scholarly journals Rainfall Forecasting Based on Surface Data of Chennai Region Using Artificial Neural Networks

In this study, we developed user friendly rainfall forecasting system based on Back propagation Neural Network using MATLAB 7.10 to forecast Hourly rainfall in Chennai region. The dataset of 31488 samples has been collected from Nungambakkam Meteorological Station, Chennai for the period of 2005 to 2015. The data was organized into day-wise hourly recordings as well as day-wise, maximum, minimum, average data of Relative Humidity (RH), Temperature, Pressure and Wind Speed along with Rainfall data. The collected dataset has been used both for training and for testing the data. The developed system gives more accuracy of 94.8197% when the training data set is 55% and the testing data set is 45% with least Mean Squared Error (MSE) value 0.012437.

1999 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 451 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Crocker ◽  
C.C. Fung ◽  
K.W. Wong

The producing M. australis Sandstone of the Stag Oil Field is a bioturbated glauconitic sandstone that is difficult to evaluate using conventional methods. Well log and core data are available for the Stag Field and for the nearby Centaur–1 well. Eight wells have log data; six also have core data.In the past few years artificial intelligence has been applied to formation evaluation. In particular, artificial neural networks (ANN) used to match log and core data have been studied. The ANN approach has been used to analyse the producing Stag Field sands. In this paper, new ways of applying the ANN are reported. Results from simple ANN approach are unsatisfactory. An integrated ANN approach comprising the unsupervised Self-Organising Map (SOM) and the Supervised Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) appears to give a more reasonable analysis.In this case study the mineralogical and petrophysical characteristics of a cored well are predicted from the 'training' data set of the other cored wells in the field. The prediction from the ANN model is then used for comparison with the known core data. In this manner, the accuracy of the prediction is determined and a prediction qualifier computed.This new approach to formation evaluation should provide a match between log and core data that may be used to predict the characteristics of a similar uncored interval. Although the results for the Stag Field are satisfactory, further study applying the method to other fields is required.


2013 ◽  
Vol 373-375 ◽  
pp. 1212-1219
Author(s):  
Afrias Sarotama ◽  
Benyamin Kusumoputro

A good model is necessary in order to design a controller of a system off-line. It is especially beneficial in the implementation of new advanced control schemes in Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV). Considering the safety and benefit of an off-line tuning of the UAV controllers, this paper identifies a dynamic MIMO UAV nonlinear system which is derived based on the collection of input-output data taken from a test flights (36250 samples data). These input-output sample flight data are grouped into two flight data sets. The first flight data set, a chirp signal, is used for training the neural network in order to determine parameters (weights) for the network. Validation of the network is performed using the second data set, which is not used for training, and is a representation of UAV circular flight movement. An artificial neural network is trained using the training data set and thereafter the network is excited by the second set input data set. The predicted outputs based on our proposed Neural Network model is similar to the desired outputs (roll, pitch and yaw) which has been produced by real UAV system.


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (10) ◽  
pp. 2324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiqi Zhang ◽  
Jiahe Cui ◽  
Lihui Feng ◽  
Aiying Yang ◽  
Huichao Lv ◽  
...  

In this letter, we propose an indoor visible light positioning technique using a Modified Momentum Back-Propagation (MMBP) algorithm based on received signal strength (RSS) with sparse training data set. Unlike other neural network algorithms that require a large number of training data points to locate accurately, we have realized high-precision positioning for 100 test points with only 20 training points in a 1.8 m × 1.8 m × 2.1 m localization area. In order to verify the adaptability of the MMBP algorithm, we experimentally demonstrate two different training data acquisition methods adopting either even or arbitrary training sets. In addition, we also demonstrate the positioning accuracy of the traditional RSS algorithm. Experimental results show that the average localization accuracy optimized by our proposed algorithm is only 1.88 cm for the arbitrary set and 1.99 cm for the even set, while the average positioning error of the traditional RSS algorithm reaches 14.34 cm. Comparison indicates that the positioning accuracy of our proposed algorithm is 7.6 times higher. Results also show that the performance of our system is higher than some previous reports based on RSS and RSS fingerprint databases using complex machine learning algorithms trained by a large amount of training points.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 291-298
Author(s):  
Shoukai Chen ◽  
Yongqiwen Fu ◽  
Lei Guo ◽  
Shifeng Yang ◽  
Yajing Bie

AbstractA data set of cemented sand and gravel (CSG) mix proportion and 28-day compressive strength was established, with outliers determined and removed based on the Boxplot. Then, the distribution law of compressive strength of CSG was analyzed using the skewness kurtosis and single-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests. And with the help of Python software, a model based on Back Propagation neural network was built to predict the compressive strength of CSG according to its mix proportion. The results showed that the compressive strength follows the normal distribution law, the expected value and variance were 5.471 MPa and 3.962 MPa respectively, and the average relative error was 7.16%, indicating the predictability of compressive strength of CSG and its correlation with the mix proportion.


2012 ◽  
Vol 263-266 ◽  
pp. 2173-2178
Author(s):  
Xin Guang Li ◽  
Min Feng Yao ◽  
Li Rui Jian ◽  
Zhen Jiang Li

A probabilistic neural network (PNN) speech recognition model based on the partition clustering algorithm is proposed in this paper. The most important advantage of PNN is that training is easy and instantaneous. Therefore, PNN is capable of dealing with real time speech recognition. Besides, in order to increase the performance of PNN, the selection of data set is one of the most important issues. In this paper, using the partition clustering algorithm to select data is proposed. The proposed model is tested on two data sets from the field of spoken Arabic numbers, with promising results. The performance of the proposed model is compared to single back propagation neural network and integrated back propagation neural network. The final comparison result shows that the proposed model performs better than the other two neural networks, and has an accuracy rate of 92.41%.


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suruchi Chawla

In this paper novel method is proposed using hybrid of Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Back Propagation (BP) Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for learning of classification of user queries to cluster for effective Personalized Web Search. The GA- BP ANN has been trained offline for classification of input queries and user query session profiles to a specific cluster based on clustered web query sessions. Thus during online web search, trained GA –BP ANN is used for classification of new user queries to a cluster and the selected cluster is used for web page recommendations. This process of classification and recommendations continues till search is effectively personalized to the information need of the user. Experiment was conducted on the data set of web user query sessions to evaluate the effectiveness of Personalized Web Search using GA optimized BP ANN and the results confirm the improvement in the precision of search results.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiali Zheng ◽  
Han Qiao ◽  
Xiumei Zhu ◽  
Shouyang Wang

Purpose This study aims to explore the role of equity investment in knowledge-driven business model innovation (BMI) in context of open modes according to the evidence from China’s primary market. Design/methodology/approach Based on the database of China’s private market and data set of news clouds, the statistic approach is applied to explore and explain whether equity investment promotes knowledge-driven BMI. Machine learning method is also used to prove and predict the performance of such open innovation. Findings The results of logistic regression show that explanatory variables are significant, providing evidence that knowledge management (KM) promotes BMI through equity investment. By further using back propagation neural network, the classification learning algorithm estimates the possibility of BMI, which can be regarded as a score to quantify the performance of knowledge-driven BMI Research limitations/implications The quality of secondhand big data is not very ideal, and future empirical studies should use first-hand survey data. Practical implications This study provides new insights into the link between KM and BMI by highlighting the important roles of external investments in open modes. Social implications From the perspective of investment, the findings of this study suggest the importance for stakeholders to share knowledge and strategies for entrepreneurs to manage innovation. Originality/value The concepts and indicators related to business models are difficult to quantify currently, while this study provides feasible and practical methods to estimate knowledge-driven BMI with secondhand data from the primary market. The mechanism of knowledge and innovation bridged by the experience from investors is introduced and analyzed.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1044-1045 ◽  
pp. 1824-1827
Author(s):  
Yi Ti Tung ◽  
Tzu Yi Pai

In this study, the back-propagation neural network (BPNN) was used to predict the number of low-income households (NLIH) in Taiwan, taking the seasonally adjusted annualized rates (SAAR) for real gross domestic product (GDP) as input variables. The results indicated that the lowest mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and highest correlation coefficient (R) for training and testing were 4.759 % versus 19.343 %, 24429972.268 versus 781839890.859, 4942.669 versus 27961.400, and 0.945 versus 0.838, respectively.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 5089-5097 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. M. Gray ◽  
R. Bennartz

Abstract. Due to the climate effects and aviation threats of volcanic eruptions, it is important to accurately locate ash in the atmosphere. This study aims to explore the accuracy and reliability of training a neural network to identify cases of ash using observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Satellite images were obtained for the following eruptions: Kasatochi, Aleutian Islands, 2008; Okmok, Aleutian Islands, 2008; Grímsvötn, northeastern Iceland, 2011; Chaitén, southern Chile, 2008; Puyehue-Cordón Caulle, central Chile, 2011; Sangeang Api, Indonesia, 2014; and Kelut, Indonesia, 2014. The Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model was used to obtain ash concentrations for the same archived eruptions. Two back-propagation neural networks were then trained using brightness temperature differences as inputs obtained via the following band combinations: 12–11, 11–8.6, 11–7.3, and 11 μm. Using the ash concentrations determined via HYSPLIT, flags were created to differentiate between ash (1) and no ash (0) and SO2-rich ash (1) and no SO2-rich ash (0) and used as output. When neural network output was compared to the test data set, 93 % of pixels containing ash were correctly identified and 7 % were missed. Nearly 100 % of pixels containing SO2-rich ash were correctly identified. The optimal thresholds, determined using Heidke skill scores, for ash retrieval and SO2-rich ash retrieval were 0.48 and 0.47, respectively. The networks show significantly less accuracy in the presence of high water vapor, liquid water, ice, or dust concentrations. Significant errors are also observed at the edge of the MODIS swath.


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