scholarly journals IMPACT OF DOMESTIC DEBT ON PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA (2000-2019)

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-91
Author(s):  
Olaolu M. ◽  
◽  
Ibrahim M. ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Crowd Out ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of domestic debt on private sector investment and economic growth in Nigeria, covering the period 2000-2019. The causal research design was employed. Unit root and cointegrated tests were carried out and the unit root test results showed that the variables were non-stationary at level but became stationary after first differencing. Cointegration test results revealed that the variables are cointegrated meaning that they have long-run equilibrium relationship. Using the ordinary least squares (OLS) method to estimate the specified multiple regression models, findings showed that domestic debt and interest on domestic debt negatively and significantly impacted on private sector investment and economic growth in Nigeria during the period under consideration. The negative impact of domestic debt on private sector investment indicates that government domestic borrowing crowd-out private sector investment. In lieu of the fact that government borrowing (especially domestic borrowing) stifles (crowd-out) private sector investment and retards economic growth in Nigeria, it is recommended that since government borrowing especially through the money market is exerting adverse effects on private sector investment and economic growth, government should endeavor to borrow domestically through the capital market by further developing the Nigerian equity and bond markets in order to enable these markets have the capacity to provide the needed funds. Also, to avoid stunt economic growth and crowding-out effect of government borrowing, government should endeavor to put in place fiscal prudent measures that would favor the private investor by discouraging high government spending in areas that don’t have direct positive impact on private sector investment growth and economic growth.

scholarly journals EFFECT OF PUBLIC DEBTS ON PRIVATE-SECTOR INVESTMENT IN NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 96-111
Author(s):  
Osuoha Chionyeka ◽  
◽  
Theresa Udenwa ◽  
Nneka Nwala ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Private Sector ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Private Investors ◽  
The Impact

This study empirically analyzed the effect of Public Debt and Private-Sector Investment in Nigeria (1986-2017). This study employed secondary data in the analysis. The study used the ordinary least square method (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) tools of analysis in the investigation of the impact and relationship among the economic variables. The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the Error Correction Models show that there is a strong relationship between Private Investment (PIVN)in Nigeria and Public Debt in Nigeria. Public Debt in Nigeria has a negative effect on the economy both in the short run and long run especially the Public Domestic Debt in Nigeria and Public External Debts in Nigeria. This is because the more government borrows from both the domestic and the external the more it crowds out investment especially the domestic debt crowds out private investment through lack of access to funds. The ECM result revealed that Public Debt Service in Nigeria has a positive effect on Private Investment (PIVN)in Nigeria, this is because when the government pays back loans or debts, it increases access to funds by the private investors thereby increasing the level of private investment in the country. Therefore, the study recommends that government should design a mechanism for effective and efficient Public Debt Service Management in Nigeria to increase access to funds by private investors and thereby increasing and enhancing Private Investment (PIVN) in Nigeria.

scholarly journals PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PALESTINE

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Osaid Nasser Abdaljawwad ◽  
Tamat Sarmidi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of private sector investment on economic growth in Palestine using quarterly time series data from 1990-2015. Multiple regression and co-integration methods are employed to analyse the data. The objectives of this study are to analyse the trends of private investment and economic growth in Palestine from 1990­-2015 and to examine the impact of private sector investment on economic. Being a time series data, to avoid spurious regression results, the first step is to test for the stationarity of the data by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test. Then ordinary least square (OLS) regression technique is used to estimate of each independent variable effect on the dependent variable. Test the stationary of the error term is done to test the long run co-integration among variables. The result of stationarity and normality test will reveal that the model is fairly well specified and could be used for policy analysis or not. The co-integration test result will indicate that private sector investment and economic growth have a long run significant effect on one another. The unit root tests, which conducted, confirm that variables are stationary in first difference and the co-integration tests also confirm the existence of long term relationship between the variables. The findings of the study concluded that there exist a short-run and long run relationship between private sector investment and economic growth in Palestine. This study recommends the Palestinian government to promote and encourage both domestic and foreign direct investment. The investment policy should be more transparent, attractive and competitive

Fiscal Deficit and Economic Growth in Bangladesh

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ebney Ayaj Rana ◽  
Abu N. M. Wahid
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Government Budget Deficit

The economy of Bangladesh is currently going through a period of continuous budget deficit. The present data suggest that the government budget deficit, on average, is nearly 5% of the country’s GDP. This has been true since the early 2000s. To finance this deficit, governments have been borrowing largely from domestic and foreign sources resulting in inflationary pressure on one hand, and crowding out of private investments on the other. During the same period, although the economy has grown steadily at a rate of more than 6%, this growth is less than the potential. This article presents an econometric study of the impact of government budget deficits on the economic growth of Bangladesh. We conduct a time-series analysis using ordinary least squares estimation, vector error correction model, and granger causality test. The findings suggest that the government budget deficit has statistically significant negative impact on economic growth in Bangladesh. Policy implications of our findings include reestablishing the rule of law, political stability in the country, restructuring tax structure, closing tax loopholes, and harmonizing fiscal policy with monetary policy to attract additional domestic and foreign investment.

scholarly journals Effect of Money Supply on Economic Growth: A Comparative Study of Nigeria and Ghana

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Impact

The effect of money supply in enhancing economic growth in Nigeria and Ghana is investigated in this study. The major objectives of the study are to establish the joint and individual influences of money supply mechanisms on economic growth in Nigeria and Ghana. The study employs data from 2009 to 2018 and uses Ordinary Least Squares regression technique for analysis of the data. The findings reveal that broad money supply (M2) has an insignificant negative influence on RGDP in Nigeria, but in Ghana the impact is significant and positive. Broad money supply (M3) exerts insignificant positive influence on RGDP in Nigeria, but significant negative impact on RGDP in Ghana while credit to private sectors (CPS) has insignificant positive influence on RGDP in both Nigeria and Ghana. The study among others suggests that the Monetary Authorities in the two countries should come up with monetary policy strategies that will help drive the economy better and such policies should consider M2 and CPS more as their contributions are necessary for economic expansion that lead to more output and employment.

scholarly journals The impact of credits to the private sector and FDI on the economic growth in ASEAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 343-351
Author(s):  
Dang Van Cuong
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
The Impact

The paper examines the impact of credits to private sector and foreign direct investment (FDI) flows on the economic growth of ASEAN countries in the period 1995-2017. The paper also validates the capital spread of FDI inflows to economic growth through credits to private sector. Using fixed effect estimation method (FEM), random effect (REM) and generalized least square (GLS) for panel data, we found that FDI inflows are positvely correlated with the economic growth of the ASEAN countries. This once again confirms the role of FDI in promoting the economic growth as evidenced in previous studies. Meanwhile, credits to private sector exert a negative impact on the economic growth in these countries which is an interesting finding given that few studies yield a similar result. To assess the spillover effect of FDI to growth through credits to private sector, we augment our model with a variable that reflects the interaction between credits to private sector and FDI. This variable is negative and statistically significant, suggesting that FDI is yet to show its positive impact on growth through spreading capital to credits to privatte sector.

scholarly journals The Impacts of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Economic Growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 114-130
Author(s):  
Chai-Thing Tan ◽  
Azali Mohamed ◽  
Muzafar Shah Habibullah ◽  
Lee Chin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
The Impact

This article analyses the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on economic growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand from 1980:Q1 to 2017:Q1. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach is employed to determine the long-run relationship. Further, a range of econometric models, such as fully modified least squares method (FMOLS), canonical cointegration regression (CCR) and dynamic ordinary least squares method (DOLS), are applied to check the robustness. The results are stable and robust as all the models yield consistency result. The main findings in this study demonstrate that: (a) interest rate had a negative impact on economic growth in three selected countries. (b) Government spending had a negative impact on economic growth in Malaysia and Singapore, but had a positive impact in Thailand. (c) Monetary policy is more effective in Malaysia and Singapore, while fiscal policy is more effective in Thailand. JEL Classification: E52, E58, E62, C01

scholarly journals Government Size and Economic Growth in Botswana: An Application of Nonlinear Armey Curve Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Narain Sinha ◽  
Kefilwe Allister Kalayakgosi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Quadratic Function ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Government Size ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
The Impact

This study has investigated the impact of government size on economic growth in Botswana using annual time series data for the period 1973 to 2012. The study adopted a framework analysis based on a quadratic function/second degree polynomial regression employed by Herath (2012). Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method was used for the regression analysis. The results obtained are not consistent with the empirical and theoretical views as small government size has a negative impact on economic growth while a large government size has a positive impact on economic growth. The results obtained in the study were opposite to the views of most of the studies conducted. Nominal Total government expenditure is used as a measure of government size and growth of nominal GDP is used to measure economic growth. The study also employed other control variables which affect growth like government revenue as a percentage of GDP, Gross capital formation (GCF) as a percentage of GDP as proxy for investment rate and growth of paid employees as a proxy for labor force growth. The results showed that government revenue and GCF had a negative impact on economic growth but GCF was insignificant. Growth of paid employees on the other hand had a positive impact on economic growth. The study aimed at investigating the existence of the Armey curve in a developing country like Botswana. Due to government size having a negative impact on economic growth and government size squared having a positive impact on economic growth the conclusion is that the Armey curve does not exist in Botswana.

Political instability and its impact on economic growth: the case of Jordan

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 366-380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malak Samih Abu Murad ◽  
Nooh Alshyab
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Political Instability ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Small Country ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Least Squares Approach

Purpose Political instability may have far-reaching implications for economic performance. This paper aims to analyze the impact of political instability on economic growth by focusing on the case of Jordan, a small country located in the Middle East, which represents a highly political instable region. Design/methodology/approach The analysis is performed by regressing different indicators for internal and external political instability on economic growth for the period from 1980 to 2015 using the fully modified ordinary least squares approach. Findings The results point at a significant impact of political instability on the economic growth of the country in all the specifications considered; in particular, the analysis reveals a positive impact of external political instability indexed by border countries’ political instability and a negative impact of internal political instability, as proxied by the number of crimes and cabinet changes. Further, regarding the effect of the level of freedom, the authors find evidence for the so-called conflict perspective. Originality/value This paper is original and relevant for two main reasons. First, it adds to the debate on the effects of political instability on economic growth, and hereby, disentangles the effects of internal and external political instability. Second, it makes an important contribution by focusing on the case of Jordan, which has received little attention in the literature on political instability so far, even though political instability is a constant threat to the country.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF EXPORTS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF PAKISTAN AND INDIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 77-89
Author(s):  
Rasheed Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Direct Foreign Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of exports on economic growth of Pakistan and India for the period of 1990 to 2016. The unit root test namely Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test was used to identify stationarity in the data. The method of Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) was employed to estimate the coefficient of the variables. The FMOLS results exhibit that exports is having positive and significant impact on economic growth in both countries. Moreover, the empirical results reveal that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflow and human capital have also positive and significant effect on the economic growth. The findings of this study suggest that policy makers need to make effective policies in order to increase the volume of exports as well as attract direct foreign investment and encourage human capital in order to stimulate economic growth.

scholarly journals Analyzing the Effect of Bank Facilities on Private Sector Investment: Experience of the Selected Asian Countries (HPAEs)

2017 ◽  
pp. 77-103
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Primary Source ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Private Sector Investment

Sustainable economic growth and development are the main economic target of all countries in the world. Physical capital plays a vital role in achieving economic growth and its fluctuations affect the general functioning of the economy. However, there is not a perfect correlation between investment and economic growth rate, but there is a striking correlation. Countries that allocate greater proportion of GDP to investment (like Singapore and Japan) experience higher rates of economic growth, while allocating smaller proportion of GDP to investment (like Rwanda and Bangladesh) leads to lower economic growth rates. In economics, capital formation consists of two stages: mobilizing savings and investing it. Therefore, saving is the primary source of capital formation which provides the necessary funds for investment. On the other hand, the banking system is the main channel to mobilize savings and allocates them for the financing of investment projects in developing countries. The credit amount, the interest rate and the way to allocate the financial resources to economic activities have an important impact on investment level and economic performance. This research examines the effect of bank facilities on private sector investment in selected High Performing Asian Economies (HPAEs) in the period (1999-2013); using flexible accelerator theory and panel data method for estimating experimental model. Findings show a significant relation between investment and explanatory variables at 5% significance level. The positive effect of bank facilities and the negative impact of real interest rate on private investment are consistent with theoretical expectations. Furthermore, the results indicate the complementary effect of government investment and negative effect of FDI on private sector investment.

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