Genetic Algorithmised Neuro Fuzzy System for Forecasting the Online Journal Visitors

2021 ◽  
pp. 181-189
Author(s):  
Wayan Firdaus Mahmudy ◽  
Aji Prasetya Wibawa ◽  
Nadia Roosmalita Sari ◽  
H. Haviluddin ◽  
P. Purnawansyah

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is recognized as one of effective forecasting engines for various business fields. This approach fits well with non-linear data. In fact, it is a black box system with random weighting, which is hard to train. One way to improve its performance is by hybridizing ANN with other methods. In this paper, a hybrid approach, Genetic Algorithm-Neural Fuzzy System (GA-NFS) is proposed to predict the number of unique visitors of an online journal website. The neural network weight is precisely determined using GA. Afterwards, the best weight has been used for testing data and processed using Sugeno Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) for time-series forecasting. Based on experiment, GA-NFS have been produced accuracy with 0.989 of root mean square error (RMSE) that is lower than the RMSE of a common NFS (2,004). This may indicate that the GA based weighting is able to improve the NFS performance on forecasting the number of journal unique visitors.

Author(s):  
Prashant Kumar ◽  
Sabha Raj Arya ◽  
Khyati D. Mistry

Abstract In this article, a hybrid approach is implemented namely, neural network training (NNT) based machine learning (ML) estimator inspired by artificial neural network (ANN) and self-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to tackle the voltage aggravations in the power distribution network (DN). In this work, potential of swarm intelligence technique namely particle swam optimization (PSO) is analysed to obtain an optimum prediction model with certain modifications in training algorithm parameters. In practice, when the systems are continuously subjected to parametric changes or external disturbances, then ample time is dedicated to tune the system to regain its stable performance. To improve the dynamic performance of the system intelligence-based techniques are proposed to overcome the shortcomings of conventional controllers. So, gain tuning process based on the intelligence system is a desirable choice. The statistical tools are used to proclaim the effectiveness of the controllers. The obtained MSE, RMSE, ME, SD and R were evaluated as 0.0015959, 0.039949, −0.00089838, 0.039941 and 1 in the training phase and 0.0015372, 0.039207, −0.0005657, 0.039203 and 1 in the testing phase, respectively. The results revealed that the ANFIS-PSO network model could accomplish a better DC voltage regulation performance when it is compared to the conventional PI. The proposed intelligence strategies confirm that the predicted DVR model based on NNT-ML and ANFIS has faster convergence speed and reliable prediction rate. Moreover, the simulation results show that the dynamic response is improved with proposed PSO based NNT based ML and ANFIS (Takagi-Sugeno) that significantly compensates the voltage based PQ issues. The proposed DVR is actualized in MATLAB/SIMULINK platform.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Musa Alhaji Ibrahim ◽  
Yusuf Şahin ◽  
Auwal Ibrahim ◽  
Auwalu Yusuf Gidado ◽  
Mukhtar Nuhu Yahya

Lately, artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models have been recognized as potential and good tools for mathematical modeling of complex and nonlinear behavior of specific wear rate (SWR) of composite materials. In this study, modeling and prediction of specific wear rate of polytetraflouroethylene (PTFE) composites using FFNN and ANFIS models were examined. The performances of the models were compared with conventional multilinear regression (MLR) model. To establish the proper choice of input variables, a sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the most influential parameter on the SWR. The modeling and prediction performance results showed that FFNN and ANFIS models outperformed that of the MLR model by 45.36% and 45.80%, respectively. The sensitivity analysis findings revealed that the volume fraction of reinforcement and density of the composites and sliding distance were the most and more influential parameters, respectively. The goodness of fit of the ANN and ANFIS models was further checked using t-test at 5% level of significance and the results proved that ANN and ANFIS models are powerful and efficient tools in dealing with complex and nonlinear behavior of SWR of the PTFE composites.


Author(s):  
D R Parhi ◽  
M K Singh

This article focuses on the navigational path analysis of mobile robots using the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) in a cluttered dynamic environment. In the ANFIS controller, after the input layer there is a fuzzy layer and the rest of the layers are neural network layers. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy hybrid system combines the advantages of the fuzzy logic system, which deals with explicit knowledge that can be explained and understood, and those of the neural network, which deals with implicit knowledge that can be acquired by learning. The inputs to the fuzzy logic layer include the front obstacle distance, the left obstacle distance, the right obstacle distance, and target steering. A learning algorithm based on the neural network technique has been developed to tune the parameters of fuzzy membership functions, which smooth the trajectory generated by the fuzzy logic system. Using the developed ANFIS controller, the mobile robots are able to avoid static and dynamic obstacles and reach the target successfully in cluttered environments. The experimental results agree well with the simulation results; this proves the authenticity of the theory developed.


2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dalibor Petković ◽  
Milan Gocić ◽  
Shahaboddin Shamshirband

The paper investigates the accuracy of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy computing technique in precipitation estimation. The monthly precipitation data from 29 synoptic stations in Serbia during 1946-2012 are used as case studies. Even though a number of mathematical functions have been proposed for modeling the precipitation estimation, these models still suffer from the disadvantages such as their being very demanding in terms of calculation time. Artificial neural network (ANN) can be used as an alternative to the analytical approach since it offers advantages such as no required knowledge of internal system parameters, compact solution for multi-variable problems and fast calculation. Due to its being a crucial problem, this paper presents a process constructed so as to simulate precipitation with an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference (ANFIS) method. ANFIS is a specific type of the ANN family and shows very good learning and prediction capabilities, which makes it an efficient tool for dealing with encountered uncertainties in any system such as precipitation. Neural network in ANFIS adjusts parameters of membership function in the fuzzy logic of the fuzzy inference system (FIS). This intelligent algorithm is implemented using Matlab/Simulink and the performances are investigated.  The simulation results presented in this paper show the effectiveness of the developed method.


2011 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 332-335
Author(s):  
Guo Lin Jing ◽  
Wen Ting Du ◽  
Xiang Chen ◽  
Huan Yi

Fuzzy system is known to predict model in the electrodialysis process. This paper aimed to predict separation percent(SP) of NaCl solution as a function of concentration, temperature, flow rate and voltage. Besides, in the MATLAB, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) based on Sugeno fuzzy model, its structure was similar to neural network and could generate fuzzy rules automatically. We obtained fitted values of SP by ANFIS. Then, we studied these influencing factors on fitted values of SP. Finally, we draw a conclusion that SP is in direct proportion to temperature and voltage, but in inverse proportion to concentration and flow rate.


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