Study of Reliability Modeling for Process System

2011 ◽  
Vol 199-200 ◽  
pp. 445-448
Author(s):  
Kun Lun Zhang ◽  
Bo Guo ◽  
Ping Jiang

The definition of process system reliability was provided. The study focused on the process reliability model with the quality parameter as index. Taking into account the effect of error propagation in working procedures on the whole process, it proposed the calculating methods of working procedures and process system reliability, which can effectively evaluate the ability of process subsystem in fulfilling design requirement.

2018 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 457-467 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingyi Liu ◽  
Yugang Zhang ◽  
Bifeng Song

Many researchers have modeled systems under multiple dependent competing failure processes (MDCFP) in recent years. Typically, those failure processes consist of degradation (soft failure) and random shock (hard failure). In previous papers the threshold of hard failure has been a fixed value, which does not reflect engineering practices. Threshold refers to the ability to resist external random shocks, which shifts with time as the system is used. Thus, this paper establishes a model for MDCFP with instant-shift hard threshold. The hard failure threshold changes with time instantaneously, and it is also influenced by external shocks. This paper also presents a system reliability model. The effectiveness of the presented model is demonstrated by a reliability analysis of the micro-engine at Sandia National Laboratories. In addition, a sensitivity analysis is performed for specific parameters.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (s1) ◽  
pp. 187-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai An ◽  
Hang Yin ◽  
Fukai He

Abstract There is complicated correlations in mechanical system. By using the advantages of copula function to solve the related issues, this paper proposes the mechanical system reliability model based on copula function. And makes a detailed research for the serial and parallel mechanical system model and gets their reliability function respectively. Finally, the application research is carried out for serial mechanical system reliability model to prove its validity by example. Using Copula theory to make mechanical system reliability modeling and its expectation, studying the distribution of the random variables (marginal distribution) of the mechanical product’ life and associated structure of variables separately, can reduce the difficulty of multivariate probabilistic modeling and analysis to make the modeling and analysis process more clearly.


2013 ◽  
Vol 392 ◽  
pp. 374-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Xin Xu ◽  
Yan Bai ◽  
Ren Shu Wang

It is difficult to model and solve the reliability of complicated dynamic system in the traditional reliability modeling method. A new reliability modeling method based on generalized stochastic petri net (GSPN) is proposed to analyze the wireless control system (WCS). After studying the common faults of the WCS, a dynamic fault tree is constructed to analyze the system, and it is transformed into formalization definition of GSPN. Finally, a certain type of WCS is selected to validate the proposed method. This method has important value to other WCS design and analysis.


2010 ◽  
Vol 34-35 ◽  
pp. 1211-1216
Author(s):  
Liang Pei Huang ◽  
Wen Hui Yue ◽  
Zheng Li Gong

The mechanical equipment faults result from parts failure in the period of service time, due to reassembly and maintenance, the reliability model for mechanical equipment is broken, so it is necessary to research and estimate the safety reliability of mechanical system. Based on the time-to-failure density function of parts, the mechanical system reliability model is constructed to track the change course of age structure of part population for the mechanical systems that are reassembled and maintained. By means of simulation of the system reliability model, concerned parameters with mechanical systems service life are defined, it is discussed how the time-to-failure density function have influence on the service life for mechanical systems undergoing reassembly and maintenance. It is significant to estimate reliability and failure rate of systems and to establish reasonable maintenance policies.


2014 ◽  
Vol 945-949 ◽  
pp. 1063-1068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Ping Huang ◽  
Jing Lun Zhou ◽  
Ju Hong Ning

For complex systems or items that experience multiple dependent competing failure processes, the dependency among the failure processes presents challenging issues in reliability modeling. This article, discusses the dependence of the degradation failure processes and the traumatic failure process. On the condition of passion shock processes, a degradation failure reliability model is developed with the wiener degradation processes. By the influence of the degradation, a traumatic failure reliability model is developed under weibull failure distribution. Then, we get system reliability model deals with mutual effect of the two processes. In additional, the parameters estimation of the reliability model is solved. An applied example demonstrated the model correctness and availability.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Askin Guler Yigitoglu ◽  
Thomas Harrison ◽  
Michael Scott Greenwood

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1697
Author(s):  
Shi-Woei Lin ◽  
Tapiwa Blessing Matanhire ◽  
Yi-Ting Liu

While the dependence assumption among the components is naturally important in evaluating the reliability of a system, studies investigating the issues of aggregation errors in Bayesian reliability analyses have been focused mainly on systems with independent components. This study developed a copula-based Bayesian reliability model to formulate dependency between components of a parallel system and to estimate the failure rate of the system. In particular, we integrated Monte Carlo simulation and classification tree learning to identify key factors that affect the magnitude of errors in the estimation of posterior means of system reliability (for different Bayesian analysis approaches—aggregate analysis, disaggregate analysis, and simplified disaggregate analysis) to provide important guidelines for choosing the most appropriate approach for analyzing a model of products of a probability and a frequency for parallel systems with dependent components.


2011 ◽  
Vol 186 ◽  
pp. 499-504 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pan He ◽  
Jie Xu ◽  
Kai Gui Wu ◽  
Jun Hao Wen

Service-oriented workflows are the fundamental structures in service-oriented applications and changes in the workflow could cause dramatic changes in system reliability. In several ways to re-heal workflows in execution, re-sizing service pools in the workflow is practical and easy to implement. In order to quickly adjust to workflow or environmental changes, this paper presents a dynamic service pool size configuration mechanism from the point of view of maintaining workflow reliability. An architecture-based reliability model is used to evaluate the overall reliability of a workflow with service pools and an optimal method is proposed to get the combination of service pool size aiming at minimizing the sum of service pool size subject to the workflow reliability requirement. A case study is used to explain this method and experiment results show how to change service pool size to meet the workflow reliability requirements.


2013 ◽  
Vol 291-294 ◽  
pp. 461-466
Author(s):  
Guo Bing Qiu ◽  
Wen Xia Liu ◽  
Jian Hua Zhang

Considering the randomness of wind speed and wind direction, the partial wake effect between wind turbines (WTs) in complex terrain was analyzed and a multiple wake model in complex terrain was established. Taking the power output characteristic of WT into consideration, a wind farm reliability model which considered the outages of connection cables was presented. The model is implemented in MATLAB using sequential Monte Carlo simulation and the results show that this model corrects the power output of wind farm, while improving the accuracy of wind farm reliability model.


2013 ◽  
Vol 347-350 ◽  
pp. 2590-2595 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng Zhai ◽  
Shu Zhong Lin

Aiming at the limitations of traditional reliability analysis theory in multi-state system, a method for reliability modeling and assessment of a multi-state system based on Bayesian Network (BN) is proposed with the advantages of uncertain reasoning and describing multi-state of event. Through the case of cell production line system, in this paper we will discuss how to establish and construct a multi-state system model based on Bayesian network, and how to apply the prior probability and posterior probability to do the bidirectional inference analysis, and directly calculate the reliability indices of the system by means of prior probability and Conditional Probability Table (CPT) . Thereby we can do the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the multi-state system reliability, identify the weak links of the system, and achieve assessment of system reliability.


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