scholarly journals MACROECONOMIC AND MACRO-FINANCIAL FACTORS OF THE STABILITY OF THE BANKING SECTOR - THE CASE OF THE REPUBLIC OF NORTH MACEDONIA

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Blagica Donev ◽  

Banks, as financial institutions, play a vital role in achieving financial stability and economic growth, with their expected contribution through mobilization and allocation of financial resources throughout the economy. Only a reliable and stable banking system that enjoys the trust of economic entities can be an effective intermediary of the resources of the national economy in order to intensify economic development. The role of banks is even more important for developing economies with underdeveloped capital markets. The banking sector is still the primary form of financial intermediation in the Republic of North Macedonia. The study examine the stability of the banking sector in North Macedonia, and explores the macroeconomic, macro financial factors behind stability indicators of banking sector functioning in North Macedonia over the 1996- 2017 period by employing correlations and multiple linear regression model. Results of the analysis showed that macroeconomic factors are not affecting selected bank stability indicators: NPL and capital adequacy. In addition, macro-financial factors (that include the specific determinants of the banking sector that relate to the size, structure, efficiency of the banking sector, competition) are affecting indicators and can be shown to be reliable early warning indicators. There is a broad consensus that strong and effective micro- and macroprudential policies are needed to assure a robust and resilient financial system. Author’s recommendation is implementation regulatory framework and construction of legal, institutional, regulatory landscape for macro-prudential regulation and policies, that act complementing to microprudential and macroeconomic policies, that have an impact on systemic financial stability.

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-38
Author(s):  
Tamara Vesić ◽  
Jovan Petronijević ◽  
Nenad Ravić

Just over a decade after the outbreak of the global economic crisis in 2008, the world is once again facing a global crisis caused by the Covid-19 virus pandemic. The paper compares the effects of the crisis on the banking sector with special reference to the measures of the National Bank of Serbia that were implemented in order to preserve financial stability in the Republic of Serbia. It was concluded that the Serbian banking sector has consistently submitted to the moratorium introduced by the NBS, most likely as a consequence of high liquidity and capital adequacy in previous periods. On the other hand, due to the corona virus pandemic, many factories have stopped producing gold, the transport of goods is functioning slowly, which has led to a shortage of gold, so it is almost impossible to buy a gold ducat or gold bar in Europe. As a result, the jump in demand consequently affected the increase in the value of gold. Although bankers quickly adapted to work from home and electronic delivery of services to end users, what is a fact is that in the future we will certainly face new financial shocks, so one of the goals of the work is to create foundations and recommendations for further business research in risky situations.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 135-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Asima Siddique ◽  
Zahid Sarwar

PurposeThe size of non-performing loans (NPLs) plays a key role in the stability of the banking sector of a country. The factors that explain the NPLs contain very important information for banks. Studies in this regard with respect to developing states such as Pakistan have received little attention. This study aimed to scrutinize the determinants of NPLs observing a case of the banking sector in Pakistan over the period from 2005 to 2017.Design/methodology/approachThe sample consists of the banking sector (i.e., commercial banks) listed in Pakistan Stock Exchange over the period of 2005–2017. The banking factors, including profitability, operating efficiency, capital adequacy and income diversification, were evaluated. The estimations were done by regression modeling using random and fixed effects through STATA software.FindingsResults show that the operating efficiency and profitability indicators have a negative association with NPLs but were statistically significant, while capital adequacy and income diversification have a negative association with NPLs but were statistically insignificant.Research limitations/implicationsThe present study has considered limited banking indicators as determinants of NPLs and was limited to a specific time period from 2005 to 2017.Originality/valueThe study is an attempt to investigate various banking factors that affect the NPLs with respect to developing economies such as Pakistan.


2021 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-151
Author(s):  
Kristijan Ristić ◽  
Mirjana Jemović

Abstract After the financial deregulation that marked the last two decades of the 20th century, banks lost their monopolistic position and faced a number of competitors on the financial market. Fighting for their market share, banks began to grant loans under more relaxed terms. This policy increased the share of non-performing loans (NPLs) and ultimately increased credit risk in the banking sector. The share of non-performing loans in total loans indicates the quality of bank assets, so their analysis and trend are an important parameter in assessing the stability of the banking and overall financial sector. The paper aims to analyze the NPL trend in the banking sector of the Republic of Serbia in the period from 2010-2019 and, thus, identify determinants that significantly affect the extent of credit risk. The research uses vector autoregressive model (VAR), and the results confirm that gross domestic product, inflation, unemployment, return on total assets (ROA), cost efficiency, capital adequacy ratio, and income diversification affect NPLs. The analysis shows that the level of non-performing loans depends on a number of factors, both macroeconomic and bank-specific, which regulatory authorities must keep in mind when assessing the credit risk that banks face.


2012 ◽  
pp. 4-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Mamonov ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
O. Solntsev

The stability of Russian banking sector is threatened by three negative tendencies - overheating of the credit market, significant decrease of banks capital adequacy ratios, and growing problems associated with banks lending to affiliated non-financial corporations. The co-existence of these processes reflects the crisis of the model of private investments in Russian banking sector, which was observed during the last 20 years. This paper analyzes the measures of the Bank of Russia undertaken to maintain the stability of the banking sector using the methodology of credit risk stress-testing. Based on this methodology we conclude that the Bank of Russias actions can prevent the overheating of the credit market, but they can also lead to undesirable effects: further expansion of the government ownership in Russian banking sector and substitution of domestic credit supply by cross-border corporate borrowings. The later weakens the competitive positions of Russian banks. We propose a set of measures to harmonize the prudential regulation of banks. Our suggestions rely on design and further implementation of the programs aimed at developing new markets for financial services provided by Russian banks to their corporate and retail customers. The estimated effects of proposed policy measures are both the increase in profitability and capitalization of Russian banks and the decrease of banks demand for government support.


2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-19
Author(s):  
Kinga Górska ◽  
Karolina Krzemińska

This article seeks to present the essentials of financial stability and to analyse and evaluate selected determinants of stability Poland’s financial system in the years 2017–2018. The study comprises exemplary ratios or indicators that are used in measuring the stability of a financial system. The proposed analysis is confined to selected groups of stability ratios/indicators that are pertinent to the macroeconomic situation, the situation in financial markets, and the situation of the banking sector. The analysis is based upon the data and statistics provided in the reports of the National Bank of Poland, available by 31st November 2018.


Author(s):  
Meltem Gurunlu

Maintaining financial stability in the banking sector through a well-functioning risk management system is a strategic approach in today's global world where the risks have become much more diversified than ever. This chapter was undertaken in order to investigate the risk management topic by focusing on the experiences learned from the banking crises up-to-date and implications of the Basel Accords which outlined capital adequacy standards to prevent such crises. With paying special attention to the case of Turkish banking system, main challenges and possible solutions are also discussed.


2019 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Belkacem Ghassan ◽  
Abdelkrim Ahmed Guendouz

Purpose This paper aims to measure the stability extent of the banking sector in Saudi Arabia, including Islamic and conventional banks (CBs), using quarterly data. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses seemingly unrelated regressions to estimate the determinants of the z-score. Findings The panel data model shows that Islamic banks (IBs) reduce the financial stability index relatively; meanwhile, they contribute efficiently to enhance the financial stability through the diversification of their assets. The Saudi banking sector exhibits strong concentration affecting the financial stability negatively. Research limitations/implications The paper’s topic can be extended to cover the recent period. Practical implications The limited presence of IBs in the Saudi banking sector jeopardizes any effort to improve the financial stability. Social implications By attracting more clients, IBs would contribute more to the financial stability in the Saudi economy. Also, the monetary authority has to expand the share of IBs in the financial system at least 50-50 compared to CBs. Originality/value The z-score is mostly analyzed with yearly data; in this paper we use quarterly data to describe at infra-annual frequency the variability of the z-score index. Also, we consider in detail the statistical properties of the banks’ data.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Lutfullah Lutf ◽  
Hafizullah Omarkhil

This study comparatively focuses on the impact of macroeconomic determinants and the internal indicators on bank performance. It comparatively evaluates the differential effects of macroeconomic variables and bank specific variables. Thus, considering five-five banks from each system, a comparative performance investigation between conventional & Islamic banks is the aim of this paper. To determine the short-run and long-run impact of these factors, co-integration & general to specific approach are adopted. This study also considers bank specific and macroeconomic variables in two separate models (Return on Assets and Return on Equity). Our objective is to find whether or not Islamic banks are performing well in the country as compared to their conventional counterparts. The results indicate that in the long run, Gross Domestic Product, and inflation, is positively related to performance, while Interest rate has no effect on the performance of banking sector in Pakistan. Similarly, bank size, capital adequacy, expenses, interest income and non-interest income are the bank related factors that significantly influence the performance of financial sector.


Author(s):  
Olena Tarasova

The article explores the problems of ensuring the financial sustainability of the banking sector, which plays a very important role in the functioning of the financial system of the state. The role of the stability of the banking system in ensuring conditions of economic growth is justified. It is noted that it is the financial stability of each banking institution that is a prerequisite for the stable functioning of the entire banking system. It is emphasized that since the financial stability of the banking system is influenced by a large number of internal and external factors, for the effective functioning of the banking system of the country must be ready for any challenges to the macro and microenvironment. The main problems of the banking system in modern conditions should be considered the reduction of deposits of the population, deterioration of the quality of the loan portfolio, significant devaluation of the hryvnia, high inflation rates, loss-making of a significant number of banking institutions. It was concluded that the banking system of Ukraine feels a significant dependence on the funds of depositors - individuals, and therefore on factors that affect their behavior in the financial market. Trends of formation of deposit base of commercial banks of Ukraine and imbalances in the sphere of attraction of banking resources were analyzed. The growth of bank deposits of the population is slow, negative changes in their structure are observed. The share of deposits of individuals after the 2014 crisis has become significantly more volatile and risky in terms of financial stability. The increase in lending is complicated by the presence of large portfolios of problem loans, as a result of which there are a number of tasks to increase the efficiency of the loan portfolio, which should ensure a compromise of profitability, liquidity and credit risk acceptable to the bank. The priorities of monetary policy and the main tasks are formulated, the solution of which will allow to intensify lending to the real sector of the economy. Theoretical and practical recommendations have been developed to improve bank lending, increase the profitability of the banking system and capitalize Ukrainian banks.


Author(s):  
Fakhri Fuad Murshudli ◽  
◽  
Muslum Mursal Mursalov ◽  

The article examines the experience of the Republic of Azerbaijan (RA) in anti-crisis regulation of the banking sector. The author reveals the current state of the banking system of RA. Its development is monitored from three time perspectives – on the eve of the crisis (2005-2007), in the crisis (2008-2009) and post-crisis periods (2010-2020). The characteristics and features of each of them are revealed. The conceptual essence of the definition of “anti-crisis management” is revealed. The factors contributing to the study of anti-crisis management (regulation) of banking activity as an independent field of scientific research, as well as the distinctive features of its methods and tools are highlighted. The article analyzes the impact of anti-crisis regulation on the banking system of RA in the context of the global economic crisis, as well as anti-crisis measures taken by the country’s monetary authorities at various stages of the modern financial collapse. The authors concluded that these measures are inconsistent, and that it is necessary to further improve regulation and supervision in this area, aimed at achieving high financial stability of the banking system, primarily due to an adequate level of capitalization, optimal indicators of financial reserves and liquidity.


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