scholarly journals Detectability of Arctic methane sources at six sites performing continuous atmospheric measurements

Author(s):  
Thibaud Thonat ◽  
Marielle Saunois ◽  
Philippe Bousquet ◽  
Isabelle Pison ◽  
Zeli Tan ◽  
...  

Abstract. Understanding the recent evolution of methane emissions in the Arctic is necessary to interpret the global methane cycle. Emissions are affected by significant uncertainties and are sensitive to climate change, leading to potential feedbacks. A polar version of the CHIMERE chemistry-transport model is used to simulate the evolution of tropospheric methane in the Arctic during 2012, including all known regional anthropogenic and natural sources. CHIMERE simulations are compared to atmospheric continuous observations at six measurement sites in the Arctic region. In winter, the Arctic is dominated by anthropogenic emissions; emissions from continental seepages and oceans, including from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf, can contribute significantly in more limited areas. In summer, emissions from wetland and freshwater sources dominate across the whole region. The model is able to reproduce the seasonality and synoptic variations of methane measured at the different sites. We find that all methane sources significantly affect the measurements at all stations at least at the synoptic scale, except for biomass burning; this indicates the relevance of continuous observations to gain a mechanistic understanding of Arctic methane sources. Sensitivity tests reveal that the choice of the land surface model used to prescribe wetland emissions can be critical in correctly representing methane concentrations. Also testing different freshwater emission inventories leads to large differences in modelled methane. Attempts to include methane sinks (OH oxidation and soil uptake) reduced the model bias relative to observed atmospheric CH4. The study illustrates how multiple sources, having different spatiotemporal dynamics and magnitudes, jointly influence the overall Arctic methane budget, and highlights ways towards further improved assessments.

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (13) ◽  
pp. 8371-8394 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thibaud Thonat ◽  
Marielle Saunois ◽  
Philippe Bousquet ◽  
Isabelle Pison ◽  
Zeli Tan ◽  
...  

Abstract. Understanding the recent evolution of methane emissions in the Arctic is necessary to interpret the global methane cycle. Emissions are affected by significant uncertainties and are sensitive to climate change, leading to potential feedbacks. A polar version of the CHIMERE chemistry-transport model is used to simulate the evolution of tropospheric methane in the Arctic during 2012, including all known regional anthropogenic and natural sources, in particular freshwater emissions which are often overlooked in methane modelling. CHIMERE simulations are compared to atmospheric continuous observations at six measurement sites in the Arctic region. In winter, the Arctic is dominated by anthropogenic emissions; emissions from continental seepages and oceans, including from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf, can contribute significantly in more limited areas. In summer, emissions from wetland and freshwater sources dominate across the whole region. The model is able to reproduce the seasonality and synoptic variations of methane measured at the different sites. We find that all methane sources significantly affect the measurements at all stations at least at the synoptic scale, except for biomass burning. In particular, freshwater systems play a decisive part in summer, representing on average between 11 and 26 % of the simulated Arctic methane signal at the sites. This indicates the relevance of continuous observations to gain a mechanistic understanding of Arctic methane sources. Sensitivity tests reveal that the choice of the land-surface model used to prescribe wetland emissions can be critical in correctly representing methane mixing ratios. The closest agreement with the observations is reached when using the two wetland models which have emissions peaking in August–September, while all others reach their maximum in June–July. Such phasing provides an interesting constraint on wetland models which still have large uncertainties at present. Also testing different freshwater emission inventories leads to large differences in modelled methane. Attempts to include methane sinks (OH oxidation and soil uptake) reduced the model bias relative to observed atmospheric methane. The study illustrates how multiple sources, having different spatiotemporal dynamics and magnitudes, jointly influence the overall Arctic methane budget, and highlights ways towards further improved assessments.


2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (18) ◽  
pp. 6543-6562 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Hamman ◽  
Bart Nijssen ◽  
Michael Brunke ◽  
John Cassano ◽  
Anthony Craig ◽  
...  

Abstract The Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) is a fully coupled, regional Earth system model applied over the pan-Arctic domain. This paper discusses the implementation of the Variable Infiltration Capacity land surface model (VIC) in RASM and evaluates the ability of RASM, version 1.0, to capture key features of the land surface climate and hydrologic cycle for the period 1979–2014 in comparison with uncoupled VIC simulations, reanalysis datasets, satellite measurements, and in situ observations. RASM reproduces the dominant features of the land surface climatology in the Arctic, such as the amount and regional distribution of precipitation, the partitioning of precipitation between runoff and evapotranspiration, the effects of snow on the water and energy balance, and the differences in turbulent fluxes between the tundra and taiga biomes. Surface air temperature biases in RASM, compared to reanalysis datasets ERA-Interim and MERRA, are generally less than 2°C; however, in the cold seasons there are local biases that exceed 6°C. Compared to satellite observations, RASM captures the annual cycle of snow-covered area well, although melt progresses about two weeks faster than observations in the late spring at high latitudes. With respect to derived fluxes, such as latent heat or runoff, RASM is shown to have similar performance statistics as ERA-Interim while differing substantially from MERRA, which consistently overestimates the evaporative flux across the Arctic region.


2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-104
Author(s):  
Niccolò Tubini ◽  
Riccardo Rigon

Abstract. This paper presents WHETGEO and its 1D deployment: a new physically based model simulating the water and energy budgets in a soil column. The purpose of this contribution is twofold. First, we discuss the mathematical and numerical issues involved in solving the Richardson–Richards equation, conventionally known as the Richards equation, and the heat equation in heterogeneous soils. In particular, for the Richardson–Richards equation (R2) we take advantage of the nested Newton–Casulli–Zanolli (NCZ) algorithm that ensures the convergence of the numerical solution in any condition. Second, starting from numerical and modelling needs, we present the design of software that is intended to be the first building block of a new customizable land-surface model that is integrated with process-based hydrology. WHETGEO is developed as an open-source code, adopting the object-oriented paradigm and a generic programming approach in order to improve its usability and expandability. WHETGEO is fully integrated into the GEOframe/OMS3 system, allowing the use of the many ancillary tools it provides. Finally, the paper presents the 1D deployment of WHETGEO, WHETGEO-1D, which has been tested against the available analytical solutions presented in the Appendix.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elodie Salmon ◽  
Fabrice Jégou ◽  
Bertrand Guenet ◽  
Line Jourdain ◽  
Chunjing Qiu ◽  
...  

Abstract. In the global methane budget, the largest natural source is attributed to wetlands that encompass all ecosystems composed of waterlogged or inundated ground, capable of methane production. Among them, northern peatlands that store large amounts of soil organic carbon have been functioning, since the end of the last glaciation period, as long-term sources of methane (CH4) and are one of the most significant methane sources among wetlands. To reduce global methane budget uncertainties, it is of significance to understand processes driving methane production and fluxes in northern peatlands. A methane model that features methane production and transport by plants, ebullition process and diffusion in soil, oxidation to CO2 and CH4 fluxes to the atmosphere has been embedded in the ORCHIDEE-PEAT land surface model which includes an explicit representation of northern peatlands. This model, ORCHIDEE-PCH4 was calibrated and evaluated on 14 peatland sites distributed on both Eurasian and American continents in the northern boreal and temperate regions. Data assimilation approaches were employed to optimized parameters at each site and at all sites simultaneously. Results show that, in ORCHIDEE-PCH4, methanogenesis is sensitive to temperature and substrate availability over the top 75 cm of soil depth. Methane emissions estimated using single site optimization (SSO) of model parameters are underestimated by 9 g CH4 m−2 year−1 on average (i.e. 50 % higher than the site average of yearly methane emissions). While using the multi-sites optimization (MSO), methane emissions are overestimated by 5 g CH4 m−2 year−1 on average across all investigated sites (i.e. 37 % lower than the site average of yearly methane emissions).


2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4693-4722 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arsène Druel ◽  
Philippe Peylin ◽  
Gerhard Krinner ◽  
Philippe Ciais ◽  
Nicolas Viovy ◽  
...  

Abstract. Simulation of vegetation–climate feedbacks in high latitudes in the ORCHIDEE land surface model was improved by the addition of three new circumpolar plant functional types (PFTs), namely non-vascular plants representing bryophytes and lichens, Arctic shrubs and Arctic C3 grasses. Non-vascular plants are assigned no stomatal conductance, very shallow roots, and can desiccate during dry episodes and become active again during wet periods, which gives them a larger phenological plasticity (i.e. adaptability and resilience to severe climatic constraints) compared to grasses and shrubs. Shrubs have a specific carbon allocation scheme, and differ from trees by their larger survival rates in winter, due to protection by snow. Arctic C3 grasses have the same equations as in the original ORCHIDEE version, but different parameter values, optimised from in situ observations of biomass and net primary productivity (NPP) in Siberia. In situ observations of living biomass and productivity from Siberia were used to calibrate the parameters of the new PFTs using a Bayesian optimisation procedure. With the new PFTs, we obtain a lower NPP by 31 % (from 55° N), as well as a lower roughness length (−41 %), transpiration (−33 %) and a higher winter albedo (by +3.6 %) due to increased snow cover. A simulation of the water balance and runoff and drainage in the high northern latitudes using the new PFTs results in an increase of fresh water discharge in the Arctic ocean by 11 % (+140 km3 yr−1), owing to less evapotranspiration. Future developments should focus on the competition between these three PFTs and boreal tree PFTs, in order to simulate their area changes in response to climate change, and the effect of carbon–nitrogen interactions.


2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 2197-2252 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Gouttevin ◽  
G. Krinner ◽  
P. Ciais ◽  
J. Polcher ◽  
C. Legout

Abstract. Soil freezing is a major feature of boreal regions with substantial impact on climate. The present paper describes the implementation of the thermal and hydrological effects of soil freezing in the land surface model ORCHIDEE, which includes a physical description of continental hydrology. The new soil freezing scheme is evaluated against analytical solutions and in-situ observations at a variety of scales in order to test its numerical robustness, explore its sensitivity to parameterization choices and confront its performances to field measurements at typical application scales. It is shown that the appropriate vertical discretization to represent the thermal freezing dynamics is centimetric, and the appropriate freezing window is 1 to 2 °C wide. Furthermore, linear and thermodynamical parameterizations of the liquid water content lead to similar results in terms of water redistribution within the soil as a consequence of freezing. The new soil freezing scheme considerably improves the representation of runoff and river discharge in regions underlain by permafrost and subject to seasonal freezing. A thermodynamical parameterization of the liquid water content appears more appropriate for an integrated description of the hydrological processes at the scale of the vast Siberian basins. The use of a subgrid variability approach and the representation of wetlands could help capturing the features of the Arctic hydrological regime with more accuracy. The modelling of the soil thermal regime is generally improved by the representation of soil freezing processes. In particular, the dynamics of the active layer is captured with an increased accuracy by the soil freezing module, which is of crucial importance in the prospect of simulations involving the response of frozen carbon stocks to future warming. A realistic simulation of the snow cover and its thermal properties, as well as the representation of an organic horizon with specific thermal characteristics, are confirmed to be a pre-requisite for an accurate modelling of the soil thermal dynamics in the Arctic.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 8191-8238 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Fernandez ◽  
T. Sayama

Abstract. Hydrologic functions of river basins are summarized as water collection, storage and discharge, which can be characterized by the dynamics of hydrological variables including precipitation, evaporation, storage and runoff. In some situations these four variables behave more in a recurrent manner by repeating in a similar range year after year or in other situations they exhibit more randomness with higher variations year by year. The degree of recurrence in runoff is important not only for water resources management but also for hydrologic process understandings, especially in terms of how the other three variables determine the degree of recurrence in runoff. The main objective of this paper is to propose a simple hydrologic classification framework applicable to global scale and large basins based on the combinations of recurrence in the four variables. We evaluate it by Lagged Autocorrelation, Fast Fourier Transforms and Colwell's Indices of variables obtained from EU-WATCH dataset composed by eight hydrologic and land surface model outputs. By setting a threshold to define high or low recurrence in the four variables, we classify each river basin into 16 possible classes. The overview of recurrence patterns at global scale suggested that precipitation is recurrent mainly in the humid tropics, Asian Monsoon area and part of higher latitudes with oceanic influence. Recurrence in evaporation was mainly dependent on the seasonality of energy availability, typically high in the tropics, temperate and subarctic regions. Recurrence in storage at higher latitudes depends on energy/water balances and snow, while that in runoff is mostly affected by the different combinations of these three variables. According to the river basin classification 10 out of the 16 possible classes were present in the 35 largest river basins in the world. In humid tropic region, the basins belong to a class with high recurrence in all the variables, while in subtropical region many of the river basins have low recurrence. In temperate region, the energy limited or water limited in summer characterizes the recurrence in storage, but runoff exhibits generally low recurrence due to the low recurrence in precipitation. In the subarctic and arctic region, the amount of snow also influences the classes; more snow yields higher recurrence in storage and runoff. Our proposed framework follows a simple methodology that can aid in grouping river basins with similar characteristics of water, energy and storage cycles. The framework is applicable at different scales with different datasets to provide useful insights into the understanding of hydrologic regimes based on the classification.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marine Remaud ◽  
Camille Abadie ◽  
Sauveur Belviso ◽  
Antoine Berchet ◽  
Frédéric Chevallier ◽  
...  

<p>Carbonyle Sulphide, a trace gas exhibiting a striking similarity with CO2 in the biochemical diffusion path of leaves, has been recognized to be a promising surrogate of CO2 for estimating carbon storage in the terrestrial vegetation. Based on the similarity between COS and CO2, an empirical linear model relating both gas concentrations provides constraints on the estimation of the Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), the amount of carbon dioxide that is absorbed by ecosystems. However, large uncertainties on the other components of its atmospheric budget prevent us from directly relating the atmospheric COS measurements to the the GPP at global scale. The largest uncertainty arises from the closure of its atmospheric budget, with a source component missing. We explore here the benefit of assimilating both COS and CO2 measurements into the LMDz atmospheric transport model to gain insight on the COS budget. We develop an analytic inverse system which optimized the biospheric fluxes within the 14 Plant functional Type (PFTs) as defined in the ORCHIDEE land surface model. The vegetation uptake of COS is parameterized as a linear function of GPP and of the leaf relative uptake (LRU), which is the ratio of COS to CO2 deposition velocities in plants. A possible scenario leads to a global biospheric sink between 800-900 GgS/y, with a higher GPP in the high latitudes and higher total oceanic emissions between 400 and 600 GgS/y over the tropics. The COS inter-hemispheric gradient is in better agreement with HIPPO independent aircraft measurements. The comparison against NOAA COS airborne profiles and Solar Induced Fluorescence shed light on a too strong GPP in spring in ORCHIDEE in northern America,  leaving room for improvements. <span>We also show that uncertainty in the location of hot spots in the prior anthropogenic inventory limits the use of atmospheric COS measurements in inverse modeling.</span></p>


2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 407-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Gouttevin ◽  
G. Krinner ◽  
P. Ciais ◽  
J. Polcher ◽  
C. Legout

Abstract. Soil freezing is a major feature of boreal regions with substantial impact on climate. The present paper describes the implementation of the thermal and hydrological effects of soil freezing in the land surface model ORCHIDEE, which includes a physical description of continental hydrology. The new soil freezing scheme is evaluated against analytical solutions and in-situ observations at a variety of scales in order to test its numerical robustness, explore its sensitivity to parameterization choices and confront its performance to field measurements at typical application scales. Our soil freezing model exhibits a low sensitivity to the vertical discretization for spatial steps in the range of a few millimetres to a few centimetres. It is however sensitive to the temperature interval around the freezing point where phase change occurs, which should be 1 °C to 2 °C wide. Furthermore, linear and thermodynamical parameterizations of the liquid water content lead to similar results in terms of water redistribution within the soil and thermal evolution under freezing. Our approach does not allow firm discrimination of the performance of one approach over the other. The new soil freezing scheme considerably improves the representation of runoff and river discharge in regions underlain by permafrost or subject to seasonal freezing. A thermodynamical parameterization of the liquid water content appears more appropriate for an integrated description of the hydrological processes at the scale of the vast Siberian basins. The use of a subgrid variability approach and the representation of wetlands could help capture the features of the Arctic hydrological regime with more accuracy. The modeling of the soil thermal regime is generally improved by the representation of soil freezing processes. In particular, the dynamics of the active layer is captured with more accuracy, which is of crucial importance in the prospect of simulations involving the response of frozen carbon stocks to future warming. A realistic simulation of the snow cover and its thermal properties, as well as the representation of an organic horizon with specific thermal and hydrological characteristics, are confirmed to be a pre-requisite for a realistic modeling of the soil thermal dynamics in the Arctic.


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