scholarly journals The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (150) ◽  
Author(s):  

Ethiopia is facing a pronounced economic slowdown and an urgent balance of payments need owing to the COVID-19 pandemic. The economy was growing robustly prior to the pandemic, and progress under the ECF-EFF arrangements was encouraging. The shock is expected to significantly reduce growth this fiscal year and next. It has already materially weakened external accounts as services exports, remittances, and foreign direct investment declined. The authorities are taking measures to combat the spread of the virus, mitigate its fallout, and support vulnerable groups. The fiscal deficit will have to expand temporarily to accommodate the additional spending.

Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz

Recent years have also seen increased openness of EDEs to foreign direct investment (FDI) in search for faster growth and greater stability. However, FDI is one of the most ambiguous and least understood concepts in international economics. Common debate is confounded by several myths regarding its nature and impact. It is often portrayed as a stable, cross-border flow of capital that adds to productive capacity and meets foreign exchange shortfalls. However, the reality is far more complex. FDI does not always involve inflows of financial or real capital. Greenfield investment, unlike mergers and acquisitions, makes a direct contribution to productive capacity, but can crowd out domestic investors. FDI can induce significant instability in currency and financial markets. Its immediate contribution to balance-of-payments may be positive, but its longer-term impact is often negative because of high-profit remittances and import contents.


Significance Crude oil is central to South Sudan’s economy, providing between 80% and 90% of government revenue and almost all export earnings. Last year’s oil price shock hit the economy hard and prompted two disbursements by the IMF under the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF) in November 2020 and April 2021. Impacts Net foreign direct investment (FDI) will turn positive in fiscal year (FY) 2020/21, following three years of outflows. The central bank’s weekly foreign exchange auctions will continue to reduce the gap between the official and parallel market rates. Following a contraction of around 4%, GDP is expected to grow modestly at 2-3% in FY 2021/22 and FY 2022/23.


2019 ◽  
Vol 69 (S2) ◽  
pp. 73-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdolna Sass ◽  
Jana Vlčková

There has been an increase in outward foreign direct investment (FDI) and in the number of locally-owned or controlled multinationals in the Czech Republic and Hungary. However, data problems hinder to determine accurately the underlying trends and the main factors behind the changes. Data on outward FDI contain investment realised by all locally operational firms, regardless of their ownership. We rely on newly available balance of payments manual 6 (BPM) data and on company case studies. We show that outward investment by Czech firms must be much higher than what balance of payments data show. Hungary's case is the opposite. The leading Czech and Hungarian foreign investor firms can be categorised as “virtual indirect” foreign investors: they are in majority foreign ownership, but under domestic control. The reason for this special type of firms dominating in outward foreign direct investments can be found in the privatisation technique applied in these countries during the transition process.


Author(s):  
Miloš Parežanin ◽  
Dragana Kragulj ◽  
Sandra Jednak

The aim of this chapter is to analyse the effects of the economic crisis on the trade among the Southeastern European (SEE) countries. The countries were divided into two groups: the EU countries and non-EU countries. Macroeconomic performances and international trade indicators of the 11 observed countries were analysed for the period 2007-2019, and the effects of the economic crisis were present in all the observed countries, particularly the effects on the export performances. The crisis also affected the entire import of the non-EU countries. The EU countries recovered from the crisis faster than the non-EU countries. However, the non-EU countries achieved a more significant inflow of foreign direct investment in the post-crisis period, which significantly improved the position of the balance of payments in these countries. The observed countries had managed to stabilise their trade flows all until the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis. The impact of the current crisis on these countries remains to be estimated in the future.


1979 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 225-234
Author(s):  
Olukunle Iyanda

In recent years, many less developed countries have thrown open their doors to foreign investment in manufacturing. It is believed that, by producing goods locally which otherwise would have been imported, foreign exchange would be conserved. This paper analyses the balance of payments impact of foreign direct investment in the manufacturing sector of Nigeria's economy to determine whether it is cheaper to produce locally through foreign-owned firms or to use any other alternate means of supplying local demand.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (159) ◽  
Author(s):  

The COVID-19 pandemic has considerably weakened macroeconomic prospects for Djibouti. The country is facing a large negative external demand shock due to the global recession. Domestically, virus prevention and containment measures are affecting both demand and supply. Output is contracting, while lower exports of services and foreign direct investment have opened an urgent balance of payments need of the order of US$164 million (4.8 percent of GDP). The pandemic has also created urgent spending needs and is set to reduce government revenue.


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