algorithm (IDCQGA-BP). The new algorithm is better than existing algorithms in convergence and the diversity of quantum chromosomes. The empirical data of eight airports in Yangtze River Delta in 2011 and 2012 is applied to verify the feasibility of the new algorithm, and then the competitiveness of the eight airports from 2013 to 2015 is gotten through the algorithm. The results show the following. (1) The new algorithm is better than the existing optimization algorithms in the aspects of error accuracy and run time. (2) The gaps of the airports in Yangtze River Delta are narrowing; the competition and cooperation are getting stronger and stronger. (3) The main increase reason of airport competitiveness is the increase of own investment.

Prediction and Analysis of Forged Workpiece’s Precision in Hydraulic Press Based on BP Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm

2010 ◽  
Vol 97-101 ◽  
pp. 2598-2602 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Cong Li ◽  
Lian Hong Zhang ◽  
Chun Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Orthogonal Experiment ◽  
Hydraulic Press ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Network Training ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Forecast Result

Workpiece’s precision is an important indicator of hydraulic press. In order to accurately predict the accuracy of the part, a method that combined the genetic algorithm and neural network is put out. Design of orthogonal experiment (DOE) is used to determine the input samples of neural network training and testing samples. The output samples are obtained by finite element analysed method (FEA). Through optimizing weights and thresholds of BP neural network using genetic algorithms, prediction model of workpiece’s precision is established. The established predict model overcomes the shortcomings of slow to convergence and easy to fall into the local minimum point of BP neural network model . By comparing the neural network forecast result with FEA ‘s results, it can be seen that the established prediction model has good fitting and generalization ability. So the model can be used to predict the workpiece’s precision.

Application and Study of BP Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm for Optimizational Parameters Based on MATLAB

2013 ◽  
Vol 325-326 ◽  
pp. 1726-1729 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Hua Zhu ◽  
Dian Zheng Zhuang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Nitric Acid ◽  
Process Parameters ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Network Modeling ◽  
Neural Network Modeling ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Toolbox

BP neural network modeling is introduced using MATLAB neural network toolbox function, In order to find the non-linear mathematical model between data. And process parameters is optimized combination the neural network and genetic algorithm, The method has been applied to optimize parameters for nitric acid device, and proved to be highly importance, Programming with MATLAB is very brief and practicable to optimize parameters using neural network and genetic algorithm.

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