scholarly journals Fintech Credit Risk Assessment for SMEs

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (193) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiping Huang ◽  
Longmei Zhang ◽  
Zhenhua Li ◽  
Han Qiu ◽  
Tao Sun ◽  
...  

Promoting credit services to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) has been a perennial challenge for policy makers globally due to high information costs. Recent fintech developments may be able to mitigate this problem. By leveraging big data or digital footprints on existing platforms, some big technology (BigTech) firms have extended short-term loans to millions of small firms. By analyzing 1.8 million loan transactions of a leading Chinese online bank, this paper compares the fintech approach to assessing credit risk using big data and machine learning models with the bank approach using traditional financial data and scorecard models. The study shows that the fintech approach yields better prediction of loan defaults during normal times and periods of large exogenous shocks, reflecting information and modeling advantages. BigTech’s proprietary information can complement or, where necessary, substitute credit history in risk assessment, allowing unbanked firms to borrow. Furthermore, the fintech approach benefits SMEs that are smaller and in smaller cities, hence complementing the role of banks by reaching underserved customers. With more effective and balanced policy support, BigTech lenders could help promote financial inclusion worldwide.

Author(s):  
Julian Oliver Dörr ◽  
Georg Licht ◽  
Simona Murmann

AbstractCOVID-19 placed a special role on fiscal policy in rescuing companies short of liquidity from insolvency. In the first months of the crisis, SMEs as the backbone of Germany’s economy benefited from large and mainly indiscriminate aid measures. Avoiding business failures in a whatever-it-takes fashion contrasts, however, with the cleansing mechanism of economic crises: a mechanism which forces unviable firms out of the market, thereby reallocating resources efficiently. By focusing on firms’ pre-crisis financial standing, we estimate the extent to which the policy response induced an insolvency gap and analyze whether the gap is characterized by firms which were already struggling before the pandemic. With the policy measures being focused on smaller firms, we also examine whether this insolvency gap differs with respect to firm size. Our results show that the COVID-19 policy response in Germany has triggered a backlog of insolvencies that is particularly pronounced among financially weak, small firms, having potential long-term implications on entrepreneurship and economic recovery.Plain English Summary This study analyzes the extent to which the strong policy support to companies in the early phase of the COVID-19 crisis has prevented a large wave of corporate insolvencies. Using data of about 1.5 million German companies, it is shown that it was mainly smaller firms that experienced strong financial distress and would have gone bankrupt without policy assistance. In times of crises, insolvencies usually allow for a reallocation of employees and capital to more efficient firms. However, the analysis reveals that this ‘cleansing effect’ is hampered in the current crisis as the largely indiscriminate granting of liquidity subsidies and the temporary suspension of the duty to file for insolvency have caused an insolvency gap that is driven by firms which were already in a weak financial position before the crisis. Overall, the insolvency gap is estimated to affect around 25,000 companies, a substantial number compared to the around 16,300 actual insolvencies in 2020. In the ongoing crisis, policy makers should prefer instruments favoring entrepreneurs who respond innovatively to the pandemic instead of prolonging the survival of near-insolvent firms.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Aiwen Niu ◽  
Bingqing Cai ◽  
Shousong Cai

With the continuous development of big data technology, the data of online lending platform witness explosive development. How to give full play to the advantages of data, establish a credit risk assessment model, and realize the effective control of platform credit risk have become the focus of online lending platform. In view of the fact that the network loan data are mainly unbalanced data, the smote algorithm is helpful to optimize the model and improve the evaluation performance of the model. Relevant research shows that stochastic forest model has higher applicability in credit risk assessment, and cart, ANN, C4.5, and other algorithms are also widely used. In the influencing factors of credit evaluation, the weight of the applicant’s enterprise scale, working years, historical records, credit score, and other indicators is relatively high, while the index weight of marriage and housing/car production (loan) is relatively low.


2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 01012
Author(s):  
WANG HAORU ◽  
Yi Zhixuan ◽  
WEI YUJIA ◽  
Tianpeng Yao ◽  
Zhao Shuoheng ◽  
...  

In recent years, network technology has continued to develop, and Internet finance has rapidly developed into a new business area. Internet credit is one of the important ways for banks to conduct business, and the scale of online credit has continued to expand. Due to the existence of various unpredictable factors, frequent emergencies, and online financial fraud, the overall market risk in the field of online credit has increased, and the rate of non-performing loans has continued to increase. Online financial fraud cases show that online credit risk has become one of the most prominent risks in the operation of commercial banks, which has a direct impact on the stability and development of commercial banks. We can build a bank database system based on big data, introduce professional big data analysis technical personnel, and constantly improve the big data sharing analysis platform, so that commercial banks can use system data more fully and effectively, and facilitate relevant business personnel to use big data technology for analysis and calculation. Big data is constantly produced, which provides basic materials for online credit risk assessment. Big data analysis technology is gradually mature, and it has the necessary conditions for online credit risk assessment. Based on the theories and technologies related to big data analysis, this paper comprehensively evaluates the online credit risk in the form of example data analysis, thereby effectively reducing the online credit risk coefficient.


2019 ◽  
Vol 06 (01) ◽  
pp. 1950001 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Xianzhi Yuan ◽  
Huiqi Wang

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the general risk assessment under the Hologram framework for the enterprise based on big data language; and to illustrate the Hologram as a new tool for establishing a mechanism to evaluate SMEs growth and change in financial technology dynamically (here we mainly focus on SMEs as they are one of the very important classes for enterprises with less information available from financial accounting report and associated assets. Indeed, the approach discussed here is applicable to general enterprises). The key idea of our new approach is to introduce and use the “Hologram” (similar to, “holographic portrait” used in portrait holography), a platform for data fusion dynamically, as a tool and mechanism to describe the dynamic evolution of SMEs based on their business dynamic behavior. Through processing structured and/or unstructured data in terms of “related-party” information sets which analyze (1) “investment” and (2) “management” information provided by SMEs’ business behavior, and extracting “Risk Genes” from complex financial network structures in the business ecosystem, we can establish a “good” or “bad” rating for SMEs by using data fusion dynamically and financial technology. This method to assess SMEs is a new approach to evaluating SMEs’ development dynamically based on the network structure information of enterprise and business behavior. The framework introduced in this paper for the dynamic mechanism of SMEs’ development and evolution allows us to assess the risk of any SMEs (in particular to evaluate SMEs’ loan applications) even not available for critical data required in traditional finance analysis including information such as financial accounting and associated assets, etc. This new “Hologram” approach for SMEs assessment is a pioneering innovation that incorporates big data and financial technology for inclusive financial services in practical application. Ultimately, the Hologram approach offers a new theoretical solution for the long-standing problem of credit risk assessment for SMEs and individuals in practice. Since the information embedded in SMEs’ business behavior reveals the competition and cooperation mechanism that drives its stochastic resonance (SR) behavior which is associated with successful SMEs development, the two concepts of SAI and URR under the Hologram approach to risk assessment that identifies if an SME is “good” are based on the network generated from an SMEs’ related-party information in terms of “investment” and “management” dynamically, along with other available information such as related investment capital and risk control. Significantly, the Hologram approach to risk assessment for SMEs does not require critical data of traditional financial account and related assets, etc. which heavily depend on financial accounting and associated assets used by financial risk analysis in practice. Using big data and FinTech Hologram method discussed in this paper utilizes the related-party information (in term of investment and management) of each SME which exists in an embedded business network to overcome the situation for SMEs which always have not or have not enough in providing accounting and associated asset information in the practice. By the feature of each Hologram for a given SME, one always has the related-party information in terms of either investment, or management dynamically, which is indeed also an explanation for the reason why the new approach proposed only comes true only until the era of big data’s occurring by using ideas from financial technology today. Furthermore, this paper explores the implementation of the “Holo Credit Loan”, a pure credit loan without any collateral and guarantee launched in 2016, as practical applications of the Hologram approach. We illustrate the framework of SMEs risk assessment under the Holograms new theoretical basis for solving the long-standing problem of credit risk assessment for SMEs (and individuals). Moreover, this paper’ conclusion will address the performance of the “Holo Credit Loan”.


2020 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-75
Author(s):  
Ying Long ◽  
Jianting Zhao

This paper examines how mass ridership data can help describe cities from the bikers' perspective. We explore the possibility of using the data to reveal general bikeability patterns in 202 major Chinese cities. This process is conducted by constructing a bikeability rating system, the Mobike Riding Index (MRI), to measure bikeability in terms of usage frequency and the built environment. We first investigated mass ridership data and relevant supporting data; we then established the MRI framework and calculated MRI scores accordingly. This study finds that people tend to ride shared bikes at speeds close to 10 km/h for an average distance of 2 km roughly three times a day. The MRI results show that at the street level, the weekday and weekend MRI distributions are analogous, with an average score of 49.8 (range 0–100). At the township level, high-scoring townships are those close to the city centre; at the city level, the MRI is unevenly distributed, with high-MRI cities along the southern coastline or in the middle inland area. These patterns have policy implications for urban planners and policy-makers. This is the first and largest-scale study to incorporate mobile bike-share data into bikeability measurements, thus laying the groundwork for further research.


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