scholarly journals Bayesian Change Point Estimation Based on Masked Data in Exponential Distribution Parallel System

Change point reflects a qualitative change in things. It has gained some applications in the field of reliability. In order to estimate the position parameters of the change point, a Bayesian change point model based on masked data and Gibbs sampling was proposed. By filling in missing lifetime data and introducing latent variables, the simple likelihood function is obtained for exponential distribution parallel system under censored data. This paper describes the probability distributions and random generation methods of the missing lifetime variables and latent variables, and obtains the full conditional distributions of the change point position parameters and other unknown parameters. By Gibbs sampling and estimation of unknown parameters, the estimates of the mean, median, and quantile of the parameter posterior distribution are obtained. The specific steps of Gibbs sampling are introduced in detail. The convergence of Gibbs sampling is also diagnosed. Random simulation results show that the estimations are fairly accurate.

Author(s):  
Innocent Boyle Eraikhuemen ◽  
Gerald Ikechukwu Onwuka ◽  
Bassa Shiwaye Yakura ◽  
Hassan Allahde

Recently, researchers have shown much interest in developing new continuous probability distributions by adding one or two parameter(s) to the some existing baseline distributions. This act has been beneficial to the field of statistical theory especially in modeling of real life situations. Also, the exponentiated family as used in developing new distributions is an efficient method proposed and studied for defining more flexible continuous probability distributions for modeling real life data. In this study, the method of exponentiation has been used to develop a new distribution called “Exponentiated odd Lindley inverse exponential distribution”. Some properties of the proposed distribution and estimation of its unknown parameters has been done using the method of maximum likelihood estimation and its application to real life datasets. The new model has been applied to infant mortality rate and mother-to-child HIV transmission rate. The results of these two applications reveal that the proposed model is a better model compared to the other fitted existing models by some selection information criteria.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 726
Author(s):  
Lamya A. Baharith ◽  
Wedad H. Aljuhani

This article presents a new method for generating distributions. This method combines two techniques—the transformed—transformer and alpha power transformation approaches—allowing for tremendous flexibility in the resulting distributions. The new approach is applied to introduce the alpha power Weibull—exponential distribution. The density of this distribution can take asymmetric and near-symmetric shapes. Various asymmetric shapes, such as decreasing, increasing, L-shaped, near-symmetrical, and right-skewed shapes, are observed for the related failure rate function, making it more tractable for many modeling applications. Some significant mathematical features of the suggested distribution are determined. Estimates of the unknown parameters of the proposed distribution are obtained using the maximum likelihood method. Furthermore, some numerical studies were carried out, in order to evaluate the estimation performance. Three practical datasets are considered to analyze the usefulness and flexibility of the introduced distribution. The proposed alpha power Weibull–exponential distribution can outperform other well-known distributions, showing its great adaptability in the context of real data analysis.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (13) ◽  
pp. 1510
Author(s):  
Alaa H. Abdel-Hamid ◽  
Atef F. Hashem

In this article, the tampered failure rate model is used in partially accelerated life testing. A non-decreasing time function, often called a ‘‘time transformation function", is proposed to tamper the failure rate under design conditions. Different types of the proposed function, which have sufficient conditions in order to be accelerating functions, are investigated. A baseline failure rate of the exponential distribution is considered. Some point estimation methods, as well as approximate confidence intervals, for the parameters involved are discussed based on generalized progressively hybrid censored data. The determination of the optimal stress change time is discussed under two different criteria of optimality. A real dataset is employed to explain the theoretical outcomes discussed in this article. Finally, a Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to examine the performance of the estimation methods and the optimality criteria.


2021 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 1581-1598
Author(s):  
Vahid Nekoukhou ◽  
Ashkan Khalifeh ◽  
Hamid Bidram

Abstract The main aim of this paper is to introduce a new class of continuous generalized exponential distributions, both for the univariate and bivariate cases. This new class of distributions contains some newly developed distributions as special cases, such as the univariate and also bivariate geometric generalized exponential distribution and the exponential-discrete generalized exponential distribution. Several properties of the proposed univariate and bivariate distributions, and their physical interpretations, are investigated. The univariate distribution has four parameters, whereas the bivariate distribution has five parameters. We propose to use an EM algorithm to estimate the unknown parameters. According to extensive simulation studies, we see that the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, and the performance is quite satisfactory. A bivariate data set is analyzed and it is observed that the proposed models and the EM algorithm work quite well in practice.


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